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Posted: 5/7/2006 1:28:33 PM EDT
There's a discussion going on over in the AK section of the forum that's got some VERY interesting discussion about Iraq. The thread originally started out on what kind of AK Zarqawi carries, but branched off into a different direction when Rayman1 provided some input (he's currently serving in Iraq) as to what's going on over there.
The orignal thread can be found here. I've copied and pasted Rayman1's post in sequential order below. It's long, but very much so worth the reading:
A couple people posted that they appreciated his input:
Then a few posters asked him to post some more info:
Posters asked about the politics behind the higher-ups in the military leadership:
A few comments from others about what a clusterfuck it is over there and this was posted:
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We should've gotten rid of al-Sadr and the Mehdi Army. If Saddam and his military couldn't stop us, those punks sure as heck can't.
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Ehh...
The IZ isnt that big. Its something like 4mi. square? All kinds of cool stuff there though.... The infamous Cross Sabres, Tomb of the Unknown Soldier, the Al Rasheed Hotel, etc.... |
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Amazing stuff. Thanks to you for bringing this to our attention, and thanks to Rayman1 for what he does and for posting it in the first place. |
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Very interesting information. I feel that I should say that all the ISF and some others I worked with were great and professional. They were a huge asset to us whenever we could get them for patrols.
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well, what happens when we bitch slap iran? these fucking people are a lost cause. they're so wrapped up in their bullshit religious beliefs that they don't realize that maybe, just maybe, the other side is comprised of PEOPLE too, and not the devil
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Great job, tRenzer. I had the exact same idea, but I don't know how to move sections of a thread like that (or make a link). I would encourage everyone to see our discussions in full at the original thread starting on page 2, if possible. There is some additional info to be found there as well. Rayman1 is explaining something to us that we all need to hear. It appears as though our friends and relatives may unwillingly be fighting for Iran's future in Iraq, and apparently that is no paranoid exaggeration. If this is not correct, someone please chime in and help us understand where we may be wrong. Does anyone out there know how we can shed some light on this, and back what we say without throwing Rayman1 under the bus? Is there any effective way whatsoever to do something from home? I know it may be impossible, but if not then... |
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Wow x 2
I had no idea it was that bad over there. I need to check the whole thread out. Thanks for the cross-post. |
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THe most messed up thing about it is that is true. Much the same way when we supported Iraq back in the 80s during the Iraq-Iran War; same way with the Muhjahadeen in A-Stan back on the 80s, when we supplied thwem with Stingers to fight the Soviets, only for them to attack us later.
Is a sickening spiral of lies and deception that makes you wonder why our guys are fighting and dying in a war where the enemy seems to be the people we are trying to liberate. It saddens me and angers me to hear this happening and our govt. doesn't do anything about it; to let it continue just to save face. I've served in the military for 13 years and it hurts me to read this. To know that men like my friend Bobby (KIA 8-1-04, Mosul) died for nothing. Why? |
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Fuckin' Hell.
Once again the politics are fucking over our mission. Have we learned NOTHING from Viet Nam? |
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I've had several guys who were in OIF-I tell me that during the invasion, if it moved it could be shot. When the major large unit combat was "over" the ROE changed drastically. Then the problems began. We had to be their "friends", and warm fuzzies for everyone. THAT SHIT HAS TO CHANGE!!! Political correctness will be our downfall both here at home as well as abroad. If we ran the "occupation" with much looser ROE we would inevitably be labeled as NAZI's or some other bullshit. Who fucking cares? When our guys are dying I don't give a shit what it takes or how other countries see it. We (and the other occupation powers) didn't play this shit in post-WWII Germany. If the things that took place then happened now---look out! The left and others would be wringing their hands in angst. But you know what? IT EVENTUALLY WORKED! The notion of "liberating" a population is all wrong. After WWII our take on it was "We kicked your ass as a nation, now it's gonna go our way. Want to resist? We'll crush you. When you come around to our way of seeing it, we'll slowly take the boot up off of your neck. Fuck up and back down it goes."
