Quoted:
I believe so...assuming both ways play the same amount of games.
Assign point, 2pt W, 1pt T, 0pt L. Who ever has the most after 7 games gets ranked accordingly. 2 vs 3, winner plays 1 for championship.
I'm sorry I think I explained it incorrectly.
Case A (
random draw single elimination tournament, no two teams are equal and the better team at the start of the tournament will always beat the lesser team throughout the tournament)
- Round 1
–– Game 1: Random team vs Random team
–– Game 2: Random team vs Random team
–– Game 3: Random team vs Random team
–– Game 4: Random team vs Random team
- Round 2
–– Game 5: Winner of Game 1 vs Winner of Game 2
–– Game 6: Winner of Game 3 vs Winner of Game 4
- Round 3
–– Game 7: Winner of Game 5 vs Winner of Game 6
Case B (
seeded single elimination tournament, no two teams are equal and the better team at the start of the tournament will always beat the lesser team throughout the tournament)
(The #1 is the best team and #8 lesser team)
- Round 1
–– Game 1: #1 team vs the #8 team
–– Game 2: #4 team vs the #5 team
–– Game 3: #3 team vs the #6 team
–– Game 4: #2 team vs the #7 team
- Round 2
–– Game 5: Winner of Game 1 vs Winner of Game 2
–– Game 6: Winner of Game 3 vs Winner of Game 4
- Round 3
–– Game 7: Winner of Game 5 vs Winner of Game 6
My question: If you average the margin of victory of Case A and Case B will they be equivalent?
Quoted:Each individual game is a unique and non-repeatable event. Neither the
outcome nor the victory margin can be determined statistically or
mathematically with confidence.
If
you ran a series of Monte Carlo simulations, you would end up with a
whole range of outcomes. Some will have higher probabilities, but no
individual game and its victory margin can be statistically determined
with reasonable confidence. You can add the probable outcomes under the
two scenarios, but each will be an estimated range of total victory
margins, not a precise value.
That's a bit of a technical way to say "that's why they play the game."
I'm trying to disprove the statement: "A random unseeded tournament will have an average margin of victory less than a seeded tournament."
Yes, I know each case is unique; however, if repeated infinitely you
are able to determine which format results in more blowouts, if either.