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Yep, but I fear that you are the exception. You are a guy that actually wants to learn something. A rare commodity on Arfcom. |
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You are assuming people would drive 25% more. That wouldn't happen. If the price of apples dropped 25% would you eat 25% more? |
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You bet. But here's the rub..... Who "ownes" the oil companies? Is it a group of big, fat guys in gold plated offices in downtown New York? Nope. They are owned by "Stockholders" who have invested their savings in these companies with hopes of getting a return on their investment. You think they are getting a good return? Me too. So, buy some stock and make some of that money for yourself. (But be ready for the "lean times". They are coming as sure as the sun will rise in the morning.) |
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Are you seriously contending that the demand for gasoline is equal to the supply? G |
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Possibly, but the situation with gas is not the same. It's in the oil companies best interest to limit the supply of gas. As stated, we're down over 800,000 barrels of daily refining capacity from 1990-2000, and more plants have closed since then. That artificially imposed limitation has raised their profit margin. Who is going to come in to change that? What force in the free market is going to tell them to make less money? Remember the Alamo, and God Bless Texas... |
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Fixed. ETA: Look, you can blame whomever you want, but Shell Oil and Amoco and all those other bastards are going to charge whatever dollar amount makes them the most money, whether it be .99 or 9.99. Don't blame the Arabs. Don't blame shortages. Blame the sellers. Oil barrel prices have not doubled in the past year. Demand has not doubled. Supply has not halved. Price HAS doubled, because they know that no matter how much they increase the price, demand will not decrease. So they do, and it doesn't, and they are happy, you are sad, and here we are. |
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Why? If gas is selling for $2.50 a gallon, why wouldn't they want to sell more?
You are correct. But who was responsible for the plant closings? Answer: Environmental wackos influencing Congress to make the refining of petroleum more and more costly and hazardous with regards to fines and restrictions. More and more environmental restrictions and costly "environmental" additions to new units.
Once again, supply and demand, if the gooberment got out of the way. There are plenty of folks that have money to invest in new refineries. But it is not economically feasible now because of environmental restrictions. The "force in the free market" would be competition. But this is throttled by silly environmental restrictions. |
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I believe I'm the poster that made the reference. Poorly educated or not in what the functions of the Federal Government should be, the thought that the Government should intervene in the market to control prices is a communist/socialist idea. Its what can make communism/socialism so popular on the outside. Capitalism and free markets are a great thing... unless you're on the shit end of it. Then, its very easy to want the Government to do something about it, to make it all better. Does Goverment have a place in business? You betcha. Agencies like the SEC and EPA have a place in regulating how a business works(in a perfect world). But in the US, the Government has zero place in the market itself. This includes tariffs and other such protectionist nonsense. IMO. |
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The best thing the .gov can do is get the hell out of the way.
Let the refineries brew up grades of fuel the market demands. Let the oil companies drill for oil everywhere it exists. Let the oil companies build new refineries in CONUS that can process heavy crude instead of just Texas Sweet Light Crude. Let people with brains, balls and $$ develop the shale deposits in Colorado, Wyoming and Utah knowing that some eco-nuts will not got them shut down for encroaching on cockroach habitat. Let the people vote with their wallets and buy more fuel efficient cars. Let some power companies build some nukes so that we can phase out oil-burning peaker plants and the like. Get your own ass educated and find out what you can do to reduce YOUR dependence on oil. If you won't, then STFU, FOAD and all that. Nixon's and Carter's interference in the energy business in the 70's brought us gas lines, shortages and rationing. any new involvement by .gov will have the same effect. |
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Why would you WANT to get rid of pollution standards? I know why you THINK we should get rid of them, but why in the world would you want to increase pollution? |
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No it is higher. Thus the increase in price. The actual correct answer is it is equal as of any moment. That is why the price goes up and down. Because demand goes up and down. When the demand goes up and down and the price does not you have price controls. Like in CA. |
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I gonna have to give that one a big Plus 1. |
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Let local .gov's decide if they want them. Not the fed .gov. I see nothing in the Constitution about pollution standards. I do however see the 10th Amendment. |
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Perfect. |
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I'm not going to read the previous three pages; I'm just going to put in my 2 cents.
