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Posted: 9/18/2004 7:29:51 AM EDT
         Bush 327

Kerry 211    






from earlier this week:
www.ar15.com/forums/topic.html?b=1&f=5&t=274660

from last week:
www.ar15.com/forums/topic.html?b=1&f=5&t=271352
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 7:37:40 AM EDT
[#1]
See my sigline.
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 7:38:45 AM EDT
[#2]
Hope that's what happens.  
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 7:41:23 AM EDT
[#3]
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 7:42:23 AM EDT
[#4]
YEAH, BUDDY!!!!!
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 7:43:47 AM EDT
[#5]
Looks like Sarge has some work to do.  
He's off by 11 states right now.
Get crackin Dollman15
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 7:46:27 AM EDT
[#6]
Whoever wins any two of the following three states wins the election:

Ohio
Pennsylvania
Florida
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 7:58:30 AM EDT
[#7]
colors i understand what the blue and red are
put what is the pink states and the ones outlined in blue or pink?
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 8:03:56 AM EDT
[#8]
www.electoral-vote.com

Bold colors = Strong for the candidate
Lighter colors = Weak for the candidate
Outlined colors = Barely for the candidate
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 8:06:10 AM EDT
[#9]
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 2:04:35 PM EDT
[#10]
Good news!

Still, don’t let that map lull you into overconfidence.

The actual margin is very thin.

It would only take a small number of voters in key states to change their minds, and that map - and those numbers - could change dramatically overnight.  
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 2:06:02 PM EDT
[#11]
If the economy keeps improving Kerry doesn't stand a chance.
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 2:07:14 PM EDT
[#12]
Glad to see Colorado finally coming around.  Now someone please kick New Mexico in the shin.
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 2:07:42 PM EDT
[#13]
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 2:08:01 PM EDT
[#14]
Doh.....Bush keeps going up and up!

Too bad stupid fucktard DE is still strong Kerry. (thats where my parents are living)
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 2:10:49 PM EDT
[#15]
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 2:47:06 PM EDT
[#16]

Quoted:
Glad to see Co is going red.

It's amazing  MD has gone from blue to a light blue.


even more so is that NJ is barely Bush

kerry has a real problem.  The President's numbers going up is something he could come back from, but in addition to this, kerry's disapproval ratings are steadily on the rise, and in addition nader has picked up around 2 points nationwide in the past 2 weeks
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 2:52:15 PM EDT
[#17]

Quoted:
kerry has a real problem.  The President's numbers going up is something he could come back from, but in addition to this, kerry's disapproval ratings are steadily on the rise, and in addition nader has picked up around 2 points nationwide in the past 2 weeks




When I'm talking to someone that I know is one of those "anybody but Bush" types, I go out of my way to let them know what a great President Ralph Nader would be...
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 2:52:32 PM EDT
[#18]
For once, I am happy to be in NJ!
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 3:25:30 PM EDT
[#19]

Quoted:
Glad to see Colorado finally coming around.  Now someone please kick New Mexico in the shin.




We'll take the west shin! You guys in Texas take the east shin!  
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 3:36:09 PM EDT
[#20]
PA and wisconsin are still Kerry states.  Ohio may go to Bush, but its' still to close to call.  You map is weighted too heavy on polling, ignoring demographics and the 2000 election entirely.

the 2000 election remainsd the greatest indicator of what likely voters will do. after all, is only been 4 years, and we have half the same candidates.
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 3:45:56 PM EDT
[#21]

Quoted:
Please, please, Dear Lord, let it be so!

Eric The(ThyWillBeDone...AndLetThisBeThyWill)Hun



"Behold, I will come like a thief in the night."

