[ARCHIVED THREAD] - Quake prediction.... (Page 1 of 3)
Posted: 6/15/2010 3:44:15 PM EDT
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I've decided to make make updates to this first post - chonological. This post is now my observations only.
2010-06-15 I say we will see magnitude 7 quake within the next three days. Question is, where? What say you? 2010-06-16 Scary, yet intriguing at the same time. First, I’m not a physicist of any type and I don’t work for a government agency from the alphabet soup. I stay away from the conspiracy stories, anything from the internet I take with a grain of salt and look at it as cheap entertainment. I’m not trying to open a debate on who, how or why… just something to consider. My prediction, posted Tuesday afternoon was induced by two martinis followed by twenty minutes of browsing one of the space weather type of sites. The theory is like this…. Seems there are many solar events that can pound the magnetosphere of the earth - Seems to follow that shortly after a good pounding we encounter a major quake. Potentially the solar pounding is energizing/heating the core of the earth and we encounter the major quakes as the energy dissipates. Others have observed the inverse, that a complete lack of solar activity followed by significant activity brings on an earthquake, Chile. Too bad that people wrap their opinions and agendas around the exploration of data correleations in science, why, because they can not understand or accept the concepts. Takes away from the science. There was recently a report in the MSM regarding the work of some physicists that are correlationg solar activity to earthquakes - I'll try to find a link. This is a good pounding: 
2010-06-24 Transition from Calm to Activity Looks like this transition started around 2010-06-24 16:13:31 UT  
2010-06-25 Activity for 22+ Hours My next update will be the Transition from Activity to Calm, after that event I would anticipate / predict a 7.0 quake to follow within three days. 
2010-06-25 Activity for 24+ hours 
2010-06-25 Activity for 26+ Hours 
2010-06-25 Activity for 32+ Hours 
2010-06-26 Transition from Activity to Calm 6.9 Solomon Islands 2010-06-27 02:42 UT Back to Active - Lets see how long this activity lasts and when it transitions to Calm 
Back to Calm with nothing to be concerned over. 2010-06-29 19:40 UT Velocity coming up and the Density is waffling around, maybe this will simply blow by without incident. But if it remains strong Activity for the next twelve hours then i think the stage is set, if it is followed by Calm. No prediction until after the Activity has crossed 12 hours, then I'll update the date in the subject line. 
Quoted:
6.5 today in Chile. OMFG - Here it is - it came and went while i was not watching the images, sound asleep in my bed. 
Solar activity has been very calm for days: 
2010-07-28 2:12 UT My previous earthquake predictions are four for four with major quakes, this time I am deviating from my approach and giving in to the warnings coming from NASA and Space Weather as an early warning, prior to my usual observation based predictions. Within Three days prior to July 30 or three days after July 30 a major quake above 6.0 - and now to add fuel to the fire of deviation, for the first time a location - CONUS West Coast. Lets hope I am wrong. |
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Quoted:
you mean the October 21st web bot crowd. 
If a prophet consistently fails in his predictions why would you continue to listen??? Even a blind chicken finds a kernal of corn once in a while. I would take the Old Farmer Almanac Moon rides high/runs low with much more credability. That seems to work if you check it after a big quake |
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Quoted:
I say we will see magnitude 7 quake within the next three days. Question is, where? I keep tabs on the webbots crowd, they are pretty excited/keen about major quakes being linked to solar activity. What say you? Where do the webbot people hang out? I would honestly like to observe them...for science. |
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Quoted:
Quoted:
I say we will see magnitude 7 quake within the next three days. Question is, where? I keep tabs on the webbots crowd, they are pretty excited/keen about major quakes being linked to solar activity. What say you? Where do the webbot people hang out? I would honestly like to observe them...for science. I think they cluster around deposits of soylent green...... |
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Nailed it!
Strong earthquakes hit eastern Indonesia, killing at least 3 and collapsing homes The 7.0 magnitude quake was centered 18 miles (29 kilometers) beneath the ocean floor and 125 miles (195 kilometers) off the northern coast of Papua province, the U.S. Geological Survey said on its website. It was accompanied by a series of strong aftershocks, the highest measuring 6.4. |
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Quoted:
is that really that odd to have a 3 day period w/o a level 7 earth quake somewhere on the globe? I mean anywhere, including the most remote parts of the ocean? Possibly not....looks like there have been two that have been 7+ in the past 7 days.....would need to trend a lot more data for accuracy... http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php |
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Quoted:
Quoted:
is that really that odd to have a 3 day period w/o a level 7 earth quake somewhere on the globe? I mean anywhere, including the most remote parts of the ocean? Possibly not....looks like there have been two that have been 7+ in the past 7 days.....would need to trend a lot more data for accuracy... http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php Well, scanning this list for quakes for the past 8-30 days I only saw one other 7+ quake, so maybe it's more rare than thought. I'm interested in webbots though, I don't know anything about them and would like to learn more. |
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Scary, yet intriguing at the same time.
