User Panel
Posted: 10/27/2021 8:27:29 PM EDT
[Last Edit: The_Beer_Slayer]
This is now the active "shit News links, thanks to BerettaGuy: Originally Posted By BerettaGuy: LINKS TO UKRAINIAN NEWS SOURCES IN ENGLISH Kyiv Post Ukrainian News UKRInform EUROMAIDEN PRESS New Voice of Ukraine Kyiv Independent Ukraine World InterFax Ukraine UATV Ukrainian Journal Official Website of the President of Ukraine Ukrainian Ministry of Defense Save these links. I can't post all the headlines like I've done in the past - too much news and too often. View Quote Please @ me with additional stuff to be added here. I don't currently have time to properly curate this thread otherwise. New news link c/o berettaguy: Ukrainian Pravda https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/ Stop fake, anti - disinformation site: https://www.stopfake.org/en/main/ |
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Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: That is fine, except for the fact that it doesn't address the "Mass" issue, the need for expanded capabilities, etc, and also doesn't do anything to break the Institutional issues. If you could "break the phalanx" of the PBBE and DOTML-PF bureaucracy, modify "up-or-out" promotion policies, and reduce the # of billets requiring GO/FOs and/or GS equivalents, you could fund most of the shortfalls for personnel. Among the services, they are all "rank-heavy" with the Air Force being in the worst shape (though they are all desperately in need of a "senior structure diet"). Also, we need to break the stovepipes between capabilities, similar to the partial functional merger of the Field Artillery, ADA, and to sone extent, the Army Aviation Branch in the early 2010's, which greatly speeded up the delivery of ALL fires functions and created a world where an Infantry Company Commander, if he has a sharp FSO whose done the proper coordination, can get information relayed up to Theater-Level HIMAD ADA and Fires assets and receive information in return, or that Battalion and Brigade commanders can monitor in real time the Ground, Air, and Artillery fight simultaneously. My take is that we need to rapidly expand our reserve components (especially National Guard, as these seem to be better supported than Federal Reserve forces and are much harder to cut) even at some expense to the AC force and work on the Active Component to develop and implement the "cutting edge" tech fieldings and serve as the "Tip of the Spear"; which means that ROTC and OCS will still be necessary (and may even need to expand, as improving "Mass" means you'll need More junior/Company Grade officers out doing Company Grade officer things, either on a part-time or full-time basis) . I am OK with the Academies as four-year institutions, but I would add a "qualifying service requirement" of Military Service of some form Prior to application. For direct Congressional Appointees, the process can go as it currently is, but once accepted, you have to serve a certain time as an enlisted before you actually enroll at West Point. This will keep standards high but deter the folks merely applying to get the degree then do the minimum. Going Forward, a lot will need to change. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Originally Posted By Ryan_Scott: Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Originally Posted By HIPPO: Interesting lessons learned article: Lessons From Ukraine Many Don’t Want to Hear Click To View Spoiler Lessons From Ukraine Many Don’t Want to Hear Link to sauceU.S. Soldiers, assigned to 11th Armored Cavalry Regiment, train with the Integrated Visual Augmentation System and the Enhanced Night Vision Goggles during Project Convergence 2022 (PC22) at Fort Irwin, Calif., Nov. 7, 2022. PC22 brings together members of the All-Service and Multinational force to rigorously test the effectiveness and interoperability of cutting-edge weapons and battle systems. (U.S. Army photo by SGT Thiem Huynh) There is no shortage of commentary on the lessons to be learned from the war in Ukraine. There is an understandable debate unfolding given the tremendous amount of sacrifice, human loss, and suffering. The stakes are high and learning needs to occur. War is, and has always been, the best teacher. It has been nothing short of incredible what David has been doing to Goliath on the Steppes of Ukraine. There are indeed valuable lessons to learn from all sides. Yet, for Western militaries, it is more about the lessons they may not want to hear that will prove to be the most valuable in deterring, preparing, and if necessary, fighting the next war. Much of the West has over invested in other domains (e.g., maritime, air) and niche capabilities, at the expense of combat power on land. The war in Ukraine has validated the need for decisive land combat power to win large-scale wars. These types of wars are far from extinction and finding the right balance of capabilities to wage war in appropriate fashion, remains a fundamental security challenge for Western nations. Historically, military organizations have been known to cling to capabilities long past their ability to offer decisive returns. Put simply, there is a continual sin to fight the way one might wish rather than the way one should, and equally important, one might not know exactly where they might have to fight and in which domains. Conversely, there are continuities in war that do not change, and therefore, an alignment of military concepts and associated capabilities in a dynamic environment remains key. Ukraine is a harbinger of future warfare, and the world is paying close attention. In the face of adversity came extraordinary innovation. The following five lessons bear consideration for changes that need to occur today, not tomorrow, to create advantage in future war. 1. Mass Matters. Attrition warfare is not dead. This mode of warfare emerges when neither side can achieve a clear asymmetric advantage. Standing armies are the only instrument nations can use to prevent, deter, and fight invading aggressors. Mass is required in a war of attrition. Funding and maintaining land power may seem like an expensive insurance policy but doing the opposite is to risk state collapse. Wars can only be won on the ground where nations exist, and people live. Land power is an indispensable capability, even in the Pacific. A lack of appreciation for emerging threats over time has eroded land capabilities in the West. Power withers when it proves frail, and a perceived weakness invites aggression. Key capabilities such as armor, artillery, and engineers cannot be replaced by cyber, space, or any other information-related capabilities. The Ukraine conflict proved they were less decisive than expected. 2. Maritime Operations Are Vulnerable. Expensive naval forces are threatened by inexpensive weaponry. Ukrainian attacks have minimized the impact of the Russian Black Sea fleet and little by little the Russian Navy drifted further back toward the mainland. Naval experts proclaim this is “an unmistakable warning — that today’s run-of-the-mill missiles and commercial data systems can knock even the world’s top warships out of a fight.” China seeks this competitive advantage in the Pacific with “carrier killer” missiles. 3. Deep Attacks by Themselves Are Ineffective. There is a desire to employ rotary attack aircraft – and to some extent, fixed-wing aircraft - deep behind enemy lines for strategic effect. This tactic is practiced routinely in exercises, but it has been proven futile in past wars. In Ukraine, soldiers operating short range anti-aircraft defensive equipment and using small arms fire, have been taking out multi-million-dollar aircraft. Control of the air remains contested and this will be a continual feature of future conflict. Neither side was able to use aviation in a game-changing role. Russian attack regiments had to change their tactics and use aircraft in a combat support role. Likewise, the Ukrainians had to do the same to preserve combat power and support ground maneuver forces. Rather than pursuing deep attacks, the West would benefit more from the development of counter-unmanned aerial systems (UAS) tactics and technologies. Additionally, decades of experience from combat and modern gaming finds “the output of an entire joint force is amplified when synergistic integration across components increases.” Joint capabilities must work together, and in an allied context, strategic lethality can be achieved with the improved integration and interoperability of battle networks. 4. Airborne and Amphibious Warfare Has Been Minimized. These modes of warfare have their place in specialized units but the conduct of these methods at a large-scale, using thousands of soldiers and marines, is resource intensive, high risk, and perhaps even anachronistic. The Russian’s hesitance to execute an amphibious operation is for good reason. The potential gain from such operations is not worth the cost. This painful lesson was learned by Russia’s elite airborne forces, the VDV, at Hostomel airport last year. Their forces were decimated. It might not be time to write an obituary for these types of operations but their use on a large-scale in peer warfighting is limited with contested air space and ubiquitous stand-off weaponry. It might be worth Western nations evaluating their efficacy and determining whether it is time to repurpose these types of units for a role that has increased survivability and lethality. This leads to the next lesson. 5. Artificial Intelligence Has Arrived. It has been said that advanced algorithmic warfare systems equate to having a nuclear weapon. Ukrainian forces have compressed their “kill chains,” and used software engineers on the frontlines to calibrate algorithms for devastating effect. A.I. is not tomorrow’s problem. This enabling technology is being used today and will be more and more prevalent tomorrow. Western nations will need to induce a greater rate of digital transformation to make use of their data and build battle-winning algorithms. U.S. Army Futures Command is forward thinking in this space. The commander, General Rainey, proposes “formation-based lethality.” The future is about integration. In a past RCD article on Project Convergence, we proposed this could be accelerated through the use of experimental units. The Army could profit from emulating past examples like the 11th Air Assault Division (Test) which gave birth to air assault operations. Could a present day experimental unit do the same with manned and unmanned systems teaming, leveraging A.I.? And by possibly adding software engineers to unit formations, could this spark greater collaboration, integration, and testing of concepts? These are the questions to ponder when examining lessons from Ukraine. Conclusion The West can ignore these lessons at their own peril or use them to transform existing capabilities into future war-winning advantages. The danger of dominant military organizations is that, short of lessons learned in the unforgiving crucible of combat, they tend to fall back on comfortable assumptions and ignore any signals of change that contradict their most-cherished strategic beliefs. We can do worse than to listen and learn from the incredible innovation happening in the Ukraine. Matthew Van Wagenen is a major general in the U.S. Army currently serving as the Deputy Chief of Staff for Operations (DCOS OPS) in the NATO Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe (SHAPE). Arnel P. David is a colonel in the U.S. Army completing a PhD at King’s College London. He is the cofounder of Fight Club International. The views and opinions expressed are those of the authors and do not reflect any entity or organization of the U.S. Government or NATO. They're not wrong. I would add that a few quibbles (such as it tends to minimize Airborne's capability to rapidly reinforce isolated formations, which is something that Airborne is really good at but the the US seldom trains for) which can rapidly increase "mass" of ground forces provided you can achieve local air superiority. Short version of the change I think the Army has to make to survive the coming budget crunch and be ready: cut from 11 Abn battalions to 5, which would all be Rangers. Invest massively in new equipment that reduces crew requirements—autoloading tanks, SPHs and self propelled mortars. Slash the institutional Army by abandoning the idea that we will ever have a draft, move forces to a strategic and operational reserve and use a smaller active Army (but provide staff officers and higher level commanders for the reserve force from active). It would be a less ready Army but once mobilized, more powerful than we have today and at a