User Panel
Posted: 7/3/2015 10:02:25 AM EDT
Folks, thought I posted this before but it seems I didnt. Just a couple accounts I got from people over in Greece, pretty much a carbon copy of 2001 Argentina.
FerFAL Greek banks to shut for six days; ATM withdrawals capped at €60 a ... Message: Hello from Greece. About the situation with capital controls. -A lot of false information on media in Greece (TV, Social media etc.) is spread. You do not know what true or not any more is. A lot of rumors are presented as real news by people that benefit from the situation. -People cannot use their debit cards for food or fuel. Most supermarkets and fuel shops only accept cash. The same goes for other kind of shops, although public announcements say otherwise. -Those that had already web banking in use are luckier. They can use it to pay bills and shop online but only from stores within the country. No international shopping. -Although the situation looked bad weeks ago, many people were unprepared for this and were left with 5€ in their pocket and no food or fuel. -A lot of shops and companies put their employees in mandatory leave as they cannot get supplies to continue their production. So people that had a good steady job are left without income in addition to the already unemployed. -Although the government says that capital controls will be withdrawn soon, this is not expected to happen but after many months. Petros N. Athens, Greece … Hello Petros, Thanks for your email letting us know about what’s really going on over there. What you are describing in your letter is an exact copy of what happened in Argentina after the “corralito” went up in 2001. Officially speaking, the capital control is done to stop bank runs and money leaving the country, either because Greeks close their bank accounts and horde Euros under their mattresses or directly wire transfer money to banks abroad. Officially speaking, you can use your debit card to pay for food, gas and pay your bills, so you don’t really need a lot of cash. The problem is that’s not what ends up happening in the streets. Speaking in practical terms, when you’re standing in line in a grocery store with a bottle of milk, some eggs and a bag of bread, you can’t actually force the shop owner or employee to take your debit card if he doesn’t want to. You can complain all you want, but you won’t change that person’s mind. With a country on the edge of collapse, it’s perfectly understandable that most businesses will prefer cash. This also happened in Argentina. The “cash only” signs went up almost instantly. Some of the larger retailers still accepted debit cards but for years gas stations operated on a “cash only” basis after the collapse. As you say, a lot of people have been caught completely unprepared. We discuss these topics here all the time because we do prepare for these events and notice the red flags, especially such obvious ones as those seen in Greece. Still, the average person in Greece, just like the average person elsewhere, is not a prepper let alone a true survivalist. I think that in the following years, the two main concerns people will have will be the economy and crime. The economic mess you are already seeing and have experienced it for some time now. Crime will be the next stage. With growing poverty, social instability and lots of cash on the streets there’s no way around it you will see crime rise unless the government does and outstanding job in keeping it under control, which I don’t think they will. You also mention people losing their jobs right now specifically because of the default. Again, the exact same thing happened in Argentina. You already had high unemployment, but this is like a dagger through the heart. Businesses just hold on until they figure out their next move, they downscale, they don’t want to sign any contracts or move any merchandise until they know what’s happening next. From a speculator’s perspective, why would I buy a ton of cheese if maybe tomorrow I can buy it for a lot less money under a new currency? I’d rather stick to my Euros and pile them under the mattress. I can later exchange those Euros for whatever new currency comes up, which will no doubt be worth a lot less and buy that cheese for maybe half the amount of Euros. With this kind of uncertainty, the entire economy just freezes. Its going to be a bumpy ride in Greece from now own, even more than before. If you have been following my advice over the years it will sure serve you well. If not, then you probably want to start digging into the website archives because you’ll end up experiencing a lot of that