Obviously we are viewed as weak. That's our fault. A military deployed should maintain a war footing and mentality---NOT one of a friendly neighborhood cop. Any threats should be neutralized, and politics be damned. OUR GUYS COME FIRST!!! Mosques off-limits? Gimme a fucking break. War has no boundaries. This unbridled fear of doing anything to Iran is nonsense if done PROPERLY. Do it like we've done in Iraq and it's a self-imposed reality. If Iran's population (as Iraq's should be) is viewed as HOSTILE until proven otherwise, and the ROE reflect that, our guys will have a less difficult time of it. Notice I didn't say "easy" time of it, as war is never easy. But we CAN make it less difficult and sustain less casualties. We and PC are the only ones stopping ourselves. Let's face it folks: all this Mideast shit is smackdown for 9-11. Bush can talk about "liberation" and "spreading democracy" all he wants, but it's about payback on the Arab/Muslim world in general. And we aren't done yet either, nor should we be. Their pain must be great enough to make them at least hesistate before ever thinking of another 9-11. Iran has had one coming for about 27 years now. They're probably next. But it needs to be done right (I fear it won't). We don't have to have open warfare on civilians, although I use the term civilians loosely. But we DO need to recognize that the majority of those bastards over there in the sandbox region don't like us. However they must FEAR us. Notice I didn't say "respect" us. Respect is somewhat based in admiration. There is none of that so fear will work in lieu of respect. My friend is a retired SgtMaj from 5th SF Group and spent his days working the sandbox. He concurs (from experience) that the single-most thing that "they" understand is FORCE. Pure unadulterated force. So be it. If a population is hostile, and feeds/supports/hides the actual "enemy", then that population (or elements of it) is the enemy also and should be dealt with as such. To hell with what others think including our own Quisling 5th column here at home. Fuck 'em all. The maximum survival possible of our troops while accomplishing our payback is what matters most to me, not people's "feelings". Having said all of the above, I don't think we have the spine to do it. God bless all you troops who are doing an OUTSTANDING job while having your hands tied. You make us proud. |
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... Not an encouraging report for sure. Makes you wonder what the end-game will look like.
... Just hoping our military leadership are allowed to finish off the war in Iraqi so we can focus on Iran in the next decade. |
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That'll never happen because our senior political leadership lacks a fucking pair of balls. |
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All of the Iraqi Army units work directly for the US military. They ALL have advisors. Every mission comes directly from a US commander. The Police are NOT all Shia. They might be in Shia areas, but not in Anbar. In Anbar they are ALL Sunni. Many of whom are working with the Insurgency.
That is absolutely not the case in Anbar. EVERY ADVISOR LIVES WITH HIS UNIT. This is theater wide. Marine and Army Advisors ultimately work for II MEF, as do their Iraqi Units. The Iraqi Units conduct NO large scale independent operations. Not because they are not able, or are not trusted. They work WITH II MEF they are OPCON ansd TECON to II MEF. The Marines also have no "independent Battalions". If those units that he speaks of operate on their own, without advisors, it's because the local area commanders that just "pop into their compounds to check on them every so often" are not doing their jobs. WE lived with the Iraqis. If they were taking orders from Iran, then Iran's orders must be to cooperate with the Marines, fight hard and stamp out the Sunni Insurgency in Fallujah -because that is what they did. |
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And don't forget the Kurds. I stayed near a town called Khanaquin, by the Iranian border and travelled a little through the north, FOB Warrior, etc, and the Kurds keep their areas locked down pretty tight.
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Since we aren't going to invade Iran... doing so could be problematic. Airstrikes maybe... invasion... you better get the draft ready. Not going to happen. It's amazing how wrong our military and political leaders were. Here we thought with the Ivasion of Iraq and Afghanistan, we would have Iran surrounded on two sides (3 really counting the Persian Gulf). That it would put the Mullahs under incredible pressure and have them shaking in their turbans. In reality... all we did was oust one of Iran's greatest enemies (Saddam), create a Shiite client state for Iran (Iraq) and weaken our on position in the middle east by bogging ourselves down and draining available man power with which to threaten Iran. we couldn't have shot ourselves in the foot better if we had planned it! |
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What you're advocating is what we tried in Vietnam... collective punishment of the civilian population caught in the crossfire of the war. It did not work then... it will not work now. It won't drain the swamp of terrorists... it will only deepen it. Short of genocide... that tactic is a lost cause. You need to do a little reading on counter-insurgency 101. |
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The original post mentioned:
Maybe the higher ups are waiting for it to be 'reported', and action being demanded. It would put the media on the defensive and 'allow' the leadership to go on the offensive. Headline: "IRAN MUST BE STOPPED" Hears hoping it breaks sooner rather than later . |
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Since the Iraqi Shiite led govt. is an Iranian puppet... and supressing the Sunni Insurgency only helps to reinforce that puppet's hold on power, I can see Iran giving those orders. |