substantially reduced cost. One of the more controversial ideas I have for reducing the institutional Army is to end ROTC. I hate the thought of ending the civil-military connection but I would largely make up for it by turning West Point into Sandhurst. Officer candidates would complete civilian education, apply to OCS, be selected, then go for 12 months at West Point. All line officers active and reserve would. That is fine, except for the fact that it doesn't address the "Mass" issue, the need for expanded capabilities, etc, and also doesn't do anything to break the Institutional issues. If you could "break the phalanx" of the PBBE and DOTML-PF bureaucracy, modify "up-or-out" promotion policies, and reduce the # of billets requiring GO/FOs and/or GS equivalents, you could fund most of the shortfalls for personnel. Among the services, they are all "rank-heavy" with the Air Force being in the worst shape (though they are all desperately in need of a "senior structure diet"). Also, we need to break the stovepipes between capabilities, similar to the partial functional merger of the Field Artillery, ADA, and to sone extent, the Army Aviation Branch in the early 2010's, which greatly speeded up the delivery of ALL fires functions and created a world where an Infantry Company Commander, if he has a sharp FSO whose done the proper coordination, can get information relayed up to Theater-Level HIMAD ADA and Fires assets and receive information in return, or that Battalion and Brigade commanders can monitor in real time the Ground, Air, and Artillery fight simultaneously. My take is that we need to rapidly expand our reserve components (especially National Guard, as these seem to be better supported than Federal Reserve forces and are much harder to cut) even at some expense to the AC force and work on the Active Component to develop and implement the "cutting edge" tech fieldings and serve as the "Tip of the Spear"; which means that ROTC and OCS will still be necessary (and may even need to expand, as improving "Mass" means you'll need More junior/Company Grade officers out doing Company Grade officer things, either on a part-time or full-time basis) . I am OK with the Academies as four-year institutions, but I would add a "qualifying service requirement" of Military Service of some form Prior to application. For direct Congressional Appointees, the process can go as it currently is, but once accepted, you have to serve a certain time as an enlisted before you actually enroll at West Point. This will keep standards high but deter the folks merely applying to get the degree then do the minimum. Going Forward, a lot will need to change. We need Sylvan in here. The service academies are not military institutions anymore, they're social institutions. Spenser Rappone ring a bell? He didn't get through alone in some stealthy way. There were undoubtedly faculty who knew his leanings. There are certainly "social justice" forces working in the service academies. I'm all for military reform to improve effectiveness and cost effectiveness. But academy reform needs to happen too. |
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Not sure if this has been posted. Quality video. |
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Originally Posted By 4xGM300m: I'm wondering when the first terror attack with drones will happen. These fuckers are taking notes. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By 4xGM300m: Originally Posted By lorazepam: Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Because it is inconvenient. From a "guns/butter" perspective, no one writing, approving, or executing the budgetary process wants to hear the truth, that in the drone vs manned aircraft vs air defense argument, the answer to "which capability we need to prioritize" is "All of the above", or that much of the new capabilities we are seeing do not "replace" or supersede existing capabilities but instead create an entirely new dimension of the battlefield that needs to be addressed. War is expensive and is going to get a whole lot pricier! I look forward to the day that we create a bird sized drone that can travel 200km with a dragon fly sized drone payload. Takes it to a destination and drops it off. It would leave the area and self destruct. The payload can "hibernate" and wake up via satellite up to 3 months, and be used to take out a single target at say, a public event. That could cause some panic. I'm wondering when the first terror attack with drones will happen. These fuckers are taking notes. I’m wondering when Skynet becomes self-aware. |
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Originally Posted By Capta: I’m wondering when Skynet becomes self-aware. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Capta: Originally Posted By 4xGM300m: Originally Posted By lorazepam: Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Because it is inconvenient. From a "guns/butter" perspective, no one writing, approving, or executing the budgetary process wants to hear the truth, that in the drone vs manned aircraft vs air defense argument, the answer to "which capability we need to prioritize" is "All of the above", or that much of the new capabilities we are seeing do not "replace" or supersede existing capabilities but instead create an entirely new dimension of the battlefield that needs to be addressed. War is expensive and is going to get a whole lot pricier! I look forward to the day that we create a bird sized drone that can travel 200km with a dragon fly sized drone payload. Takes it to a destination and drops it off. It would leave the area and self destruct. The payload can "hibernate" and wake up via satellite up to 3 months, and be used to take out a single target at say, a public event. That could cause some panic. I'm wondering when the first terror attack with drones will happen. These fuckers are taking notes. I’m wondering when Skynet becomes self-aware. https://www.syfy.com/syfy-wire/first-military-ai-controlled-flight-ever https://arstechnica.com/cars/2023/02/the-us-air-force-successfully-tested-this-ai-controlled-jet-fighter/ |
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It's not stupid, it's advanced!!
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Originally Posted By 4xGM300m: https://i.imgur.com/QLvevAp.jpg https://i.imgur.com/zdcZ3vG.jpg Crowdfunding AFVs... crazy times. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By 4xGM300m: https://i.imgur.com/QLvevAp.jpg https://i.imgur.com/zdcZ3vG.jpg The first 24 out of 101 armored vehicles crowdfunded by Serhiy Prytula Foundation for the Ukrainian army were delivered, they were previously in service with the British army and are made up of a 8 models, Spartan, Samaritan, Sultan, Stormer, Shielder, Samson, FV 434, and FV 432 Crowdfunding AFVs... crazy times. It’s not too far off from war bonds. |
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View Quote I know that the MTLB can do almost anything, but does this combat footage look a little suspect to anyone else? |
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Originally Posted By 4xGM300m: https://i.imgur.com/QLvevAp.jpg https://i.imgur.com/zdcZ3vG.jpg Crowdfunding AFVs... crazy times. View Quote |
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Originally Posted By GTLandser: I know that the MTLB can do almost anything, but does this combat footage look a little suspect to anyone else? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By GTLandser: I know that the MTLB can do almost anything, but does this combat footage look a little suspect to anyone else? Some people think everything is fake. |
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Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: It was funny at the beginning, but I seriously lost it at the 1:30 mark and after. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Originally Posted By SoCalExile: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fq4YKvxXoAEFsAP?format=jpg&name=small https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fq4YL6fXgAA44_A?format=jpg&name=large https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nAGWCitiwtI It was funny at the beginning, but I seriously lost it at the 1:30 mark and after. |
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Originally Posted By Prime:
Part two. Oops https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/203719/EE1D6426-CB45-4B72-9F2F-E21F43E2DB62-2741997.jpg View Quote Of course we don’t have full context but I always find it interesting to see dudes under fire (at relatively short range) who seem to have no idea where it’s coming from. I can see long range fire, suppressed, but I guess I thought it would be relatively easy to tell in most circumstances. Never been there myself. |
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Originally Posted By m35ben: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/390973/FB_IMG_1670500150422-1-2742276.jpg I want a 179mm Glock View Quote Hand cannon! |
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Originally Posted By 4xGM300m: I'm wondering when the first terror attack with drones will happen. These fuckers are taking notes. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By 4xGM300m: Originally Posted By lorazepam: Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Because it is inconvenient. From a "guns/butter" perspective, no one writing, approving, or executing the budgetary process wants to hear the truth, that in the drone vs manned aircraft vs air defense argument, the answer to "which capability we need to prioritize" is "All of the above", or that much of the new capabilities we are seeing do not "replace" or supersede existing capabilities but instead create an entirely new dimension of the battlefield that needs to be addressed. War is expensive and is going to get a whole lot pricier! I look forward to the day that we create a bird sized drone that can travel 200km with a dragon fly sized drone payload. Takes it to a destination and drops it off. It would leave the area and self destruct. The payload can "hibernate" and wake up via satellite up to 3 months, and be used to take out a single target at say, a public event. That could cause some panic. I'm wondering when the first terror attack with drones will happen. These fuckers are taking notes. I don't really think they make much sense for terrorists, unless they need to escape after. Or if they are targeting a high value, protected individual. The 'throw weight' for a drone is just so much less then that of a disposable durka-durka with a backpack or S-vest or truck of peace. |
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Predator
Well, of course not M4A1🇺🇸 But not bad either P.S. welcome to hell🦅🇺🇦 https://t.me/lost_generation_21/118 |
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“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
Baldassare Castiglione |
Originally Posted By HIPPO:
Nice View Quote Nice. Maybe keep that quiet though. |
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Originally Posted By Prime: Predator Well, of course not M4A1🇺🇸 But not bad either P.S. welcome to hell🦅🇺🇦 https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/203719/0617F343-F5A2-4345-B4FA-3F63DA28A50A-2742361.jpg https://t.me/lost_generation_21/118 View Quote That thing is barely even fit to kill commies. He needs some rattle-cans before that ugly paint job gets him killed. |
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Originally Posted By thehun06: So much LOL ... while Ukies are getting Abrams and Leopards ... these idiots are stepping back in time ... View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By thehun06: Originally Posted By HIPPO:
T-62s, upgrayyed So much LOL ... while Ukies are getting Abrams and Leopards ... these idiots are stepping back in time ... To be fair Leopard 1s are about the same. But it’s interesting to note that they’re having to go with a T62 rebuild instead of T72s. I guess that could mean that everything salvageable from their reserve T72s has already been taken and what’s left is just scrap. |
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Originally Posted By Capta: To be fair Leopard 1s are about the same. But it's interesting to note that they're having to go with a T62 rebuild instead of T72s. I guess that could mean that everything salvageable from their reserve T72s has already been taken and what's left is just scrap. View Quote |
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Originally Posted By HIPPO: Post 9,000 for me. A theory on how UA will break ruZZia’s back in the south. Long thread but with the 5-10 minutes it will take to read.
