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Link Posted: 9/17/2016 3:44:12 AM EDT
[#1]
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Quoted:
Supposedly Clinton has lost most of her lead here in VA and she and Trump are in a dead heat. I'm sure the election workers up in Fairfax and Alexandria are working overtime preparing "lost ballots" to find about 20 minutes before the polls close.
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Before Bob Beckel was fired from The Five, he said in VA the DNC always held back vote counts from NOVA unless needed.
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 9:10:45 AM EDT
[#2]
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Quoted:
Never get cocky.

Remember the cocky attitudes here before the last two Presidential elections.
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I remember Arfcoms attitude right after the 2004 Election.
There were threads saying the Democratic Party was going to become the next Whig Party.

We got complacent, they brushed themselves off and regrouped.
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 9:16:49 AM EDT
[#3]
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You're delusional if you think Trump can win New York.

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Last night (Thursday the 15) Jimmy Fallon noted that Trump was not only from New York State but from New York City as well.
IF he does make it to the presidency then he will be the first President from NYC since Teddy Roosevelt and the first president from the State of New York to be elected to president.
Or so Jimmy the Fallon said.

If The Hair can really and truly rally NY's 29 Electoral Votes and not Typhoid Mary's granddaughter it will make for an Interesting election.

A lot can happen in the next 50 days.  HE has the momentum but SHE has the media on her side.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PtMFdEPc64I


You're delusional if you think Trump can win New York.

He might.

Ignore Manhattan and concentrate on the rest of the State.
Go into Long Island and Upstate as well.  Ask the people north of the Tampan Zee bridge if Senator Hillary Clinton did anything for them.  Anything Good At All.
Concentrate that he is a Native New Yorker.

If he does it right and Hillary get Hoof & Mouth Disease again he Just Might.
I wouldn't put any money on it, but he Just Might.
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 9:20:48 AM EDT
[#4]
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Quoted:


Chief, I keep coming up with the exact same results.  There might be a spoiler state, but this is the result I keep coming up with each time I play with 270.
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http://www.electoral-vote.com

and

http://www.electoral-vote.com

are where they were yesterday.  Hillary is still in the low 60's percentage wise.

But 270ToWin.com has made a Yuge swing.

I don't know if the picture will change day after day line Weather Banners do.
As I'm typing this The Hair has 394 votes to 144 for Blabbermouth


http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/ZK9mv.png



That map is ridiculous.

This is more likely

http://www.270towin.com/maps/d19P8

Shit , pic doesn't show
It's a little tricky.  You need to practice cutting away the Correct nonsense:

http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/d19P8.png


Like I pointed out earlier to GiggleSmith on his overly optimistic electoral map, I'll do the same to your overly pessimistic map.

Trump will take at least one of the three on your map between MN-WI-MI and will take either PA or OH, likely OH.  FL also will likely go to Trump

This is my prediction.

http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/jy9gX.png




Chief, I keep coming up with the exact same results.  There might be a spoiler state, but this is the result I keep coming up with each time I play with 270.

VA and NC will go to Clinton. If that happens, no way Trump can win. And Trump is not favored to win either, never has been.
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 9:36:21 AM EDT
[#6]
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Quoted:
I've NEVER been polled in my life.

I think Trump is way ahead of Hillary than what these so-called polls reveal.
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I got polled for the first time ever a few weeks ago.  But, Opsec so I hung up on them.



ETA:   post count is an IL area code lulz.
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 9:49:03 AM EDT
[#7]
The media has more bias'ing to do then. Can't have the queen slip
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 10:01:26 AM EDT
[#8]
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Every place but Philly
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Oh, and I'm betting Trump will win PA.

Every place but Philly



I honestly think it will be close as most liberals have been not happy with Hillary over the feeling her burn over bernie
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 10:13:58 AM EDT
[#9]
The steady drip, drip, drip of new e-mail revelations has taken it's toll on Killary.

There's more to come. Along with the congressional subpoena of the full FBI report, etc.

Couple that with LOTS of momentum that Trump is generating. Momentum that
hasn't been seen for decades from a GOP candidate.