sooner rather than later. FerFAL Message: Hello there. Another Greek citizen here. I agree with most of the comments OP made: -A lot of rumors / information is spread by politicians and journalists (both domestic and foreign). No body can tell who tells the truth and who lies and to what extent. -Regarding credit / debit cards: I do not know in which establishments the OP tried to use debit cards. I can use my debit card in most major retail chains fr food / fuel in Patras. Smaller family held stores probably do not accept them though. This can change of course at any time. -Web banking still works for Greek shops. Unfortunately web banking is not that spread in Greece. -OP is probably right. A lot of people are left with little to no cash. -No personal knowledge about mandatory leave. Have heard about it though. -Capital controls are here to stay. Nobody believes these measures will be lifted next week. At the moment the limit is 60 Euros per day. This will probably get even lower. In short things were bad before and now they are getting worse. P. Patras … Thanks for your message, it’s always nice to have another perspective. I know what you mean about some stores still using credit cards. I think that big business are more likely to keep using them but even those too can end up demanding cash only. As you say, it can change at any time. While they accept it though, no doubt, it allows you to preserve cash for other things. Greeks being fed up with politicians sounds extremely familiar. In Argentina the exact same thing happened. Back then, signs held by protesters read “que se vayan todos” , which somewhat translated into “ fire them all”. FerFAL Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”. http://www.themodernsurvivalist.com/archives/4281 View Quote |
|
Greeks being fed up with politicians sounds extremely familiar. In Argentina the exact same thing happened. Back then, signs held by protesters read “que se vayan todos” , which somewhat translated into “ fire them all”. View Quote Sadly for argentina that does not seem to have happened. I wonder if the media will even report on increases in street crime in greece. After all, it would contradict the image of socialism being all rainbows and unicorns. |
|
Unfortunately this time it is the decisions of the people themselves and they who are now faced with the consequences.
They can't blame the politicians. They have repeatedly voted for this path. They voted themselves bread and circus. Now the check is due. |
|
Quoted:
Unfortunately this time it is the decisions of the people themselves and they who are now faced with the consequences. They can't blame the politicians. They have repeatedly voted for this path. They voted themselves bread and circus. Now the check is due. View Quote So have we, when is our check due??? |
|
"Bread and circuses" (or bread and games; from Latin: panem et circenses) is metonymic for a superficial means of appeasement. In the case of politics, the phrase is used to describe the generation of public approval, not through exemplary or excellent public service or public policy, but through diversion; distraction; or the mere satisfaction of the immediate, shallow requirements of a populace,[1] as an offered "palliative." Its originator, Juvenal, used the phrase to decry the selfishness of common people and their neglect of wider concerns.[2][3][4] The phrase also implies the erosion or ignorance of civic duty amongst the concerns of the commoner View Quote |
|
Quoted:
Quoted:
Unfortunately this time it is the decisions of the people themselves and they who are now faced with the consequences. They can't blame the politicians. They have repeatedly voted for this path. They voted themselves bread and circus. Now the check is due. So have we, when is our check due?? Ask China, and everyone else we sell our sovereignty to. They decide. Every dollar of deficit spending puts us another step closer to Greece. |
|
|
Quoted:
So, are the guys that stored Gold and Silver better off now? View Quote They are better off than those who stored nothing. Those who stored Euros are also doing better than the completely unprepared, without the hassle of buying and selling PMs. PMs would only show their real value as wealth protection in the event of a currency crisis, for example if the Euro itself started losing value. The people who are proper screwed are those whose wealth was stored as bits and bytes in Greek financial institutions. All they can do is sit and wait for the haircut they will surely receive. |
|
The trouble with socialism is pretty soon you run out of everybody else's money!
