Russia / Iran / China - The New Axis Megathread - Page 89

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Russia / Iran / China - The New Axis Megathread (Page 89 of 145)

Saltwater-Hillbilly

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Posted: 5/26/2024 1:29:00 PM EDT

[#1]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Prime:

BREAKING: This morning four U.S. Army vessels supporting the maritime humanitarian aid mission in Gaza were affected by heavy sea states.

The vessels broke free from their moorings and two vessels are now anchored on the beach near the pier. The third and fourth vessels are… pic.twitter.com/FjOIUTLp9H
Lara Seligman (@laraseligman) May 25, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GObxENXWYAAN9Go?format=jpg&name=large

I believe the Modular Causeway Structure or MCS, is only rated for Sea State of 1 or 2, with limited use under Sea State 3 which is 7-10 KT winds and 2.5-3’ waves, seas which this area normally exceeds regularly. This is clearly documented in its standards and use guidelines https://t.co/zssiSYjkOZ
— Rob O'Donnell (@odonnell_r) May 25, 2024

Every logistical over the shore operation, ever, has had landing craft broach on the shore in high seas.

Anyone in the DoD who said such things would never happen in Gaza are either shills, incompetents, or both.

Given the latest anniversary of D-Day is soon, see these… https://t.co/lUUtGoIJ3e pic.twitter.com/7hcsnklihV
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 25, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOcPtxtWoAEGJJk?format=png&name=900x900
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOcQhHVWQAA30Zi?format=png&name=medium
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOcRS5pXQAA6_NV?format=png&name=900x900

View Quote

I have some experience with Logistics-Over-The-Shore (LOTS). LOTS is a messy business even in ideal conditions, and the fact that this is the first major Oopsie at the beach site; well, it's overdue! With us having sent a bunch of LOTS assets that are over 25 years old and have been poorly resourced for over two decades to carry out a mission that was poorly defined and planned from the get-go, my hat is off to the Army and Navy crews in preventing this from being an even bigger shit-show than I expected. Nothing sank, no one was killed, and it looks like they didn't permanently break anything critical, which puts the US Army as a more competent maritime force than the Russian Black Sea fleet. The only redeeming factor in this entire op is the training and experience the Army boat crews, Navy beach personnel and LOTS folks are getting that may be useful once the Chinese get froggy. See, there are a couple bright points in and op that is otherwise an absolute goat-screw!

Capta

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Posted: 5/26/2024 1:30:43 PM EDT

[#2]

Quote History

Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:

Since May 17, Ukrainian air defenses has shot down 182 of 183 Shahed-136 one-way drones.

Tonight's relatively small missile attack was likely constrained due to Russian production limitations. The last missile strike with Kh-101s in early May, used missiles built in April 2024. https://t.co/YQfafynVNf
Malcontent News (@MalcontentmentT) May 26, 2024

Notably no other types used. Disabling BSF, shooting down the T-22M and hitting missile depots in Crimea have an effect. No Kalibrs, no Oniks, no Kh-22. Also they would use more Kinzhals, if they could, because of the low interception rate.
StandWithUkraine (@UkrWillBeFree23) May 26, 2024

View Quote

Huh, like someone else said (I think AT) maybe they’re slowly figuring out that we’re stripping their strategic deterrent from them at basically zero cost and zero risk?

No man knows the day and the hour, but if the time comes, better to stand with the righteous than piss your pants like a coward.

Capta

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Posted: 5/26/2024 1:37:46 PM EDT

[#3]

Quote History

Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:

Russian side confirming last night's Ukrainian ATACMS strikes at/near Russian airbase in Crimea were effective. pic.twitter.com/NjaSBxtPeR
Jay in Kyiv (@JayinKyiv) May 26, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOfa49kWkAEBZEZ?format=jpg&name=large

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If little birds are bringing information to our friends, I wholeheartedly approve.

No man knows the day and the hour, but if the time comes, better to stand with the righteous than piss your pants like a coward.

Capta Member Joined Oct 2009 Posts 9662 EE 100% (59) USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 1:38:51 PM EDT [#4] Quote History Originally Posted By fadedsun: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/51435/ka52_2_jpg-3223862.JPG https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/51435/KA52_jpg-3223863.JPG Rear aileron leading edge of 05 Blue, Shot down over Gostomel on March 20th, 2022 by AFU National guard dudes. View Quote What an awesome fuckin’ wallhanger!
	No man knows the day and the hour, but if the time comes, better to stand with the righteous than piss your pants like a coward.

Capta

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Posted: 5/26/2024 1:40:59 PM EDT

[#5]

Quote History

Originally Posted By doc540:

What's making the Kinzhals so hard to intercept?

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Quote History

Originally Posted By doc540:

Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:

Since May 17, Ukrainian air defenses has shot down 182 of 183 Shahed-136 one-way drones.

Tonight's relatively small missile attack was likely constrained due to Russian production limitations. The last missile strike with Kh-101s in early May, used missiles built in April 2024. https://t.co/YQfafynVNf
Malcontent News (@MalcontentmentT) May 26, 2024

Notably no other types used. Disabling BSF, shooting down the T-22M and hitting missile depots in Crimea have an effect. No Kalibrs, no Oniks, no Kh-22. Also they would use more Kinzhals, if they could, because of the low interception rate.
StandWithUkraine (@UkrWillBeFree23) May 26, 2024

What's making the Kinzhals so hard to intercept?

Because only Patriot or SAMP-T can do it, and the Russians have (mostly) figured out not to bother trying. So they just shoot them at targets not protected by the very limited number of Patriot/SAMP-T batteries.

No man knows the day and the hour, but if the time comes, better to stand with the righteous than piss your pants like a coward.

Banditman Member Joined May 2007 Posts 36325 EE 100% (5) FL, USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 1:42:42 PM EDT [#6] I have been watching vids of front lines since 2014. A great many volunteers from villages near the trenches served along side regulars in the trenches. The Russians shot at them often to try to get a response.
	Let us never forget, government has no resources of its own. Government can only give to us what it has previously taken from us.

Capta

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Posted: 5/26/2024 1:45:58 PM EDT

[#7]

Quote History

Originally Posted By fadedsun:

I have been trying for 12 months to get a piece of it. Last time I missed the fuel filler door by 10$. Wasn't going to let this one get by.

I got a message from some dude named "Putin4pres" asking if he could buy it back, something about needing spare parts

When people say "No way Russia lost half a million" I just point to stuff like this.

Speaking strictly in armored vehicles the losses from this are worse than any conflict going back to WW2 with a good number of them combined.

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Quote History

Originally Posted By fadedsun:

Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:

Dude, that is so cool!!

I have been trying for 12 months to get a piece of it. Last time I missed the fuel filler door by 10$. Wasn't going to let this one get by.

I got a message from some dude named "Putin4pres" asking if he could buy it back, something about needing spare parts

Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
NSFW.

Pilots of the 79th ODSHBr of the BpAk strike company "PERUN GROUP" inflict significant losses on the Russians

?? personnel – 16 injured
??staff - 2 eliminated
?? tank - 1 piece destroyed pic.twitter.com/Wk2Qrh0OHi
TOGA (@TOGAjano21) May 24, 2024

When people say "No way Russia lost half a million" I just point to stuff like this.

Speaking strictly in armored vehicles the losses from this are worse than any conflict going back to WW2 with a good number of them combined.

Yeah same. That’s why I try to watch and post as much of the “low-level” video as possible. It’s grueling, but this is how the losses are happening. I’ve seen enough to know beyond any doubt that Russian casualties are in that ballpark and people who think otherwise are fools.
It’s a bloody, savage war and I can’t wait to see the downfall of the Russian Empire.

No man knows the day and the hour, but if the time comes, better to stand with the righteous than piss your pants like a coward.

Capta

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Posted: 5/26/2024 1:49:31 PM EDT

[#8]

Quote History

Originally Posted By doc540:
What in the Sam Hill did they drop through that tank hatch?? Looked only to be rhe size of a grenade! 😱

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Quote History

Originally Posted By doc540:

Originally Posted By fadedsun:

Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:

Dude, that is so cool!!

I have been trying for 12 months to get a piece of it. Last time I missed the fuel filler door by 10$. Wasn't going to let this one get by.

I got a message from some dude named "Putin4pres" asking if he could buy it back, something about needing spare parts

Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
NSFW.

Pilots of the 79th ODSHBr of the BpAk strike company "PERUN GROUP" inflict significant losses on the Russians

?? personnel – 16 injured
??staff - 2 eliminated
?? tank - 1 piece destroyed pic.twitter.com/Wk2Qrh0OHi
TOGA (@TOGAjano21) May 24, 2024

When people say "No way Russia lost half a million" I just point to stuff like this.

