6 possible scenarios for the first half of the 21st century

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[ARCHIVED THREAD] - 6 possible scenarios for the first half of the 21st century

Posted: 4/17/2006 2:20:12 PM EDT

Article on Brusselsjournal puts forward 6 possible scenarios for the first half of the 21st century.

1. Another Atlantic/Western century

The intra-Western, Atlantic ties between Europe and North America will still be the most important and defining global axis. This would require that Europe regains her old, cultural and religious dynamic and repels Islam. Just as Islam isn’t the cause of Europe’s current weakness, but rather a secondary infection, it could have the unforeseen and ironic effect of saving Europe from herself. By quite literally putting a dagger at Europe’s throat, the Islamic world will force Europeans to renew themselves or die. Europe will go through a turbulent period of painful, but necessary revival, and will arrive chastened on the other side. Although not impossible, this is probably not the most likely scenario at this point, given the economic and cultural weakness of Europe in particular. The West as a whole also makes up a declining proportion of the world’s population, and globalization makes it more difficult for the West to retain its technological superiority.

2. Another American century

The USA, more than Europe and Asia, will remain the world’s unchallenged superpower. The 21st century will be a continuation of the American Age that started in the 20th century. Europe may foster the strength to repel Islam, but not enough to renew herself, and will fade off the world stage. Alternatively, Islamic-controlled Eurabia emerges triumphant, or the entire continent becomes a nightmare of civil wars where neither side gains a decisive victory. In both cases, Europe will be a source of constant instability. The rise of the Asian economies will be derailed by internal political and cultural problems, or could trigger nationalistic rivalries and devastating intra-Asian wars similar to WW1 in Europe.

3. The Asian/Chinese century

The world will return to the Asia-centric system we had before the rise of Europe and the West. Multiculturalism and uncontrolled mass-immigration destroy the internal cohesion of the decadent West, which will slowly fall apart as it has lost the will to defend itself and the belief in its own culture. The wars in the Balkans in the 1990s will in hindsight be seen as a prelude to the Multicultural World War. Just as Imperialism caused WW1, Fascism WW2 and Communism the Cold War, Multiculturalism and Muslim immigration will drag the West into a war with the Islamic world. Instead of a Westernization of the Balkans, we get a Balkanization of the West. Will this be a world dominated by China, or by Asia as a whole, including India? Perhaps India and Southeast Asia will be bogged down by instability caused by Muslims. The Chinese will watch from the sidelines, quietly playing both sides against the middle as the West and the Islamic world destroy each other. In the end, China will reign supreme as the last man standing.

4. The Pacific century

The USA may remain the world’s leading power, but Europe fades off the global scene and leaves her spot open for Asia. Global affairs will be shaped by the twin pillars of the USA and Asia, mainly China, who will cooperate to contain Islamic extremism, a kind of Global Infidel Alliance. Europe will be the world’s largest open-air museum. The Louvre, the Eiffel Tower, Big Ben and Parliament in England as well as many other landmarks will have been lost during the Eurabian civil wars to expel Islam from Europe. They now exist only as plastic souvenirs that Europeans sell to American and Asian tourists to scrape out a living. These “authentic European souvenirs” will all be made in China, of course.

5. The Anglosphere - Indian century

I believe this is what has been predicted by writer Mark Steyn, among others. The USA and the UK, the major powers of the previous 3 centuries, will be at the centre of this one, too. But they will share the spot with India and some other countries such as Japan, “honorary members” of the Anglosphere. US President Bush has already adopted a policy designed to draw India closer to the United States in a strategic alliance. Perhaps this will be in the shape of a Democratic Union or Democratic Infidel Alliance, which may include parts of Free Europe depending upon the Islamic situation there. This alliance will be suspicious of authoritarian China, and will have hostile relations with the Islamic world.

6. The Global Civil War - Neo-Barbarism and Chaos

The darkest scenario of all. Islam manages to derail the West, both Europe and later North America. This disrupts global trade, and the ripples create unrest even in other parts of the world not directly involved in the fighting, including East Asia and Latin America. India will be drawn directly into the conflict with Islam, as will Russia and Israel. The chaos forces created by Islam and by global mass migration by hundreds of millions of people will erode state power virtually everywhere. Perhaps this trend will be reinforced by the appearance of a new, lethal virus, which will quickly spread to all regions of the world thanks to technological globalization. All of this will create a Global Civil War, the first of its kind in human history. It will disrupt civilization, be that Eastern or Western, for generations to come.

from here: www.brusselsjournal.com/node/988

Can someone write a seventh scenario, one that includes the possible disintegration of USA due to massive influx of illegal mexican immigrants?

Posted: 4/17/2006 2:21:40 PM EDT

[#1]

wont matter after 2012..

Posted: 4/17/2006 2:25:09 PM EDT

[#2]

my bet is #3.... the US will choke on its own apathy

Posted: 4/17/2006 2:25:46 PM EDT

[#3]

We clearly need to get rid of islam. Someone turn on the gaint microwave or something.

To many people do things in the name of Islam it pisses me off.

Im going to blow my self up in the name of islam. Praise Alah.

Posted: 4/17/2006 2:26:58 PM EDT

[#4]

Quoted:
We clearly need to get rid of islam. Someone turn on the gaint microwave or something.

To many people do things in the name of Islam it pisses me off.

Im going to blow my self up in the name of islam. Praise Alah.

i hope you're a man of your word

Posted: 4/17/2006 2:28:39 PM EDT

[#5]

tag

Posted: 4/17/2006 2:30:47 PM EDT

[#6]

Quoted:
wont matter after 2012..

What's it gonna be? Moon breaks in half? Comet? Ice Age? Rapture? Nuclear War?

Posted: 4/17/2006 2:53:05 PM EDT

[#7]

I'd say #3 also, but not until the late 21st century. Barring extraordinary circumstances, the late 21st will usher in Chinese prominance and the 22nd will be the Chinese century. Europe will succumb to the debilitating effects of liberalism and multiculturalism and join their new masters from the ME in a Dark Age of Islam.

La Republica del Norte (USA) will fair better than Europe but will become both more socialistic (ala Canada) and corrupt and third worldish (ala Mexico) as the lines blur between these three countries.

The Chinese will roam the globe devouring all in their path.

Of course it could all just end with an episode of MIRV but WTF do I know, I'm no soothsayer.

Posted: 4/17/2006 2:54:46 PM EDT

[#8]

Quoted:
Quoted:
wont matter after 2012..

What's it gonna be? Moon breaks in half? Comet? Ice Age? Rapture? Nuclear War?

they wouldna say....

Posted: 4/17/2006 3:12:16 PM EDT

[#9]

Well, whatever happens, I just hope someone lets the ICBMs fly and burns this pathetic little rock to a cinder pretty soon. I'm tired of this bullshit and ready to check out.

Posted: 4/17/2006 3:14:45 PM EDT

[#10]

Quoted:
Well, whatever happens, I just hope someone lets the ICBMs fly and burns this pathetic little rock to a cinder pretty soon. I'm tired of this bullshit and ready to check out.

Why not take the early flight? LOL

I have days like that too so don't feel bad.

Posted: 4/17/2006 3:19:49 PM EDT

[#11]

With the Iran course the way it's going, we're not going to be around too much longer. And by we, I mean humans in general. This is going to lead to a world nuclear war.