|
|
Quoted:
They are better off than those who stored nothing. Those who stored Euros are also doing better than the completely unprepared, without the hassle of buying and selling PMs. PMs would only show their real value as wealth protection in the event of a currency crisis, for example if the Euro itself started losing value. The people who are proper screwed are those whose wealth was stored as bits and bytes in Greek financial institutions. All they can do is sit and wait for the haircut they will surely receive. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
So, are the guys that stored Gold and Silver better off now? They are better off than those who stored nothing. Those who stored Euros are also doing better than the completely unprepared, without the hassle of buying and selling PMs. PMs would only show their real value as wealth protection in the event of a currency crisis, for example if the Euro itself started losing value. The people who are proper screwed are those whose wealth was stored as bits and bytes in Greek financial institutions. All they can do is sit and wait for the haircut they will surely receive. I understand that, maybe my question should have been worded differently. Are PM's being traded for daily bread, and if so, is there any evidence of this? |
|
Quoted:
I understand that, maybe my question should have been worded differently. Are PM's being traded for daily bread, and if so, is there any evidence of this? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
So, are the guys that stored Gold and Silver better off now? They are better off than those who stored nothing. Those who stored Euros are also doing better than the completely unprepared, without the hassle of buying and selling PMs. PMs would only show their real value as wealth protection in the event of a currency crisis, for example if the Euro itself started losing value. The people who are proper screwed are those whose wealth was stored as bits and bytes in Greek financial institutions. All they can do is sit and wait for the haircut they will surely receive. I understand that, maybe my question should have been worded differently. Are PM's being traded for daily bread, and if so, is there any evidence of this? I doubt it. Too soon. There is a strong currency, Euro and dollars, and the system is still "working". Unlike Argentinas collapse. |
|
just saw this on the news. This guy. broke, sells his wedding ring to make a few bucks.
http://money.cnn.com/2015/07/03/news/economy/greece-crisis-referendum-polls/index.html FerFAL |
|
Quoted:
I understand that, maybe my question should have been worded differently. Are PM's being traded for daily bread, and if so, is there any evidence of this? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
So, are the guys that stored Gold and Silver better off now? They are better off than those who stored nothing. Those who stored Euros are also doing better than the completely unprepared, without the hassle of buying and selling PMs. PMs would only show their real value as wealth protection in the event of a currency crisis, for example if the Euro itself started losing value. The people who are proper screwed are those whose wealth was stored as bits and bytes in Greek financial institutions. All they can do is sit and wait for the haircut they will surely receive. I understand that, maybe my question should have been worded differently. Are PM's being traded for daily bread, and if so, is there any evidence of this? PMs are not traded for bread, they are sold for currency, which is then used to buy bread. Since many people in Greece have very limited access to their bank accounts you can bet some are starting to sell their PMs, if they were wise enough to buy some when times were better. |
|
It's definitely happening in Greece right now.
News report on drudge says that the store shelves are being picked clean. |
|
Quoted:
I understand that, maybe my question should have been worded differently. Are PM's being traded for daily bread, and if so, is there any evidence of this? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
So, are the guys that stored Gold and Silver better off now? They are better off than those who stored nothing. Those who stored Euros are also doing better than the completely unprepared, without the hassle of buying and selling PMs. PMs would only show their real value as wealth protection in the event of a currency crisis, for example if the Euro itself started losing value. The people who are proper screwed are those whose wealth was stored as bits and bytes in Greek financial institutions. All they can do is sit and wait for the haircut they will surely receive. I understand that, maybe my question should have been worded differently. Are PM's being traded for daily bread, and if so, is there any evidence of this? Probably not yet. They would be holding them for worse times. Things haven't got that bad yet. Lots of people pulled their Euros out long ago so they have cash for now. People take care of their family etc. And I don't think PM's would be traded directly for food or fuel very often. People would sell them for Euros as needed and then pay in cash. |
|
Quoted:
just saw this on the news. This guy. broke, sells his wedding ring to make a few bucks. http://money.cnn.com/2015/07/03/news/economy/greece-crisis-referendum-polls/index.html FerFAL View Quote But there are stories like this in normal times too, maybe just not as many. My niece lost her house in California in 2003/04 even though the economy and market was going up and up. A few years later when housing prices crashed, tons of people were losing them. |
|
Quoted:
It's definitely happening in Greece right now. News report on drudge says that the store shelves are being picked clean. View Quote Yeah. A lot of people still have some money for now but shortages are appearing because businesses cannot do transactions with outside suppliers via normal electronic or credit lines so they can't resupply. So what is coming in food or fuel wise will get scooped up by the people who still have cash. The EU is probably going to have to do some short term bailouts -supplying goods (food, fuel etc) and/ or money to prevent any humanitarian issues. |
|
How has the price of things like gasoline and food been affected?