Click To View Spoiler All this doom mongering about how "difficult" it will be for Ukraine to breach the russian trenches in the South... people need to man up and do some military service before running their mouths like that. A thread about offensive operations 🧵: 1/36 Image Yes, breaching a defensive line with an anti-tank ditch out front, a minefield, deep trenches filled with machine guns and ATGM teams is difficult... IF you don't have the right tools. A trench line is barely an inconvienance for NATO, because of this ⬇️⬇️ 2/n Ukraine doesn't have air supremacy, but Ukraine is receiving other tools. Like i.e. JDAM ER bombs to plough through those russian trenches. Here a Taliban compound is flattened by GBU-32 JDAMs (1,000 lb Mk 83 bombs). Ukraine won't be able to use the JDAM ERs at their max. 3/n range of 70+ km. JDAM ER are Mk 80 series bombs with added INS/GPS guidance kit (the Joint Direct Attack Munition part) & glide wings (the Extended Range part). JDAM ER come in 500 lb (GBU-38/ Mk 82) and 2,000 lb (GBU-31/ Mk 84). But Ukrainian fighter jets can't release them 4/n Image Especially if Ukraine saturates that front sector with volleys of AGM-88 HARM missiles and GMLRS rockets to annihilate russian air defense systems. And two Patriot batteries with PAC-2 GEM+ missiles (range 160+ km) will keep russian fighters away from a Ukrainian offensive. 6/n Image Ukraine only has to pierce the russian line in a few points in a 3 km front sector for an offensive. First and foremost: intensive/detailed reconnaissance!!!!! • Where do the russians sleep/rest? • Where are their minefields? • Which road will russian reinforcements take? 7/n Image Chose a front sector that has open terrain (no rivers, no forests) behind it & reconnoiter that sector INTENSIVELY. Then recon some more. And then recon MORE. Ready? 1) Shell the front sector with every available artillery piece; drive the russian troops into their dugouts. 8/n Image 2) Hit all dugouts with JDAM ER & GMLRS. Smash all russian troop shelters. Annihilate everything in that front sector. 3) Excalibur all russian armored vehicles in that front sector. In the image below every dugout behind the trench should get hit by a JDAM or GMLRS. 9/n Image 4) GMLRS and GLSDB every russian base in the entire South. Smite everywhere russians have based reinforcements. Keep them busy & fixed there. 5) Have 100s of drones up in the air. Yes, Ukraine will lose a lot of them, but it is imperative to spot russian reinforcements 10/n Image These mines can be set to self-destruct after 3 or 6 hours (AT2) and 4 hours (RAAM) = enough time to breach the russian line. 6) After the russian trenches have been ploughed through, send your Leopard 2A6s, CV90s, Bradleys, Leopard 2A4, Marder, Challenger 2, etc. forward. 12/n Image But have them stop before the minefields (!!), which you hopefully did reconnoiter EXTENSIVELY beforehand. Every vehicle has to keep an eye out for russian survivors - use the tank's 120mm guns and IFV's autocannons to make sure the russians can't set up ATGMs. 13/n Image 7) Time to clear the mines: the US sent enough Mine Clearing Line Charge (MICLIC) to Ukraine to clear a path from New York to Philadelphia. MICLICs are fired by a rocket into a minefield and then detonated to destroy/set off the mines. Afterwards a armored engineer vehicle 14/n Image with a mine plough clears a path through the blasted area to ensure no mines remains. Here a US Army M1150 Assault Breacher Vehicle fires a MICLIC, detonates it, then ploughs through the scorched earth. MICLIC's are ~107m long (350 feet) and contain about 1,800 lb of C-4. 15/n 8) When you reach the anti-tank ditch - fill it in. Germany and Italy are sending Dachs armored engineer vehicles to do that. 9) Once combat engineers have cleared paths through the russian fortifications - the offensive truly gets underway: tanks, IFVs, APCs, all move 17/n Image through the breach & advance into the enemy's rear. 10) In parallel infantry moves up to clear the trench line in the breach sector of any remaining russians. Ideally 8-10 paths have been cleared in a 3 km wide sector of the front & Ukrainian columns now pour through them. 18/n Image It's time to throw the russians in disarray like during the Kharkiv offensive. The more columns and the faster they move reduces the russians' ability to counterattack. And again: drones, drones, drones. Send them all in! Look for the russians, find them, hit them. 19/n Image arriving in a place, where you're supposed to set up a defensive position. And use all your Excalibur rounds with the Swedish Archers! Archers set Excalibur fuzes automatically in 0.2 seconds and can fire them 10 km further than M777 and M109A6. And Archer has the highest 21/n Image rate of fire. While tanks and IFVs, AMX-10 RC, and other armored fighting vehicles seek out enemy formations and destroy them, have infantry in Strykers and MRAPs follow to secure the rear, eliminate russian stragglers, handle POWs, and secure the supply lines. 22/n Image And bring in those supplies ASAP! You want to win? You have to fuel your armor! A steady stream of supplies, secured by a lot of Ukrainian troops in the rear are essential (!) to keep the offensive going. If your rear isn't secured... your troops are gonna get bogged down 23/n Image without supplies like the russians a year ago around Kyiv. And where should Ukraine attack? Thanks to @bradyafr's excellent work, we know where the russians expect Ukraine to attack. He mapped all russian fortifications (in red). Ukraine's main objectives in the South are: 24/n Image Melitopol and Mariupol. Secondary objectives are the Perekop Isthmus to cut off a russian retreat to Crimea and a pincer into the rear of Donetsk (purple Pentagons). So how would I attack? Depends on the available forces... with nine mechanized brigades, three artillery 25/n brigades, two engineer brigades & follow on forces to secure the rear, I would attack, break through & pursue three directions: 1) South to Mariupol 2) West to Bilmak in the rear of the russian front to panic the russian troops there 3) East to Amvrosiivka to make holding 26/n Image Donetsk city impossible for the russians. Once these objectives are secured I would pursue limited attacks in the East to secure the border with russia and encircle Donetsk from three sides, while throwing most forces into a push towards Berdyansk & Tokmak. 27/n Image From the Berdyansk spit GLSDB can reach and destroy the Kerch bridge, while once Tokmak is reached all those "difficult to take" russian trench lines are cut off and the russian troops will panic and abandon them. Last but not least a push to liberate Melitopol. 28/n Image This offensive would remain under the cover of Patriot (blue) and GLSDB (green), with GMLRS (orange), Archer (purple) and other artillery moving with the attacking units to provide fire support. And russian positions that don't surrender would be JDAMed out of existence. 29/n Alas I believe for this operation Ukraine doesn't have the needed materiel... which is the fault of the West, what still provides only limited support. If we want Ukraine to win, then more of everything is needed. The more we give them, the sooner this war will be over and 31/n the fewer people will die. So a 1,000 JDAM ER please! Another 10,000 Excalibur rounds please. 500,000 155mm shells ASAP please. And send more COBRA and MAMBA artillery radars! While waiting for the engineering units to breach the russian frontline Ukrainian forces are at 32/n Image Less than two months remain to provide Ukraine with the tools needed to breach the russian lines, liberate the South, and decisively defeat fascist russia - and provide the tools in ENOUGH numbers. I.e. the US realized that the Biber armored bridge layers donated by Germany 34/n Image can't support Leopard 2 tanks, so the US sends M60 Armored Vehicle Launched Bridges. Great! But send 50+. If Ukraine receives too few it will slow down the offensive and allow the russians to regroup. That applies to everything: from fuel to ammo to food to drones etc. etc. 35/n Image And Ukraine must win! All else will lead to disaster. So send everything from everyone all at once! Lend/Lease it if you must. But don't hesitate. Too much of everything secures victory! 36/end Image • • • Unrolled thread https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ View Quote This kind of stuff alone should depress the hell out of Russians up and down the line. A huge chunk of the competent and effective world is against them doing this kind of work pro bono.
