9) Once on the Calendar, it must be debated. House debates are more formal than the Senate. So there is no real possibility of stalling the bill at this point.
10) It must be voted on and passed by a majority of the House.
11) If the bill has been changed it must be approved by the Senate.
12) Once both chambers approve it, it is sent to the President's Desk.
13) Bush may either Sign it, Veto it, or Shelf it.
If it is vetoed, it is back to the drawing board. If it is signed we are screwed royally. Shelving a bill is for all intensive purposes akin to signing it. It will become law, except Bush doesn't have to sign it.
Now, here is the real issue. In 1994, the original AW Ban passed by only 1 vote. Repeal attempts lead by Ghengrich in following years resulted in landslide votes to repeal in the House. The Senate did not follow the House's example and it wouldn't have mattered as Klinton would have vetoed any repeal.
But, in 1994 the Democrats overwhelmingly controlled the House. We now have control. We must mantain control to prevent any new bills from passing.
But, unlike some believe the current law cannot simply be extended. A new law must be passed to take its place. The current bill expires 9/14/2004 regardless.
But, here is an interesting question...since it is a new bill, wouldn't the pre-ban clause take effect based on the new date of enactment (?/?/2004). If so, then yess prices would drop since no matter what any current LEO restricted stuff would become Pre-Ban. I can see Manufacturers pumping out as many LEO Mags. as possible when a new ban is proposed. I do not see how they can make any Pre-Ban clause retroactive.
Unlike 922(p) (Plastic Gun Ban) which was extended 5 years in 1998, 922(v) and 922(w) do not contain the sunset in the text of the law where it can be amended out. It is a provision that will occur regardless.
Now, as for my predictions...we will likely see repush for something similar to the 1991 AW Ban Bill which failed miserably. That bill would have banned all Hi-Cap. Detachable Mag. guns. But, as happened in 1991 such a bill would be fruitless. So, there will be a likely push to simply pass one with text identical to the current bill. This is iffy. But, will likely not pass the house. There is another possibility, a different bill that would likely gain mroe support. I predict overt bans, such as requiring special lisences to sell AWs or restricting AWs like Handguns or worse. Almost defintiely we will see a provision to jack the age for AWs up to 21. Other provsisions might include federal waiting periods of 5, 7, 10, or 14 days. Perhaps, other overt restrictions such as the bill Ashcroft proposed when he was in the Senate (That man is no friend of the 2nd), incarcerating any parent who lets a kid even touch an AW.