Speaking strictly in armored vehicles the losses from this are worse than any conflict going back to WW2 with a good number of them combined.

What in the Sam Hill did they drop through that tank hatch?? Looked only to be rhe size of a grenade! 😱

It was probably a thermobaric grenade. Lot bigger boom, and then the tank’s magazine went up.

No man knows the day and the hour, but if the time comes, better to stand with the righteous than piss your pants like a coward.

Capta

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Posted: 5/26/2024 2:00:30 PM EDT

[#9]

Quote History

Originally Posted By 4xGM300m:

Ukraine continues to drop PTM-3 anti-tank mines on Russian controlled roads.
The Russians warn that these now have “Dzhonik” (Johnny) electronic fuzes with an accelerometer and magnetometer to sense any movement or nearby metal, which functions as a potent anti-handling device. https://t.co/NFIhdNN4JY pic.twitter.com/gAhZvHGCsS
— Roy\uD83C\uDDE8\uD83C\uDDE6 (@GrandpaRoy2) May 25, 2024

There’s multiple postings about these mines on Telegram, emphasizing that the fuze has been improved, and not to handle or even approach them.
They must be causing considerable damage, both to vehicles and to Russians. pic.twitter.com/DiJ3JXWP1R
— Roy\uD83C\uDDE8\uD83C\uDDE6 (@GrandpaRoy2) May 26, 2024

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Magyar has videos with these, though he doesn’t show them specifically.
First, knock out a vehicle on a narrow road with an FPV. Vehicle rolls off to the side.
Then they drop one of these next to the vehicle where it could look like debris.
Another vehicle bypasses at speed because no one wants to slow down and BLAMMO.
Repeat until they give up and stop trying to use the road.
Magyar got three or four vehicles at the same spot in a very short time and was laughing his ass off.

No man knows the day and the hour, but if the time comes, better to stand with the righteous than piss your pants like a coward.

doc540 Member Joined Dec 2008 Posts 10929 EE 100% (16) TX, USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 2:10:02 PM EDT [#10] Quote History Originally Posted By Capta: It was probably a thermobaric grenade. Lot bigger boom, and then the tank’s magazine went up. View Quote thanks whatever it was it worked well and almost instantly
	"People, ideas, and hardware...in that order!" Col John Boyd

CarmelBytheSea Member Joined Jan 2017 Posts 103365 EE 0% (0) CA, USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 2:14:58 PM EDT [#11] China not happy with G-7 per China state news https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202405/1313030.shtml Attached File
	Deckard “nobody wants to know the truth, nobody” Cobra Kai Johnny Lawrence “she’s hot and all those other things” Tucker Carlson 1/10/2018 “I used to be a liberatarian until Google”https://mobile.twitter.com/Henry_Gunn

Prime

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Posted: 5/26/2024 2:17:32 PM EDT

[#12]

Russian and Belarusian volunteers fighting in the streets of Vovchansk. pic.twitter.com/mW3jDr2edo
— Ukraine - Combat Footage Archive \uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDEA \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@Bodbe6) May 25, 2024

Probably two weeks old footage. Geoloc POV (not 100% sure) 50.299717, 36.934382, Vovchansk. pic.twitter.com/5F9baDqbwL
Martin Tuitero (@TuiteroMartin) May 25, 2024

“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
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Prime

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Posted: 5/26/2024 2:20:02 PM EDT

[Last Edit: Prime] [#13]

Video from inside the store.

At this moment it’s known that at least 16 people were killed in Russian airstrike on hardware store in Kharkiv.

Rescuers of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine dismantled about 30% of the debris.

Footages from video surveillance cameras from the inside of the store are… https://t.co/ejBcY5sKoq pic.twitter.com/d8j7zZkSp0
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 26, 2024

8-year-old Mykhailo didn't wait for his dad to come home. His father worked at the construction supermarket in Kharkiv and was at work during the Russian attack yesterday.

Since the boy is his only direct relative, investigators had to take his DNA to find his father.… https://t.co/mqf0x6dJgw pic.twitter.com/HclPbedWKC
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) May 26, 2024

"The whole family of a 20-year-old girl went shopping today in the area where two air bombs hit. Her 12-year-old sister and mother are no longer answering the phone, and they have not returned home. The father was with them - now he is in the hospital with a concussion. This girl… https://t.co/JePgmwdLuO pic.twitter.com/Ca8FnaXx9L
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) May 26, 2024

“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
Baldassare Castiglione

https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

Prime

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Posted: 5/26/2024 2:23:46 PM EDT

[#14]

Bunch of K-2 footage today.

??????? ???????. ???????? ????? ?????? ?? ?????????. ???????.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9-Jf7FzfpVQ

K-2 Battalion again, shows how they eliminates up to 70 Orcs that stormed their position with dozens of equipments. pic.twitter.com/EIujSz5wmt
Getty (@gettylegion) May 26, 2024

Looks like someone from \uD83C\uDDEE\uD83C\uDDF3 pic.twitter.com/G0wrsfXZlu
Getty (@gettylegion) May 26, 2024

“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
Baldassare Castiglione

https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

Easterner

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Posted: 5/26/2024 2:30:46 PM EDT

[Last Edit: Easterner] [#15]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Prime:
Video from inside the store.

At this moment it’s known that at least 16 people were killed in Russian airstrike on hardware store in Kharkiv.

Rescuers of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine dismantled about 30% of the debris.

Footages from video surveillance cameras from the inside of the store are… https://t.co/ejBcY5sKoq pic.twitter.com/d8j7zZkSp0
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 26, 2024

8-year-old Mykhailo didn't wait for his dad to come home. His father worked at the construction supermarket in Kharkiv and was at work during the Russian attack yesterday.

Since the boy is his only direct relative, investigators had to take his DNA to find his father.… https://t.co/mqf0x6dJgw pic.twitter.com/HclPbedWKC
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) May 26, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOgUBJSWAAAWU9i?format=jpg&name=large

"The whole family of a 20-year-old girl went shopping today in the area where two air bombs hit. Her 12-year-old sister and mother are no longer answering the phone, and they have not returned home. The father was with them - now he is in the hospital with a concussion. This girl… https://t.co/JePgmwdLuO pic.twitter.com/Ca8FnaXx9L
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) May 26, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOfNtaHXgAAkVC1?format=jpg&name=medium
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOfNta5XcAAmyvh?format=jpg&name=medium

View Quote

This shit sickens me.

Prime

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Posted: 5/26/2024 2:33:17 PM EDT

[Last Edit: Prime] [#16]

A message from commander of the Georgian National Legion Mamuka Mamulashvili on the Independence Day of Georgia \uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDEA pic.twitter.com/wLqklXHKab
— Georgian Legion (@georgian_legion) May 26, 2024

Georgia Independence Day Parade LIVE | Military Parade In Central Tbilisi | Georgia LIVE | N18L

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpCw5TpCAnA

“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
Baldassare Castiglione

https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

Prime

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Posted: 5/26/2024 2:34:17 PM EDT

[Last Edit: Prime] [#17]

🇸🇪🇺🇦Swedish media Hallandspoten: Ukraine may use Swedish weapons against targets in Russia. It is a welcome announcement from the Minister of Defence. The government should work to convince other allies of this.

Minister for Defence of Sweden
Pål Jonson - "Ukraine is exposed to an unprovoked and illegal war of aggression by Russia. According to international law, Ukraine has the right to defend itself through military actions aimed at the enemy's territory as long as the military actions comply with the laws of war. Sweden stands behind international law and Ukraine's right to defend itself."
It is a welcome message.

The limits of Ukraine's defense should be set by international law, not by self-imposed restrictions of Ukraine's allies that cost Ukrainian lives. Sweden's government should argue for this position vis-à-vis other Western countries, not only behind closed doors but also publicly. This is how you form opinion, move the debate and get states to abandon unreasonable positions.

https://hallandsposten.se/asikter/ledare/landgrans-ska-inte-skydda-rysk-angripare.09212cc1-6c94-4389-8b1a-2956a1aa9f9e

\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDDEA\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6Swedish media Hallandspoten: Ukraine may use Swedish weapons against targets in Russia. It is a welcome announcement from the Minister of Defence. The government should work to convince other allies of this.

Minister for Defence of Sweden
Pål Jonson - "Ukraine is exposed to… pic.twitter.com/ULuIjvx7RS
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 26, 2024

There's been a lot of revolting comments from various Americans about the War in Ukraine over the last 27 months, but Thursday and Friday's comments by the Arms Controllers / Disarmers was, IMO, among the worst.