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Originally Posted By Lieh-tzu: We need Sylvan in here. The service academies are not military institutions anymore, they're social institutions. Spenser Rappone ring a bell? He didn't get through alone in some stealthy way. There were undoubtedly faculty who knew his leanings. There are certainly "social justice" forces working in the service academies. I'm all for military reform to improve effectiveness and cost effectiveness. But academy reform needs to happen too. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Lieh-tzu: Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Originally Posted By Ryan_Scott: Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Originally Posted By HIPPO: Interesting lessons learned article: Lessons From Ukraine Many Don’t Want to Hear Click To View Spoiler Lessons From Ukraine Many Don’t Want to Hear Link to sauceU.S. Soldiers, assigned to 11th Armored Cavalry Regiment, train with the Integrated Visual Augmentation System and the Enhanced Night Vision Goggles during Project Convergence 2022 (PC22) at Fort Irwin, Calif., Nov. 7, 2022. PC22 brings together members of the All-Service and Multinational force to rigorously test the effectiveness and interoperability of cutting-edge weapons and battle systems. (U.S. Army photo by SGT Thiem Huynh) There is no shortage of commentary on the lessons to be learned from the war in Ukraine. There is an understandable debate unfolding given the tremendous amount of sacrifice, human loss, and suffering. The stakes are high and learning needs to occur. War is, and has always been, the best teacher. It has been nothing short of incredible what David has been doing to Goliath on the Steppes of Ukraine. There are indeed valuable lessons to learn from all sides. Yet, for Western militaries, it is more about the lessons they may not want to hear that will prove to be the most valuable in deterring, preparing, and if necessary, fighting the next war. Much of the West has over invested in other domains (e.g., maritime, air) and niche capabilities, at the expense of combat power on land. The war in Ukraine has validated the need for decisive land combat power to win large-scale wars. These types of wars are far from extinction and finding the right balance of capabilities to wage war in appropriate fashion, remains a fundamental security challenge for Western nations. Historically, military organizations have been known to cling to capabilities long past their ability to offer decisive returns. Put simply, there is a continual sin to fight the way one might wish rather than the way one should, and equally important, one might not know exactly where they might have to fight and in which domains. Conversely, there are continuities in war that do not change, and therefore, an alignment of military concepts and associated capabilities in a dynamic environment remains key. Ukraine is a harbinger of future warfare, and the world is paying close attention. In the face of adversity came extraordinary innovation. The following five lessons bear consideration for changes that need to occur today, not tomorrow, to create advantage in future war. 1. Mass Matters. Attrition warfare is not dead. This mode of warfare emerges when neither side can achieve a clear asymmetric advantage. Standing armies are the only instrument nations can use to prevent, deter, and fight invading aggressors. Mass is required in a war of attrition. Funding and maintaining land power may seem like an expensive insurance policy but doing the opposite is to risk state collapse. Wars can only be won on the ground where nations exist, and people live. Land power is an indispensable capability, even in the Pacific. A lack of appreciation for emerging threats over time has eroded land capabilities in the West. Power withers when it proves frail, and a perceived weakness invites aggression. Key capabilities such as armor, artillery, and engineers cannot be replaced by cyber, space, or any other information-related capabilities. The Ukraine conflict proved they were less decisive than expected. 2. Maritime Operations Are Vulnerable. Expensive naval forces are threatened by inexpensive weaponry. Ukrainian attacks have minimized the impact of the Russian Black Sea fleet and little by little the Russian Navy drifted further back toward the mainland. Naval experts proclaim this is “an unmistakable warning — that today’s run-of-the-mill missiles and commercial data systems can knock even the world’s top warships out of a fight.” China seeks this competitive advantage in the Pacific with “carrier killer” missiles. 3. Deep Attacks by Themselves Are Ineffective. There is a desire to employ rotary attack aircraft – and to some extent, fixed-wing aircraft - deep behind enemy lines for strategic effect. This tactic is practiced routinely in exercises, but it has been proven futile in past wars. In Ukraine, soldiers operating short range anti-aircraft defensive equipment and using small arms fire, have been taking out multi-million-dollar aircraft. Control of the air remains contested and this will be a continual feature of future conflict. Neither side was able to use aviation in a game-changing role. Russian attack regiments had to change their tactics and use aircraft in a combat support role. Likewise, the Ukrainians had to do the same to preserve combat power and support ground maneuver forces. Rather than pursuing deep attacks, the West would benefit more from the development of counter-unmanned aerial systems (UAS) tactics and technologies. Additionally, decades of experience from combat and modern gaming finds “the output of an entire joint force is amplified when synergistic integration across components increases.” Joint capabilities must work together, and in an allied context, strategic lethality can be achieved with the improved integration and interoperability of battle networks. 4. Airborne and Amphibious Warfare Has Been Minimized. These modes of warfare have their place in specialized units but the conduct of these methods at a large-scale, using thousands of soldiers and marines, is resource intensive, high risk, and perhaps even anachronistic. The Russian’s hesitance to execute an amphibious operation is for good reason. The potential gain from such operations is not worth the cost. This painful lesson was learned by Russia’s elite airborne forces, the VDV, at Hostomel airport last year. Their forces were decimated. It might not be time to write an obituary for these types of operations but their use on a large-scale in peer warfighting is limited with contested air space and ubiquitous stand-off weaponry. It might be worth Western nations evaluating their efficacy and determining whether it is time to repurpose these types of units for a role that has increased survivability and lethality. This leads to the next lesson. 5. Artificial Intelligence Has Arrived. It has been said that advanced algorithmic warfare systems equate to having a nuclear weapon. Ukrainian forces have compressed their “kill chains,” and used software engineers on the frontlines to calibrate algorithms for devastating effect. A.I. is not tomorrow’s problem. This enabling technology is being used today and will be more and more prevalent tomorrow. Western nations will need to induce a greater rate of digital transformation to make use of their data and build battle-winning algorithms. U.S. Army Futures Command is forward thinking in this space. The commander, General Rainey, proposes “formation-based lethality.” The future is about integration. In a past RCD article on Project Convergence, we proposed this could be accelerated through the use of experimental units. The Army could profit from emulating past examples like the 11th Air Assault Division (Test) which gave birth to air assault operations. Could a present day experimental unit do the same with manned and unmanned systems teaming, leveraging A.I.? And by possibly adding software engineers to unit formations, could this spark greater collaboration, integration, and testing of concepts? These are the questions to ponder when examining lessons from Ukraine. Conclusion The West can ignore these lessons at their own peril or use them to transform existing capabilities into future war-winning advantages. The danger of dominant military organizations is that, short of lessons learned in the unforgiving crucible of combat, they tend to fall back on comfortable assumptions and ignore any signals of change that contradict their most-cherished strategic beliefs. We can do worse than to listen and learn from the incredible innovation happening in the Ukraine. Matthew Van Wagenen is a major general in the U.S. Army currently serving as the Deputy Chief of Staff for Operations (DCOS OPS) in the NATO Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe (SHAPE). Arnel P. David is a colonel in the U.S. Army completing a PhD at King’s College London. He is the cofounder of Fight Club International. The views and opinions expressed are those of the authors and do not reflect any entity or organization of the U.S. Government or NATO. They're not wrong. I would add that a few quibbles (such as it tends to minimize Airborne's capability to rapidly reinforce isolated formations, which is something that Airborne is really good at but the the US seldom trains for) which can rapidly increase "mass" of ground forces provided you can achieve local air superiority. Short version of the change I think the Army has to make to survive the coming budget crunch and be ready: cut from 11 Abn battalions to 5, which would all be Rangers. Invest massively in new equipment that reduces crew requirements—autoloading tanks, SPHs and self propelled mortars. Slash the institutional Army by abandoning the idea that we will ever have a draft, move forces to a strategic and operational reserve and use a smaller active Army (but provide staff officers and higher level commanders for the reserve force from active). It would be a less ready Army but once mobilized, more powerful than we have today and at a substantially reduced cost. One of the more controversial ideas I have for reducing the institutional Army is to end ROTC. I hate the thought of ending the civil-military connection but I would largely make up for it by turning West Point into Sandhurst. Officer candidates would complete civilian education, apply to OCS, be selected, then go for 12 months at West Point. All line officers active and reserve would. That is fine, except for the fact that it doesn't address the "Mass" issue, the need for expanded capabilities, etc, and also doesn't do anything to break the Institutional issues. If you could "break the phalanx" of the PBBE and DOTML-PF bureaucracy, modify "up-or-out" promotion policies, and reduce the # of billets requiring GO/FOs and/or GS equivalents, you could fund most of the shortfalls for personnel. Among the services, they are all "rank-heavy" with the Air Force being in the worst shape (though they are all desperately in need of a "senior structure diet"). Also, we need to break the stovepipes between capabilities, similar to the partial functional merger of the Field Artillery, ADA, and to sone extent, the Army Aviation Branch in the early 2010's, which greatly speeded up the delivery of ALL fires functions and created a world where an Infantry Company Commander, if he has a sharp FSO whose done the proper coordination, can get information relayed up to Theater-Level HIMAD ADA and Fires assets and receive information in return, or that Battalion and Brigade commanders can monitor in real time the Ground, Air, and Artillery fight simultaneously. My take is that we need to rapidly expand our reserve components (especially National Guard, as these seem to be better supported than Federal Reserve forces and are much harder to cut) even at some expense to the AC force and work on the Active Component to develop and implement the "cutting edge" tech fieldings and serve as the "Tip of the Spear"; which means that ROTC and OCS will still be necessary (and may even need to expand, as improving "Mass" means you'll need More junior/Company Grade officers out doing Company Grade officer things, either on a part-time or full-time basis) . I am OK with the Academies as four-year institutions, but I would add a "qualifying service requirement" of Military Service of some form Prior to application. For direct Congressional Appointees, the process can go as it currently is, but once accepted, you have to serve a certain time as an enlisted before you actually enroll at West Point. This will keep standards high but deter the folks merely applying to get the degree then do the minimum. Going Forward, a lot will need to change. We need Sylvan in here. The service academies are not military institutions anymore, they're social institutions. Spenser Rappone ring a bell? He didn't get through alone in some stealthy way. There were undoubtedly faculty who knew his leanings. There are certainly "social justice" forces working in the service academies. I'm all for military reform to improve effectiveness and cost effectiveness. But academy reform needs to happen too. Totally Concur. Note my "service before enrollment" requirement. Not to mention the academies themselves will need to be restructured, and given a vinegar enema. |
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Originally Posted By HIPPO: Post 9,000 for me. A theory on how UA will break ruZZia’s back in the south. Long thread but with the 5-10 minutes it will take to read.
