Poll: Campaigns Must Maintain Intensity

Site Notices

Why Women Need Guns | Supporting Ladies EDC

[ARCHIVED THREAD] - Poll: Campaigns Must Maintain Intensity

Posted: 8/26/2004 6:24:55 AM EDT

Poll: Campaigns Must Maintain Intensity

Email this Story

Aug 26, 10:07 AM (ET)

By WILL LESTER

WASHINGTON (AP) - Voters are so deadlocked on their choice for president that the campaigns will need to focus on keeping the intensity of support high and turning them out on Election Day, according to pollsters who conducted a bipartisan survey.

The overall race between Democrat John Kerry and President Bush, a Republican, remains deadlocked.

Kerry showed little movement in the head-to-head matchup with Bush after the Democratic National Convention last month in Boston, gaining slightly in some polls. A new Los Angeles Times poll on Thursday gave Bush the edge.

But Kerry has solidified support among key groups, like blacks and union voters, according to the bipartisan Battleground Poll, and is now running even with the incumbent on strength of support.

That poll found that 84 percent of voters say they have made a definite choice for president, compared with 64 percent who said that at a comparable time in the late summer of 2000.

Bush will attempt to influence the electorate at the Republican National Convention next week in New York.

"Realistically, the Bush campaign should expect little or no bounce ... because of the polarized political environment," said Republican pollster Ed Goeas, who joined Democrat Celinda Lake in conducting the poll sponsored by George Washington University. Lake agreed.

"There's nobody left to bounce," she said. "The undecided voters, who tend to be female and non-college, will decide late."

A key for Bush after the convention will be regaining an advantage in the intensity of support, Goeas said.

The poll found that evangelical Christians, a Republican leaning group, have been contacted by campaign workers at a higher rate than blacks and Hispanics, who tend to lean Democratic. Lake said that means Democrats need to push hard to match the GOP outreach.

The poll found Kerry and running mate John Edwards backed by 48 percent, Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney backed by 47 percent and independents Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo backed by 3 percent.

The poll of 1,000 likely voters was conducted Aug. 15-17 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

The Los Angeles Times poll found Bush with 49 percent of support to Kerry's 46 percent, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The telephone poll of 1,352 registered voters nationwide was conducted Saturday through Tuesday.

---

On the Net:

Tarrance Group: http://www.tarrance.com

Do you personally know anyone that 'Does Not' know who they are voting for?

I can not think of anyone.

BigDozer66

Posted: 8/26/2004 6:31:34 AM EDT

[#1]

Quoted:

Do you personally know anyone that 'Does Not' know who they are voting for?

I can not think of anyone.

BigDozer66

But how many people do you know might change thier mind if new revalations about a candidate are brought out, if they were huge revelations? As close as the pools are, it wouldn't take many to make a big difference.

Posted: 8/26/2004 9:11:21 AM EDT

[#2]

Unless someone brought out some proof that GW was humpin' goats then probably no one!

Of course John F'n sKerry already humps a goat.

BigDozer66

Posted: 8/26/2004 9:13:12 AM EDT

[#3]

I have done door-to-door, and trust me, plenty of people are undecided. The VAST majority are decided, but those who aren't determine the president.

Posted: 8/26/2004 9:27:56 AM EDT

[#4]

Quoted:
I have done door-to-door, and trust me, plenty of people are undecided. The VAST majority are decided, but those who aren't determine the president.

S_W,
There are a lot of people who tell you they are undecided because they are non-confrontational.

What would make someone 'not' know who to vote for already?
Lack of morals?
Weak minded?

I just haven't put a precise answer to it.

BigDozer66

Posted: 8/26/2004 9:30:44 AM EDT

[#5]

Quoted:
Quoted:
I have done door-to-door, and trust me, plenty of people are undecided. The VAST majority are decided, but those who aren't determine the president.

S_W,
There are a lot of people who tell you they are undecided because they are non-confrontational.

What would make someone 'not' know who to vote for already?
Lack of morals?
Weak minded?

I just haven't put a precise answer to it.

BigDozer66

There are some that I've talked to for more than 10 seconds, who definitely are undecided. I saw quite a few undecided people at the fair. They'd come up asking for literature, tell us they weren't sure who to vote for, walk down to the Democrat booth and pick up some Kerry literature.

I think it's just ignorance.

[ARCHIVED THREAD] - Poll: Campaigns Must Maintain Intensity

General » General Discussion

Win a FREE Membership!

Sign up for the ARFCOM weekly newsletter and be entered to win a free ARFCOM membership. One new winner* is announced every week!

You will receive an email every Friday morning featuring the latest chatter from the hottest topics, breaking news surrounding legislation, as well as exclusive deals only available to ARFCOM email subscribers.

Warning

Confirm Action

About AR15.COM

Stay Connected

Newsletter

Contact Us