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Posted: 5/23/2016 1:58:43 PM EDT
One of the world’s most well-known financial institutions which correctly predicted every presidential election since 1980 is predicting a win for Hillary Clinton.
Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of credit ratings agency Moody’s, believes President Obama’s strong approval ratings will give the Democratic nominee a significant advantage come November. http://dailycaller.com/2016/05/22/model-that-correctly-predicted-every-election-since-1980-gives-2016-verdict/ 
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Posted: 5/23/2016 1:59:55 PM EDT
[#1]
I thought they predicted Obama was going to get beat in the last election.
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:02:18 PM EDT
[#2]
You know despite what people think that the presidents are "Selected" not "Elected".
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:02:40 PM EDT
[#3]
How is Obama's approval rating over 50%?
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:03:12 PM EDT
[#4]
I'm not sure she will win by so many electoral votes. I still don't see Trump pulling the 270 he needs though.
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:03:38 PM EDT
[#5]
FBHO and FHRC
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:03:45 PM EDT
[#6]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I thought they predicted Obama was going to get beat in the last election. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:04:21 PM EDT
[#7]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I thought they predicted Obama was going to get beat in the last election. They did. Must be a slow news day. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:04:24 PM EDT
[#8]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
How is Obama's approval rating over 50%? Media manipulation and pressure. The unstated knowledge of what happens to anyone critical of Himself. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:04:44 PM EDT
[#9]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I'm not sure she will win by so many electoral votes. I still don't see Trump pulling the 270 he needs though. Model predicts 332 electoral votes for Hillary vs. 206 for Trump Based solely off the price of homes, gas prices, and Obama's approval rating |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:07:16 PM EDT
[#10]
You lost me at "President Obama's strong approval ratings." |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:08:06 PM EDT
[#11]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
How is Obama's approval rating over 50%? Trump |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:08:57 PM EDT
[#12]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
You lost me at "President Obama's strong approval ratings." It's true. Gallup has him at 52% right now |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:09:04 PM EDT
[#13]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I thought they predicted Obama was going to get beat in the last election. Nope. https://www.economy.com/dismal/analysis/free/228803 |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:09:11 PM EDT
[#14]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
They did. Must be a slow news day. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
I thought they predicted Obama was going to get beat in the last election. They did. Must be a slow news day. Thought so. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:09:11 PM EDT
[#15]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Trump Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
How is Obama's approval rating over 50%? Trump 
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:09:34 PM EDT
[#16]
Moody's??? lololololol
They are serious, hahahahaha Yeah they are soooo good at predicting defaults too. 
I am also going to say that there model has been so accurate since 1980 because of the candidates we had since then. There had not been a Trump type candidate get the nomination during that time period. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:11:00 PM EDT
[#17]
"Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of credit ratings agency Moody’s, believes President Obama’s strong approval ratings will give the Democratic nominee a significant advantage come November."
Blows my mind. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:11:57 PM EDT
[#18]
Have their election predictions from mid-May been 100% since 1980?
I'm skeptical. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:12:57 PM EDT
[#19]
Either way come November things are going to get interesting for real
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:14:15 PM EDT
[#20]
Wanna bet the Dem political arm is spending money to pay off these polls and news outlets to manipulate the election just like they did with NPR and J-Street on the Iran arms deal. It is all to produce an "echo chamber" in order to brainwash the masses.
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:15:43 PM EDT
[#21]
Corruption and fixed voting machines ftw.
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:16:07 PM EDT
[#22]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Have their election predictions from mid-May been 100% since 1980? I'm skeptical. This. Likely an apples to oranges comparison due to lack of news today. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:16:35 PM EDT
[#23]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
How is Obama's approval rating over 50%? Quote HistoryQuoted:
How is Obama's approval rating over 50%? Because a lot of dipshits say and have said stuff like -- “Well, I really like him. I think that he’s working very hard. He’s trying to rebuild our reputation throughout the world. I mean, we really have lost a lot of reputation in the world. The previous administration was a total disaster, a total catastrophe.
I think he’s sort of a guy that just has a wonderful personality, a good speaker, somebody that people trust… I think that he’s really doing a nice job in terms of representation of this country… I think he’s doing a really good job." . Some liberal fuckstick |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:17:08 PM EDT
[#24]
Moody’s latest model predicts Clinton will take 332 electoral votes compared to Donald Trump’s 206 Same totals from 2012. Who would have thought that running a Northeastern RINO in 2016 would have similar results to running a Northeastern RINO in 2012? |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:17:27 PM EDT
[#25]
I will see your Moody's study and raise you a Western Illinois University prediction.
They have been right since 1975. They predicted Sanders will be the next president. http://firebrandleft.com/university-100-accuracy-record-predicts-bernie-sanders-will-americas-next-president/ |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:17:50 PM EDT
[#26]
earlier this year they said it was going to Sanders.
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:18:12 PM EDT
[#27]
Trump is going to smoke her!
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:18:30 PM EDT
[#28]
"strong approval ratings"?
Where?!?! |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:19:15 PM EDT
[#29]
I think all bets are off this time around.
Things are already crazy...and they're going to get crazier. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:19:38 PM EDT
[#30]
Don't both of these guys give their final predictions three weeks after the erection?
