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Posted: 10/5/2016 10:40:54 PM EDT
[#1]
I put up my storm shutters, brought in everything, tied down the trailer, bought a bunch of gas, water, and food.
My challenging of Murphy's law saves everyone on the east coast from Michael, except you Florida. Sorry. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 10:42:32 PM EDT
[#2]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I put up my storm shutters, brought in everything, tied down the trailer, bought a bunch of gas, water, and food. My challenging of Murphy's law saves everyone on the east coast from Michael, except you Florida. Sorry. We are good in S Florida. I shuttered up and secured everything. 1200% guarantee it won't hit where I am now. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 10:43:18 PM EDT
[#3]
My fiances parents live in Sebastian and are finally bugging out and coming here to Tampa.
Her dad is all kinds of pissed because he was dead set on riding it out.  |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 10:43:33 PM EDT
[#4]
Latest map shows it pulling more to the east. Looks like South Florida is going to be safe.
Coastal northern Florida doesn't look so good |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 10:44:35 PM EDT
[#5]
Just got our mandatory evacuation for St. Augustine. GET THE FECK OUT! they said.
 I beat them to the punch. I should have some goo time-lapse GoPro footage when I get back Saturday. http://www.actionnewsjax.com/news/local/st-johns-county-mandatory-evacuation-order-now-includes-entire-city-of-st-augustine/453938281 |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 10:46:33 PM EDT
[#6]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
The webcams in Exumas are out, and the ones in Nassau are starting to show increased winds. Probably only 20 knots so far. NOAA 8 p.m. forecast is out. Doesn't look like track has moved at all. That sucks I was planning on taking the old lady in a few weeks to see the piggies |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 10:55:28 PM EDT
[#7]
Good luck to everyone, looks like it might be a cat 5 again by this time tomorrow.
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:05:53 PM EDT
[#8]
Great info guys. Keep the updates coming. I remember the Katrina thread, and I remember that Arfcom was ahead of the Haliburton Hurricane machine at every turn.
This time, George Bush hates middle-class white people, (including Cubans). 
Good luck all. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:06:35 PM EDT
[#9]
What do I do? I'm about 8 miles inland in Southside Jax. I've never been in a hurricane before. Is it dumb for me to ride it out? Or should I bug it to Tampa to my in laws?
No clue what I'm doing here
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:07:48 PM EDT
[#10]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Great info guys. Keep the updates coming. I remember the Katrina thread, and I remember that Arfcom was ahead of the Haliburton Hurricane machine at every turn. This time, George Bush hates middle-class white people, (including Cubans). Good luck all. Hence the hurricane going to Palm Beach to attack Trump and the flip to then punish us. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:09:14 PM EDT
[#11]
Quote HistoryQuoted: What do I do? I'm about 8 miles inland in Southside Jax. I've never been in a hurricane before. Is it dumb for me to ride it out? Or should I bug it to Tampa to my in laws? No clue what I'm doing here |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:15:57 PM EDT
[#12]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Yeah, secure your shit and boggie out to the inlaws. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
What do I do? I'm about 8 miles inland in Southside Jax. I've never been in a hurricane before. Is it dumb for me to ride it out? Or should I bug it to Tampa to my in laws? No clue what I'm doing here This. Dont fuck around even if you know what you are doing. It's really not worth it. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:16:15 PM EDT
[#13]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
What do I do? I'm about 8 miles inland in Southside Jax. I've never been in a hurricane before. Is it dumb for me to ride it out? Or should I bug it to Tampa to my in laws? No clue what I'm doing here Get your shit secured and get out. This is shaping up to be pretty nasty. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:23:29 PM EDT
[#14]
Did it do much damage in Hati, and the other places it has impacted? Have not heard too much about loss of life. If a third world country can make it through I am sure those on the east coast can. Seems like media hype to get an upswing in sales/viewers/government funds for states.
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:23:54 PM EDT
[#15]
Fuel cans loaded in my truck. Guns loaded in cases. Ammo cans ready to load.
Now I wait. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:25:38 PM EDT
[#16]
Anyone want some company or help? Have my own supplies and can bring generator. Serious inquiry.
