User Panel
Posted: 5/27/2015 2:05:30 PM EDT
The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond has again done the public service of toting up all the implied and explicit government guarantees backing the U.S. financial system.
Richmond Fed researchers find that as of the end of 2013 taxpayers were standing behind nearly $26 trillion of financial liabilities. The eye-watering sum represents 60% of the financial industry's $43 trillion in total liabilities. The Richmond Fed calls this measure of the federal safety net its “Bailout Barometer." Even more striking is that the amount has hardly changed since 2009, when the government was still employing allegedly temporary rescue programs. ... As recently as 1999, the first year for which the Richmond Fed calculated its Bailout Barometer, taxpayers stood behind less than 45% of financial liabilities. That's still way too high for a vibrant market that allows success and failure, but it's libertarian heaven compared to the Dodd-Frank era. It shows that relatively recently the economy was thriving with much less federal support and could do so again. ... status quo, Richmond Fed researchers count almost $15 trillion in explicitly guaranteed liabilities. More than $5 trillion comes from government mortgage monsters Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. More than $6 trillion comes from bank deposit accounts, which are covered up to $250,000 by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Taxpayers also stand behind nearly $3 trillion at the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation. Throw in an implied trillion at the government-sponsored Farm Credit System and Federal Home Loan Banks. ... Also included are the uninsured domestic deposits and short-term liabilities of all banks with more than $50 billion in assets, which Dodd-Frank considers systemically important. The Richmond researchers note that the law's resolution provisions for large banks “permit the FDIC to pay some creditors more than bankruptcy might allow" and that the FDIC's implementing rule “suggests that this treatment could apply to short-term creditors." Implied bank guarantees add up to more than $7 trillion. http://www.wsj.com/articles/25-887-000-000-000-1432562897 |
|
Phrases like "money bubble" have been floating around for a while now.
The next bubble... |
|
How do they back it if they had too? Either it's cut programs or increase taxes dramatically. The latter would be the only option politicians take, so to get back your money you have to pay increased taxes that take a huge bite out of it.
|
|
There is no real way the government can back it up, our world economic system is a giant Ponzi Scheme. That is why no country will EVER ask us to make good on our debt, the entire system is based on debt. Short of a global financial collapse nothing will change.
|
|
That's only about $145,000 for every man, woman and child in America ... and what the fuck do we have to show for it?
|
|
|
Quoted:
There is no real way the government can back it up, our world economic system is a giant Ponzi Scheme. That is why no country will EVER ask us to make good on our debt, the entire system is based on debt. Short of a global financial collapse nothing will change. View Quote yep. As screwed as we think we are, every other country is in a worse position. China will never call their debt and rasing taxes will only pay 0.01% of the liability and just encourage more gov spending. The only thing that will correct everything is a global collapse. Mad Max? Postman? Who knows, but none of the scenarios are good. |
|
The number has become meaninless and most of us know it. It can never be paid down and there will never be any serious attempts to do so. Also, that "guarantee" will only apply to friends/blackmailers of the administration in power. "Too big to fail" will become a major buzzword of the next 20 years.
|
|
|
This is the financial world's version of Mutually Assured Destruction. Take down the US economy and everyone else will go down with us.
|
|
|
Quoted:
That's only about $145,000 for every man, woman and child in America ... and what the fuck do we have to show for it? View Quote That's guaranteed liabilities, not really expenditures. I did an SBA loan earlier for a business at $50M, government is backing that at 50%, so $25M of that is "backed" by the government and included in these numbers. The government didn't pay anything out (yet) so you wouldn't expect to have anything to show for it. So while it might be a good measuring stick to gauge how policy decisions could be/are overburdening the government should a segment, or multiple, fall out, the figure in itself is almost meaningless. |
|
Quoted:
How do they back it if they had too? Either it's cut programs or increase taxes dramatically. The latter would be the only option politicians take, so to get back your money you have to pay increased taxes that take a huge bite out of it. View Quote The government would default, the dollar worthless, no money in the bank, everyone dies |
|
|
There are talks of the IMF being the new bailout mechanism, since they aren't as badly leveraged as the "Federal" Reserve is.