These are educated people, not MAGA trolls / politicians. /1
— James Raab \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDFF3??\uD83C\uDF08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@JamesRaxz) May 25, 2024

As a software engineer, I'm used to seeing experts in my field get lost in what they are doing. Becoming so focused on what they are doing, they turn fanatic and forget the why. It's infuriating, snarls development and there is never a lasting fix.

But we're just engineers. /2
— James Raab \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDFF3??\uD83C\uDF08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@JamesRaxz) May 25, 2024

Arms Control in itself is not a flawed idea. The Cold War saw what uncapped arsenal building led to.

The process stabilized and built a US-Russia common framework that we're starved for with China and desperately trying to get them to even pick up the phone. /3
— James Raab \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDFF3??\uD83C\uDF08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@JamesRaxz) May 25, 2024

But *these* Arms Controllers have lost it. When you're suggesting selling the Ukraine, a country fighting for its liberty, up the river for strategic stability big ideas, you've become a fanatic.

This is all about people, life and liberty. /4
— James Raab \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDFF3??\uD83C\uDF08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@JamesRaxz) May 25, 2024

"We must, indeed, all hang together or, most assuredly, we shall all hang separately" as Ben Franklin put it. If we're going to sell out a free country fighting for its life b/c stability concerns, per @james_acton32, @JBWolfsthal and @nukestrat, then what's the point? /5
— James Raab \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDFF3??\uD83C\uDF08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@JamesRaxz) May 25, 2024

The American project is fundamentally a moral one. America is a revolutionary country. Human liberty *is* a revolutionary idea because most of world history looks very much like Putin's Russia, everywhere.

If we free peoples start selling each other out, why bother? /6
— James Raab \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDFF3??\uD83C\uDF08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@JamesRaxz) May 25, 2024

To simply exist? To live as de facto hostages because we have to be the therapists to the maniac with a gun in form of the Authoritarian axis?

Ridiculous.

That's not life. That's not a worthwhile existence.

For the entire Cold War, we understood this. /7
— James Raab \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDFF3??\uD83C\uDF08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@JamesRaxz) May 25, 2024

It was the right one. "Peace through strength" is both consistent with the moral foundation of our revolutionary project *and* speaks in a language the authoritarians understand.

But that has been challenged by the oh-so-clever men the last 30 years. /8
— James Raab \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDFF3??\uD83C\uDF08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@JamesRaxz) May 25, 2024

I think it's clear the Arms Controllers are purely ideological now. And like all ideologues, as I said, they lost track of the real "why" a long time ago.

They stake out their positions out of ego, arrogance and ideology.

The real costs of their words are ignored by them. /9
— James Raab \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDFF3??\uD83C\uDF08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@JamesRaxz) May 25, 2024

The point of Arms Control is to secure the free world, not to execute to the letter some ridiculous academic theory, so there is this perfect, safe balance system that just perpetuates for its own sake.

That's not liberty. That's not life. That's a cage. /10
— James Raab \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDFF3??\uD83C\uDF08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@JamesRaxz) May 25, 2024

This war has been, among other things, a complete disaster for certain schools of thing in IR and Government Policy. It's been a cavalcade of "Emperor has no clothes moments".

For example the first year saw Realism discredited by facts on the ground. /11
— James Raab \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDFF3??\uD83C\uDF08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@JamesRaxz) May 25, 2024

This thread is the single most brutal, morality based, take down of the Western Arms Control policy community and its supporting non-government organizations anywhere.

Read it all but this clip is the red meat. https://t.co/jXpCCnFL1r pic.twitter.com/NN8Y6W0l66
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
Baldassare Castiglione

https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

Capta

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Posted: 5/26/2024 2:48:31 PM EDT

[Last Edit: Capta] [#18]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Prime:
Video from inside the store.

At this moment it’s known that at least 16 people were killed in Russian airstrike on hardware store in Kharkiv.

Rescuers of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine dismantled about 30% of the debris.

Footages from video surveillance cameras from the inside of the store are… https://t.co/ejBcY5sKoq pic.twitter.com/d8j7zZkSp0
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 26, 2024

8-year-old Mykhailo didn't wait for his dad to come home. His father worked at the construction supermarket in Kharkiv and was at work during the Russian attack yesterday.

Since the boy is his only direct relative, investigators had to take his DNA to find his father.… https://t.co/mqf0x6dJgw pic.twitter.com/HclPbedWKC
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) May 26, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOgUBJSWAAAWU9i?format=jpg&name=large

"The whole family of a 20-year-old girl went shopping today in the area where two air bombs hit. Her 12-year-old sister and mother are no longer answering the phone, and they have not returned home. The father was with them - now he is in the hospital with a concussion. This girl… https://t.co/JePgmwdLuO pic.twitter.com/Ca8FnaXx9L
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) May 26, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOfNtaHXgAAkVC1?format=jpg&name=medium
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOfNta5XcAAmyvh?format=jpg&name=medium

View Quote

SONS-OF-BITCHES

No man knows the day and the hour, but if the time comes, better to stand with the righteous than piss your pants like a coward.

Prime

Advocatus Diaboli

Joined Apr 2009
Posts 30874
EE 100% (7)

VA, USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 3:00:21 PM EDT

[Last Edit: Prime] [#19]

Guerre d'Ukraine | 25/05/24

\uD83C\uDF10 Synthèse mouvements\uD83D\uDD39U240525-0908

Secteurs :
\uD83C\uDF10 Kupiansk-Ivanivka\uD83D\uDD39U240525-0856
\uD83C\uDF10 Avdiivka-Ocheretyne\uD83D\uDD39U240525-0904

\uD83C\uDF10 Historique des cartes#UkraineRussianWar #GuerreEnUkraine pic.twitter.com/JT5J57x5Px
Poulet volant (@Pouletvolant3) May 26, 2024

Guerre d'Ukraine - Semaine 21 | 2024

Couleurs des étiquettes :

Ukraine
Gains (+ 0 km²) \uD83D\uDFE8
Pertes (- 54.06 km²) \uD83D\uDFE6

Russie | LPR | DPR
Gains (+ 70.09 km²) \uD83D\uDFE5
Pertes (- 0.3 km²) ?? #UkraineRussianWar #GuerreEnUkraine pic.twitter.com/pbEAcbHqTH
Poulet volant (@Pouletvolant3) May 26, 2024

\uD83D\uDDFA? Russian forces advanced south and reached the school no.2 in Vovchansk, Kharkiv Oblast. #RussiaUkraineWar pic.twitter.com/8VxLvuPzik
Spatial Grounds (@spatialgrounds) May 26, 2024

Source link

\uD83D\uDDFA? Russian forces made additional gains in Krasnohorivka and advanced towards the center. #RussiaUkraineWar pic.twitter.com/jIvd27p7dz
Spatial Grounds (@spatialgrounds) May 26, 2024

https://t.me/creamy_caprice/5635

“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
Baldassare Castiglione

https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

Brok3n Member Joined Dec 2004 Posts 12515 EE 98% (52) USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 3:50:29 PM EDT [#20] Russia: Wagner mercenaries got into a mass brawl with local bandits in Chelyabinsk and were winning. Then bandit reinforcements arrived and shot up the mercenaries. These Wagnerites have now called up their Wagner brethren to come down on the city and destroy the bandits. \uD83C\uDF7F pic.twitter.com/UAbYM9kSQO Igor Sushko (@igorsushko) May 26, 2024

AlmightyTallest Member Joined May 2007 Posts 30670 EE 0% (0) PA, USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 3:50:51 PM EDT [#21] A LOT of videos showing Rusdian POWs in the last 72 hours. Ukraine forces appear to have advanced somewhere. https://t.co/K3fmAjUijd Malcontent News (@MalcontentmentT) May 26, 2024
	It's not stupid, it's advanced!!

AlmightyTallest

Member

Joined May 2007
Posts 30671
EE 0% (0)

PA, USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 3:54:08 PM EDT

[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest] [#22]

Waiting for more evidence. This would be another strategic over the horizon radar hit if true.

\uD83E\uDD85 Russians reports that the probable target of the UAV in the Orenburg region was the Voronezh M over-the-horizon radar

\uD83D\uDCE1 The radar is located 30 km from Orsk and 1,600 km from the border with Ukraine. In local publications, some write that one UAV reached the target. pic.twitter.com/LTC1cK6EpE
— MAKS 24 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6\uD83D\uDC40 (@Maks_NAFO_FELLA) May 26, 2024

If Ukraine took out another Russian over-the-horizen radar, be ready, for a shit-load of vatniks crying \uD83D\uDE2D
And ESCALATION talks. https://t.co/vNigJY5y6i
— Kvist.P \uD83C\uDDE9\uD83C\uDDF0\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@kvistp) May 26, 2024

It's not stupid, it's advanced!!