The government should have almost no role in controlling prices. Didn't Nixon try that? Anyway, what government can do is get out of the way of industry. Oil is flowing at a rate not seen since the early 80s. China's demand had decreased over last year. So why the increase? The increase is because our refineries are set up to refine light sweet crude. Most of the oil flowing out there isn't sweet, it's "sour." Our refineries are competing for the less plentiful sweet crude, ergo the price is increasing. If .gov would get out fo industries way and let them do things like build new refineries, drill in Alaska, and drill off the coast then maybe we wouldn't be in a position where sweet crude is in such short supply and high demand. |
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Exactly. |
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You need to do some studying up. China and India are sucking oil like there is no tomorrow. They do not have the stringent environmental controls the US and Europe do. They are inefficient, but they don't care. They want their economies to continue to grow 8% a year. We can all stop driving tomorrow, and China and India will become that much more inefficient and voracious in their appetites for oil. It's Jevon's Paradox in action. Global demand has increased. All of the oil wells that were discovered in the 30s, 40s and 50s are mature and are pumping out saltwater and oil, with the oil returns diminishing. There have been NO NEW DISCOVERIES of oil since the 1970's with Prudhoe Bay, ANWR and the North Sea. We are sucking the known fields dry, and the technology need to get to the remaining oil is insanely expensive. We burn two barrels of oil for each barrel we produce. Do the math. It ain't pretty. These guys are making money because demand is outstripping supply, and PEOPLE ARE WILLING TO PAY $3 A GALLON. The minute we decide $3 a gallon is too much and ride bikes to work or telecommute, prices will reduce somewhat. But the era of cheap oil is now long gone. |
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Good post Old_ Painless.
Everyone should have to take a macro economics class. |
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Ain't it the truth! So many citizens are so ignorant about economics. (And by ignorant, I mean no insult. Ignorance simply means "not yet educated" about a subject.) The average American citizen is ignorant about economics. Thus do the Demoncrats continue to lie to the public and get away with it. |
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When the price is artificially inflated by a group working in concert to artificially limit the raw ingrediatnts the federal govt can and should use the military to "negotiate" with that organization. Particulary when we have acted as the defenders of that organizations members in so many recent conflicts. |
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Yet price fixing of the raw ingrediants is allowed. The single biggest factor in the price of gas is the price of crude oil. OPEC artificially limits the supply to keep prices high. |
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I do know one thing and that's if the price of gas stays at or rises even further, the Republicans can kiss their majority goodbye. And for comparison let's look at it this way; Clinton had the booming 90's and Bush has the busted '00's where a war raged and gas doubled. Who do you think the
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The problem with gas prices is OPEQ. They set the prices. Therefore we are subjects to Saudi.
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Start filling every US flagged tanker with free Iraqi crude. If that doesnt work explain to kuwait at the end of the brl of many very large guns that they owe us big time for Desert Storm and they will sell us their oil at a fair price. if they refuse we take back that nation which we rightfully won from Iraq. If that doesnt work we explain to Saudi Arabi how they owe us for Desert Shield and will sell use oil at a fair price. If they refuse we invade and take it. |
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O-P-E-C Do you even know what OPEC stands for? |
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Gas 101
Short answer: environmental laws are limiting refinery capacity, and the 50 different blends of pump gas various locations use around the country aren't helping any, either. No, it's not a conspiracy, it's an object lesson of government over-regulation. So, thank your Congress-critter for the $3 a gallon prces, because they passed the legislation that created the current market conditions. |
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Its the federal regs that are causing all this bullshit...
Thanks to the E.P.A. asshats... Like Ronald Reagan more or less once said. "With all the Regulations and Billions spent. The E.P.A. has not produced one gallon of gas.." I miss Ronald Reagan. |
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What the Gov't should do is look at the refineries in this country and go 'Guess what, your upgrading them.' And if landowners start to bitch, use eminent domain to move them away.
A lot of the idiots forget that the price of oil is set by the people who buy it on the stock market. Output for the most part is still the same, hell, it actually was increased. The problems lay in the US ability to refine said gasoline in quantities to sate the market. They are pumping 27,500,000 barrels/day. These figures do not include Iraq at all. |
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Hammer, head, hit. |
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+1 Please move them all to Detroit.. I heard that the mayor is complaining about 12000 homes that have been abandon and need new homeowners. He said that those homeowners left because of racism. But its actually the high crime rate against white people. |
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Wow. You make these claims that are easily debunked within 30 seconds of searching. Regular unleaded gasoline (usg) 08/22/2004: $1.85 08/22/2005: $2.58 Increase: 39% Light Sweet Crude (bbl) 08/2004: $42 08/2005: $66 Increase: 57% How's them apples taste, lefty? |
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But demand has doubled or it wouldn't be sold. |
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The government should take over the entire Middle East and make it the 51 state called Oil Land. Any resistence coming from Oil-Land should be met with thermo-nuclear retaliation.