I'm with you. But best be ready, ETH, just in case.
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 6:32:22 PM EDT
[#22]

Quoted:
PA and wisconsin are still Kerry states.  


no they aren't.  they have been either tied or barely for President Bush over the past month.
in case you have forgotten A LOT of things have changed since the 2000 election......
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 6:36:38 PM EDT
[#23]

Quoted:
PA and wisconsin are still Kerry states.  Ohio may go to Bush, but its' still to close to call.  You map is weighted too heavy on polling, ignoring demographics and the 2000 election entirely.

the 2000 election remainsd the greatest indicator of what likely voters will do. after all, is only been 4 years, and we have half the same candidates.



Our local polls/info say otherwise...

WI is a Bush state right now, if barely (margin varies from 1 - 8pts)...
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 9:44:28 PM EDT
[#24]

Quoted:
Good news!

Still, don’t let that map lull you into overconfidence.

The actual margin is very thin.

It would only take a small number of voters amount of voter fraud in key states to change their minds, and that map - and those numbers - could change dramatically overnight.  


You can be damn sure that the leftists are leaving no stone unturned to get as many voter registrations in their pockets as possible and won't let the law get in their way since the end justifies the means in their view of the world.
All the while laying a smokescreen about "making sure every vote is counted this time".
Link Posted: 9/18/2004 9:48:35 PM EDT
[#25]
also, Nader is on the ballot in Fl.....again!
Link Posted: 9/19/2004 12:35:39 AM EDT
[#26]
Michigan is still a state full of idiots.
Link Posted: 9/19/2004 4:31:55 AM EDT
[#27]

Quoted:

Quoted:
PA and wisconsin are still Kerry states.  


no they aren't.  they have been either tied or barely for President Bush over the past month.
in case you have forgotten A LOT of things have changed since the 2000 election......




Saying those who voted for Gore in 2000 will abandon their core beliefs and vote for Bush is unrealistic. Thats like beliving John edwards could convince this board to melt their AR's into scrap and join the green party. Peoples core political beliefs are stronger than that.  Bush will have made a major accomplishments if he can win 2 more states than in 2000.
Link Posted: 9/19/2004 4:48:32 AM EDT
[#28]

Quoted:
Michigan is still a state full of idiots.



You're most likely right, but more and more I'm seeing and hearing former sKerry supporters thinking Bush is the way to go... ofcourse Detroit and Ann Arbor are going to try and control Michigan's electoral votes as they always do, but Michigan might be waking up a bit... I'd so love to see us go for Bush on November 2nd...

Link Posted: 9/19/2004 4:49:11 AM EDT
[#29]
It just gets better and better...
Link Posted: 9/19/2004 5:54:25 AM EDT
[#30]

Quoted:

Quoted:
Glad to see Colorado finally coming around.  Now someone please kick New Mexico in the shin.




We'll take the west shin! You guys in Texas take the east shin!  



Thats about right, ya'll takin the right shin and leaving us with that knuckleheadedleft shin.

Allright we'll do our best Maybe Colorado can boot off in their ass.
Link Posted: 9/19/2004 6:49:16 AM EDT
[#31]

Quoted:

Quoted:

Quoted:
PA and wisconsin are still Kerry states.  


no they aren't.  they have been either tied or barely for President Bush over the past month.
in case you have forgotten A LOT of things have changed since the 2000 election......




Saying those who voted for Gore in 2000 will abandon their core beliefs and vote for Bush is unrealistic. Thats like beliving John edwards could convince this board to melt their AR's into scrap and join the green party. Peoples core political beliefs are stronger than that.  Bush will have made a major accomplishments if he can win 2 more states than in 2000.


You are still thinking like 11 September 01 never happened.  And you are basing your predictions on the premise that kerry is running a good/decent campaign, when in fact kerry is running a horrible campaign.  A LOT of independent voters that voted for gore in '00 are going to be coming to President Bush's side, and more than a few moderate democrats are feeling disenfranchised with their party.
And finally you are forgetting how close the races were in states gore won.
NM by .1%
IA by .3%
WI by .2%
PA by 4%
i honestly think you are jaded from living in CA, the rest of the country is no where near in tune with your states political leanings.
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