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:25:42 PM EDT
[#17]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Did it do much damage in Hati, and the other places it has impacted? Have not heard too much about loss of life. If a third world country can make it through I am sure those on the east coast can. Seems like media hype to get an upswing in sales/viewers/government funds for states. It killed 16 people. No media there, they're all in FL. Get out, hurricane force winds and floods are nothing to mess with . |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:26:57 PM EDT
[#18]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Did it do much damage in Hati, and the other places it has impacted? Have not heard too much about loss of life. If a third world country can make it through I am sure those on the east coast can. Seems like media hype to get an upswing in sales/viewers/government funds for states. 11 deaths in Haiti |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:28:36 PM EDT
[#19]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Did it do much damage in Hati, and the other places it has impacted? Have not heard too much about loss of life. If a third world country can make it through I am sure those on the east coast can. Seems like media hype to get an upswing in sales/viewers/government funds for states. When you don't have anything to lose, you don't lose much when you lose everything. Put differently, if you built your house out of stuff you found in the streets, when all the houses blow down, you can build another one out of the stuff laying around. It doesn't work the same in a highly developed place. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:28:48 PM EDT
[#20]
My friend lives in Freeport and is riding it out in this building. It's the cable building for the fiber optics that run from the US to the Bahamas. This isn't their first hurricane and he is not very concerned. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:31:34 PM EDT
[#21]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
What do I do? I'm about 8 miles inland in Southside Jax. I've never been in a hurricane before. Is it dumb for me to ride it out? Or should I bug it to Tampa to my in laws? No clue what I'm doing here Fo. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:33:45 PM EDT
[#22]
Climate models lying, who would have thought?
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:35:37 PM EDT
[#23]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
What do I do? I'm about 8 miles inland in Southside Jax. I've never been in a hurricane before. Is it dumb for me to ride it out? Or should I bug it to Tampa to my in laws? No clue what I'm doing here Being in one before doesn't really prepare you for being in another one. It just means your house didn't get blown away the first time. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:38:09 PM EDT
[#24]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Latest map shows it pulling more to the east. Looks like South Florida is going to be safe. https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201614_model_zoom.gif Coastal northern Florida doesn't look so good |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:39:13 PM EDT
[#25]
Miami checking in.
Shuttered up
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:40:26 PM EDT
[#26]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
The only model on that map that is even remotely good at handling tropical systems is the GFS. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
Latest map shows it pulling more to the east. Looks like South Florida is going to be safe. https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201614_model_zoom.gif Coastal northern Florida doesn't look so good The GFS model has the eye far away from South Florida....should only expect some mild winds if that's the case. Melbourne will get hit hard though |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:40:36 PM EDT
[#27]
It sure would suck to be in NE Fla now and boogie over to the SW on the gulf side only to have this thing loop around and cut across later. I hope those noodles are wrong.
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:42:17 PM EDT
[#28]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Did it do much damage in Hati, and the other places it has impacted? Have not heard too much about loss of life. If a third world country can make it through I am sure those on the east coast can. Seems like media hype to get an upswing in sales/viewers/government funds for states. How many were lost during Katrina? People die with just rain flooding of streets in the USA. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:43:00 PM EDT
[#29]
Quote HistoryQuoted: The GFS model has the eye far away from South Florida....should only expect some mild winds if that's the case. Melbourne will get hit hard though Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: Latest map shows it pulling more to the east. Looks like South Florida is going to be safe. https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201614_model_zoom.gif Coastal northern Florida doesn't look so good The GFS model has the eye far away from South Florida....should only expect some mild winds if that's the case. Melbourne will get hit hard though Based on current run, GFS at 30 hrs has center 10 miles E of Stuart Florida... Current pressure down to 958 with a closed eye. This will be a Cat4 by morning. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:43:31 PM EDT
[#30]
I'm in the Riverside area of Jacksonville. But I'm about 6 blocks away from the river. This storm is probably going to be very bad, but I am staying put. We will see. I have friends out towards the beaches that I think should leave, but they are not yet.