He's packing large venues, killary can barely muster a few hundred

Link Posted: 9/17/2016 10:20:28 AM EDT
[#10]
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I don't trust the polls, the integrity of the election, the media or anything else.

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Yep.

Trumps crowds are in the thousands and Hillary only brings in a few hundred at best.
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 10:33:06 AM EDT
[#11]
the whole thing is gonna end in a shit show..the dems will claim the win due to electoral vote,the repubs will claim the popular vote and mass chaos will ensue!!!i got a pmag that says otherwise if anyone wants to wager!
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 10:34:00 AM EDT
[#12]
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Quoted:
I've NEVER been polled in my life.

I think Trump is way ahead of Hillary than what these so-called polls reveal.
View Quote


I have been voting since 1972 and have never been polled.
More so none of my friends have ever told me they have been polled.
I have no idea who is going to win this thing but some of those hard core blue states are unlikely to turn red.
I could be wrong but I doubt it.
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 10:35:23 AM EDT
[#13]

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Quoted:


the whole thing is gonna end in a shit show..the dems will claim the win due to electoral vote,the repubs will claim the popular vote and mass chaos will ensue!!!i got a pmag that says otherwise if anyone wants to wager!
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East coast will be called early by the MSM for Hitlery and western state Republican voters won't go vote.  



 
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 11:06:44 AM EDT
[#14]
Playing around with the Electoral College map on 270towin.com, it appears that 266 electoral votes is Trump's best-case scenario just now. He needs 4 more to win, or 3 more to throw the election into the House of Representatives (where he would have a good chance because of the partisan makeup of the delegations). He needs to win Virginia or Pennsylvania.
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 11:10:50 AM EDT
[#15]
Last night (Thursday the 15) Jimmy Fallon noted that Trump was not only from New York State but from New York City as well.
IF he does make it to the presidency then he will be the first President from NYC since Teddy Roosevelt and the first president from the State of New York to be elected to president.
Or so Jimmy the Fallon said.
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What?! FDR was from New York state. In fact, he was Governor.
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 11:13:04 AM EDT
[#16]

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Quoted:
What?! FDR was from New York state. In fact, he was Governor.

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Quoted:



Last night (Thursday the 15) Jimmy Fallon noted that Trump was not only from New York State but from New York City as well.

IF he does make it to the presidency then he will be the first President from NYC since Teddy Roosevelt and the first president from the State of New York to be elected to president.

Or so Jimmy the Fallon said.




What?! FDR was from New York state. In fact, he was Governor.





 
Fallon is a comedian because he's funny, not because he is smart. Anybody who bases their political opinions on anything he says is a moron.



Link Posted: 9/17/2016 11:17:32 AM EDT
[#17]
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Quoted:




nh might go red. new england will stay blue though
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http://www.electoral-vote.com

and

http://www.electoral-vote.com

are where they were yesterday.  Hillary is still in the low 60's percentage wise.

But 270ToWin.com has made a Yuge swing.

I don't know if the picture will change day after day line Weather Banners do.
As I'm typing this The Hair has 394 votes to 144 for Blabbermouth


http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/ZK9mv.png


No way.




nh might go red. new england will stay blue though



Trump plays golf with Tom Brady.

Game over man, game over!
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 11:19:57 AM EDT
[#18]
In my neighborhood on a small island in Florida, 2 new TRUMP yard signs went up this week bringing the
grant total to 3! (Including mine)

Zero for Cuntface.
Link Posted: 9/17/2016 11:51:18 AM EDT
[#19]
FWIW I was sitting in on a meeting with Larry Sabato and he told us that if the election were help today, Trump would have a pretty good chance of winning. He said Hillary was tanking in the polls of all of the battleground states.
Link Posted: 9/18/2016 3:06:32 PM EDT
[#20]
50 Days to Go Before The Election.

Sunday Afternoon

No Major Changes
Link Posted: 9/19/2016 5:44:09 PM EDT
[#21]
49 Days to Go Before The Election.

