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Posted: 10/21/2014 7:57:59 PM EDT
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:21:05 PM EDT
[#1]
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:21:46 PM EDT
[#2]
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Quoted:
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.
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Fuck that

Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:22:09 PM EDT
[#3]
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:22:47 PM EDT
[#4]
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Quoted:


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.


This.  If it continues its trend, we're gonna have a bad day.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:25:18 PM EDT
[#5]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.

Meh. I disagree
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:25:25 PM EDT
[#6]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


This.  If it continues its trend, we're gonna have a bad day.
View Quote View All Quotes
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.


This.  If it continues its trend, we're gonna have a bad day.



This. I nearly lost my ass and my house when it crashed in 2007.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:26:42 PM EDT
[#7]
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:29:22 PM EDT
[#8]
Remember 87 cents a gal.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:29:55 PM EDT
[#9]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


lol

You disagree with what?


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Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.

Meh. I disagree


lol

You disagree with what?




Lol


I remember not that long ago gas was half the price it is now, not to mention diesel fuel. Plenty of people producing it then, and I don't believe that it is twice as much now because of a weak dollar.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:31:11 PM EDT
[#10]
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Quoted:
Remember 87 cents a gal.
View Quote


I remember my dad bitching when it was 39 cents a gallon.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:31:35 PM EDT
[#11]
Stupid question but is there money to be made off this in the stock market or something?



Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:31:58 PM EDT
[#12]
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Quoted:


lol

You disagree with what?


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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.

Meh. I disagree


lol

You disagree with what?




I'm gearing up to absorb some stupefying Arfconomics, cut 'er loose!

Edit: Too late, that was disappointing, but I'm holding out hope.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:32:40 PM EDT
[#13]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.



lol no
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:33:35 PM EDT
[#14]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:



This. I nearly lost my ass and my house when it crashed in 2007.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.


This.  If it continues its trend, we're gonna have a bad day.



This. I nearly lost my ass and my house when it crashed in 2007.


Don't sweat it; those days will never happen again.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:35:38 PM EDT
[#15]
isn't that what the Saudis are trying to do?lower it to find the point were fracking isn't worth it.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:36:52 PM EDT
[#16]
I would just be happy if diesel would come down to something reasonable...
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:37:46 PM EDT
[#17]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Remember 87 cents a gal.
View Quote

I remember ethyl at 25 cents a gallon.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:38:31 PM EDT
[#18]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Lol


I remember not that long ago gas was half the price it is now, not to mention diesel fuel. Plenty of people producing it then, and I don't believe that it is twice as much now because of a weak dollar.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.

Meh. I disagree


lol

You disagree with what?




Lol


I remember not that long ago gas was half the price it is now, not to mention diesel fuel. Plenty of people producing it then, and I don't believe that it is twice as much now because of a weak dollar.



This..

Gas was HALF the price and no one was losing anything, we could afford to go places, driving to work wasn't eating up a shitload of income.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:43:27 PM EDT
[#19]
The methods being used to extract oil/gas are much more expensive than the methods employed 10-15 years ago.  Keep that in mind.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:44:31 PM EDT
[#20]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


This.  If it continues its trend, we're gonna have a bad day.
View Quote View All Quotes
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.


This.  If it continues its trend, we're gonna have a bad day.

That wound ruin many investment houses and portfolios
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:44:59 PM EDT
[#21]
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Quoted:
I would just be happy if diesel would come down to something reasonable...
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3.35 here
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:46:42 PM EDT
[#22]

Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:





Meh. I disagree
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Quoted:



Quoted:


Quoted:

Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.




You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.



Meh. I disagree

We got fucked this way in the 70's. OPEC produced a glut of oil on the world market. It killed the domestic drilling industry...then they raised their prices to whatever they wanted to.


Indeed, if oil prices fall below the cost of a positive return on investment.....domestic production will be shut-in and domestic exploration will cease until prices rise again.


You can disagree all you want, but I've been in the oil business long enough to have seen what happened in the 70's.


Are you in the business?



 

Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:48:17 PM EDT
[#23]
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:48:53 PM EDT
[#24]

Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


isn't that what the Saudis are trying to do?lower it to find the point were fracking isn't worth it.
View Quote
Bingo.



