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Posted: 10/30/2004 8:53:57 AM EDT
I think he still has it the OBL thing doesn't really concern me yeah its a black eye that we haven't caught him but it reminds people that he hates bush which is good.
The 8 marines might hurt bush though, that really sucks 
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Posted: 10/30/2004 8:55:49 AM EDT
[#1]
Yes, he is going to be reelected.
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Posted: 10/30/2004 8:59:09 AM EDT
[#2]
Bush is going to win...even if he doesn't carry Ohio...which would be a first in a long time for a Republican...
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:00:19 AM EDT
[#3]
Bush WILL win, the majority of american individuals just dont like sKerry.
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:02:16 AM EDT
[#4]
Bush will win and do so by a bigger margin than most folks realize.
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:02:59 AM EDT
[#5]
No Repub. has won without Ohio; from Abe Lincoln to present... The way this is shaping up, it would be quite an accomplishment. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:04:47 AM EDT
[#6]
He will win decisively
 GM |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:05:02 AM EDT
[#7]
I want to believe that, like no one's business... But, there are some wierd internal polls that bother me, like the Right Direction/Wrong Direction poll, that is 41% right / 53% wrong. I think it will be close, and Bush will win, but not as close as 2000. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:05:20 AM EDT
[#8]
yes
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:07:40 AM EDT
[#9]
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:08:31 AM EDT
[#10]
My election prediction based on over a month of vigilantly viewing electoral maps
BUSH: AK, HI, AZ, NM, NV, UT, TX, CO, ID, WY, MT, OK, KS, NE, SD, ND, IA, MO, AR, LA, MS, AL, GA, FL, SC, NC, TN, KY, VA, WV, OH, IN, MI, PA, NJ, NH (347 votes) KERRY: CA, OR, WA, MN, WI, IL, NY, DE, VT, DC, MD, CT, RI, MA, ME (191 votes) |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:08:37 AM EDT
[#11]
Yep.
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:08:38 AM EDT
[#12]
Listen and listen carefully!
While it is true that no Republican has ever won without taking Ohio, it is simply not true that every Republican president has NEEDED Ohio to win. Go back to Lincoln and tell me no Republican president has won by more than the number of Ohio electoral votes. There have been numerous examples where the Republicans could have won quite handily without Ohio's electoral vote. People, when claims like this are made you need to ask questions and take a hard look at what is really at issue. People make this argument as to point out without Ohio Bush CAN'T win... that is a bullsjit argument. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:11:48 AM EDT
[#13]
+1 |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:12:26 AM EDT
[#14]
Ditto. Take any democrat stronghold, like California or Ney York. They constantly win it, but since lots of republicans have become president, it didn't necessarily help the democrats. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:13:08 AM EDT
[#15]
Those don't mean anything this election. Any other election in the past and Bush would be toast. The numbers that get Bush elected are Better leader-----------------up by double digits Better for the war on terror----up by double digits more honest------------------up by double digits
If Bush does lose Ohio, he loses the election. If Ohio goes so will Iowa and Wisconcin. I think Bush will win or lose all three of these states. I could be wrong, my wife is constantly telling me I'm wrong so what do I know  I'm very confident in a Bush win. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:13:37 AM EDT
[#16]
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:18:27 AM EDT
[#17]
Also, CA, OR, WA, MN, and WI are all within 7% or less of a tie according to the polls listed by www.electoral-vote.com. Especially taking into account the margin of error, those states concievably could go to Bush.
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:19:17 AM EDT
[#18]
You're wrong, Iowa and Wisconsin are doing better economically than Ohio... especially Wisconsin. Traditional logic is out the window this time foks. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:21:11 AM EDT
[#19]
Perhaps the bigger picture is Ohio is a pretty close representation of the voter population, by state, or Electoral College, more specifically. So however it leans is a reflection of how the other states tend, as well. 
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:25:18 AM EDT
[#20]
Nope, the economy of Ohio is lagging behind the rest of the nation. Hell its lagging behind the other states in that region.
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:27:06 AM EDT
[#21]
right now bush has a small edge, but this one will still be close.
i dont know where alot of you guys get off saying he will win huge. i would like to beleive it, but it simply is not the reality. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:27:37 AM EDT
[#22]
I beg to differ. But I hope I'm wrong. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:27:59 AM EDT
[#23]
Not everywhere. Thankfully. Obviously the steel areas leave a lot to be desired, and Toledo has pushed out as much business as possible with their ridiculous liberal policies. But, Columbus and Cincinnati are rolling, again. How do I know? Try hiring in Columbus right now. It's hard work. Very Hard. We can't even get the usual European immigrant labor. 
