Posted: 5/7/2009 9:36:20 AM EDT
|
Illinois is leading with 204 cases. Thats two days in a row we are in the lead. No other state is even close. CA is second with a piddling 106 cases, followed by NY with 98, and TX with 91.
We finally have something to be proud of. Lets do all we can to maintain our lead. Sneeze on everyone you see. Hang out at Mexican restaurants. Don't wash your hands. |
Now I will say that the regular flu didn't hit the central illinois area to speak of this winter. And well, as a result of that and unemployment being up our census at the hospital has been waaaay down from last year. I have to say that I could use the overtime that a good old fashioned epidemic would bring about. Yet somehow I still this the above advice is just bad, bad, bad. |
|
Quoted:
Sneeze on everyone you see. Hang out at Mexican restaurants. Don't wash your hands. lol, come on people its not hard! You can do all 3 of these things at your local taco bell! Theres alot more then the swine flu we can be proud of. Lets see, Chicago has won the title for murder capital of the USA in 2008, theres Blagojevich and his adventures, and don't forget the Chicago Political Machine®... |
|
We couldn't trace it to the source, but the FD I work for is over 90% hispanic and is a very migrant population and I had been busy the days prior with calls.
We're also up to nearly the 500+ person count in the infected population. Also don't even count on the persons who "stuck it out" at home. |
|
Quoted:
Why is it called Mexican flu when clearly everyone is affected? AFAIK, the only one calling it that is me. It started in Mexico. As good a name as anything else. They called it swine flu for a while than changed the name because the pig people complained. |
|
New count is 487. That makes us #1. Interestingly, Wisconsin is #2.
Helluva increase in 4 days. http://www.idph.state.il.us/swine_flu/index.htm http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/update.htm |
|
Quoted:
The reported infections from the CDC seem to be averaging a rate of increase of about 10% a day. That means the number of infections just about doubles every week. And thats the part that cant be good. And this is the spring run,flus run in cycles, it will be back this fall with avengance. |
|
5-15-09
IL still leads WI! But based on the rate of increase in cases for both IL and WI, I predict IL will fall behind sometime this weekend. the CDC made a somewhat subtle change in their reporting methodology the other day. they are now reporting both confirmed and probable cases rather than just confirmed cases, as a single number. I have created a predictive model based on these numbers that predicts how many cases there will be in the near future. Predictions for next few Fridays. 5/22 - 9213 5/29 - 17954 6/5 - 34987 As you can see, I am predicting the number of cases to just about double each week. |
|
It turns out that the CDC changed their public reporting methodology twice last week, and the wording on their web site is significantly stronger than it previously was. I think they are taking the spread of the disease more seriously.
The new totals show IL still in the lead, but it also appears there was not much lab work done over the weekend. The IDPH website shows 696 probable and confirmed cases. Thats the same number as shown on the CDC web site, so that would tend to confrim my hypothesis that weekend numbers are not yet included. The WDPH website shows 656, which is more than the CDC website, so perhaps WI labs worked over the weekend. If my supposition is correct, there should be a lot more cases that show up in the CDC count over the next few days. |
|
CDC: 100,000 Americans Likely Infected With Swine Flu
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,520611,00.html?test=latestnews Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Government officials say it's likely that 100,000 Americans are infected with the new influenza strain that is worrying health experts around the world. Dr. Anne Schuchat of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said the 5,123 confirmed and probable cases swine flu cases and six deaths in the United States were "the tip of the iceberg." The new strain of H1N1 is also putting a worrying number of young adults and children into the hospital — as many as 200 people have been hospitalized in the U.S. — and hitting more schools than usual. "That's very unusual, to have so many people under 20 to require hospitalization, and some of them in (intensive care units)," Schuchat told reporters in a telephone briefing. "We are now experiencing levels of influenza-like illness that are higher than usual for this time of year," Schuchat added. "We are also seeing outbreaks in schools, which is extremely unusual for this time of year." It killed a vice principal at a New York City school over the weekend and has spread to 48 states. While it appears to be mild, it is affecting a disproportionate number of children, teenagers and young adults. It is also suspected in the death of a New York City toddler, health officials said Tuesday. New York City Health Commissioner Dr. Thomas Frieden agreed with Schuchat. "We're seeing increasing numbers of people going to emergency departments saying they have fever and flu, particularly young people in the 5 to 17 age group, " Frieden, who has been named by U.S. President Barack Obama as the new CDC director, told a news conference. About half of all cases of influenza are being diagnosed as the new H1N1 strain, while the rest are influenza B, or the seasonal H1N1 and H3N2 strains. Flu season in the United States is usually almost over by May. MORE ILLNESS OVERALL "We are seeing more reports of influenza-like illness from outpatient visits that we monitor than is typical for this time of year," Schuchat said. Because doctors usually treat symptoms and only occasionally give flu tests to patients, the CDC must monitor reports of symptoms such as fever, cough and muscle aches to track flu activity. Some centers are doing actual influenza tests to confirm the patterns that are seen. Influenza is a factor in 36,000 deaths a year in the United States and 250,000 to 500,000 deaths globally, the CDC says. "Unlike the seasonal flu, we are seeing relatively few cases or hospitalizations in people over 65," Schuchat said. Usually flu kills the elderly and people with chronic diseases. There is no evidence that a second, bacterial infection is worsening the H1N1 cases, Schuchat said. When family members are questioned, it seems clear that children and teens are more prone to infection than older adults, Schuchat said. "People under 18 are more likely to have infections when another person in the family is infected," she said. "One of our working hypotheses is that older adults may have some pre-existing protection against this virus due to their exposure long ago to some virus that may be distantly related," Schuchat said. An alternative hypothesis is that it just has not had a chance to make its way into the older population yet. |
|
someone is still talking about this? It's the flu, drink fluids, take vitamins, suck it up... Sorry, just can't believe this made such a bit news story. 30,000+ people die of the influenza virus every year, yet we hear nothing about it. 100,000 people catch a slightly stronger strain and it's the end of the world. ![]() |