Click To View Spoiler All this doom mongering about how "difficult" it will be for Ukraine to breach the russian trenches in the South... people need to man up and do some military service before running their mouths like that. A thread about offensive operations 🧵: 1/36 Image Yes, breaching a defensive line with an anti-tank ditch out front, a minefield, deep trenches filled with machine guns and ATGM teams is difficult... IF you don't have the right tools. A trench line is barely an inconvienance for NATO, because of this ⬇️⬇️ 2/n Ukraine doesn't have air supremacy, but Ukraine is receiving other tools. Like i.e. JDAM ER bombs to plough through those russian trenches. Here a Taliban compound is flattened by GBU-32 JDAMs (1,000 lb Mk 83 bombs). Ukraine won't be able to use the JDAM ERs at their max. 3/n range of 70+ km. JDAM ER are Mk 80 series bombs with added INS/GPS guidance kit (the Joint Direct Attack Munition part) & glide wings (the Extended Range part). JDAM ER come in 500 lb (GBU-38/ Mk 82) and 2,000 lb (GBU-31/ Mk 84). But Ukrainian fighter jets can't release them 4/n Image Especially if Ukraine saturates that front sector with volleys of AGM-88 HARM missiles and GMLRS rockets to annihilate russian air defense systems. And two Patriot batteries with PAC-2 GEM+ missiles (range 160+ km) will keep russian fighters away from a Ukrainian offensive. 6/n Image Ukraine only has to pierce the russian line in a few points in a 3 km front sector for an offensive. First and foremost: intensive/detailed reconnaissance!!!!! • Where do the russians sleep/rest? • Where are their minefields? • Which road will russian reinforcements take? 7/n Image Chose a front sector that has open terrain (no rivers, no forests) behind it & reconnoiter that sector INTENSIVELY. Then recon some more. And then recon MORE. Ready? 1) Shell the front sector with every available artillery piece; drive the russian troops into their dugouts. 8/n Image 2) Hit all dugouts with JDAM ER & GMLRS. Smash all russian troop shelters. Annihilate everything in that front sector. 3) Excalibur all russian armored vehicles in that front sector. In the image below every dugout behind the trench should get hit by a JDAM or GMLRS. 9/n Image 4) GMLRS and GLSDB every russian base in the entire South. Smite everywhere russians have based reinforcements. Keep them busy & fixed there. 5) Have 100s of drones up in the air. Yes, Ukraine will lose a lot of them, but it is imperative to spot russian reinforcements 10/n Image These mines can be set to self-destruct after 3 or 6 hours (AT2) and 4 hours (RAAM) = enough time to breach the russian line. 6) After the russian trenches have been ploughed through, send your Leopard 2A6s, CV90s, Bradleys, Leopard 2A4, Marder, Challenger 2, etc. forward. 12/n Image But have them stop before the minefields (!!), which you hopefully did reconnoiter EXTENSIVELY beforehand. Every vehicle has to keep an eye out for russian survivors - use the tank's 120mm guns and IFV's autocannons to make sure the russians can't set up ATGMs. 13/n Image 7) Time to clear the mines: the US sent enough Mine Clearing Line Charge (MICLIC) to Ukraine to clear a path from New York to Philadelphia. MICLICs are fired by a rocket into a minefield and then detonated to destroy/set off the mines. Afterwards a armored engineer vehicle 14/n Image with a mine plough clears a path through the blasted area to ensure no mines remains. Here a US Army M1150 Assault Breacher Vehicle fires a MICLIC, detonates it, then ploughs through the scorched earth. MICLIC's are ~107m long (350 feet) and contain about 1,800 lb of C-4. 15/n 8) When you reach the anti-tank ditch - fill it in. Germany and Italy are sending Dachs armored engineer vehicles to do that. 9) Once combat engineers have cleared paths through the russian fortifications - the offensive truly gets underway: tanks, IFVs, APCs, all move 17/n Image through the breach & advance into the enemy's rear. 10) In parallel infantry moves up to clear the trench line in the breach sector of any remaining russians. Ideally 8-10 paths have been cleared in a 3 km wide sector of the front & Ukrainian columns now pour through them. 18/n Image It's time to throw the russians in disarray like during the Kharkiv offensive. The more columns and the faster they move reduces the russians' ability to counterattack. And again: drones, drones, drones. Send them all in! Look for the russians, find them, hit them. 19/n Image arriving in a place, where you're supposed to set up a defensive position. And use all your Excalibur rounds with the Swedish Archers! Archers set Excalibur fuzes automatically in 0.2 seconds and can fire them 10 km further than M777 and M109A6. And Archer has the highest 21/n Image rate of fire. While tanks and IFVs, AMX-10 RC, and other armored fighting vehicles seek out enemy formations and destroy them, have infantry in Strykers and MRAPs follow to secure the rear, eliminate russian stragglers, handle POWs, and secure the supply lines. 22/n Image And bring in those supplies ASAP! You want to win? You have to fuel your armor! A steady stream of supplies, secured by a lot of Ukrainian troops in the rear are essential (!) to keep the offensive going. If your rear isn't secured... your troops are gonna get bogged down 23/n Image without supplies like the russians a year ago around Kyiv. And where should Ukraine attack? Thanks to @bradyafr's excellent work, we know where the russians expect Ukraine to attack. He mapped all russian fortifications (in red). Ukraine's main objectives in the South are: 24/n Image Melitopol and Mariupol. Secondary objectives are the Perekop Isthmus to cut off a russian retreat to Crimea and a pincer into the rear of Donetsk (purple Pentagons). So how would I attack? Depends on the available forces... with nine mechanized brigades, three artillery 25/n brigades, two engineer brigades & follow on forces to secure the rear, I would attack, break through & pursue three directions: 1) South to Mariupol 2) West to Bilmak in the rear of the russian front to panic the russian troops there 3) East to Amvrosiivka to make holding 26/n Image Donetsk city impossible for the russians. Once these objectives are secured I would pursue limited attacks in the East to secure the border with russia and encircle Donetsk from three sides, while throwing most forces into a push towards Berdyansk & Tokmak. 27/n Image From the Berdyansk spit GLSDB can reach and destroy the Kerch bridge, while once Tokmak is reached all those "difficult to take" russian trench lines are cut off and the russian troops will panic and abandon them. Last but not least a push to liberate Melitopol. 28/n Image This offensive would remain under the cover of Patriot (blue) and GLSDB (green), with GMLRS (orange), Archer (purple) and other artillery moving with the attacking units to provide fire support. And russian positions that don't surrender would be JDAMed out of existence. 29/n Alas I believe for this operation Ukraine doesn't have the needed materiel... which is the fault of the West, what still provides only limited support. If we want Ukraine to win, then more of everything is needed. The more we give them, the sooner this war will be over and 31/n the fewer people will die. So a 1,000 JDAM ER please! Another 10,000 Excalibur rounds please. 500,000 155mm shells ASAP please. And send more COBRA and MAMBA artillery radars! While waiting for the engineering units to breach the russian frontline Ukrainian forces are at 32/n Image Less than two months remain to provide Ukraine with the tools needed to breach the russian lines, liberate the South, and decisively defeat fascist russia - and provide the tools in ENOUGH numbers. I.e. the US realized that the Biber armored bridge layers donated by Germany 34/n Image can't support Leopard 2 tanks, so the US sends M60 Armored Vehicle Launched Bridges. Great! But send 50+. If Ukraine receives too few it will slow down the offensive and allow the russians to regroup. That applies to everything: from fuel to ammo to food to drones etc. etc. 35/n Image And Ukraine must win! All else will lead to disaster. So send everything from everyone all at once! Lend/Lease it if you must. But don't hesitate. Too much of everything secures victory! 36/end Image • • • Unrolled thread https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ View Quote I appreciate Theiner's optimism, and his threads are usually pretty informative (for Twitter), but there is NO WAY Ukraine can prepare multiple brigades to pull off a combined arms attack of that magnitude in the available time. Maybe 1 Brigade could conduct a breach like that shown in the video, but his thread was about multiple breach points and 10s or 100s of km of frontage and depth. If all of those Brigades he mentioned were fully equipped TODAY, and spent 100% of their time behind the lines doing LFXs and rehearsals for the next 3-6 months, then MAYBE they would be ready by June...or more like September. It isn't just the MBTs and IFVs, it is all the LOG and CSS/CSSS stuff that has to be there to keep food, fuel and ammo flowing forward, and a huge amount of medical care, maintenance, and other things flowing in reverse. And nothing against the Ukrainians but you don't want to attempt an attack of that scale halfway, or you'll have your balls in a bear trap when it fizzles out (culminates earlier than intended). And I think Theiner is correct though, it will take a total effort of that scale he describes to drive the Russians out. The Oligarchs aren't really feeling enough pressure to take care of Putin for us. This war will go on for another year, at least. |
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World ain't what it seems, is it Gunny?
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Soldiers of CSO "A" of the SBU on Can-Am Outlander quad bikes and Polaris buggies.
Photo of 2022. CADET https://t.me/ukrcadet/1648 |
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“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
Baldassare Castiglione |
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Those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it.. |
Wow
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Originally Posted By lorazepam: I started having my doubts when the naval gun showed up. The airliner was awesome. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By lorazepam: Originally Posted By GTLandser: I know that the MTLB can do almost anything, but does this combat footage look a little suspect to anyone else? I started having my doubts when the naval gun showed up. The airliner was awesome. Shit, that was the most inaccurate part of the video...we know sure as shit that the Russians can hit civilian airliners. |
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It may be wishful thinking, but I’m increasingly feeling like Russia is impaling itself and the facade may be more fragile than the rest of the world appreciates.
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Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: That is fine, except for the fact that it doesn't address the "Mass" issue, the need for expanded capabilities, etc, and also doesn't do anything to break the Institutional issues. If you could "break the phalanx" of the PBBE and DOTML-PF bureaucracy, modify "up-or-out" promotion policies, and reduce the # of billets requiring GO/FOs and/or GS equivalents, you could fund most of the shortfalls for personnel. Among the services, they are all "rank-heavy" with the Air Force being in the worst shape (though they are all desperately in need of a "senior structure diet"). View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: That is fine, except for the fact that it doesn't address the "Mass" issue, the need for expanded capabilities, etc, and also doesn't do anything to break the Institutional issues. If you could "break the phalanx" of the PBBE and DOTML-PF bureaucracy, modify "up-or-out" promotion policies, and reduce the # of billets requiring GO/FOs and/or GS equivalents, you could fund most of the shortfalls for personnel. Among the services, they are all "rank-heavy" with the Air Force being in the worst shape (though they are all desperately in need of a "senior structure diet"). Time in grade and time in service could be extended for sure. A lot of the demand for more senior guys could probably be relieved with guys that have the same number of years even if they are less senior. And more warrants! USAF I’m looking at you. Also, we need to break the stovepipes between capabilities, similar to the partial functional merger of the Field Artillery, ADA, and to sone extent, the Army Aviation Branch in the early 2010's, which greatly speeded up the delivery of ALL fires functions and created a world where an Infantry Company Commander, if he has a sharp FSO whose done the proper coordination, can get information relayed up to Theater-Level HIMAD ADA and Fires assets and receive information in return, or that Battalion and Brigade commanders can monitor in real time the Ground, Air, and Artillery fight simultaneously. It’s time to ask if the branch system is an advantage or an impediment and if we might be better served with long time in service and time in grade so you get guys with some depth of experience. Europeans often have junior officers with as much time as US field grades and it works for them. Don’t need to zoom everyone up like they might be the next Chief of Staff… My take is that we need to rapidly expand our reserve components (especially National Guard, as these seem to be better supported than Federal Reserve forces and are much harder to cut) even at some expense to the AC force and work on the Active Component to develop and implement the "cutting edge" tech fieldings and serve as the "Tip of the Spear"; which means that ROTC and OCS will still be necessary (and may even need to expand, as improving "Mass" means you'll need More junior/Company Grade officers out doing Company Grade officer things, either on a part-time or full-time basis). The federal reserve is a mess compared even to NG. Just get rid of it. But there needs to be operational and strategic reserves. HIMARS13A was saying that we should use life cycle (1 active 4 reserve years) for operational reserves. It seems smart to me. I am OK with the Academies as four-year institutions, but I would add a "qualifying service requirement" of Military Service of some form Prior to application. For direct Congressional Appointees, the process can go as it currently is, but once accepted, you have to serve a certain time as an enlisted before you actually enroll at West Point. This will keep standards high but deter the folks merely applying to get the degree then do the minimum. Going Forward, a lot will need to change. If we made USMA a 1 year program that you applied to contingent to graduating college the free college people would be cut right out. My college room mate ended up being an officer in the Army because he was seen leaving the financial aid office on a deadline day, visibly upset. He’s a great guy but hanging out looking for guys in a tight spot with college money is not a substitute for proper hiring practices. |
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Originally Posted By Ryan_Scott: Time in grade and time in service could be extended for sure. A lot of the demand for more senior guys could probably be relieved with guys that have the same number of years even if they are less senior. And more warrants! USAF I’m looking at you. It’s time to ask if the branch system is an advantage or an impediment and if we might be better served with long time in service and time in grade so you get guys with some depth of experience. Europeans often have junior officers with as much time as US field grades and it works for them. Don’t need to zoom everyone up like they might be the next Chief of Staff… View Quote #BringBackSpec5+ |
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Deckard “nobody wants to know the truth, nobody” Cobra Kai Johnny Lawrence “she’s hot and all those other things” Tucker Carlson 1/10/2018 “I used to be a liberatarian until Google”https://mobile.twitter.com/Henry_Gunn
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I’m eager to hear more about those EW drone counter measures the Russians were successfully using in a couple areas we heard about.