 
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:50:46 PM EDT
[#25]


Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
This..





Gas was HALF the price and no one was losing anything, we could afford to go places, driving to work wasn't eating up a shitload of income.
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Quoted:





Quoted:




Quoted:





lol





You disagree with what?






Lol
I remember not that long ago gas was half the price it is now, not to mention diesel fuel. Plenty of people producing it then, and I don't believe that it is twice as much now because of a weak dollar.



This..





Gas was HALF the price and no one was losing anything, we could afford to go places, driving to work wasn't eating up a shitload of income.
Back then, the dollar was worth a dollar. Today...not so much.




 
 
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:51:30 PM EDT
[#26]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
We got fucked this way in the 70's. OPEC produced a glut of oil on the world market. It killed the domestic drilling industry...then they raised their prices to whatever they wanted to.

Indeed, if oil prices fall below the cost of a positive return on investment.....domestic production will be shut-in and domestic exploration will cease until prices rise again.

You can disagree all you want, but I've been in the oil business long enough to have seen what happened in the 70's.

Are you in the business?
 

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Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.


You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.

Meh. I disagree
We got fucked this way in the 70's. OPEC produced a glut of oil on the world market. It killed the domestic drilling industry...then they raised their prices to whatever they wanted to.

Indeed, if oil prices fall below the cost of a positive return on investment.....domestic production will be shut-in and domestic exploration will cease until prices rise again.

You can disagree all you want, but I've been in the oil business long enough to have seen what happened in the 70's.

Are you in the business?
 


Nope just a consumer who does not enjoy shelling out 3.79 for a gallon of diesel.  Why is it now that diesel is 70 cents a gallon more than gas when it used to be 70 cents cheaper. I hear because of taxes but have never seen proof.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:52:41 PM EDT
[#27]
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Quoted:
Remember 87 cents a gal.
View Quote

That was a function of the strength of the dollar, not so much as the price of oil.

They are connected but not related.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:53:07 PM EDT
[#28]
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Quoted:


I remember my dad bitching when it was 39 cents a gallon.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Remember 87 cents a gal.


I remember my dad bitching when it was 39 cents a gallon.



In 1970 I refused to pay 30 cents a gallon in Florida

$30 a barrel oil means the world economy is in the shitter and a lot of STEM grads are out of work
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:53:34 PM EDT
[#29]
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:54:09 PM EDT
[#30]

Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.
View Quote
Spiraling deflation would not be nice. Lot of people without jobs.



 
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:56:04 PM EDT
[#31]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Spiraling deflation would not be nice. Lot of people without jobs.
 
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.
Spiraling deflation would not be nice. Lot of people without jobs.
 

I was lucky to only take a 60% pay cut and still keep my job when oil hit $42 in 2007.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:56:31 PM EDT
[#32]


Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Stiles1410
Nope just a consumer who does not enjoy shelling out 3.79 for a gallon of diesel.  Why is it now that diesel is 70 cents a gallon more than gas when it used to be 70 cents cheaper. I hear because of taxes but have never seen proof.


View Quote


Blame the Obummer regime who persists in printing fiat currency. The dollar isn't holding it's value and inflation sets in.





It's not that a gallon of fuel has increased that much in cost....it's the fact that what it's being purchased with doesn't have the purchasing power it once did.





As oil is traded on the world market...in US Dollars...the price per barrel will 'increase' as the dollar is devalued.




 

Compare the increase in the oil prices to the increasing prices of all goods and services....they're pretty parallel. Bought any groceries lately?


 
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:58:08 PM EDT
[#33]



That article is....fucked.



The breakeven price for most wells is NOWHERE near $80 (or even $100, as the article claims).



The most expensive wells in Canada need $50 to break even, and most are closer to $35-40.



Oil could stay below $80 for awhile and it wouldn't matter.  



 
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:58:09 PM EDT
[#34]
I would just be happy if diesel would come down to something reasonable...
View Quote


No kidding.  
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 8:59:38 PM EDT
[#35]

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Quoted:
lol no
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Quoted:



Quoted:


Quoted:

Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.