Monday Afternoon

New Customer: Real Clear Politics.
Go to link and select No Toss Ups
Hitlery 293, Trump 245

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/create_your_own_president_map.html
Link Posted: 9/19/2016 6:14:09 PM EDT
[#22]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Last night (Thursday the 15) Jimmy Fallon noted that Trump was not only from New York State but from New York City as well.
IF he does make it to the presidency then he will be the first President from NYC since Teddy Roosevelt and the first president from the State of New York to be elected to president.
Or so Jimmy the Fallon said.

If The Hair can really and truly rally NY's 29 Electoral Votes and not Typhoid Mary's granddaughter it will make for an Interesting election.

A lot can happen in the next 50 days.  HE has the momentum but SHE has the media entire political power structure on her side.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PtMFdEPc64I
View Quote


Fixed that for you...

I wonder how many of you guys actually look into the poling methodology?

To see the +4, +6, or even +10 D samples?

Or that they are based on 2012 turnouts?

Or when Trump pulls ahead they change the methodology? (Im talking to you Reuters)

The only poll that matters is the one on Nov 8.

Trumpslide bros

Link Posted: 9/20/2016 9:31:04 PM EDT
[#23]
Tuesday Evening

48 Days to go

http://www.electoral-vote.com is gushing about new pol results in several States.  No Change

https://electionbettingodds.com Has Hillary at 65.1%.  Creeping up

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/create_your_own_president_map.html


[url]270ToWin.comp/url] hasn't changed

Link Posted: 9/20/2016 9:46:41 PM EDT
[#24]
I haven't seen anything that Trump will win.
Link Posted: 9/20/2016 9:51:58 PM EDT
[#25]
Link Posted: 9/20/2016 10:10:27 PM EDT
[#26]
Interestingly enough, liberal shill Nate Silver's polls plus model has bumped trump to a 44% chance. I think the libs are trying to shock their base awake.
Link Posted: 9/20/2016 10:15:55 PM EDT
[#27]
Lol Alabama pink, not solid red.





Link Posted: 9/21/2016 8:55:43 PM EDT
[#28]
Changes


http://www.electoral-vote.com  Hitlery 289, Tied 4 Trump 245



https://electionbettingodds.com Still Has Hitlery in the low to mid 60's percentage wise

http://www.270towin.com Still has Trump leading with 308 to 230

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/create_your_own_president_map.html Has Hitlery with 301 to 237

Link Posted: 9/22/2016 9:12:28 PM EDT
[#29]
This is going to be One Interesting Election

Link Posted: 9/22/2016 9:24:28 PM EDT
[#30]
Link Posted: 9/22/2016 9:26:01 PM EDT
[#31]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Never get cocky.

Remember the cocky attitudes here before the last two Presidential elections.
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Cocky.  I mostly recall resigned desperation.  No serious observer ever thought anybody Barry was gonna win.

Just like this week...  there is a glimmer of hope, but Hillary is still the likely winner.
Link Posted: 9/24/2016 6:31:03 PM EDT
[#32]
Link Posted: 9/24/2016 9:58:17 PM EDT
[#33]
Link Posted: 9/24/2016 10:02:04 PM EDT
[#34]
Published on Sep 22, 2016

Link Posted: 9/24/2016 10:16:42 PM EDT
[#35]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

This
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Quoted:
Quoted:
I don't trust the polls, the integrity of the election, the media or anything else.


This


Exactly.
Link Posted: 9/25/2016 9:15:17 PM EDT
[#36]
The More Hillary Talks The More People Hate Her
Published on Sep 23, 2016

Link Posted: 9/26/2016 5:22:59 PM EDT
[#37]
Link Posted: 9/26/2016 8:32:30 PM EDT
[#38]
Pre Debate Numbers:

Electoral-vote.com - Hillary: 302 - Trump: 236



ElectionBettingOdds.com - Hillary:308 - Trump:230

270towin.com Reverses the last: Trump 308 - Hillary 230

Realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/create_your_own_president_map.html - Hillary 292 - Trump 246
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