Brok3n Member Joined Dec 2004 Posts 12516 EE 98% (52) USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 3:56:09 PM EDT [#23] Videos of HIMARS strikes on a reported Russian Zhitel EW system and 1L219 Zoopark-1 counter-battery radar.https://t.co/WRnztRCqBh https://t.co/7wwHFhsCWq pic.twitter.com/CNAzExiNH0 Rob Lee (@RALee85) May 26, 2024

Brok3n Member Joined Dec 2004 Posts 12517 EE 98% (52) USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 3:57:55 PM EDT [#24] Video of a Russian T-90M tank recovered by Ukraine's 225th Assault Battalion. https://t.co/jG5C74hqOY pic.twitter.com/wKQ7rGbvkp Rob Lee (@RALee85) May 26, 2024 Nice..

Brok3n Member Joined Dec 2004 Posts 12518 EE 98% (52) USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 3:59:57 PM EDT [#25]

Prime Advocatus Diaboli Joined Apr 2009 Posts 30875 EE 100% (7) VA, USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 4:01:05 PM EDT [#26] Azov 3rd Brigade artillery using AS-90s. ?????????? ??? – ??????? ?????????: ????????? ????? ?????? ???????????? 3 ???? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yBG_BilDtN4
	“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.” Baldassare Castiglione https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

Brok3n Member Joined Dec 2004 Posts 12519 EE 98% (52) USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 4:01:09 PM EDT [#27] Just how many TM-62s are in existence? Donetsk Oblast, a Ukrainian drone from the 93rd Mechanized Brigade drops a massive twin TM-62 landmine bomb on a disabled Russian tank. Roughly 34 pounds (15kg) of explosives dropped by the drone. pic.twitter.com/Ap6xYRKqtd OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) May 26, 2024

Capta

Member

Joined Oct 2009
Posts 9668
EE 100% (59)

USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 4:03:01 PM EDT

[#28]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Brok3n:

Russia: Wagner mercenaries got into a mass brawl with local bandits in Chelyabinsk and were winning. Then bandit reinforcements arrived and shot up the mercenaries.
These Wagnerites have now called up their Wagner brethren to come down on the city and destroy the bandits. \uD83C\uDF7F pic.twitter.com/UAbYM9kSQO
Igor Sushko (@igorsushko) May 26, 2024

View Quote

Coming soon to a Russian city near you!

No man knows the day and the hour, but if the time comes, better to stand with the righteous than piss your pants like a coward.

Banditman Member Joined May 2007 Posts 36326 EE 100% (5) FL, USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 4:05:35 PM EDT [#29] Quote History Originally Posted By Brok3n: Video of a Russian T-90M tank recovered by Ukraine's 225th Assault Battalion. https://t.co/jG5C74hqOY pic.twitter.com/wKQ7rGbvkp Rob Lee (@RALee85) May 26, 2024 Nice.. View Quote Neat-O
	Let us never forget, government has no resources of its own. Government can only give to us what it has previously taken from us.

Prime

Advocatus Diaboli

Joined Apr 2009
Posts 30876
EE 100% (7)

VA, USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 4:13:38 PM EDT

[#30]

Quote History

Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Waiting for more evidence. This would be another strategic over the horizon radar hit if true.

\uD83E\uDD85 Russians reports that the probable target of the UAV in the Orenburg region was the Voronezh M over-the-horizon radar

\uD83D\uDCE1 The radar is located 30 km from Orsk and 1,600 km from the border with Ukraine. In local publications, some write that one UAV reached the target. pic.twitter.com/LTC1cK6EpE
— MAKS 24 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6\uD83D\uDC40 (@Maks_NAFO_FELLA) May 26, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOh1shQXMAAfHFh?format=jpg&name=900x900

If Ukraine took out another Russian over-the-horizen radar, be ready, for a shit-load of vatniks crying \uD83D\uDE2D
And ESCALATION talks. https://t.co/vNigJY5y6i
— Kvist.P \uD83C\uDDE9\uD83C\uDDF0\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@kvistp) May 26, 2024

View Quote

This seems to sum it up from the Russian side.

❗️A UAV fell near Orsk in the Orenburg region. We learned about this from confirmed sources. There is information that there were no serious damages.

For now, that's all we can report at this time.

https://t.me/ruorsk/49810

“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
Baldassare Castiglione

https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

Prime

Advocatus Diaboli

Joined Apr 2009
Posts 30877
EE 100% (7)

VA, USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 4:17:38 PM EDT

[#31]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Brok3n:
Just how many TM-62s are in existence?

Donetsk Oblast, a Ukrainian drone from the 93rd Mechanized Brigade drops a massive twin TM-62 landmine bomb on a disabled Russian tank.

Roughly 34 pounds (15kg) of explosives dropped by the drone. pic.twitter.com/Ap6xYRKqtd
OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) May 26, 2024

View Quote

“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
Baldassare Castiglione

https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

Brok3n Member Joined Dec 2004 Posts 12520 EE 98% (52) USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 4:21:33 PM EDT [#32] Video of a Russian turtle tank struck by FPVs from Ukraine's 71st Jaeger Brigade. 31/https://t.co/psZVjgTUed pic.twitter.com/0xQwy4lWGk Rob Lee (@RALee85) May 26, 2024

Brok3n

Member

Joined Dec 2004
Posts 12521
EE 98% (52)

USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 4:22:07 PM EDT

[#33]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Prime:

https://cf-images.eu-west-1.prod.boltdns.net/v1/static/2685123856001/4fce6261-8153-44ee-86c7-54e37e71682e/0f8b50f0-9c27-4185-a475-b0a0c0b61d46/1280x960/match/image.jpg

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Originally Posted By Prime:

Originally Posted By Brok3n:
Just how many TM-62s are in existence?

Donetsk Oblast, a Ukrainian drone from the 93rd Mechanized Brigade drops a massive twin TM-62 landmine bomb on a disabled Russian tank.

Roughly 34 pounds (15kg) of explosives dropped by the drone. pic.twitter.com/Ap6xYRKqtd
OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) May 26, 2024

https://cf-images.eu-west-1.prod.boltdns.net/v1/static/2685123856001/4fce6261-8153-44ee-86c7-54e37e71682e/0f8b50f0-9c27-4185-a475-b0a0c0b61d46/1280x960/match/image.jpg

Holy shit!

jungatheart

Beginner's Mind

Joined Apr 2011
Posts 10903
EE 100% (1)

TX, USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 4:22:50 PM EDT

[#34]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Brok3n:

Russia: Wagner mercenaries got into a mass brawl with local bandits in Chelyabinsk and were winning. Then bandit reinforcements arrived and shot up the mercenaries.
These Wagnerites have now called up their Wagner brethren to come down on the city and destroy the bandits. \uD83C\uDF7F pic.twitter.com/UAbYM9kSQO
Igor Sushko (@igorsushko) May 26, 2024

View Quote

I find it interesting that none of them have guns.

Just a stranger on the bus trying to find his way home.

4xGM300m

Member

Joined Mar 2009
Posts 10936
EE 0% (0)

USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 4:35:20 PM EDT

[#35]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Brok3n:

Holy shit!

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Originally Posted By Brok3n:

Originally Posted By Prime:

Originally Posted By Brok3n:
Just how many TM-62s are in existence?

Donetsk Oblast, a Ukrainian drone from the 93rd Mechanized Brigade drops a massive twin TM-62 landmine bomb on a disabled Russian tank.

Roughly 34 pounds (15kg) of explosives dropped by the drone. pic.twitter.com/Ap6xYRKqtd
OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) May 26, 2024

https://cf-images.eu-west-1.prod.boltdns.net/v1/static/2685123856001/4fce6261-8153-44ee-86c7-54e37e71682e/0f8b50f0-9c27-4185-a475-b0a0c0b61d46/1280x960/match/image.jpg

Holy shit!

Video

„From a place you will not hear, comes a sound you will not see.“

Thanks for the membership @ Toaster

Prime

Advocatus Diaboli

Joined Apr 2009
Posts 30878
EE 100% (7)

VA, USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 4:39:40 PM EDT

[Last Edit: Prime] [#36]

I've seen a lot of accounts touting this Bain and Company consulting report Sky News is publicizing about Russians beating the West 3-to-1 shell production.