First, I’m not a physicist of any type and I don’t work for a government agency from the alphabet soup. I stay away from the conspiracy stories, anything from the internet I take with a grain of salt and look at it as cheap entertainment. I’m not trying to open a debate on who, how or why… just something to consider. My prediction, posted Tuesday afternoon was induced by two martinis followed by twenty minutes of browsing one of the space weather type of sites. The theory is like this…. Seems there are many solar events that can pound the magnetosphere of the earth - Seems to follow that shortly after a good pounding we encounter a major quake. Potentially the solar pounding is energizing/heating the core of the earth and we encounter the major quakes as the energy dissipates. Others have observed the inverse, that a complete lack of solar activity followed by significant activity brings on an earthquake, Chile. Too bad that people wrap their opinions and agendas around the exploration of data correleations in science, why, because they can not understand or accept the concepts. Takes away from the science. There was recently a report in the MSM regarding the work of some physicists that are correlationg solar activity to earthquakes - I'll try to find a link. This is a good pounding: 
http://www2.nict.go.jp/y/y223/simula...ime/index.html |
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yes,
the relationship b/t the sun electro magnatism & the earth's core & magnetosphere is not well understood perhaps but is know to be. It is not unreasonable to say that such solar activity can have an effect on the geology of the earth, especially if correlative data supports it. The earths magnetic axis is in a direct relationship w/ the sun's you know. When the sun's moves, so does the earth's. There is also a theory & correlative data the the earth's gravitational relationship w/ the moon has an effect on earthquakes. Basically when the moon is closest to the earth & when the moon sun & earch all line up & the gravitational forces are strongest & tides are most active there is increased earthquake activity. Thought to be gravitatiol loading of the shifting waters on the earth as well as loading and friction b/t the plates building up energy. |
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Here we go again......
On the bring up.... from calm to active we have the following:
If this activity lasts about 24 to 36 hours and then returns to calm, anticipate 7.0 magnitude quake to follow within three days. IMO the same risk is associated to this time period, the transition from calm to activity. I hope I am wrong....... |
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Quoted:
It takes balls to come on here and predict an earthquake. To actually be right is astounding. To predict another quake, you have to be toting grapefruit sized steel clanging balls. Or..............make mighty good martinis.  Oh hell yes! Here is a toast to really hairy, grapefruit sized clanging steel balls. Hell yes. Now what do those webBots have to say about a hemispheric scale methane inferno centered on or about the gulf of mexico? Let's get it on. |
Can you send me a PM if you see the magnetic field reverse? I need to make sure I keep current as we know they are expected to swich any day now 
Seriously, it would be interestting to see if you could find a source of historical data and then compare it using statistical tools to see if there is something here or pure random coincidence. The data should be out there! |
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Hmmm. 6.9 in the Solomon's a few minutes ago. Pretty close if you ask me.
USGS Seismic monitor Maybe someone is finally getting the science sorted out on this issue. |
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So my question is...
How do you guys want to see the next earthquake prediction? Not like it is of much value from a SHTF perspective because I can not even guess at location..... But, even with that, I did top off the fuel tanks on the BOV. Probably, I'll update the Subject with the date and post both into the first post an additional post into this thread. People can review the prior results and judge for themselves. |
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You, Sir, are a genuine Prophet of DOOM, and, I might add you throw very nice graphics into your brand of fun.
Well done, please continue with your updates. I wonder if the azimuthal position of the Earth, relative to Sun and Moon has a correlative predictor of the general region of the resultant earth movements? Might at least narrow it down to hemisphere, or quadrant. Also consider tidal effects, as in local mean high or low water as a possible trigger point. ./ . . I will log off now, and fill all remaining petroleum storage vessels. |
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There are more events coming around, as the sun turns - so this high level of activity could continue for a few more days - once if backs off, then the glass shatters and we could see another quake of 7.0 magnitude.
Think of it like a piece of glass, you put it in the oven and heat it up to a good temp, as soon as you remove the glass from the heat it shatters. |