Any domestic asshole who does not like this policy should be denied any of the spoils that come from our newly claimed land. |
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No, it has not. The fixed cost part of the equation for the oil companies (e.g. the cost of oil) has increased at a higher rate than the retail price. If anything, the oil companies should be losing money on this deal. Of course, the economies of scale, contractual deals, and sales of non-gasoline products could easily make up for this perceved "loss" of gasoline profits. Of course, I might be missing your point (or, potentially, the sarcasm). |
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The price of the stock (what people are willing to pay for a share) has nothing to do with the price of pil at the pump. Two years ago IBM was at approximately $55/share, In January it was at almost $100/share. The price of their product didn't skyrocket, nor did the demand go through the roof. |
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Great post OP!
I only disagree a bit about the education thing. The mentality that the govmit should "do something" cuts across socioeconomic and age boundrys. I have heard rich (presumably better educated) people as well as old (presumably educated in the "old school" system, thus better educated) people complain much the same. All the while, they bust down the interstate at 80+ mph. My dear old Dad even said something about it at the supper table Sunday. I asked him when cheap gas was added to the Bill of Rights. He got kind of pissed. I mention this because I believe there is some irrational water cooler herd mentality that causes this. Dad knows better. He has two Masters Degrees, one of which is an MBA. Yet he thinks cheap gas is a God given right. Go figure. I think the gubmint should do somthing about buying me practice ammo. :) Buck |
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If our economy was indeed a true free market, we'd be trading illegal alien virgins for barrels of oil, thereby reducing a) the illegal alien population, b) the price of gas, and c) the suicide bombings.
(Man, I am soooo going to hell now.) |
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Once again, while I agree that refining capacity needs to improve, where would we get the idea that the Federal Gooberment ought to have the right to "tell" the oil companies that they must "upgrade". The federal government has no such right or just power. What they ought to do instead is get their stinkin' noses out the free enterprise business and let the market, unfettered by over-regulation, fix itself. The FG needs to quit placing such silly EPA restrictions on refineries so that the refineries will then find it profitable to invest in upgrades. If it is profitable to invest in such upgrades, they will do it. No new "laws" needed. |
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BAM!!! |
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You are certainly correct. Many that say such things, if confronted by someone that asks the proper questions, will realize the error of their position. I guess I simply long for a general public that is educated enough to always assume that economic problems ought to be "fixed" by the free enterprise system and not Big Brother. I don't know how far back into history we would have to go to get to this understanding, but I am sure that if we asked the Founding Fathers, "Is it the role of the Federal Government to regulate the price of a commodiy?", they would have looked at you like you were crazy to even ask such a question. But the "entitlement" generation has lost that clarity of focus. |
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Economics 101 teaches us, and history certainly proves it (with a vengence), that when governments dictate price, freezing it in place below market value, shortages immediately follow. Government can not alter the law of supply and demand any more than it can alter the laws of motion, gravity, or the value of pi.
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I am not reading going to read all of the pages...but if this has not been said...I want to lay it out there.
If this is some kind of Mid Eastern/ Bin Laden conspiracy to attempt to break us...then the feds ought to step in....otherwise it is outright price gouging and if you don't want to pay it...don't drive...the decrease in demand will lower the prices... I am not a tin foil hat guy...but you never know. |
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My wife works for an oil company - it will remain nameless.
When the price of crude goes up, she inputs a price change ASAP. Late nights, no sleep, the whole department is on overtime. When the price of oil goes down - nothing happens. You COULD be paying lower prices at the pump, but the oil companies are trying to make as much money as possible. Obviously, there are other factors there, but a few cents here and there can make one heck of a difference long term. Last year we recived a nice Christmas bonus, and they hand out overtime like candy. The company she works for is sitting on a lot of extra cash right now. Av. |
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Precisely. As I said in my first post, all the .gov should do is undo the part that they have played in causing gas prices to skyrocket. 6 or 7 years ago I remember paying 99 cents a gallon for 89 octane. I sound like an old timer saying "Remember when gas was 99 cents a gallon?" |
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And that companies will eventually have problems. Someone will either undercut them or enter the market to undercut them and they will lose market share. |
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YOU could educate yourself, put together a business plan, borrow money, and build a refinery to operate on lower margins than big oil. When they go to undercut your price, there are antitrust laws to help protect you. Prices will not come down until this happens, and I sure hope our government doesn't try to declare the entire industry a utility and regulate prices as such. |
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PRICE HAS NOT DOUBLED! DOE Link It has gone up approx 40%. |
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Lefty don't like them apples. But it is easier to hate "big oil" in the US that you feel the Big Brother Government could make do something, than to face the reality that it is the owners of the oil, i.e. OPEC, that are the ones that control the price. And the only reason that OPEC can set the price is because of Supply and Demand. We presently Demand all the oil they can pump. The only solution, short of an invasion of the mid-east, is to lower demand. |
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