You wouldn't have any at that price. No one would bother to produce it.







lol no


lol yes.





 
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:01:28 PM EDT
[#36]
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Quoted:
Bingo.
 
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Quoted:
Quoted:
isn't that what the Saudis are trying to do?lower it to find the point were fracking isn't worth it.
Bingo.
 


Exactly, with hydraulic fracturing opening field previously unavailable the US is threatening OPECs strangle hold on oil, consequently OPEC is trying to lower the price enough to cease/reduce US production without throwing away all their profit.

Shale formations like Cline, Eagle Ford, Marcellus, Utica, Bakken, Tuscaloosa Marine all have to be frac'd to free the oil in a tight formation. Frac is labor intensive and consequently very expensive.

Domestic oil below $80 for a long period will dramatically slow production, oil below $65 will all but stop it.

Be careful what you wish for today, as you may very well find it broke off in your ass tomorrow.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:02:06 PM EDT
[#37]

Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:





That article is....fucked.



The breakeven price for most wells is NOWHERE near $80 (or even $100, as the article claims).



The most expensive wells in Canada need $50 to break even, and most are closer to $35-40.



Oil could stay below $80 for awhile and it wouldn't matter.  

 
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Quoted:





That article is....fucked.



The breakeven price for most wells is NOWHERE near $80 (or even $100, as the article claims).



The most expensive wells in Canada need $50 to break even, and most are closer to $35-40.



Oil could stay below $80 for awhile and it wouldn't matter.  

 
You're comparing vertical wells to 'tight oil' wells. Anyplace I've ever been it costs more to frac a lateral than it does to drill it. Makes a big difference.



 
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:02:10 PM EDT
[#38]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Blame the Obummer regime who persists in printing fiat currency. The dollar isn't holding it's value and inflation sets in.

It's not that a gallon of fuel has increased that much in cost....it's the fact that what it's being purchased with doesn't have the purchasing power it once did.

As oil is traded on the world market...in US Dollars...the price per barrel will 'increase' as the dollar is devalued.
 

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Quoted:
Originally Posted By Stiles1410


Nope just a consumer who does not enjoy shelling out 3.79 for a gallon of diesel.  Why is it now that diesel is 70 cents a gallon more than gas when it used to be 70 cents cheaper. I hear because of taxes but have never seen proof.
Blame the Obummer regime who persists in printing fiat currency. The dollar isn't holding it's value and inflation sets in.

It's not that a gallon of fuel has increased that much in cost....it's the fact that what it's being purchased with doesn't have the purchasing power it once did.

As oil is traded on the world market...in US Dollars...the price per barrel will 'increase' as the dollar is devalued.
 


That still does not explain why Diesel is so much more expensive than gas. Is it true that diesel is a by product or spoil of producing gas? One would think that it would be less expensive. It used to be even after the decline of the dollar.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:03:18 PM EDT
[#39]
About 40,000 feet deep.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:03:23 PM EDT
[#40]

Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Exactly, with hydraulic fracturing opening field previously unavailable the US is threatening OPECs strangle hold on oil, consequently OPEC is trying to lower the price enough to cease/reduce US production without throwing away all their profit.



Shale formations like Cline, Eagle Ford, Marcellus, Utica, Bakken, Tuscaloosa Marine all have to be frac'd to free the oil in a tight formation. Frac is labor intensive and consequently very expensive.



Domestic oil below $80 for a long period will dramatically slow production, oil below $65 will all but stop it.



Be careful what you wish for today, as you may very well find it broke off in your ass tomorrow.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:



Quoted:


Quoted:

isn't that what the Saudis are trying to do?lower it to find the point were fracking isn't worth it.
Bingo.

 




Exactly, with hydraulic fracturing opening field previously unavailable the US is threatening OPECs strangle hold on oil, consequently OPEC is trying to lower the price enough to cease/reduce US production without throwing away all their profit.



Shale formations like Cline, Eagle Ford, Marcellus, Utica, Bakken, Tuscaloosa Marine all have to be frac'd to free the oil in a tight formation. Frac is labor intensive and consequently very expensive.



Domestic oil below $80 for a long period will dramatically slow production, oil below $65 will all but stop it.