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:28:08 AM EDT
[#24]
OK you win that argument. I don't think Bush is going to lose Ohio for what it's worth. GOTV will win Ohio, I have been hearing some reporters saying that privately the Republicans are worried about Ohio. From what I have read Republicans underpreformed in Ohio in 2000 due to low turnout. Ohio was supposed to go 12 points in Bush's favor and it went four.I think the Republicans so called "private" worries are being placed into the media to help motivate the Republican base and get them to turn out. The guy who does the Horse Race Blog says the Republicans are organized down to the man in each precinct. Bottom line, I think the Republicans turn out and Bush takes Ohio. and Wisconcin and Iowa and Minnesota maybe Michigan and definately New Mexico
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:29:56 AM EDT
[#25]
and Hawaii
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:30:25 AM EDT
[#26]
Hanoi-John will succeed at stealing it through massive voter-fraud and litigation. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:31:12 AM EDT
[#27]
You took the words right out of my mouth. These polls, while entertaining, don't really mean that much. Tuesday is going to be the truth-teller, and I think people are going to be surprised at how NOT CLOSE the election is going to be. Bush will get 4 more years. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:34:17 AM EDT
[#28]
If your worried about Ohio read this article form the Horse Race Blog. I posted it before but I don't know if most people read it.
Theorizing about the OH Ground Game |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:34:42 AM EDT
[#29]
Yes. Bush will win.
Duh. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:35:14 AM EDT
[#30]
If it happens, the largely Republican State Legislatures, will have to certify the electoral votes, as happened in Florida, but was not allowed to play out completely. Then who will be accused of "stealing" the election? Let's just hope it is decisive enough to stop the lawyers from having any traction. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:36:36 AM EDT
[#31]
CA Recall Election / Schwarzeneggar win, '02 Jeb re-election in FLA - BOTH cases, mainstream media polls, Zogby, all the rest of the Dem-slobbering polling agencies all managed to post polls showing strong Dem wins, when the "Reality" was strong Dem LOSSES. Their polling numbers are worth SHIT. When they all starting polling dead even or Bush +2-5 - It's going to be a blowout. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:42:36 AM EDT
[#32]
Bush MUSTwin! I hope his win is big enough to shut all those Kerry supporters out there.
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Posted: 10/30/2004 9:47:45 AM EDT
[#33]
In addition in 2002 the Dems under preformed in GOTV and the Reps exceeded it. Now I'm not sure you can connect 02 to 04 as the dems seemed to be motivated and are counting on new voter registration to carry the day, here is what James Carville said on that
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:03:12 AM EDT
[#34]
I
Historically , Incumbents with less then a 50% approval rating will lose 1 out of 3 times . Bush is at 48% . |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:13:00 AM EDT
[#35]
Jesus Christ, several polls have him above 50%. Depends on who you are looking at. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:16:44 AM EDT
[#36]
I don't think there is much chance Bush will win Oregon. and i live here. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:22:36 AM EDT
[#37]
someone needs to tell me to snap the f@ck out of it...but lately I've been thinking that if Kerry gets elected I'll take a medical. I've been on a profile for a while anyway, since a spinal injury about 2 months ago. I'm just coming off of it, and I'm READY to do SUMTIN.
Lately I figure that if that many people vote for him, then nobody cares about the military or what we are fighting for. so why should i keep busting my ass? I know this is wrong, and i'll most likely keep doing what i do, b/c i think the world of the guys i work with. But if he gets elected, i won't re-enlist. well i might, but GOD DAMNIT. Fuckit. I'll re-enlist...but if he passes the big ban i'm gone. Someone post somthing to make me feel better. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:26:52 AM EDT
[#38]
I think Bush will loose ohio and the election.
He hasn't even tried here in over a month. Ad in massive fraud & I will be very surprised if he wins. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:30:00 AM EDT
[#39]
Read my above post with the link to the Horse Race Blog and then come back and tell me if you still think Bush will lose Ohio |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:34:16 AM EDT
[#40]
FOUR MORE YEARS!!!
I think that it's gonna' be close. And it's gonna' be challenged again. There will be protests and possibly civil unrest when GWB wins. But I truly believe that we will get... FOUR MORE YEARS!!! |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:34:24 AM EDT
[#41]
48% is the Average of all the approval rating polls . I never trust a single poll . Unless you have info that I haven’t seen ? ETA The last 2 incumbents to lose , Bush Sr and Carter had approval ratings in the mid 30's in late Oct . |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:36:55 AM EDT
[#42]
I'm in Ohio..... voting for Bush. I have to say I'm down in the SW corner which is pretty conservative. Factoring in Northern Ohio where Kerry support is very strong I think Kerry has the edge right now. Bush is going to need something to happen in order to win Ohio at this point.
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:39:44 AM EDT
[#43]
There sure are alot of people on this board that I would bever want to have at a political rally.
Some of you guys might as well shoot yourself with your negative attitudes. 45 states motha fuckas. SGtar15 |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:41:05 AM EDT
[#44]
I love you, sgtAR15.
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:42:48 AM EDT
[#45]
Careful kid, he will take you seriously. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:45:56 AM EDT
[#46]
bever? anyhow, this isn't a political rally. I voted over a week ago, for bush, just for the record. I think bush will win 310-330. but i still have strong doubts that my state will be for him. |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:47:50 AM EDT
[#47]
Am I missing something here? |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:48:10 AM EDT
[#48]
It does make sense. We'll see in a few days, or weeks..... |
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Posted: 10/30/2004 10:49:59 AM EDT
[#49]
Yes.
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Posted: 10/30/2004 11:29:05 AM EDT
[#50]
Hey, I met the guy at the first gunstock...I am well aware of the...Awww shit, so he plays with dolls? |
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