|
|
|
|
Quoted:
But there are stories like this in normal times too, maybe just not as many. My niece lost her house in California in 2003/04 even though the economy and market was going up and up. A few years later when housing prices crashed, tons of people were losing them. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
just saw this on the news. This guy. broke, sells his wedding ring to make a few bucks. http://money.cnn.com/2015/07/03/news/economy/greece-crisis-referendum-polls/index.html FerFAL But there are stories like this in normal times too, maybe just not as many. My niece lost her house in California in 2003/04 even though the economy and market was going up and up. A few years later when housing prices crashed, tons of people were losing them. I can't recall the circumstances that caused me to realize no matter how hot the market, there are companies that go bankrupt, people that lose jobs, and houses that foreclose but it is a big part of why I plan and prepare. Good, bad, doesn't matter, bad things happen. |
|
Quoted:
It's definitely happening in Greece right now. News report on drudge says that the store shelves are being picked clean. View Quote How long of a ride and how expensive is the ferry? Seems like if there is still cash in Greece, somebody will monopolize on the ferry to other locations to profit. |
|
|
Perhaps reading this forum has changed me, and my thinking is no longer normal. I really find it difficult to
believe that anyone in Greece with a choice failed to prepare with food, fuel and cash. This situation has been brewing for so long no one could possibly have missed it. |
|
Quoted:
Perhaps reading this forum has changed me, and my thinking is no longer normal. I really find it difficult to believe that anyone in Greece with a choice failed to prepare with food, fuel and cash. This situation has been brewing for so long no one could possibly have missed it. View Quote Do you believe all your neighbors and people in America are prepared? We have many of the same warning signs now. Yet, prepared folks are few and far between. More than ever are prepared, but it is a drop in the bucket. |
|
You will always have people that will either deny the obvious or just simply freeze up. They aren't bad or dumb. They just aren't wired to effectively function in a crisis such as this.
Fernando, as always I am impressed by your insight and have been a longtime fan of your work/ blog/ etc. |
|
I'm guessing what happens now is:
German banks try to seize Greek assets outside of Greece. The flow of foreign capital into Greece stops. Greece begins to print Drachmas and uses them to try to pay debts. Drachmas begin to inflate greatly. Most imports into Greece either decline or cease. Greeks on fixed Drachma incomes get seriously hurt by inflation. Many Greeks leave Greece to live, work, and/or receive local benefits in other EU nations. |
|
Quoted:
Do you believe all your neighbors and people in America are prepared? We have many of the same warning signs now. Yet, prepared folks are few and far between. More than ever are prepared, but it is a drop in the bucket. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
Perhaps reading this forum has changed me, and my thinking is no longer normal. I really find it difficult to believe that anyone in Greece with a choice failed to prepare with food, fuel and cash. This situation has been brewing for so long no one could possibly have missed it. Do you believe all your neighbors and people in America are prepared? We have many of the same warning signs now. Yet, prepared folks are few and far between. More than ever are prepared, but it is a drop in the bucket. No, I sure don't. However, The situation in Greece is orders of magnitude more immediate that what we have here, and apparently some people still walk around thinking they don't have to make provision for their own well being even with a clear danger bearing down. A sad commentary on the human race. |
|
Quoted:
I'm guessing what happens now is: German banks try to seize Greek assets outside of Greece. The flow of foreign capital into Greece stops. Greece begins to print Drachmas and uses them to try to pay debts. Drachmas begin to inflate greatly. Most imports into Greece either decline or cease. Greeks on fixed Drachma incomes get seriously hurt by inflation. Many Greeks leave Greece to live, work, and/or receive local benefits in other EU nations. View Quote This pretty much is how things are gonna unfold. Not sure on the Drachmas getting reprinted however. |
|
IF what is happening in Greece happened in the US, I could probably last about a month, or two if I am careful, with my SHTF supplies. This could be like a Hurricane Andrew or something, but without all of the damages.