The biggest thing that gets overlooked in all of this is assets. People who have studied economics under really bad theories, who don't have a classical education, start talking about GDP to debt ratios, but don't put any assets on the balance sheet. There is no Nation on earth like the US when it comes to assets. |
|
Quoted:
This is the financial world's version of Mutually Assured Destruction. Take down the US economy and everyone else will go down with us. View Quote Also those loans are sold worldwide to banks and foreign governments. Credit risk is perceived very low,almost as low as U.S. treasuries in many cases, look at the spread of farm credit debt compared to treasuries. Similar risk higher yields, that debt and the others are sold worldwide. |
|
|
Quoted:
that's the entire GDP of the united states View Quote What the fuck does GDP actually mean anyway? I also doubt that is the total. Further, Uncle Sam only guarantees that he will take it out of the taxpayers asses, not that he will cover the debt. The only thing in this world more wicked than Islam is banking. Shit, even Islam forbids interest. |
|
Quoted:
There is no real way the government can back it up, our world economic system is a giant Ponzi Scheme. That is why no country will EVER ask us to make good on our debt, the entire system is based on debt. Short of a global financial collapse nothing will change. View Quote They will put peons in prison to keep the rest of us in line. Some poor dumb bastard that doesn't want to play the game will do the time, and we will all look on and tisktisktisk and then go back to paying inane taxes designed to keep value in fake fucking money. Frankly, Shirley Jackson describes a less ambiguous, though equally cruel, world. |
|
|
Quoted:
Quoted:
How do they back it if they had too? Either it's cut programs or increase taxes dramatically. The latter would be the only option politicians take, so to get back your money you have to pay increased taxes that take a huge bite out of it. Debt is backed by bullets. There is your answer. Motherfuckers don't take this shit seriously, but it will be corrected when the pendulum swings all the way to communist revolution and mass killing. |
|
Ron Paul has been right all along
He's a nutbag psycho, but he's right. |
|
Quoted:
Closer to 1.6 times the GDP. 2013 GDP was just under 17 trillion. We could spend every single dollar we make for the next year and a half and not quite pay off our debt. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
that's the entire GDP of the united states Closer to 1.6 times the GDP. 2013 GDP was just under 17 trillion. We could spend every single dollar we make for the next year and a half and not quite pay off our debt. How much money is in 401K's?? |
|
|
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
that's the entire GDP of the united states Closer to 1.6 times the GDP. 2013 GDP was just under 17 trillion. We could spend every single dollar we make for the next year and a half and not quite pay off our debt. How much money is in 401K's?? The thread has now gone ULTRA DERP! |
|
reduce all police spending now, make all investigations billable, repeal GCA and NFA, encourage bounty hunting
|
|
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
that's the entire GDP of the united states Closer to 1.6 times the GDP. 2013 GDP was just under 17 trillion. We could spend every single dollar we make for the next year and a half and not quite pay off our debt. How much money is in 401K's?? One man's 401K is another man's debt. |
|
Quoted:
Ron Paul has been right all along He's a nutbag psycho, but he's right. View Quote Every now and then the doomsayers are correct. It is impossible for us to pay off the debt and the whole system is one giant Ponzi scheme. Eventually it will all come crashing down because that's what history says about all currencies known to man. Only question is when. |
|
|
|
|
They will eventually cash out everyone's 401k's to solve the problem. Keep investing boys, some of us never made financial plans for the future and you will be expected to pay for our lack of foresight
|
|
Whats amusing is there is a bank advert at the bottom of this thread
|
|
|
|
Quoted:
The government would default, the dollar worthless, no money in the bank, everyone dies View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted:
How do they back it if they had too? Either it's cut programs or increase taxes dramatically. The latter would be the only option politicians take, so to get back your money you have to pay increased taxes that take a huge bite out of it. The government would default, the dollar worthless, no money in the bank, everyone dies Either that or exactly what happened during the Great Recession when the Fed printed a bunch of money, handed it to the banks, which in turn disappeared it into a giant black hole and magically fixed their balance sheets. |
|
You tin foilers have it on extra-tight for this 'doom and gloom' bullshit'.
Nothing will happen to you personally. All your hoarding and etc is fruitless. Live your life and die...nothing will happen in the next 500 years. It's a debt-based system and all thefear mongering is worth nothing. |
|
Am I in before the "I paid into Social Security for X years, I deserve to get the money back" crowd?
|
|
Quoted:
How do they back it if they had too? Either it's cut programs or increase taxes dramatically. The latter would be the only option politicians take, so to get back your money you have to pay increased taxes that take a huge bite out of it. View Quote FRNs are backed by the "full faith and credit of the United States". I've heard it said that means all the nation's assets - land, properties - anything of value both publicly and privately held assets. |
|
Sign up for the ARFCOM weekly newsletter and be entered to win a free ARFCOM membership. One new winner* is announced every week!
You will receive an email every Friday morning featuring the latest chatter from the hottest topics, breaking news surrounding legislation, as well as exclusive deals only available to ARFCOM email subscribers.
AR15.COM is the world's largest firearm community and is a gathering place for firearm enthusiasts of all types.
From hunters and military members, to competition shooters and general firearm enthusiasts, we welcome anyone who values and respects the way of the firearm.
Subscribe to our monthly Newsletter to receive firearm news, product discounts from your favorite Industry Partners, and more.
Copyright © 1996-2024 AR15.COM LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Any use of this content without express written consent is prohibited.
AR15.Com reserves the right to overwrite or replace any affiliate, commercial, or monetizable links, posted by users, with our own.