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:45:50 PM EDT
[#31]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I'm in the Riverside area of Jacksonville. But I'm about 6 blocks away from the river. This storm is probably going to be very bad, but I am staying put. We will see. I have friends out towards the beaches that I think should leave, but they are not yet. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:46:35 PM EDT
[#32]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Based on current run, GFS at 30 hrs has center 10 miles E of Stuart Florida... Current pressure down to 958 with a closed eye. This will be a Cat4 by morning. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Latest map shows it pulling more to the east. Looks like South Florida is going to be safe. https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201614_model_zoom.gif Coastal northern Florida doesn't look so good The GFS model has the eye far away from South Florida....should only expect some mild winds if that's the case. Melbourne will get hit hard though Based on current run, GFS at 30 hrs has center 10 miles E of Stuart Florida... Current pressure down to 958 with a closed eye. This will be a Cat4 by morning. And possibly a Cat 5 by landfall. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:48:18 PM EDT
[#33]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I'm in the Riverside area of Jacksonville. But I'm about 6 blocks away from the river. This storm is probably going to be very bad, but I am staying put. We will see. I have friends out towards the beaches that I think should leave, but they are not yet. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:50:07 PM EDT
[#34]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Do you know if the river will be impacted by storm surge? Have you checked your flood maps lately? May be wise to get out if you can. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
I'm in the Riverside area of Jacksonville. But I'm about 6 blocks away from the river. This storm is probably going to be very bad, but I am staying put. We will see. I have friends out towards the beaches that I think should leave, but they are not yet. Weather channel is saying storm surge from St Aug up through S.C. is going to be very very bad! GTFO! These areas have not seen a storm like this since the 1890's. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:51:54 PM EDT
[#35]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Yeah, secure your shit and boggie out to the inlaws. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
What do I do? I'm about 8 miles inland in Southside Jax. I've never been in a hurricane before. Is it dumb for me to ride it out? Or should I bug it to Tampa to my in laws? No clue what I'm doing here Take this man's advice, please. He should know. |
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:54:42 PM EDT
[#36]
Quote HistoryQuoted: And possibly a Cat 5 by landfall. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Latest map shows it pulling more to the east. Looks like South Florida is going to be safe. https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201614_model_zoom.gif Coastal northern Florida doesn't look so good The GFS model has the eye far away from South Florida....should only expect some mild winds if that's the case. Melbourne will get hit hard though Based on current run, GFS at 30 hrs has center 10 miles E of Stuart Florida... Current pressure down to 958 with a closed eye. This will be a Cat4 by morning. And possibly a Cat 5 by landfall. Some of the models today are good at forecasting direction of tropical systems, but still lack greatly in targeting intensity.
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Posted: 10/5/2016 11:56:07 PM EDT
[#37]
I'm in Daytona 10 miles inland. I have family in Orlando, and I'm heading there tomorrow. I can get the house fixed.
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Posted: 10/6/2016 EDT
[#38]
Classic buzzsaw structure. This thing is getting ready to bomb out overnight. Frightened to what we will be waking up to.