Something that could seek those out like a HARM would be fan-freakin-tastic. |
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I know it ain't much, but I like that the USAF can show the flag and screw with the Russians. Buff up over the Med. Will be interesting to watch today.
Attached File |
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Originally Posted By Red_Blue: Unless he has given entirely contradictory statements to foreign media (highly doubtful), he never said such a thing. I've checked all the major local press and news agencies and not a single one repeats what you claim. What foreign press distorts based on misreadings of local media is not on my radar. For the DM to claim that we “are not sending any” or even “we could not send any” would be almost as idiotic as Marin making the suggestion without it actually being part of Finnish state policy. Marin is an idiot who doesn't act her office (or even age), but please don't assume all our politicians are her class. She is a huge embarrassment to the nation and her impulsive suggestions are not helpful. Ukrainians will just feel betrayed when what she says is not going to be implemented and will have to be backtracked by the adults actually running the show. When she mentioned in Kiev that “the discussions [about Hornets to Ukraine] are in the very early stages” apparently meant only in her head. While she is the PM, she doesn't have the authority to make such decisions on her own. She would need the support of the Centre Party (of DM Kaikkonen) to get the votes. It is unlikely that after the April parliament elections she will even have a seat in the government. Kaikkonen served in the Anti-Aircraft forces of the Finnish Army. He at least knows which side the missiles come of a jet fighter. She, not so much. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Red_Blue: Originally Posted By GoldenMead: He literally said that they could not send f18’s. - - So not sure how I’m incorrect when I repeated what he said. Unless he has given entirely contradictory statements to foreign media (highly doubtful), he never said such a thing. I've checked all the major local press and news agencies and not a single one repeats what you claim. What foreign press distorts based on misreadings of local media is not on my radar. For the DM to claim that we “are not sending any” or even “we could not send any” would be almost as idiotic as Marin making the suggestion without it actually being part of Finnish state policy. Marin is an idiot who doesn't act her office (or even age), but please don't assume all our politicians are her class. She is a huge embarrassment to the nation and her impulsive suggestions are not helpful. Ukrainians will just feel betrayed when what she says is not going to be implemented and will have to be backtracked by the adults actually running the show. When she mentioned in Kiev that “the discussions [about Hornets to Ukraine] are in the very early stages” apparently meant only in her head. While she is the PM, she doesn't have the authority to make such decisions on her own. She would need the support of the Centre Party (of DM Kaikkonen) to get the votes. It is unlikely that after the April parliament elections she will even have a seat in the government. Kaikkonen served in the Anti-Aircraft forces of the Finnish Army. He at least knows which side the missiles come of a jet fighter. She, not so much. I don’t think you can call her an idiot for suggesting Finland will send their F-18s. Practically every nation in Europe has played (and is playing) the will-they-won’t-they fuckery with fighters. Poland, Denmark, the Netherlands, Britain, Czechia, Slovakia, and the US. They’re playing a game for unknown reasons and it’s quite likely Finland is playing their part of it. |
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Originally Posted By Ryan_Scott: Time in grade and time in service could be extended for sure. A lot of the demand for more senior guys could probably be relieved with guys that have the same number of years even if they are less senior. And more warrants! USAF I’m looking at you. It’s time to ask if the branch system is an advantage or an impediment and if we might be better served with long time in service and time in grade so you get guys with some depth of experience. Europeans often have junior officers with as much time as US field grades and it works for them. Don’t need to zoom everyone up like they might be the next Chief of Staff… The federal reserve is a mess compared even to NG. Just get rid of it. But there needs to be operational and strategic reserves. HIMARS13A was saying that we should use life cycle (1 active 4 reserve years) for operational reserves. It seems smart to me. If we made USMA a 1 year program that you applied to contingent to graduating college the free college people would be cut right out. My college room mate ended up being an officer in the Army because he was seen leaving the financial aid office on a deadline day, visibly upset. He’s a great guy but hanging out looking for guys in a tight spot with college money is not a substitute for proper hiring practices. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Ryan_Scott: Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: That is fine, except for the fact that it doesn't address the "Mass" issue, the need for expanded capabilities, etc, and also doesn't do anything to break the Institutional issues. If you could "break the phalanx" of the PBBE and DOTML-PF bureaucracy, modify "up-or-out" promotion policies, and reduce the # of billets requiring GO/FOs and/or GS equivalents, you could fund most of the shortfalls for personnel. Among the services, they are all "rank-heavy" with the Air Force being in the worst shape (though they are all desperately in need of a "senior structure diet"). Time in grade and time in service could be extended for sure. A lot of the demand for more senior guys could probably be relieved with guys that have the same number of years even if they are less senior. And more warrants! USAF I’m looking at you. Also, we need to break the stovepipes between capabilities, similar to the partial functional merger of the Field Artillery, ADA, and to sone extent, the Army Aviation Branch in the early 2010's, which greatly speeded up the delivery of ALL fires functions and created a world where an Infantry Company Commander, if he has a sharp FSO whose done the proper coordination, can get information relayed up to Theater-Level HIMAD ADA and Fires assets and receive information in return, or that Battalion and Brigade commanders can monitor in real time the Ground, Air, and Artillery fight simultaneously. It’s time to ask if the branch system is an advantage or an impediment and if we might be better served with long time in service and time in grade so you get guys with some depth of experience. Europeans often have junior officers with as much time as US field grades and it works for them. Don’t need to zoom everyone up like they might be the next Chief of Staff… My take is that we need to rapidly expand our reserve components (especially National Guard, as these seem to be better supported than Federal Reserve forces and are much harder to cut) even at some expense to the AC force and work on the Active Component to develop and implement the "cutting edge" tech fieldings and serve as the "Tip of the Spear"; which means that ROTC and OCS will still be necessary (and may even need to expand, as improving "Mass" means you'll need More junior/Company Grade officers out doing Company Grade officer things, either on a part-time or full-time basis). The federal reserve is a mess compared even to NG. Just get rid of it. But there needs to be operational and strategic reserves. HIMARS13A was saying that we should use life cycle (1 active 4 reserve years) for operational reserves. It seems smart to me. I am OK with the Academies as four-year institutions, but I would add a "qualifying service requirement" of Military Service of some form Prior to application. For direct Congressional Appointees, the process can go as it currently is, but once accepted, you have to serve a certain time as an enlisted before you actually enroll at West Point. This will keep standards high but deter the folks merely applying to get the degree then do the minimum. Going Forward, a lot will need to change. If we made USMA a 1 year program that you applied to contingent to graduating college the free college people would be cut right out. My college room mate ended up being an officer in the Army because he was seen leaving the financial aid office on a deadline day, visibly upset. He’s a great guy but hanging out looking for guys in a tight spot with college money is not a substitute for proper hiring practices. Time in grade and time in service could be extended for sure. A lot of the demand for more senior guys could probably be relieved with guys that have the same number of years even if they are less senior. And more warrants! USAF I’m looking at you. In total agreement. Couldn't have stated it better! It’s time to ask if the branch system is an advantage or an impediment and if we might be better served with long time in service and time in grade so you get guys with some depth of experience. Europeans often have junior officers with as much time as US field grades and it works for them. Don’t need to zoom everyone up like they might be the next Chief of Staff Branches are a weird animal. Some are very good at what they do and add value (Signal Corps comes to mind), while others, not so much. Some mergers have gone well (the aforementioned integration of FA and ADA into the Fires realm and the formal linkage with Aviation), while some others have been not as successful (the merger of Infantry and Armor in the Maneuver function, in which the Armor branch was treated as the junior partner and shed a lot of their more effective capabilities, or the Looting of the Transportation Corps when they were rolled into the "Logistics" function). The combination of our current "up or out" promotion system and "early promotions" by design shortchanges the most promising officers as it ensures they will have less operational experience than other officers of the same grade. Due to KD and Command time requirements, this necessarily limits the "breadth" of their experience. This is, of course, a "necessary evil" if you are fighting WWII or something, but can have negative consequences when a commander has less operational experience than his/her peers, or even subordinates. After all "a double below the zone" guy/gal has at least two years less experience than peers. A system that is more of a "pull" system as opposed to a "push" system will also help to break up the "year group" issue where oftentimes positions are filled with "who's available in this specific group" rather than "who is the most qualified", and can also potentially mitigate some of the damage caused by "Flavor of the Month" promotion policies. The federal reserve is a mess compared even to NG. Just get rid of it. But there needs to be operational and strategic reserves. HIMARS13A was saying that we should use life cycle (1 active 4 reserve years) for operational reserves. It seems smart to me. This matches my experience as well (Served in the FLARNG as enlisted and as an SMP between my Active Duty stints; also served in an AC/RC unit as an Active Duty officer.) The Army Reserve was generally a hot mess above the Company-level, and oftentimes a hot mess top to bottom. National Guard varied a lot, usually by state from "Nearly as good as an AD unit" to "OMFG"; but I cannot recall any occasion where Army Reserve units above the Company level were better than their equivalent ARNG peers. Generally AR units were a lot worse from a training and mobilization standpoint than their NG peers. I would also open a lot of institutional army jobs/positions to reservists, to include any/all faculty and administrative positions at the Military Academies. As a matter of fact, faculty would come in three flavors: Serving National Guard/Reserve members, Active Duty, and Retired Military, with maybe a few Diplomats and retired State Department types that were limited to teaching International/Foreign relations and Civil/Military relations type courses. |
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Originally Posted By Freiheit8472: This kind of stuff alone should depress the hell out of Russians up and down the line. A huge chunk of the competent and effective world is against them doing this kind of work pro bono.
