WILLIAMSBURG, Va. - Democrat Mark R. Warner concluded four years as governor Saturday with unprecedented public support and returned home to decide if he's ready for a 2008 run for president.
In a state that hasn't backed a Democrat for president in 42 years, Warner holds broad bipartisan appeal, and network pundits and national publications have been debating his potential as a centrist alternative to Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York.
Warner, 51, has done plenty to encourage the speculation, though he isn't ready to say he's in.
Over the past six months, he has traveled extensively to major Democratic gatherings and visited the early nominating states of Iowa and New Hampshire. His federal political action committee took in $2.5 million in its first fundraiser last month.
"I want to be part of the debate, but there's still a long way to go from being part of the debate to taking the plunge," Warner said in an interview during his closing weeks in Richmond.
"There's serious family considerations with daughters 16, 14 and 11, and there's also, independent of family, a personal gut check to say `Are you ready to take on the challenge of running?'" Warner said.
In the final weeks before his term ended Saturday and fellow Democrat Timothy M. Kaine was sworn in to replace him, Warner gained wide attention by ordering DNA tests in old criminal cases, after five men were found to have been wrongfully convicted. In one case, DNA testing he ordered confirmed last week that a man who had insisted he was innocent right up to his execution in 1992, was guilty of rape and murder.
"The governor is to be commended for doing that," said University of Virginia criminal law professor Richard Bonnie. "In the past the tendency among governors and legislators has been basically to say this is a judicial responsibility. It really is everyone's responsibility."
Warner also commuted a death row inmate's sentence to life without parole because DNA evidence in his case was improperly destroyed.
"It seems to be increasingly clear that there really is no political risk to take these concerns about innocence seriously," Bonnie said.
If Virginia were not the only state to deny its governors consecutive terms, Warner said, he would have sought re-election rather than entertain thoughts of running for president. He is more forthcoming about his desire to run for governor again in 2009 than he is about when or whether he will declare himself a presidential candidate.
His reluctance is well-advised, said Larry J. Sabato, director of U.Va's Center for Politics. Enter the race early and Warner risks peaking too soon and making himself a target for Clinton and other rivals for the Democratic nomination. A poor showing in the presidential race could harm him if he runs for governor again, Sabato said.
"This is going to be a very difficult race just to get the nomination, not to mention winning the general election," Sabato said. "The alternative is that he could practically ask for the Virginia governorship in 2009 and have it — his for the asking if he doesn't have a loss on his record in 2008."
The irony is that Warner's popularity came largely from breaking a campaign promise not to raise taxes.
Stung by a $6 billion budget shortfall and with Wall Street threatening to downgrade the state's perfect bond rating for the first time, Warner campaigned statewide for the tax increases. The public support it yielded allowed him to push the plan through an anti-tax, GOP-dominated House of Delegates.
Statewide polls last summer and fall found that about three-fourths of those surveyed rated Warner's performance as good or excellent and believed Virginia was on the right track.
The only other former Virginia governor who even comes close to that level of job approval is George Allen, now a Republican U.S. senator with presidential aims of his own.
doubtful...what do yall think??