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Your premise is flawed. It is based on the FALSE assumption that Iraqi Shiites like Iran, and would follow Iranian orders. Many of our Iraqi Shia Soldiers expressed a desire to fight Iran (and Syria). |
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I am going with Cincinatus, maybe becuase we were in the same general area. Most everything from raymans post didnt fit with what I saw. Our Iraqi guys hated Iran, got blown up by IEDs all the time (the IEDs they were supposedly planting?), and were mixed sunni, shiite, and even a jew or 2. Also reporters dont go outside the green zone? We twice had reporters attached to us for major operations in Al Anbar, way far away from green zone. |
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It doesn't matter if they like Iran... they like us even less. Iran and the Iraqi govt. are allies in the same cause... solidifying the Iraqi govt.'s control on power, and getting us out of Iraq. Those in the Iraqi govt. have deep ties going back to Iran for the last 20 years. They might tell you they don't like them... what they say behind your back in smoke filled rooms with their Iranian intelligence buddies is what really matters. |
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Perhaps YOU should do a little counter-insurgency reading. I have. The Philippine Insurrection and the Malaya thing did not involve warm fuzzies and kumbayah's. Far from it. Downright nasty and brutal. But SUCCESSFUL! Vietnam? Other than an incoherant strategy, lack of will was the issue as it seems to be now. Genocide? If a given area turns against you, it must be eliminated. Period. Call it what you want. I have no qualms about it. If a free-for-all is ultimately what wins and saves as many of our guy's lives as possible then so be it. Genocide gives no option for the targeted---they're gonna be wiped out no matter what. Treating a population as hostile and as potential enemy until proven otherwise leaves the door open for cooperation ON OUR TERMS. |
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Were you there? Have you been to Iraq, and have you ever spoken with any of the Iraqi military, police, or government? I have to assume the answer is no. If you think "Iranian intelligence buddies" are waltzing about Anbar and into Firm Bases -you are high. Where do you get this stuff? |
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Great plan... once everyone is dead... we can just plant a USA flag and have a gas station in the middle of a giant sandbox as the 51st state. LOL. |
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From people you probably wouldn't considered qualified. Just friends in the uber-left leaning state department. Secondly, again you think because someone in the Iraqi military, govt., police tells you something, you can take it at face value. They have an agenda... and telling you what they really think... you think that is part of it??? If you take what these people are telling you as gospel... I have some beach front property to sell you.... |
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Quite frankly I don't give a shit if they're all dead or not. And we don't need a 51st state. I'm stating what should be obvious, and has been stated to me from guys who have been there (I haven't) about how we changed our ROE to play nicey-nicey. We see how successful that's been, huh? You seem like the doom and gloom type. WE'RE LOSING. OH MY GOD! WE GOTTA LEAVE NOW! So exactly what is your plan? |
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It's already a civil war. Pull out... let them duke it out. Crown the winner once on emerges... which will be the Shiites backed by Iran. Those are the people we are supporting now anyway according to Rayman1 and all accounts I hear. Let the Iraqi govt. and their shiite milita friends take the gloves off... and fight for their own damn country... and leave us out of it. We can then play nice with the winner. Similar to your plan... but it doesn't involve our troops fighting and dying. It's what's going to eventually happen anyway... its just happening right now in slow motion and costing us American lives. Fuck it... let them kill each other. They are killing each other right now. What good is it doing us being there??? The shiites could end it tomorrow if we would just leave and let them and their militias clean house. Once the dominate milita wins, they can then have some unless international organization try to negoiate a political sentiment under whereby they swear not to futher the minority groups a |
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Can I take it at face value when the Iraqi with the RPK next to me shoots up a bad guy, then later is himself killed? Can I take it at face value when they run over a mine and get blown up? Can I take it at face value when they find a bad guy and beat the shit out of him because they dont like insurgents messing up thier town? Can I take it at face value when an Iraqi shows me pictures of his kids and says he wants to protect them from the bad guys and thanks George Bush? Your right, they hate us.[>:/ All the Iraqis I did missions withs were great. I did not sense any hate, they thought some of the things we did were funny, we thought the things they did were funny, but no hate. I have nothing but good things to say about the Iraqi military, well except that they eat WAY too much!!! They stole all our MREs! |
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dunno... didna read the first posting in great detail, browsed it i guess. first impression is it doesnt pass the smell test. relentlessly drives towards a complete failure of everything and everybody in iraq. while i have a lot of reservations about what goes on over there. this post finds nothing but failure, hate and worthlessness in iraq where every living creature is at each others throat and ours, the reporters never leave never-land and iran controls everything sorta...