View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Freiheit8472: Originally Posted By HIPPO: Post 9,000 for me. A theory on how UA will break ruZZia’s back in the south. Long thread but with the 5-10 minutes it will take to read.
Click To View Spoiler All this doom mongering about how "difficult" it will be for Ukraine to breach the russian trenches in the South... people need to man up and do some military service before running their mouths like that. A thread about offensive operations 🧵: 1/36 Image Yes, breaching a defensive line with an anti-tank ditch out front, a minefield, deep trenches filled with machine guns and ATGM teams is difficult... IF you don't have the right tools. A trench line is barely an inconvienance for NATO, because of this ⬇️⬇️ 2/n Ukraine doesn't have air supremacy, but Ukraine is receiving other tools. Like i.e. JDAM ER bombs to plough through those russian trenches. Here a Taliban compound is flattened by GBU-32 JDAMs (1,000 lb Mk 83 bombs). Ukraine won't be able to use the JDAM ERs at their max. 3/n range of 70+ km. JDAM ER are Mk 80 series bombs with added INS/GPS guidance kit (the Joint Direct Attack Munition part) & glide wings (the Extended Range part). JDAM ER come in 500 lb (GBU-38/ Mk 82) and 2,000 lb (GBU-31/ Mk 84). But Ukrainian fighter jets can't release them 4/n Image Especially if Ukraine saturates that front sector with volleys of AGM-88 HARM missiles and GMLRS rockets to annihilate russian air defense systems. And two Patriot batteries with PAC-2 GEM+ missiles (range 160+ km) will keep russian fighters away from a Ukrainian offensive. 6/n Image Ukraine only has to pierce the russian line in a few points in a 3 km front sector for an offensive. First and foremost: intensive/detailed reconnaissance!!!!! • Where do the russians sleep/rest? • Where are their minefields? • Which road will russian reinforcements take? 7/n Image Chose a front sector that has open terrain (no rivers, no forests) behind it & reconnoiter that sector INTENSIVELY. Then recon some more. And then recon MORE. Ready? 1) Shell the front sector with every available artillery piece; drive the russian troops into their dugouts. 8/n Image 2) Hit all dugouts with JDAM ER & GMLRS. Smash all russian troop shelters. Annihilate everything in that front sector. 3) Excalibur all russian armored vehicles in that front sector. In the image below every dugout behind the trench should get hit by a JDAM or GMLRS. 9/n Image 4) GMLRS and GLSDB every russian base in the entire South. Smite everywhere russians have based reinforcements. Keep them busy & fixed there. 5) Have 100s of drones up in the air. Yes, Ukraine will lose a lot of them, but it is imperative to spot russian reinforcements 10/n Image These mines can be set to self-destruct after 3 or 6 hours (AT2) and 4 hours (RAAM) = enough time to breach the russian line. 6) After the russian trenches have been ploughed through, send your Leopard 2A6s, CV90s, Bradleys, Leopard 2A4, Marder, Challenger 2, etc. forward. 12/n Image But have them stop before the minefields (!!), which you hopefully did reconnoiter EXTENSIVELY beforehand. Every vehicle has to keep an eye out for russian survivors - use the tank's 120mm guns and IFV's autocannons to make sure the russians can't set up ATGMs. 13/n Image 7) Time to clear the mines: the US sent enough Mine Clearing Line Charge (MICLIC) to Ukraine to clear a path from New York to Philadelphia. MICLICs are fired by a rocket into a minefield and then detonated to destroy/set off the mines. Afterwards a armored engineer vehicle 14/n Image with a mine plough clears a path through the blasted area to ensure no mines remains. Here a US Army M1150 Assault Breacher Vehicle fires a MICLIC, detonates it, then ploughs through the scorched earth. MICLIC's are ~107m long (350 feet) and contain about 1,800 lb of C-4. 15/n 8) When you reach the anti-tank ditch - fill it in. Germany and Italy are sending Dachs armored engineer vehicles to do that. 9) Once combat engineers have cleared paths through the russian fortifications - the offensive truly gets underway: tanks, IFVs, APCs, all move 17/n Image through the breach & advance into the enemy's rear. 10) In parallel infantry moves up to clear the trench line in the breach sector of any remaining russians. Ideally 8-10 paths have been cleared in a 3 km wide sector of the front & Ukrainian columns now pour through them. 18/n Image It's time to throw the russians in disarray like during the Kharkiv offensive. The more columns and the faster they move reduces the russians' ability to counterattack. And again: drones, drones, drones. Send them all in! Look for the russians, find them, hit them. 19/n Image arriving in a place, where you're supposed to set up a defensive position. And use all your Excalibur rounds with the Swedish Archers! Archers set Excalibur fuzes automatically in 0.2 seconds and can fire them 10 km further than M777 and M109A6. And Archer has the highest 21/n Image rate of fire. While tanks and IFVs, AMX-10 RC, and other armored fighting vehicles seek out enemy formations and destroy them, have infantry in Strykers and MRAPs follow to secure the rear, eliminate russian stragglers, handle POWs, and secure the supply lines. 22/n Image And bring in those supplies ASAP! You want to win? You have to fuel your armor! A steady stream of supplies, secured by a lot of Ukrainian troops in the rear are essential (!) to keep the offensive going. If your rear isn't secured... your troops are gonna get bogged down 23/n Image without supplies like the russians a year ago around Kyiv. And where should Ukraine attack? Thanks to @bradyafr's excellent work, we know where the russians expect Ukraine to attack. He mapped all russian fortifications (in red). Ukraine's main objectives in the South are: 24/n Image Melitopol and Mariupol. Secondary objectives are the Perekop Isthmus to cut off a russian retreat to Crimea and a pincer into the rear of Donetsk (purple Pentagons). So how would I attack? Depends on the available forces... with nine mechanized brigades, three artillery 25/n brigades, two engineer brigades & follow on forces to secure the rear, I would attack, break through & pursue three directions: 1) South to Mariupol 2) West to Bilmak in the rear of the russian front to panic the russian troops there 3) East to Amvrosiivka to make holding 26/n Image Donetsk city impossible for the russians. Once these objectives are secured I would pursue limited attacks in the East to secure the border with russia and encircle Donetsk from three sides, while throwing most forces into a push towards Berdyansk & Tokmak. 27/n Image From the Berdyansk spit GLSDB can reach and destroy the Kerch bridge, while once Tokmak is reached all those "difficult to take" russian trench lines are cut off and the russian troops will panic and abandon them. Last but not least a push to liberate Melitopol. 28/n Image This offensive would remain under the cover of Patriot (blue) and GLSDB (green), with GMLRS (orange), Archer (purple) and other artillery moving with the attacking units to provide fire support. And russian positions that don't surrender would be JDAMed out of existence. 29/n Alas I believe for this operation Ukraine doesn't have the needed materiel... which is the fault of the West, what still provides only limited support. If we want Ukraine to win, then more of everything is needed. The more we give them, the sooner this war will be over and 31/n the fewer people will die. So a 1,000 JDAM ER please! Another 10,000 Excalibur rounds please. 500,000 155mm shells ASAP please. And send more COBRA and MAMBA artillery radars! While waiting for the engineering units to breach the russian frontline Ukrainian forces are at 32/n Image Less than two months remain to provide Ukraine with the tools needed to breach the russian lines, liberate the South, and decisively defeat fascist russia - and provide the tools in ENOUGH numbers. I.e. the US realized that the Biber armored bridge layers donated by Germany 34/n Image can't support Leopard 2 tanks, so the US sends M60 Armored Vehicle Launched Bridges. Great! But send 50+. If Ukraine receives too few it will slow down the offensive and allow the russians to regroup. That applies to everything: from fuel to ammo to food to drones etc. etc. 35/n Image And Ukraine must win! All else will lead to disaster. So send everything from everyone all at once! Lend/Lease it if you must. But don't hesitate. Too much of everything secures victory! 36/end Image • • • Unrolled thread https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ This kind of stuff alone should depress the hell out of Russians up and down the line. A huge chunk of the competent and effective world is against them doing this kind of work pro bono.
He is spot on! . If the west would just step up to the plate Ukraine would have a chance at a break thru like that. |
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Only God will judge me.
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Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: https://www.syfy.com/syfy-wire/first-military-ai-controlled-flight-ever https://arstechnica.com/cars/2023/02/the-us-air-force-successfully-tested-this-ai-controlled-jet-fighter/ View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Originally Posted By Capta: Originally Posted By 4xGM300m: Originally Posted By lorazepam: Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly: Because it is inconvenient. From a "guns/butter" perspective, no one writing, approving, or executing the budgetary process wants to hear the truth, that in the drone vs manned aircraft vs air defense argument, the answer to "which capability we need to prioritize" is "All of the above", or that much of the new capabilities we are seeing do not "replace" or supersede existing capabilities but instead create an entirely new dimension of the battlefield that needs to be addressed. War is expensive and is going to get a whole lot pricier! I look forward to the day that we create a bird sized drone that can travel 200km with a dragon fly sized drone payload. Takes it to a destination and drops it off. It would leave the area and self destruct. The payload can "hibernate" and wake up via satellite up to 3 months, and be used to take out a single target at say, a public event. That could cause some panic. I'm wondering when the first terror attack with drones will happen. These fuckers are taking notes. I’m wondering when Skynet becomes self-aware. https://www.syfy.com/syfy-wire/first-military-ai-controlled-flight-ever https://arstechnica.com/cars/2023/02/the-us-air-force-successfully-tested-this-ai-controlled-jet-fighter/ Pilot's Associate (another DARPA initiative) was in the 80s. Seems every decade or so, "AI" comes up as the new hotness only to be relegated to niche applications due to it's inherent limitations. |
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Originally Posted By vahog: When my wife buys wine at Aldi's is she helping pay for a Type 212 diesel submarine? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By vahog: When my wife buys wine at Aldi's is she helping pay for a Type 212 diesel submarine? Looks like not directly - since WWII it goes into general federal coffers w/o a specific earmarking (based on what I read in the article 4xGM300m linked). from 6 percent alcohol by volume €136/hl (= €1.02/0.75 l). The revenue from the sparkling wine tax amounted to 449 million euros in 2013. In 2019, sales of 320.8 million liters of sparkling wine generated tax revenue of 377 million euros. [10] According to Art. 106 Para. 1 No. 2 GG , the federal government is entitled to the revenues . So about a $1/bottle tax on sparkling wine. Article says it’s levied on production and does not mention a refund for export. So if she is big into Deutsche bubbly, it’s mainly helping to pay for their labour subsidies, welfare, and immigrant subsidies. Same as the biggest portion of our budget. |
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That s.o.b Van Owen did it.