Be careful what you wish for today, as you may very well find it broke off in your ass tomorrow.
Thank you.



 
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:03:41 PM EDT
[#41]
Supply and demand of crude is not as significant of a driver of /gallon cost as it once was. Fuel economy keeps increasing, oil reserves keep expanding...the house of Saud has lost price control and they know it. The shut in point for fracking tight shale is closer to $40/barrel. Oil sands is higher. There are all kinds of games played by trading entities and currency issues that have more influence over price than supply. Refining capacity and export retrictions on crude are another issue.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:05:12 PM EDT
[#42]
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Quoted:

EPA.
View Quote

they also the reason it dropped to .50 cents cheaper then gas for a few months last year?
you know..where it should be.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:06:08 PM EDT
[#43]

Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:





That still does not explain why Diesel is so much more expensive than gas. Is it true that diesel is a by product or spoil of producing gas? One would think that it would be less expensive. It used to be even after the decline of the dollar.

View Quote View All Quotes
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Quoted:



Quoted:


Originally Posted By Stiles1410





Nope just a consumer who does not enjoy shelling out 3.79 for a gallon of diesel.  Why is it now that diesel is 70 cents a gallon more than gas when it used to be 70 cents cheaper. I hear because of taxes but have never seen proof.

Blame the Obummer regime who persists in printing fiat currency. The dollar isn't holding it's value and inflation sets in.



It's not that a gallon of fuel has increased that much in cost....it's the fact that what it's being purchased with doesn't have the purchasing power it once did.



As oil is traded on the world market...in US Dollars...the price per barrel will 'increase' as the dollar is devalued.

 





That still does not explain why Diesel is so much more expensive than gas. Is it true that diesel is a by product or spoil of producing gas? One would think that it would be less expensive. It used to be even after the decline of the dollar.


There is only so many gallons of gasoline, so many gallons of diesel, so many gallons of (pick one) in a barrel of oil.






 

Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:06:14 PM EDT
[#44]
In the oil business here..

Realistic price range is in the $70/bbl range.

Natural gas needs to come up another $1.5-2.5/cfm and you'd see drilling take off in more of the gas heavy ranges. (Utica / Marcellus )

Current diesel pricing laid in, transport pricing in Ohio, is around 3.15 a gallon.

But people at the retail level won't get off the margins. Refiners are still high on the margins.

Realistically without politics going on which is unpredictable - I see gas between 2.20 and 2.50 depending on your region. Diesel should be about 15-20 cents a gallon higher.

Edit:

The EPA caved into pressure this year and reduced the ethanol requirements for now. Which has tanked corn prices. That has also given gasoline some price breaks.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:06:26 PM EDT
[#45]
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Quoted:
I would just be happy if diesel would come down to something reasonable...
View Quote




Not gonna happen thanks to the EPA
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:06:30 PM EDT
[#46]


Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

isn't that what the Saudis are trying to do?lower it to find the point were fracking isn't worth it.
View Quote


I've heard something like that too and I believe that price was around $75 a barrel where our producers would stop producing.





And I don't get why some here are saying cheap fuel is a bad thing unless they bought futures.  
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:06:53 PM EDT
[#47]


Compare the increase in the oil prices to the increasing prices of all goods and services....they're pretty parallel. Bought any groceries lately?
 

Most of the increase of grocery prices have been blamed on the price of oil and increased cost of transporting those goods.

Edit: screwed up the quote tree
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:08:58 PM EDT
[#48]
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Quoted:




Not gonna happen thanks to the EPA
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Quoted:
I would just be happy if diesel would come down to something reasonable...




Not gonna happen thanks to the EPA



Most of it is due to retailers keeping the margins high. I can show you rack(wholesale) pricing.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:09:26 PM EDT
[#49]
As much as I like lower gas prices my son just recently got a high paying job with a good future doing Satellite Communications work that deals heavily with the oil industry.  Praying this doesn't cost him his job since he is low man on the totem pole currently and he is loving this new job.
Link Posted: 10/21/2014 9:09:42 PM EDT
[#50]

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Quoted:


Not far enough.  $30 a barrel would be nice.
View Quote


You shut the fuck up right now Sir.



 
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