just seems to pessimistic to be true. in everything are are exceptions. things can be really bad and there are a few good folks (iraqis) to be found here and there. in this post none. nada.. zilich.. just too bad to be true... |
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Basically you heard it from a guy... Well, Cincinnatus IS the guy. Your "uber-left leaning state department" friends rode around in the backs of our armored Suburbans and got honey poured in their ears by imams and sheiks while Cincinnatus and his guys were training and going on hits with Iraqis. Who do you think has the better perspective on events? He wasn't told things, he saw and did things when he and his guys were kicking down doors and killing or PUC'ing bad guys. And "uber-left leaning state department" may have been an attempt at sarcasm in your eyes, but in the eyes of those of us who spent everyday for a while with FSOs over there, it's all too correct an assessment. |
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Nice personal story... and I'm sure many friendships were made with the men you served with. However, I am talking about politics and political maneuvering. What the Iraqi soldier does and thinks is totally different than what the Iraqi politician says and thinks. The Iraqi leaders know that one day we will leave... but that Iran will always be their neighbor. They are making back room deals and coming to mutual understandings. Hell... Iranian diplomats regularly meet with Al-Sistani... no american has ever met with him. Coincidence? I don't think so. We infidels think that because our interests are currently aligned with the Iraqi Shiites right now... that they are our friends. But in this world, and in politics, interests are not only seen in the short term. They must plan for the future as well... hence, their Shiite neighbor and patron.... Iran. |
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More two cents.
The perspectives of two different people from Baghdad and Ramadi can be pretty far off the mark and not necessarily contradictory. Shiites are more active in Baghdad than Al Anbar. From Globalsecurity.org: In the Iran Iraq war estimates of the Iraqi dead range from 160,000 to 240,000. Iraq suffered an estimated 375,000 casualties, the equivalent of 5.6 million for a population the size of the United States. CIA factbook syas the population of Iraq is 26,783,383 ------- Is Sadr pro-Iran? Yeah, I'd say so-highly likely. Are all the Shia in Iraq pro Iran? That's like saying all the French were pro German in 1919 because they are Christian. Way more complicated then that. Way too much bad blood. If you are a Shia and your son was killed or wounded by the Iranians 20 years ago, are you going to give your country up to Tehran? One in 71 Iraqis took a bullet from the Iranians. Crank that down to military age males, and I'd say one in 25. I'd bet a large chunk of change that there are Shia death squads that are pro Iran and they are in pretty good numbers but not to the degree Rayman1 says. PRobably just anti Saddam payback., you ask me. Pretty influential in Baghdad, maybe. Bet the house that if the US starts the withdrawal game the Sunni leaders will beg us to stay. And Iran is moving too fast and will play out long before the last GI leaves anyway, so if Sadr wants to step up we may get a second crack at him. Shoulda finished him in April of 04. My .02$ YMMV |
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I have enough "friends" in that community, and DoD and Intel. What you are saying doesn't square with anything I've heard from them, and from what I have personally witnessed in Iraq.
I lived with them. I operated with them. I faought with them. None of what you say about "Iranian Intelligence" agents or the IA taking orders from them jibes with reality. No one in the State Department would ever say those things. If they did, it would be because they were talking out their ass. |
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The guys on the ground do the fighting and dying... that is for sure. But its the politicians that will decide the future of Iraq... and who their allies are. No amount of kicking down doors will give you the perspective and incite of knowing what Iraqi politicians are truly thinking. Somehow, I think my state dept. friends, who actually meet with and converse with the Iraqi politicians daily, would have more incite into their view. Your opinion may differ. |
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You're talking out of your ass about stuff that you know nothing about, to people who were ther, and have direct knowledge of the situation.
You are assuming stuff that is not true. Most Iraqi Shia do NOT like or trust Iran. Those are the facts. |
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My opinion does differ, because I spent quite a lot of time with DoS FSOs in Iraq, and saw who they were meeting and talking to consistently for a good period of time. It was always someone with an agenda, not someone motivated to tell the truth, because the truth was ugly and wouldn't get money from the Americans. |
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You are talking about living and operating with Iraqi military units. They are not the ones making political decisions. They take orders which are relayed to them from their political leadership. How the hell would they know what the reasons behind those orders are. What you saw and heard from these soldiers makes little difference. You can chose to believe in your little rosy colored fantasy... maybe it helps you with your mission and staying alive. I can't fault you for that. We'll just have to wait and see who's actually right. Time will tell us all. However, we do not have a very good track record with post conflict environments turning out as we planned or hoped.... something to keep in mind. |
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Definitely.
You are full of shit.
20 years. Field Grade. Infantry and Intelligence. I am not myopic in terms of the political situation in Iraq. I might kick in doors now and then, but only because it brings me so much joy. It's a hobby.
I don't think you have "state dept. friends, who actually meet with and converse with the Iraqi politicians daily". I think that's bullshit. Your story stinks. I tell you what, I know most of the guys on the DSS teams in Baghdad, and a few State guys too. You IM me the name of this "person" who "actually meets with and converse with the Iraqi politicians daily", and I'll send you the name of the American who met with Sistani. I'll check your story out. |
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