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Originally Posted By m35ben: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7y5SrIX1MJs View Quote That was great. Too bad it is about 20 minutes too long for most of the smooth brains. |
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World ain't what it seems, is it Gunny?
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Originally Posted By AROKIE: He is spot on! . If the west would just step up to the plate Ukraine would have a chance at a break thru like that. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By AROKIE: Originally Posted By Freiheit8472: Originally Posted By HIPPO: Post 9,000 for me. A theory on how UA will break ruZZia’s back in the south. Long thread but with the 5-10 minutes it will take to read.
Click To View Spoiler All this doom mongering about how "difficult" it will be for Ukraine to breach the russian trenches in the South... people need to man up and do some military service before running their mouths like that. A thread about offensive operations 🧵: 1/36 Image Yes, breaching a defensive line with an anti-tank ditch out front, a minefield, deep trenches filled with machine guns and ATGM teams is difficult... IF you don't have the right tools. A trench line is barely an inconvienance for NATO, because of this ⬇️⬇️ 2/n Ukraine doesn't have air supremacy, but Ukraine is receiving other tools. Like i.e. JDAM ER bombs to plough through those russian trenches. Here a Taliban compound is flattened by GBU-32 JDAMs (1,000 lb Mk 83 bombs). Ukraine won't be able to use the JDAM ERs at their max. 3/n range of 70+ km. JDAM ER are Mk 80 series bombs with added INS/GPS guidance kit (the Joint Direct Attack Munition part) & glide wings (the Extended Range part). JDAM ER come in 500 lb (GBU-38/ Mk 82) and 2,000 lb (GBU-31/ Mk 84). But Ukrainian fighter jets can't release them 4/n Image Especially if Ukraine saturates that front sector with volleys of AGM-88 HARM missiles and GMLRS rockets to annihilate russian air defense systems. And two Patriot batteries with PAC-2 GEM+ missiles (range 160+ km) will keep russian fighters away from a Ukrainian offensive. 6/n Image Ukraine only has to pierce the russian line in a few points in a 3 km front sector for an offensive. First and foremost: intensive/detailed reconnaissance!!!!! • Where do the russians sleep/rest? • Where are their minefields? • Which road will russian reinforcements take? 7/n Image Chose a front sector that has open terrain (no rivers, no forests) behind it & reconnoiter that sector INTENSIVELY. Then recon some more. And then recon MORE. Ready? 1) Shell the front sector with every available artillery piece; drive the russian troops into their dugouts. 8/n Image 2) Hit all dugouts with JDAM ER & GMLRS. Smash all russian troop shelters. Annihilate everything in that front sector. 3) Excalibur all russian armored vehicles in that front sector. In the image below every dugout behind the trench should get hit by a JDAM or GMLRS. 9/n Image 4) GMLRS and GLSDB every russian base in the entire South. Smite everywhere russians have based reinforcements. Keep them busy & fixed there. 5) Have 100s of drones up in the air. Yes, Ukraine will lose a lot of them, but it is imperative to spot russian reinforcements 10/n Image These mines can be set to self-destruct after 3 or 6 hours (AT2) and 4 hours (RAAM) = enough time to breach the russian line. 6) After the russian trenches have been ploughed through, send your Leopard 2A6s, CV90s, Bradleys, Leopard 2A4, Marder, Challenger 2, etc. forward. 12/n Image But have them stop before the minefields (!!), which you hopefully did reconnoiter EXTENSIVELY beforehand. Every vehicle has to keep an eye out for russian survivors - use the tank's 120mm guns and IFV's autocannons to make sure the russians can't set up ATGMs. 13/n Image 7) Time to clear the mines: the US sent enough Mine Clearing Line Charge (MICLIC) to Ukraine to clear a path from New York to Philadelphia. MICLICs are fired by a rocket into a minefield and then detonated to destroy/set off the mines. Afterwards a armored engineer vehicle 14/n Image with a mine plough clears a path through the blasted area to ensure no mines remains. Here a US Army M1150 Assault Breacher Vehicle fires a MICLIC, detonates it, then ploughs through the scorched earth. MICLIC's are ~107m long (350 feet) and contain about 1,800 lb of C-4. 15/n 8) When you reach the anti-tank ditch - fill it in. Germany and Italy are sending Dachs armored engineer vehicles to do that. 9) Once combat engineers have cleared paths through the russian fortifications - the offensive truly gets underway: tanks, IFVs, APCs, all move 17/n Image through the breach & advance into the enemy's rear. 10) In parallel infantry moves up to clear the trench line in the breach sector of any remaining russians. Ideally 8-10 paths have been cleared in a 3 km wide sector of the front & Ukrainian columns now pour through them. 18/n Image It's time to throw the russians in disarray like during the Kharkiv offensive. The more columns and the faster they move reduces the russians' ability to counterattack. And again: drones, drones, drones. Send them all in! Look for the russians, find them, hit them. 19/n Image arriving in a place, where you're supposed to set up a defensive position. And use all your Excalibur rounds with the Swedish Archers! Archers set Excalibur fuzes automatically in 0.2 seconds and can fire them 10 km further than M777 and M109A6. And Archer has the highest 21/n Image rate of fire. While tanks and IFVs, AMX-10 RC, and other armored fighting vehicles seek out enemy formations and destroy them, have infantry in Strykers and MRAPs follow to secure the rear, eliminate russian stragglers, handle POWs, and secure the supply lines. 22/n Image And bring in those supplies ASAP! You want to win? You have to fuel your armor! A steady stream of supplies, secured by a lot of Ukrainian troops in the rear are essential (!) to keep the offensive going. If your rear isn't secured... your troops are gonna get bogged down 23/n Image without supplies like the russians a year ago around Kyiv. And where should Ukraine attack? Thanks to @bradyafr's excellent work, we know where the russians expect Ukraine to attack. He mapped all russian fortifications (in red). Ukraine's main objectives in the South are: 24/n Image Melitopol and Mariupol. Secondary objectives are the Perekop Isthmus to cut off a russian retreat to Crimea and a pincer into the rear of Donetsk (purple Pentagons). So how would I attack? Depends on the available forces... with nine mechanized brigades, three artillery 25/n brigades, two engineer brigades & follow on forces to secure the rear, I would attack, break through & pursue three directions: 1) South to Mariupol 2) West to Bilmak in the rear of the russian front to panic the russian troops there 3) East to Amvrosiivka to make holding 26/n Image Donetsk city impossible for the russians. Once these objectives are secured I would pursue limited attacks in the East to secure the border with russia and encircle Donetsk from three sides, while throwing most forces into a push towards Berdyansk & Tokmak. 27/n Image From the Berdyansk spit GLSDB can reach and destroy the Kerch bridge, while once Tokmak is reached all those "difficult to take" russian trench lines are cut off and the russian troops will panic and abandon them. Last but not least a push to liberate Melitopol. 28/n Image This offensive would remain under the cover of Patriot (blue) and GLSDB (green), with GMLRS (orange), Archer (purple) and other artillery moving with the attacking units to provide fire support. And russian positions that don't surrender would be JDAMed out of existence. 29/n Alas I believe for this operation Ukraine doesn't have the needed materiel... which is the fault of the West, what still provides only limited support. If we want Ukraine to win, then more of everything is needed. The more we give them, the sooner this war will be over and 31/n the fewer people will die. So a 1,000 JDAM ER please! Another 10,000 Excalibur rounds please. 500,000 155mm shells ASAP please. And send more COBRA and MAMBA artillery radars! While waiting for the engineering units to breach the russian frontline Ukrainian forces are at 32/n Image Less than two months remain to provide Ukraine with the tools needed to breach the russian lines, liberate the South, and decisively defeat fascist russia - and provide the tools in ENOUGH numbers. I.e. the US realized that the Biber armored bridge layers donated by Germany 34/n Image can't support Leopard 2 tanks, so the US sends M60 Armored Vehicle Launched Bridges. Great! But send 50+. If Ukraine receives too few it will slow down the offensive and allow the russians to regroup. That applies to everything: from fuel to ammo to food to drones etc. etc. 35/n Image And Ukraine must win! All else will lead to disaster. So send everything from everyone all at once! Lend/Lease it if you must. But don't hesitate. Too much of everything secures victory! 36/end Image • • • Unrolled thread https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ This kind of stuff alone should depress the hell out of Russians up and down the line. A huge chunk of the competent and effective world is against them doing this kind of work pro bono.
He is spot on! . If the west would just step up to the plate Ukraine would have a chance at a break thru like that. If we re-normalize for the dysfunction of our bureaucracy today, I’m surprised how they’ve come along as much as they have honestly. Hell, I think this is swift anymore. Freakin sad, but…compared to offering a ride rather than ammunition a year ago… |
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nothing of value here
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“Russia has decided to convene a meeting of the UN Security Council to discuss "Russophobia," which, according to the Kremlin, does not allow it to successfully complete its military campaign against Ukraine Ukraine's Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Sergiy Kyslytsya, reacted to this on Twitter. “Russian fascist federation has done a hatchet job on Goebbels surpassing his anti-decency standard when requested a meeting of Security Council on 14 March to focus on "Russophobia as a factor hindering the search for a long-term & sustainable solution to the Ukrainian crisis," Kyslytsya wrote.” What a clown world, kudos to the Ukrainian reps for not egging this guys car every single day. |
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