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:19:43 PM EDT
[#31]
Repubs --> record numbers
Dems --> debate times so noone will watch them. If we lose this then its OUR fault. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:19:52 PM EDT
[#32]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I will see your Moody's study and raise you a Western Illinois University prediction. They have been right since 1975. They predicted Sanders will be the next president. http://firebrandleft.com/university-100-accuracy-record-predicts-bernie-sanders-will-americas-next-president/ "The Republican student body put together a Jeb Bush/ Marco Rubio ticket for 2016, and if you thought WIU’s primary results were interesting, get a load of this: The Sanders/ O’Malley ticket creams the Bush/ Rubio ticket heavy-handedly, with a blow-out landslide win in which Sanders/ O’Malley takes home 404 electoral votes, to the measily 114 picked up by Bush/ Rubio." lol |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:20:34 PM EDT
[#33]
Quote HistoryQuoted: How is Obama's approval rating over 50%? |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:20:36 PM EDT
[#34]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I thought they predicted Obama was going to get beat in the last election. It didn't count voter fraud, looks like they fixed it
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:21:52 PM EDT
[#35]
Last "group has never been wrong before" predicted that Romney would wipe the floor with Obama in '12.
And yet here we are... |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:22:46 PM EDT
[#36]
This is the same on that's predicting Mississippi will vote for Hillary, right?
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:23:00 PM EDT
[#37]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
How is Obama's approval rating over 50%? 49% of people don't pay any taxes. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:25:24 PM EDT
[#38]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Same totals from 2012. Who would have thought that running a Northeastern RINO in 2016 would have similar results to running a Northeastern RINO in 2012? Quote HistoryQuoted: Moody’s latest model predicts Clinton will take 332 electoral votes compared to Donald Trump’s 206 Same totals from 2012. Who would have thought that running a Northeastern RINO in 2016 would have similar results to running a Northeastern RINO in 2012? Granted, but Hillary has none of the positives Obama's campaign had. He was still perceived as a likable enough person, which is an advantage Hillary won't enjoy. Romney's campaign seemed asleep as the wheel, as does Hillary's, but no one every accused Trump of being "low energy". |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:28:16 PM EDT
[#39]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
"strong approval ratings"?
Where?!?! Among the Free Shit Army. The 51%. The majority. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:30:23 PM EDT
[#40]
Honestly, this year feels really different. Trump has completely obliterated conventional wisdom. Any model that would have predicted anything when it came to chances of securing the nomination, was thrown completely out the window this time. I'm not sure why the general election would be any different.
All I'm going to do is observe from this point on. Hell, I didn't think he'd win a single primary (and neither did any other "smart" analyst back when he announced). That was a pretty safe assumption too, by traditional standards. Except it was completely wrong. Yeah. Oops. I ain't predicting shit this year, and I'm not sure why anyone else would stick their neck out either, at this point. We're in uncharted territory. Political scientists are going to be studying this one for years. Conventional wisdom says Hillary will obliterate him. Conventional wisdom has a poor track record this time around. It'd the damndest thing. Trump has been getting away with shit that no other politician could have survived. So at this point? Fuck if I know. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:30:45 PM EDT
[#41]
Quote HistoryQuoted: It's true. Gallup has him at 52% right now Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: You lost me at "President Obama's strong approval ratings." It's true. Gallup has him at 52% right now It's because they ask mostly Democrats. This isn't hard to figure out... |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:33:59 PM EDT
[#42]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Model predicts 332 electoral votes for Hillary vs. 206 for Trump Based solely off the price of homes, gas prices, and Obama's approval rating The problems with the model are that no one knows exactly what our Current Dear leader's approval rating or the price of gasoline will be in early November. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:35:31 PM EDT
[#43]
So they are rigging the vote machines this year?
Everything I thought I knew about America and voting went down the shitter in 2008. No one knows anything anymore. It's all a scam. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:36:37 PM EDT
[#44]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Moody's??? lololololol They are serious, hahahahaha Yeah they are soooo good at predicting defaults too.
I am also going to say that there model has been so accurate since 1980 because of the candidates we had since then. There had not been a Trump type candidate get the nomination during that time period. No shit. Rating subprime mortgages AAA when they should have been F.
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:42:14 PM EDT
[#45]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
earlier this year they said it was going to Sanders. I remember that one. Some school or research group that had some never wrong formula said Sanders would win. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:42:58 PM EDT
[#46]
6 months left dude, lots of shit can happen in 6 months.
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:45:11 PM EDT
[#47]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I remember that one. Some school or research group that had some never wrong formula said Sanders would win. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
earlier this year they said it was going to Sanders. I remember that one. Some school or research group that had some never wrong formula said Sanders would win. I don't remember that one. |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:45:57 PM EDT
[#48]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
FBHO and FHRC This exactly! |
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:50:12 PM EDT
[#49]
I dont know about Moodys, but some of the other predictors who are credited with 100% accuracy have made multiple revised predictions in the past, and then take credit based on their last prediction made on the cusp of the election.
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Posted: 5/23/2016 2:52:14 PM EDT
[#50]
Quote HistoryQuoted: How is Obama's approval rating over 50%? Apparently Obamacare isn't so bad after all |
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