I don't buy it because the text shows a lot of typical consulting tricks (See text⬇️) ...

Russian shell crisis 🧵
1/

I've seen a lot of accounts touting this Bain and Company consulting report Sky News is publicizing about Russians beating the West 3-to-1 shell production.

I don't buy it because the text shows a lot of typical consulting tricks (See text??) ...

Russian shell crisis \uD83E\uDDF5
1/ https://t.co/wk2PCnkUIt pic.twitter.com/UCrYQYLi9n
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

Our defense industrial base is not fixed. Meantime Russia and China have massive industrial bases with far lower costs.

Our individual systems *might* be better. But quantity has a quality all its own, as the Ukraine War is showing again. https://t.co/dzpp3lX0y7
Elbridge Colby (@ElbridgeColby) May 26, 2024

https://news.sky.com/story/russia-is-producing-artillery-shells-around-three-times-faster-than-ukraines-western-allies-and-for-about-a-quarter-of-the-cost-13143224

View Quote

...aiming to get non-technically educated reporters and policy makers to reach a conclusion that open source data on the Russian shell supply chain simply doesn't support.

Bain & Company is a global consulting firm like McKenzie group.

2/https://t.co/F7KM6YvYaV
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

"Directed cognition" is their product.

As a retired US DoD Quality auditor who spent about 40-to-50 hours piecing together the open source State Dept, DTRA & declassified CIA data for the Soviet/Russian shell supply chain in August 2022...

3/https://t.co/rsrs37L6V4
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

Alright folks, let's strap in for the most important logistical thread\uD83E\uDDF5of the Russo-Ukrainian War.

This thread is about how much artillery ammunition the Russian Army has left over from the Cold War and what shape it is in.

It's going to be a ride.
1/ pic.twitter.com/D1xUk0HBff
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) August 15, 2022

View Quote

...I will demonstrate how Bain is manipulating reporters & Western gov't policy makers with Bain's own words.

Words which tell selected truths out of context in an order meant to manipulate a "Directed cognition" conclusion.

4/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

First See Bain here:

"As a result, Ukrainian artillerymen on the frontline say for every one round they fire against Russian positions, the invading troops can launch around five shells back."

4/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

Bain is using a partial truth here to tell a lie by avoiding context.

The context of DPRK's massive shipments of shells to Russia starting in late Summer 2023.

It was when Western intel finally admitted Soviet era shell stocks weren't infinite.https://t.co/UFtUYx2Q0f
5/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

This document gives a total artillery ammunition storage of 6 million metric tons of packaged ammunition allocated as follows:

3 million tons to the Western Theater,
1 million tons to the Southern Theater and
2 million to the Far Eastern Theater.

17/ pic.twitter.com/BNiHJyOLVV
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) August 15, 2022

View Quote

It was the time of the Russo-Ukrainian War when Russia finally blew through it's stocks of Cold War era shells and reached out to North Korea and Iran for ex-Soviet shells.https://t.co/e5P9FnICIW
6/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

After extensive research and analysis of North Korean deliveries to Russia using various sources and calculations, we estimate that Russia has received around 2,000 cargo containers containing over half a million artillery shells. The article link is at the end of this \uD83E\uDDF5thread: pic.twitter.com/1XRqXYmjbS
— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) October 31, 2023

Remember, in May-June 2022 Russia was firing between 45,000 and 65,000 shells a day versus Ukraine's 1k to 2K shells.

It was just before US GMLRS intervention in July 2022 killed RuAF's shell depots and blunted Russia's Sievierodonetsk offensive.

7/https://t.co/LPB6va5fq8
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

Individual day shellfire rates vary a lot, & in early June, Ukraine was on the wrong end of a 45K to 1K or 2K shell ratio in Donbas per General Zaluzhny (Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine - UNIAN)

3/https://t.co/1fLBF5pH5g
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) August 15, 2022

It took another year of hard fighting for Russian Cold War shell reserves to finally require augmenting from North Korea and Iran.

This takes us to our next Bain statement:

8/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

"The Bain & Company’s research on artillery rounds discovered that Russian factories were forecast to manufacture or refurbish approximately 4.5 million artillery shells this year."

That was a good example of Bain lying with statistics.

9/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

The 4.5 million shells is split into two parts.

First, 3 million in new shell production and 1.5 million in refurbishing old shells annually.

Hint:
Those 3 million new shells are not all 152mm. The are every shell from 82mm mortars upwards.

10/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

Russian reflexive control infowar propaganda always compares all new RuAF shells to only 155mm Western shell production.

I love @AndrewPerpetua pithy comments on the many Western analysts (like Bain) that have bought that Russian infowar propaganda.https://t.co/BRbILM0NDO
11/ pic.twitter.com/kkVemagF1A
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

I have an idea. Every time someone uses the total number of Russian mortar + 122 + 152 ammo production to 155mm production, they have to donate 1/4 of their salary to the Czech ammo purchase. Does that seem fair?
Andrew Perpetua (@AndrewPerpetua) May 26, 2024

View Quote

The other 1.5 million "refurbished shells" represent Russia's response to Ukraine's post 2014-2015 ATO industrial requirement for 500K a year of refurbished shells.

Putin's oil money made it happen.

Ukraine's poor economy never met its industrial shell requirements.

12/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

All that popped out while I was researching State Department, DTRA and CIA reports on old Soviet Shells.

It's clear Bain's authors read those reports too...

13/https://t.co/kpXJ2hXEGw pic.twitter.com/DGPkRT7T6B
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

So in March 2013 Nikolay Parshin, the Head of the Main Missile and Artillery Directorate of the Defence Ministry, announced a program to build 500 climate controlled concrete
26/ https://t.co/5OtPYdVzo7
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) August 15, 2022

View Quote

...because of their weasley wording here:

"It is unclear what proportion of the total number is refurbished and produced. Still, this number is significantly higher than the 1.3 million shells that the United States and European countries are expected to produce."

14/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

Russia used its 1.5 million shell a year refurbishing capability to the maximum extent possible from February 2022 until October 2023.

When Western Intelligence acknowledged, belatedly, that Russian controlled ex-Soviet Cold War surplus shell stocks ran out.

15/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

I'll grant to Bain that some number of imported DPRK & Iranian shells are going through Russian shell refurbishment.

That Russian industrial refurbishment capability isn't adding new shell capacity/count.

It is making imported shells safe for Mobiks to use.

16/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

And Western Intelligence thinks Russia has cleaned out DPRK & Iranian shell stockpiles.

ROK intelligence said 6,700 ISO containers left DPRK with some combination between 3 million 152mm shells or 5 million* 122mm shells.

17/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

[* The ROK media report typo-ed that as 500,000 122mm shells.]

The math for wood vapor barrier proof Soviet package of two 122mm shells works out to ~33 tons of 122mm ammo an ISO container, times 6,700 containers.

18/https://t.co/Z703wijy4S
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

Russian's package two 122mm shells in a box weighing ~85 kg.

5,250,000 122mm shells is ~223,125 tons of packaged artillery ammunition for a Syrian 122mm gun park firing a little over three shells a day.

35/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) August 15, 2022

We have no clue - open source - as to how much artillery Russia provided to fight in Syria.

Nor do we know how much Russian ammo blew up before the latest Russian invasion kicked off.

The various error bars I've played with run from Russia had enough artillery ammo for
36/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) August 15, 2022

...another year to Russia ran out already.

For senior Russian military officers, Ukraine's @Himarstime has been a blessing in helping cover up the extent of their corruption in building & maintaining the Russian artillery arm.

37/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) August 15, 2022

My gut feeling here - which is all I have because the available data simply won't confess - Russia has enough artillery ammunition for this war.

It won't be able to used what is left, nor be able to replace it.

38/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) August 15, 2022

And Russia without artillery shells for its Army isn't a great power

39/End
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) August 15, 2022

View Quote

Now we get to Bain's "Jedi mind trick" sentence-

"In addition to faster production and refurbishment, the cost of producing 152mm artillery shells in Russia hovers around $1,000 per unit."

19/ pic.twitter.com/kyXVInflxW
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

Cost and shell industrial capability are one thing if you have all the necessary chemical feed stocks.

Russia doesn't.

And it doesn't to the tune of 700,000 152mm shells made with Western sanctions busting construction grade explosives in 2023.

20/ pic.twitter.com/mZiP2RdZUI
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

Given the extensive Western media coverage of this illegal construction grade explosive trade, and the corporations doing it, that @Schizointel detailed in a number of treads.

Russia is down 700,000 152mm shells worth of explosives for 2024

21/
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

So, 3 million RuAF shells of all types, minus 700,000 152mm shells of explosives...