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Posted: 10/6/2016 12:00:51 AM EDT
[#39]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Honestly, biggest fear right now is if the storm's hurricane force windfield were to expand in size. The only 'good' thing Matt has going for it right now is that it is a fairly compact storm. If the upper level winds spread out and mix down to the surface, we could have a really serious situation on our hands with much of the Florida peninsula in hurricane force winds vs. Tropical Storm force winds as it is currently modeled. Some of the models today are good at forecasting direction of tropical systems, but still lack greatly in targeting intensity. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: The only model on that map that is even remotely good at handling tropical systems is the GFS. The GFS model has the eye far away from South Florida....should only expect some mild winds if that's the case. Melbourne will get hit hard though Based on current run, GFS at 30 hrs has center 10 miles E of Stuart Florida... Current pressure down to 958 with a closed eye. This will be a Cat4 by morning. And possibly a Cat 5 by landfall. Honestly, biggest fear right now is if the storm's hurricane force windfield were to expand in size. The only 'good' thing Matt has going for it right now is that it is a fairly compact storm. If the upper level winds spread out and mix down to the surface, we could have a really serious situation on our hands with much of the Florida peninsula in hurricane force winds vs. Tropical Storm force winds as it is currently modeled. Some of the models today are good at forecasting direction of tropical systems, but still lack greatly in targeting intensity. I agree. Right now hurricane force winds only extend ~45 miles from the eye wall. Given the fact that it appears to be reforming and the temperature and depth of the water it's in, it could well spread out rather quickly as it strengthens. |
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Posted: 10/6/2016 12:01:57 AM EDT
[#40]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Take this man's advice, please. He should know. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
What do I do? I'm about 8 miles inland in Southside Jax. I've never been in a hurricane before. Is it dumb for me to ride it out? Or should I bug it to Tampa to my in laws? No clue what I'm doing here Take this man's advice, please. He should know. My address is not in one of the evacuation zones. What does that mean? I'm trying to figure it out but can't seem to find an answer. Do evacuation zones change? |
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Posted: 10/6/2016 12:04:24 AM EDT
[#41]
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Posted: 10/6/2016 12:04:49 AM EDT
[#42]
I remember the Katrina threads. I'm wishing all the east coast /Florida arfcommers all the best luck. Stay safe!
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Posted: 10/6/2016 12:05:42 AM EDT
[#43]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
My address is not in one of the evacuation zones. What does that mean? I'm trying to figure it out but can't seem to find an answer. Do evacuation zones change? Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
What do I do? I'm about 8 miles inland in Southside Jax. I've never been in a hurricane before. Is it dumb for me to ride it out? Or should I bug it to Tampa to my in laws? No clue what I'm doing here Take this man's advice, please. He should know. My address is not in one of the evacuation zones. What does that mean? I'm trying to figure it out but can't seem to find an answer. Do evacuation zones change? You asked a question and got your answer. Leave. |
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Posted: 10/6/2016 12:06:19 AM EDT
[#44]
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Posted: 10/6/2016 12:07:23 AM EDT
[#45]
Quote HistoryQuoted: My address is not in one of the evacuation zones. What does that mean? I'm trying to figure it out but can't seem to find an answer. Do evacuation zones change? Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: What do I do? I'm about 8 miles inland in Southside Jax. I've never been in a hurricane before. Is it dumb for me to ride it out? Or should I bug it to Tampa to my in laws? No clue what I'm doing here Take this man's advice, please. He should know. My address is not in one of the evacuation zones. What does that mean? I'm trying to figure it out but can't seem to find an answer. Do evacuation zones change? That being said, this is one of those situations where common sense should trump the law. Get the hell out and be safe. |
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Posted: 10/6/2016 12:14:41 AM EDT
[#46]
Quote HistoryThey still have 8 or 9 hours before it gets there too. |
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Posted: 10/6/2016 12:15:15 AM EDT
[#47]
God speed ladies and gentlemen.
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Posted: 10/6/2016 12:15:17 AM EDT
[#48]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
You asked a question and got your answer. Leave. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
What do I do? I'm about 8 miles inland in Southside Jax. I've never been in a hurricane before. Is it dumb for me to ride it out? Or should I bug it to Tampa to my in laws? No clue what I'm doing here Take this man's advice, please. He should know. My address is not in one of the evacuation zones. What does that mean? I'm trying to figure it out but can't seem to find an answer. Do evacuation zones change? You asked a question and got your answer. Leave. I guess I can't ask anymore questions  I'm probably bugging out tomorrow morning
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Posted: 10/6/2016 12:20:31 AM EDT
[#49]
In case you had any doubt how serious hurricane Matthew will be, direct from the NWS for Florida:
-Potential impacts: Devastating to locally catastrophic -Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete Roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile Homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne Projectiles. -Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or Months. -Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences And roadway signs blown over. -Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within Urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, And access routes impassable. -Widespread power and communications outages. |
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Posted: 10/6/2016 12:25:23 AM EDT
[#50]
00z canadian model has a fl landfall and a chs landfall.
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