|
|
Quoted: IF what is happening in Greece happened in the US, I could probably last about a month, or two if I am careful, with my SHTF supplies. This could be like a Hurricane Andrew or something, but without all of the damages. View Quote Eh, I imagine there will be damages when/if riots start. |
|
Quoted:
So, are the guys that stored Gold and Silver better off now? View Quote I doubt it. It would suck to trade an ounce of gold for something as basic as a meal. I don't think the value of Gold and Silver shines nearly as much in the event of providing purchasing power during a collapse, as it does maintaining some stored wealth throughout the collapse. When it is over, and a new system is in place, they may be better off than their neighbors who stored their wealth in banks. But until then, it's the man who has materials to meet his basic needs, food, shelter, etc, safely and securely stored away, that is best off. |
|
Quoted:
I doubt it. It would suck to trade an ounce of gold for something as basic as a meal. I don't think the value of Gold and Silver shines nearly as much in the event of providing purchasing power during a collapse, as it does maintaining some stored wealth throughout the collapse. When it is over, and a new system is in place, they may be better off than their neighbors who stored their wealth in banks. But until then, it's the man who has materials to meet his basic needs, food, shelter, etc, safely and securely stored away, that is best off. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
So, are the guys that stored Gold and Silver better off now? I doubt it. It would suck to trade an ounce of gold for something as basic as a meal. I don't think the value of Gold and Silver shines nearly as much in the event of providing purchasing power during a collapse, as it does maintaining some stored wealth throughout the collapse. When it is over, and a new system is in place, they may be better off than their neighbors who stored their wealth in banks. But until then, it's the man who has materials to meet his basic needs, food, shelter, etc, safely and securely stored away, that is best off. Might be a good chance for said "man" to acquire some PM's however. Doc |
|
Quoted:
Eh, I imagine there will be damages when/if riots start. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
IF what is happening in Greece happened in the US, I could probably last about a month, or two if I am careful, with my SHTF supplies. This could be like a Hurricane Andrew or something, but without all of the damages. Eh, I imagine there will be damages when/if riots start. I expect power lines, gas lines, transportation tracks, etc to be sabotaged when it happens here. Those without will not allow those who prepared to have life go on as usual. |
|
Quoted:
Ask China, and everyone else we sell our sovereignty to. They decide. Every dollar of deficit spending puts us another step closer to Greece. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Unfortunately this time it is the decisions of the people themselves and they who are now faced with the consequences. They can't blame the politicians. They have repeatedly voted for this path. They voted themselves bread and circus. Now the check is due. So have we, when is our check due?? Ask China, and everyone else we sell our sovereignty to. They decide. Every dollar of deficit spending puts us another step closer to Greece. Good point |
|
Quoted:
Might be a good chance for said "man" to acquire some PM's however. Doc View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
So, are the guys that stored Gold and Silver better off now? I doubt it. It would suck to trade an ounce of gold for something as basic as a meal. I don't think the value of Gold and Silver shines nearly as much in the event of providing purchasing power during a collapse, as it does maintaining some stored wealth throughout the collapse. When it is over, and a new system is in place, they may be better off than their neighbors who stored their wealth in banks. But until then, it's the man who has materials to meet his basic needs, food, shelter, etc, safely and securely stored away, that is best off. Might be a good chance for said "man" to acquire some PM's however. Doc Forget it, some people never learn. Even if today Greeks are selling gold to get enough money to survive to the end of the month they still dont get it. Its always.. "but..but... but.." Its pretty clear that PM would be a great asset to have when facing an economic meltdown such as the one Greece is going through right now. A good amount of cash in Euros, kept somwhere safe would be very useful as well. FerFAL |
|
Thus far, I am impressed that the Greeks haven't started breaking shit yet. They seem to just be quietly beginning their suffering. Big cultural differences there could be in play - intact communities, multigenerational households, etc?