...verus 1.3 million Western 155mm shells in 2024, plus other Western & AFU funded shells of all calibers...

... looks like a trend to Ukrainian shell advantage, just as the Russians run out of artillery tubes, while Ukraine makes 1 million drones.

https://x.com/TrentTelenko/status/1559013707400679426
22/22 End

So, 3 million RuAF shells of all types, minus 700,000 152mm shells of explosives...

...verus 1.3 million Western 155mm shells in 2024, plus other Western & AFU funded shells of all calibers...

... looks like a trend to Ukrainian shell advantage, just as the Russians run out… pic.twitter.com/08axb02AT1
Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) May 26, 2024

“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
Baldassare Castiglione

https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

Capta

Member

Joined Oct 2009
Posts 9669
EE 100% (59)

USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 4:55:19 PM EDT

[Last Edit: Capta] [#37]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Prime:

\uD83D\uDCE1Russian over-the-horizon early detection radar station "Voronezh-DM" in the Krasnodar region of Russia was damaged as a result of Ukrainian drone attack .

The strike was carried out by an attack drones on the morning of May 23, 2024.

430km from the frontline (44.9251758,… pic.twitter.com/7Z7Qhio9c6
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 24, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVc0QcXEAAoswP?format=jpg&name=large
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVc0QcWgAAynh0?format=jpg&name=large

/2. Location of the Voronezh-DM early warning radar station.

Also a handy illustration which approximately shows areas covered by each of the Russian early warning radar stations. Voronezh-DM is signed as «???????». pic.twitter.com/ZwsiJoBE4r
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 24, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVeYc_W4AAlU0_?format=jpg&name=900x900
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVeYc3XUAMqKUD?format=jpg&name=900x900
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVeYc4XsAA-O9c?format=jpg&name=medium

/3. Short video of the damaged Voronezh-DM in Armavir published by Russian sources. pic.twitter.com/GOAjMdi3Hx
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 24, 2024

View Quote View All Quotes

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Quote History

Originally Posted By Prime:

\uD83D\uDCE1Russian over-the-horizon early detection radar station "Voronezh-DM" in the Krasnodar region of Russia was damaged as a result of Ukrainian drone attack .

The strike was carried out by an attack drones on the morning of May 23, 2024.

430km from the frontline (44.9251758,… pic.twitter.com/7Z7Qhio9c6
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 24, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVc0QcXEAAoswP?format=jpg&name=large
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVc0QcWgAAynh0?format=jpg&name=large

/2. Location of the Voronezh-DM early warning radar station.

Also a handy illustration which approximately shows areas covered by each of the Russian early warning radar stations. Voronezh-DM is signed as «???????». pic.twitter.com/ZwsiJoBE4r
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 24, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVeYc_W4AAlU0_?format=jpg&name=900x900
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVeYc3XUAMqKUD?format=jpg&name=900x900
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVeYc4XsAA-O9c?format=jpg&name=medium

/3. Short video of the damaged Voronezh-DM in Armavir published by Russian sources. pic.twitter.com/GOAjMdi3Hx
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 24, 2024

Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Waiting for more evidence. This would be another strategic over the horizon radar hit if true.

\uD83E\uDD85 Russians reports that the probable target of the UAV in the Orenburg region was the Voronezh M over-the-horizon radar

\uD83D\uDCE1 The radar is located 30 km from Orsk and 1,600 km from the border with Ukraine. In local publications, some write that one UAV reached the target. pic.twitter.com/LTC1cK6EpE
— MAKS 24 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6\uD83D\uDC40 (@Maks_NAFO_FELLA) May 26, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOh1shQXMAAfHFh?format=jpg&name=900x900

If Ukraine took out another Russian over-the-horizen radar, be ready, for a shit-load of vatniks crying \uD83D\uDE2D
And ESCALATION talks. https://t.co/vNigJY5y6i
— Kvist.P \uD83C\uDDE9\uD83C\uDDF0\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@kvistp) May 26, 2024

@AlmightyTallest

Quoting back to PRIME’S post about the Vorozeh OTH radar hit last week. Note the system coverage diagram. The radar reportedly just hit is the one in Orsk - the other OTH radar which covers Iran.
I’ll go on record making the call that Ukraine is doing Israel a quid-pro-quo favor: destroy the Russian OTH radars theoretically capable of detecting F-35s striking Iran. Ergo, a full strike on Iran’s nuclear program is impending and possibly imminent.
Israel has successfully extended the combat radius of its F-35s (see links below) and has some aerial refueling capability. Un-refueled radius is likely to be around 850 miles. This is sufficient for strikes anywhere in Iran. It’s also sufficient to fly to Ukraine un-refueled - 900 miles from Tel Aviv to Odesa.

I’ll dive a bit into extrapolation.
I take it as fact that Russia assisted Iran/Hamas’ attack on Israel, and that a defacto alliance exists between Russia and Iran. This means that an attack on Iran, which Israel sees as necessary and existential, could bring about a state of war or “conflict short of war” with Russia. Therefore, in going down that path, Israel also needs to think about its deterrent ability vis-a-vis Russia.
Israel’s latest Jericho nuclear IRBMs can reach targets in Russia that matter - again, dovetailing with Ukraine’s destruction of the OTH radars pointing towards Israel. Additionally, F-35s can reach Ukraine from Israel and from there, could range throughout most of southern Russia at will with either nuclear bombs, or wreaking pure havoc with guided munitions.
Ukraine for its cooperation makes Russia’s strategic situation much, much worse, and possibly gets access to a proxy nuclear deterrent force in Israeli F-35s with nukes.

Article about Israel’s development of LR fuel tanks for the F-35.

Says Israel has succeeded.

No man knows the day and the hour, but if the time comes, better to stand with the righteous than piss your pants like a coward.

Pants223 Hold my stones Joined Apr 2003 Posts 2831 EE 100% (9) WA, USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 6:12:55 PM EDT [#38] Quote History Originally Posted By 4xGM300m: Video View Quote That's nuts!

Prime

Advocatus Diaboli

Joined Apr 2009
Posts 30879
EE 100% (7)

VA, USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 6:32:24 PM EDT

[#39]

1/6\uD83E\uDDF5Shahed Attacks: 25-26MAY2024

Approximate Overview pic.twitter.com/QI3xkjodWV
Shahed Tracker (@ShahedTracker) May 26, 2024

2/6: Shahed Launches
A total of 31 Shahed type UAVs were launched from Cape Chauda, Primorsko-Akhtarsk and Yeysk.
A total of 31 were claimed destroyed:
11 in Dnipropetrovsk
6 in Khmelnytskyi
5 in Zaporizhzhia
3 in Mykolaiv
2 in Poltava
1 in Kirovohrad
1 in Odesa pic.twitter.com/76xfb89YHw
Shahed Tracker (@ShahedTracker) May 26, 2024

“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
Baldassare Castiglione

https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

voyager3 Joined Sep 2022 Posts 472 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 6:49:22 PM EDT [#40] Quote History Originally Posted By jungatheart: I find it interesting that none of them have guns. View Quote Welcome to the world outside the USA.

Banditman Member Joined May 2007 Posts 36328 EE 100% (5) FL, USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 7:12:55 PM EDT [#41] Quote History Originally Posted By Pants223: That's nuts! View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quote History Originally Posted By Pants223: Originally Posted By 4xGM300m: Video That's nuts! That truck could have been used as a huge IED
	Let us never forget, government has no resources of its own. Government can only give to us what it has previously taken from us.

Capta Member Joined Oct 2009 Posts 9671 EE 100% (59) USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 7:14:36 PM EDT [#42] Russia's Kharkiv Offensive and Leadership Purge - Shoigu's removal, Kharkiv & What next for Ukraine? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=829nvzjbPPA Jon Sweet and Mark Toth - Washington Must Now Greenlight the Use of US-made Weapons to Strike Russia https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cOICb7EcGu8
	No man knows the day and the hour, but if the time comes, better to stand with the righteous than piss your pants like a coward.

ServusVeritatis

Member

Joined May 2006
Posts 31422
EE 100% (126)

GA, USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 7:24:25 PM EDT

[#43]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Easterner:

This shit sickens me.

View Quote View All Quotes

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Quote History

Originally Posted By Easterner:

Originally Posted By Prime:
Video from inside the store.

At this moment it’s known that at least 16 people were killed in Russian airstrike on hardware store in Kharkiv.

Rescuers of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine dismantled about 30% of the debris.

