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The new IMI cases come in at 1.618 consistently. I'm running them in the forester die just enough to straighten the case mouths and provide consistent neck tension.
The five I fired today measure 1.625" but I know that in a semi-auto that really tells me nothing due to the case stretching upon extraction.
I have 1k of this new brass so it will be a bit before i will need to reload them.
When the time comes I'll try sizing them down to 1.621 and see how they feed and go from there.
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There's 2 problems with this idea.
1. Why put off solving a problem you have now ? By the time you finish shooting the rest you may forget about it.
2. You'll work up a load based on cases that are short on headspace, then when you resize them where they should be they'll be sitting in the chamber differently and you'll most likely have a POI change so you'll have to re-work the load.
With new brass I always use cheap bullets to fire form the brass and use them for blasting ammo, but once they are fired in MY chamber I can resize them to what
I want. That is, if I'm trying to get a load that is accurate. And the way I see it, ''Why bother using those good components if I can't hit anything with them.'' I go for accuracy because I like to hit what I aim at.
Fortunately I don't buy new brass very often so I don't have to go through the fire forming process much, but I just started loading x54R with 400 pcs of new brass. I'm using Berry's plated bullets to fire form the cases and try to work up a decent load but I'm not going to put a lot of effort into trying to get a super accurate load with them till they are all fire formed.
ETA: Extraction doesn't play as big a part in stretching the cases as you are thinking. The pressure has dropped off significantly by the time extraction occurs. Most of us measure cases fired in our guns and use it for sizing, as should you.