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Posted: 6/22/2016 12:27:42 PM EDT

From the above link:

Russia’s 2016 New START data, released by the Department of State, indicate that since New START’s entry into force (EIF) in 2011, Russia has increased its deployed warheads. Russia has reached 1,735 deployed warheads, an increase of 198 warheads since New START’s EIF when Russia had 1,537 deployed warheads.[url=http://www.nipp.org/2016/06/21/schneider-mark-russias-growing-strategic-nuclear-forces-and-new-start-treaty-compliance/#_edn1][i][/url] Russia is now 185 warheads above the New START Treaty limit. U.S. data for the same period indicate the U.S. cut its warheads from 1,800 to 1,481, 69 below the New START limit of 1,550.[url=http://www.nipp.org/2016/06/21/schneider-mark-russias-growing-strategic-nuclear-forces-and-new-start-treaty-compliance/#_edn2][ii][/url] The Russian increase is even more impressive when it is compared with their level of 1,400 warheads in October 2013.[url=http://www.nipp.org/2016/06/21/schneider-mark-russias-growing-strategic-nuclear-forces-and-new-start-treaty-compliance/#_edn3][iii][/url] From this baseline, the increase is 325 warheads or about 24%.

According to Bill Gertz, an Obama administration official told him, "The Russians are doubling their [nuclear] warhead output,” and, "They will be exceeding the New START [arms treaty] levels because of MIRVing these new systems.”[url=http://www.nipp.org/2016/06/21/schneider-mark-russias-growing-strategic-nuclear-forces-and-new-start-treaty-compliance/#_edn4][iv][/url] Gertz also reported Russia had added over 150 more warheads during the past year.


In 2014, Brian McKeon (then a senior NSC official and now Principal Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Policy) stated that in September 2010 the Senate had been informed of a compliance issue that "implicated possibly New START, possibly INF.”[url=http://www.nipp.org/2016/06/21/schneider-mark-russias-growing-strategic-nuclear-forces-and-new-start-treaty-compliance/#_edn8][viii][/url] Also, in December 2014, Russian ICBM force Commander Colonel-General Sergey Karakayev said, "There are currently around 400 missiles [ICBMs] with warheads on combat duty.”[url=http://www.nipp.org/2016/06/21/schneider-mark-russias-growing-strategic-nuclear-forces-and-new-start-treaty-compliance/#_edn9][ix][/url] Yet, Russia’s declared strategic force numbers make it impossible for Russia to have more than about 300 ICBMs legally "with warheads on combat duty.”


Another possible compliance issue could concern heavy-bomber counting rules. In 2012, the Commander of the Russian Air Force stated that the Su-34 long-range strike fighter would be given "long-range missiles…Such work is under way and I think that it is the platform that can solve the problem of increasing nuclear deterrence forces within the Air Force strategic aviation.”[url=http://www.nipp.org/2016/06/21/schneider-mark-russias-growing-strategic-nuclear-forces-and-new-start-treaty-compliance/#_edn11][xi][/url] This cannot be done legally without declaring the Su-34 to be a heavy bomber which has not been done.


In March 2015, Russia’s Ambassador to Denmark Mikhail Vanin made, perhaps, the most explicit of the nuclear targeting threats: "I don’t think that Danes fully understand the consequence if Denmark joins the American-led missile defence shield. If they do, then Danish warships will be targets for Russian nuclear missiles.”[url=http://www.nipp.org/2016/06/21/schneider-mark-russias-growing-strategic-nuclear-forces-and-new-start-treaty-compliance/#_edn36][xxxvi][/url] In 2016, Dr. Keith Payne observed, "Russian leaders, for example, have said that Romania could be turned into "smoking ruins,” and that Poland will be in its "cross hairs.”[url=http://www.nipp.org/2016/06/21/schneider-mark-russias-growing-strategic-nuclear-forces-and-new-start-treaty-compliance/#_edn37][xxxvii][/url]

Russian nuclear strategy appears to call for nuclear first use for "de-escalation” of a conflict. In June 2015, U.S. Deputy Secretary of Defense Robert Work and then-Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Admiral James Winnefeld observed, "Russian military doctrine includes what some have called an ‘escalate to de-escalate’ strategy—a strategy that purportedly seeks to deescalate a conventional conflict through coercive threats, including limited nuclear use,” a policy they categorized as "playing with fire.”[url=http://www.nipp.org/2016/06/21/schneider-mark-russias-growing-strategic-nuclear-forces-and-new-start-treaty-compliance/#_edn38][xxxviii][/url] In March 2016, Robert Scher, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy, Plans and Capabilities, testified before the Congress that Russia has "adopted a pattern of reckless nuclear posturing and coercive threats. Russia remains in violation of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty and remains unreceptive to the President’s offer to negotiate further reductions in strategic nuclear weapons below the limits of the New START Treaty.” He continued, "Russia’s purported doctrine of nuclear escalation to deescalate a conventional conflict amounts to a reckless gamble for which the odds are incalculable and the outcome could prove catastrophic.”

I hope this becomes more widespread knowledge. No surprise that 0bama is unilaterally disarming us in comparison.


Link Posted: 6/22/2016 1:49:20 PM EDT
And no one will do a thing. The Russians know that they'll get away with it.
Link Posted: 6/22/2016 1:56:14 PM EDT
Thanks, Obama.
Link Posted: 6/22/2016 2:22:54 PM EDT
We should keep selling them our radioactive materials. Also good thing we negotiated so that Iran gives them all their yellow cake to.
Link Posted: 6/22/2016 2:28:03 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By swede1986:
And no one will do a thing. The Russians know that they'll get away with it.
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I believe you are correct.

Link Posted: 6/22/2016 2:48:14 PM EDT
The Russians will do the math, and come to the conclusion they can win an exchange if this continues.

Link Posted: 6/22/2016 2:51:42 PM EDT
Link Posted: 6/22/2016 3:02:23 PM EDT

Obama fucking sucks and is a dangerous SOB, that's what.
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