Footages from video surveillance cameras from the inside of the store are… https://t.co/ejBcY5sKoq pic.twitter.com/d8j7zZkSp0
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 26, 2024

8-year-old Mykhailo didn't wait for his dad to come home. His father worked at the construction supermarket in Kharkiv and was at work during the Russian attack yesterday.

Since the boy is his only direct relative, investigators had to take his DNA to find his father.… https://t.co/mqf0x6dJgw pic.twitter.com/HclPbedWKC
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) May 26, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOgUBJSWAAAWU9i?format=jpg&name=large

"The whole family of a 20-year-old girl went shopping today in the area where two air bombs hit. Her 12-year-old sister and mother are no longer answering the phone, and they have not returned home. The father was with them - now he is in the hospital with a concussion. This girl… https://t.co/JePgmwdLuO pic.twitter.com/Ca8FnaXx9L
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) May 26, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOfNtaHXgAAkVC1?format=jpg&name=medium
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOfNta5XcAAmyvh?format=jpg&name=medium

This shit sickens me.

“But it was a secret base….uh, yea….on isle 3 near paint dept at 12 noon with the public around.”

lorazepam Member Joined Apr 2010 Posts 32535 EE 100% (7) WI, USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 7:48:41 PM EDT [#44]
	World ain't what it seems, is it Gunny?

Prime

Advocatus Diaboli

Joined Apr 2009
Posts 30880
EE 100% (7)

VA, USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 7:49:03 PM EDT

[#45]

Ukraine catch up thread 🧵for week ending Sunday 26th May 2024

Catching up on the past week, Ukraine's drone and missile strikes have had a very costly impact on Russian forces. From the Voronezh-DM radar, to the destruction of S-400 plus radar, to the sinking of the 'Tsiklon', the last working Karakurt class corvette in the Black Sea which was commissioned less than a year ago. There were other important strikes too, the impact of which we've yet to see.

Russian forces have been brought to a halt in north Kharkiv, and casualties are pretty bad from the KIA/MIA reports we've seen. They've resorted to lashing out at Kharkiv civilians, including the horrendous strike on the hardware store where at least 16 civilians have lost their lives.

Elsewhere though, Russian forces have had success such as on the Kharkiv/Luhansk front where they advanced into Berestove and Ivanivka. They also advanced across the rail line to capture the ruins of Klishchiivka. It is thought that Russia will reopen the Sumy front at some point in the near future, though at this stage we can't see it going any better than the Kharkiv front.

Ukrainian forces have had some very small tactical success, retaking some dacha areas near Pavlivka, as well as small gains north of Synkivka.

Mostly though it seems many attacks have been repelled, and things cannot be going the way Russia had hoped. East of Chasiv Yar in the Kanal district numerous assaults were repelled with substantial vehicular losses.

It was also the first week of Ukraine's mobilization. No large protests, plenty of sign ups. It'll be months before we see the trained troops on the front, but at least it is finally done.

Map: https://uacontrolmap.com

Ukraine catch up thread \uD83E\uDDF5for week ending Sunday 26th May 2024

Catching up on the past week, Ukraine's drone and missile strikes have had a very costly impact on Russian forces. From the Voronezh-DM radar, to the destruction of S-400 plus radar, to the sinking of the 'Tsiklon',… pic.twitter.com/Nv1Wk8sf0v
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

2/15 Ukraine's 1st Tank Brigade's Pegas drone group shows destroyed AFVs and more drone strikes near Staromaiorske
Coordinates: 47.738057, 36.761557
Map view: https://t.co/yQTxvLFtrS
Source: https://t.co/APCrQaF4bM
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

3/15 Grifon drone unit of the 36rd Marine Brigade hits a mortar position in Sofiivka
Coordinates: 46.837014, 33.630451
Map view: https://t.co/ItduLIsnX7
Source: https://t.co/reYYnMvHOG
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

4/15 Claimed destruction of a Ukrainian 2S1 Gvozdika self-propelled howitzer south of Serebryanka
Coordinates: 48.902421, 38.142303
Map view: https://t.co/6DDacPcqGG
Source: https://t.co/zDgtce3E8A
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

5/15 Damaged T-90M hit by FPV drone. Gun fires, suggesting a penetration, small fire erupts.
Coordinates: 48.588361, 37.883177
Map view: https://t.co/0LIsjBhkxw
Source: https://t.co/GPw7L02kzD
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

6/15 Russian flag raised in West Netailove.
Coordinates: 48.112048, 37.535794
Map view: https://t.co/L2FoBQcxVq
Source: https://t.co/qrJ2feORme
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

7/15 40th Artillery Brigade shelling in Kharkiv & Luhansk Oblast
Coordinates: 49.627194, 37.897511
Map view: https://t.co/G88EbYbBRo
Source: https://t.co/nEU40v1tiD
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

8/15 FPV drone of the "Phoenix" unit of the "Revenge" brigade destroyed another BTR-82A
Coordinates: 48.469198, 38.024249
Map view: https://t.co/ljHH8v8rWO
Source: https://t.co/7eK6oUBfA8
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

9/15 Drone of the 93rd "Kholodny Yar" Brigades "Black Raven" battalion's operators deployed a "mega drop" with double ammunition of anti-tank mines on a Russian tank
Coordinates: 48.525304, 37.988825
Map view: https://t.co/7OXyWGzz20
Source: https://t.co/GI2KlAU4AH
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

10/15 Ukrainian 18th National Guard brigade destroys a Russian BMD-3 east of Chasiv Yar.
Coordinates: 48.586135, 37.902885
Map view: https://t.co/O0TpQHvvx5
Source: https://t.co/4XRycgYnm6
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

11/15 Russian infantry under small arms fire attempting a CASEVAC east of Chasiv Yar
Coordinates: 48.60395, 37.895130
Map view: https://t.co/BmxEoZ3HKC
Source: https://t.co/ejt7vvIKqU
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

12/15 Ukrainian FPV drone spots two Russian infantrymen near Kyslivka train station and targets their position in nearby strip of forest
Coordinates: 49.640061, 37.917254
Map view: https://t.co/fZRf4nyfMi
Source: https://t.co/EtdF70wi8y
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

13/15 Russian FPV drones of 29th Army (likely 36th Motor Rifle Brigade) hit Ukrainian equipment in Pavlivka
Coordinates: 47.7556,37.253965
Map view: https://t.co/u66AZozY11
Source: https://t.co/TfBafoq1xp
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

14/15 81st Airmobile FPV drone hits Russian flag in Bilohorivka
Coordinates: 48.925204, 38.254738
Map view: https://t.co/YKRpGS4MWj
Source: https://t.co/iT3UKDu5Dy
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

15/15 Russian soldier x 2 on motorbike killed by small arms fire west of Novovodyane
Coordinates: 49.285936, 37.961796
Map view: https://t.co/Q4xyU8lnNe
Source: https://t.co/S9zaCxGEC6
Ukraine Control Map (@UAControlMap) May 26, 2024

View Quote

“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.”
Baldassare Castiglione

https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

AlmightyTallest

Member

Joined May 2007
Posts 30672
EE 0% (0)

PA, USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 7:49:23 PM EDT

[#46]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Capta:

@AlmightyTallest

Quoting back to PRIME’S post about the Vorozeh OTH radar hit last week. Note the system coverage diagram. The radar reportedly just hit is the one in Orsk - the other OTH radar which covers Iran.
I’ll go on record making the call that Ukraine is doing Israel a quid-pro-quo favor: destroy the Russian OTH radars theoretically capable of detecting F-35s striking Iran. Ergo, a full strike on Iran’s nuclear program is impending and possibly imminent.
Israel has successfully extended the combat radius of its F-35s (see links below) and has some aerial refueling capability. Un-refueled radius is likely to be around 850 miles. This is sufficient for strikes anywhere in Iran. It’s also sufficient to fly to Ukraine un-refueled - 900 miles from Tel Aviv to Odesa.

I’ll dive a bit into extrapolation.
I take it as fact that Russia assisted Iran/Hamas’ attack on Israel, and that a defacto alliance exists between Russia and Iran. This means that an attack on Iran, which Israel sees as necessary and existential, could bring about a state of war or “conflict short of war” with Russia. Therefore, in going down that path, Israel also needs to think about its deterrent ability vis-a-vis Russia.
Israel’s latest Jericho nuclear IRBMs can reach targets in Russia that matter - again, dovetailing with Ukraine’s destruction of the OTH radars pointing towards Israel. Additionally, F-35s can reach Ukraine from Israel and from there, could range throughout most of southern Russia at will with either nuclear bombs, or wreaking pure havoc with guided munitions.
Ukraine for its cooperation makes Russia’s strategic situation much, much worse, and possibly gets access to a proxy nuclear deterrent force in Israeli F-35s with nukes.