If those types of capital controls were imposed on Americans, all living hell would break loose. Every big box and grocery store would be emptied overnight. What are the firearm laws like in Greece? |
|
Quoted:
You will always have people that will either deny the obvious or just simply freeze up. They aren't bad or dumb. They just aren't wired to effectively function in a crisis such as this. Fernando, as always I am impressed by your insight and have been a longtime fan of your work/ blog/ etc. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
You will always have people that will either deny the obvious or just simply freeze up. They aren't bad or dumb. They just aren't wired to effectively function in a crisis such as this. Fernando, as always I am impressed by your insight and have been a longtime fan of your work/ blog/ etc. Thanks! Quoted:
Thus far, I am impressed that the Greeks haven't started breaking shit yet. They seem to just be quietly beginning their suffering. Big cultural differences there could be in play - intact communities, multigenerational households, etc? If those types of capital controls were imposed on Americans, all living hell would break loose. Every big box and grocery store would be emptied overnight. What are the firearm laws like in Greece? They shouldnt be too bad. I know theres IPSC so handguns should be easy enough. They've held some international competitions over there. There's been some protest here and there, but as you point out, cities havent been burned to the ground as some would expect, which goes to show that all the end of the world, golden horde BS is just that. FerFAL |
|
Quoted:
Thus far, I am impressed that the Greeks haven't started breaking shit yet. They seem to just be quietly beginning their suffering. Big cultural differences there could be in play - intact communities, multigenerational households, etc? If those types of capital controls were imposed on Americans, all living hell would break loose. Every big box and grocery store would be emptied overnight. What are the firearm laws like in Greece? View Quote Just give it a few days. I think many of the Greeks still believe their government is going to pull some miracle out of their hat and that everyone can just go back to living the Greek lifestyle. |
|
Quoted: Just give it a few days. I think many of the Greeks still believe their government is going to pull some miracle out of their hat and that everyone can just go back to living the Greek lifestyle. View Quote |
|
I am certain, Greece will go through what I went through in Yugoslavia. Civil unrest, economic collapse, then civil war.
Mark my words. |
|
|
Quoted:
I am certain, Greece will go through what I went through in Yugoslavia. Civil unrest, economic collapse, then civil war. Mark my words. View Quote Is Greece a forced amalgamation of different ethnicities and religions that hate each other but have been forced to live together under a now collapsing iron rule? |
|
Quoted:
Quoted:
I am certain, Greece will go through what I went through in Yugoslavia. Civil unrest, economic collapse, then civil war. Mark my words. Surely you have a thread on this? +1.... If you don't have a thread on it, I would love to hear about your experience in Yugoslavia. |
|
Quoted:
Is Greece a forced amalgamation of different ethnicities and religions that hate each other but have been forced to live together under a now collapsing iron rule? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
I am certain, Greece will go through what I went through in Yugoslavia. Civil unrest, economic collapse, then civil war. Mark my words. Is Greece a forced amalgamation of different ethnicities and religions that hate each other but have been forced to live together under a now collapsing iron rule? LOL. |
|
Sign up for the ARFCOM weekly newsletter and be entered to win a free ARFCOM membership. One new winner* is announced every week!
You will receive an email every Friday morning featuring the latest chatter from the hottest topics, breaking news surrounding legislation, as well as exclusive deals only available to ARFCOM email subscribers.
AR15.COM is the world's largest firearm community and is a gathering place for firearm enthusiasts of all types.
From hunters and military members, to competition shooters and general firearm enthusiasts, we welcome anyone who values and respects the way of the firearm.
Subscribe to our monthly Newsletter to receive firearm news, product discounts from your favorite Industry Partners, and more.
Copyright © 1996-2024 AR15.COM LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Any use of this content without express written consent is prohibited.
AR15.Com reserves the right to overwrite or replace any affiliate, commercial, or monetizable links, posted by users, with our own.