Article about Israel’s development of LR fuel tanks for the F-35.

Says Israel has succeeded.

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Originally Posted By Capta:

Originally Posted By Prime:

\uD83D\uDCE1Russian over-the-horizon early detection radar station "Voronezh-DM" in the Krasnodar region of Russia was damaged as a result of Ukrainian drone attack .

The strike was carried out by an attack drones on the morning of May 23, 2024.

430km from the frontline (44.9251758,… pic.twitter.com/7Z7Qhio9c6
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 24, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVc0QcXEAAoswP?format=jpg&name=large
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVc0QcWgAAynh0?format=jpg&name=large

/2. Location of the Voronezh-DM early warning radar station.

Also a handy illustration which approximately shows areas covered by each of the Russian early warning radar stations. Voronezh-DM is signed as «???????». pic.twitter.com/ZwsiJoBE4r
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 24, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVeYc_W4AAlU0_?format=jpg&name=900x900
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVeYc3XUAMqKUD?format=jpg&name=900x900
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOVeYc4XsAA-O9c?format=jpg&name=medium

/3. Short video of the damaged Voronezh-DM in Armavir published by Russian sources. pic.twitter.com/GOAjMdi3Hx
— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) May 24, 2024

Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Waiting for more evidence. This would be another strategic over the horizon radar hit if true.

\uD83E\uDD85 Russians reports that the probable target of the UAV in the Orenburg region was the Voronezh M over-the-horizon radar

\uD83D\uDCE1 The radar is located 30 km from Orsk and 1,600 km from the border with Ukraine. In local publications, some write that one UAV reached the target. pic.twitter.com/LTC1cK6EpE
— MAKS 24 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6\uD83D\uDC40 (@Maks_NAFO_FELLA) May 26, 2024

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GOh1shQXMAAfHFh?format=jpg&name=900x900

If Ukraine took out another Russian over-the-horizen radar, be ready, for a shit-load of vatniks crying \uD83D\uDE2D
And ESCALATION talks. https://t.co/vNigJY5y6i
— Kvist.P \uD83C\uDDE9\uD83C\uDDF0\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@kvistp) May 26, 2024

@AlmightyTallest

Quoting back to PRIME’S post about the Vorozeh OTH radar hit last week. Note the system coverage diagram. The radar reportedly just hit is the one in Orsk - the other OTH radar which covers Iran.
I’ll go on record making the call that Ukraine is doing Israel a quid-pro-quo favor: destroy the Russian OTH radars theoretically capable of detecting F-35s striking Iran. Ergo, a full strike on Iran’s nuclear program is impending and possibly imminent.
Israel has successfully extended the combat radius of its F-35s (see links below) and has some aerial refueling capability. Un-refueled radius is likely to be around 850 miles. This is sufficient for strikes anywhere in Iran. It’s also sufficient to fly to Ukraine un-refueled - 900 miles from Tel Aviv to Odesa.

I’ll dive a bit into extrapolation.
I take it as fact that Russia assisted Iran/Hamas’ attack on Israel, and that a defacto alliance exists between Russia and Iran. This means that an attack on Iran, which Israel sees as necessary and existential, could bring about a state of war or “conflict short of war” with Russia. Therefore, in going down that path, Israel also needs to think about its deterrent ability vis-a-vis Russia.
Israel’s latest Jericho nuclear IRBMs can reach targets in Russia that matter - again, dovetailing with Ukraine’s destruction of the OTH radars pointing towards Israel. Additionally, F-35s can reach Ukraine from Israel and from there, could range throughout most of southern Russia at will with either nuclear bombs, or wreaking pure havoc with guided munitions.
Ukraine for its cooperation makes Russia’s strategic situation much, much worse, and possibly gets access to a proxy nuclear deterrent force in Israeli F-35s with nukes.

Article about Israel’s development of LR fuel tanks for the F-35.

Says Israel has succeeded.

Thanks, it certainly could be an interesting scenario we could be seeing. It also has the benefit of Ukraine hitting Russian strategic targets that degrade it's ability in a nuclear strike and yet shows NATO that Russia isn't going to do very much about it. So let the weapons we give to them be used on Russian territory without restrictions.

It's not stupid, it's advanced!!

Prime Advocatus Diaboli Joined Apr 2009 Posts 30881 EE 100% (7) VA, USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 7:50:24 PM EDT [#47] The first images of Ukrainian prisoners joining the ranks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Dmytro Savchenko, an Officer of the 1st Separate Assault Battalion reports. pic.twitter.com/rmsoDbAnOX — NOELREPORTS \uD83C\uDDEA\uD83C\uDDFA \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@NOELreports) May 26, 2024
	“If by chance you were to ask me which ornaments I would desire above all others in my house, I would reply, without much pause for reflection, arms and books.” Baldassare Castiglione https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

fadedsun

Supreme member

Joined Apr 2004
Posts 53844
EE 100% (26)

UKR

Posted: 5/26/2024 7:50:42 PM EDT

[#48]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Capta:

@AlmightyTallest

Quoting back to PRIME’S post about the Vorozeh OTH radar hit last week. Note the system coverage diagram. The radar reportedly just hit is the one in Orsk - the other OTH radar which covers Iran.
I’ll go on record making the call that Ukraine is doing Israel a quid-pro-quo favor: destroy the Russian OTH radars theoretically capable of detecting F-35s striking Iran. Ergo, a full strike on Iran’s nuclear program is impending and possibly imminent.
Israel has successfully extended the combat radius of its F-35s (see links below) and has some aerial refueling capability. Un-refueled radius is likely to be around 850 miles. This is sufficient for strikes anywhere in Iran. It’s also sufficient to fly to Ukraine un-refueled - 900 miles from Tel Aviv to Odesa.

I’ll dive a bit into extrapolation.
I take it as fact that Russia assisted Iran/Hamas’ attack on Israel, and that a defacto alliance exists between Russia and Iran. This means that an attack on Iran, which Israel sees as necessary and existential, could bring about a state of war or “conflict short of war” with Russia. Therefore, in going down that path, Israel also needs to think about its deterrent ability vis-a-vis Russia.
Israel’s latest Jericho nuclear IRBMs can reach targets in Russia that matter - again, dovetailing with Ukraine’s destruction of the OTH radars pointing towards Israel. Additionally, F-35s can reach Ukraine from Israel and from there, could range throughout most of southern Russia at will with either nuclear bombs, or wreaking pure havoc with guided munitions.
Ukraine for its cooperation makes Russia’s strategic situation much, much worse, and possibly gets access to a proxy nuclear deterrent force in Israeli F-35s with nukes.

Article about Israel’s development of LR fuel tanks for the F-35.

Says Israel has succeeded.

View Quote

Smart man.

connoisseur of fine Soviet and European armored vehicles

https://t.me/arfcom_ukebros

Let's go Brandon

CINCAFUGD

Lieh-tzu

Joined Dec 2013
Posts 18837
EE 100% (3)

WI, USA

Posted: 5/26/2024 7:51:33 PM EDT

[#49]

Quote History

Originally Posted By urbanredneck:
Russia kept volaing turkish airspace so Turkey shot down a russian fighter. I believe the incursions stopped. US told Russia to back off with its paramilitary units in Syria so Trump ordered combined arms Hulk Smash on them.... and we had no more problems.

I pretty sure Taiwan is capable of knocking out Chinese assets that are violating territorial waters. They should learn a lesson. Nothing like a few sunk ships and down aircraft to send a message.

View Quote

Russia is not China, and Turkey is not Taiwan. Taiwan needs to be prepared for full-on war to result from any act of self-defense or repulse of incursion. Russia has no intention of full-scale war, invasion, and conquest of Syria or Turkey. PRC absolutely means full-scale war, invasion, and conquest for Taiwan, and would likely be unable to resist any provocation. I fear the time when Taiwan could actually fire with some semblance of superiority is gone. China might be willing to significantly accelerate their invasion timetable if Taiwan sunk a few ships or shot down a few aircraft.

We really need to deliver that $19.5 billion arms package to Taiwan ASAP. That would be the biggest response.

AlmightyTallest Member Joined May 2007 Posts 30673 EE 0% (0) PA, USA	Posted: 5/26/2024 7:53:24 PM EDT [Last Edit: AlmightyTallest] [#50] NSFW. Machine gunned on a motorcycle assault. https://x.com/GloOouD/status/1794828098237792441
	It's not stupid, it's advanced!!

Russia / Iran / China - The New Axis Megathread (Page 89 of 145)

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