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Posted: 11/2/2004 8:58:17 AM EST
Incumbants or Challengers?

I aske becuase i had to wait in line to vote today, which is a first. Usually there are only 5or 6 people at the local polling place mid morning election day.. there must have been 35 people there today.
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 8:59:18 AM EST
Usually favors DumoRats
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 8:59:32 AM EST
democraps....
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:00:13 AM EST
I'm afraid it favors the socialists.
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:01:18 AM EST
The correct answer is: It depends.

It isn't always Democrats.
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:02:38 AM EST
It favors the Reform Party. Nader could get hundreds of votes.
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:04:07 AM EST
It favors the Dems. Why? Because its what I saw with my own eyes. Most Americans are sheep and this election had so much BS flying from Holly wood and the Music industry a lot of first time voters are at the polls. And unfortunately they are sheep.

We are going to lose big time. I dont like saying it buts its obvious the pools are jammed this year will have record voter turnout and the sheep will have the high numbers.
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:04:37 AM EST

Originally Posted By Torf:
The correct answer is: It depends.

It isn't always Democrats.



Correct. In my district, which is 2/3rds Republican, high turnout favors the Republicans.

And we've had real high turnout so far today.
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:04:45 AM EST
I'd say it favors democrats.

Most people who have been convinced to get off their asses and vote for a change are going to be in response to the anti-bush rhetoric. Most of the people who dislike Kerry were the kind of people who voted anyway.

Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:05:07 AM EST
This is not an answer but the turnouts of the 60 and 64 elections in CA were 88%, a lot higher than the 75% expected today, which will likely be a high for the last 20 years. I'm inclined to think that to a point high turnout favors democrats but exceptionally high turnouts involve the undecided too, a statistical unknown.
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:05:17 AM EST
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:05:32 AM EST

Originally Posted By POWER03:
It favors the Reform Party. Nader could get hundreds of votes.



now THAT was funny
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:06:49 AM EST
The democrats claim to have massed 250,000 newer voters
the Republicans claim to have massed 300,000 newer voters!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:08:22 AM EST
... all you knuckleheads are answering the wrong question.

... read it again, and tell us where you made your mistake!
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:16:51 AM EST
[Last Edit: 11/2/2004 9:17:36 AM EST by Torf]

Originally Posted By Winston_Wolf:
... all you knuckleheads are answering the wrong question.

... read it again, and tell us where you made your mistake!



Uh, the question was "DOES HIGH TURNOUT FAVOR REPUBLICANS OR DEMOCRATS?"

"Incumbants or Challengers" is almost of question. Nevermind, I'll try to answer the question of whether high turnout favors the incumbant or the challenger.

It has to depend on the issues of the election. If the President is doing a particularly bad job, people might be motivated to vote against him. If the country is at war, the electorate will be less likely to want to change leaders. If the challenger is charismatic and compelling, people will be excited to vote for him. If the challenger is a whackjob making wild accusations and generally pissing everybody off, then folks will turn out to support the guy they like.

Link Posted: 11/2/2004 9:18:03 AM EST

Originally Posted By POWER03:
It favors the Reform Party. Nader could get hundreds of votes.



Link Posted: 11/2/2004 12:06:13 PM EST

Originally Posted By A2sights:
The democrats claim to have massed 250,000 newer voters
the Republicans claim to have massed 300,000 newer voters!!!!!!!!!!!!!



Just Florida, or nationwide?

Is Florida using punch cards again?
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 12:49:34 PM EST

Originally Posted By Torf:
The correct answer is: It depends.

It isn't always Democrats.



Correct....

High turn out favoring Democrats is a myth.

It used to be true when the majority of the country considered themselves Democrats but that time is passed.
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 1:34:14 PM EST

Originally Posted By Max_Mike:

Originally Posted By Torf:
The correct answer is: It depends.

It isn't always Democrats.



Correct....

High turn out favoring Democrats is a myth.

It used to be true when the majority of the country considered themselves Democrats but that time is passed.



The way i see it conservatives tend to be logical and dedicated people. They will vote no matter what. therefore the turnout of conservatives remains pretty constant.

Liberals are emotional and do everything based on gut reaction. The will vote only when pissed off or energized, thus wild diffeences from one election to the next.

Thats why i believe high turnout favors democrats. Hopefully I am wrong.
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 1:51:08 PM EST
Poor weather in the NE, does it favor us?
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 1:59:46 PM EST
It normally favors the communists. If high numbers of young people turn up it could really hurt
Bush. Young people are stupid and feel they can change the world byt voting communist. I can't even vote yet, but I have my views in the right direction.
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 2:02:06 PM EST
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 2:03:05 PM EST
Well I drug out 2 people who havent voted in years to vote Republican
Link Posted: 11/2/2004 3:28:05 PM EST
[Last Edit: 11/2/2004 3:28:51 PM EST by Merlin]
Here's what I've been telling everybody:

- There's more people who like Bush than like Kerry
- There's more people who hate Kerry than hate Bush
- Bush hasn't done anything stupid; Kerry has (medals, antiwar stance, Teresa's mouth, saying he's going to call and win then send in the lawyers, Teresa's mouth, stupid photo's, Teresa's mouth, well you get the picture).
- Bush is clear on the war on terroism, Kerry is anything but.

This time, I think it's the conservatives who are fired up, veterans, military, anybody who works for a living. Remember, people don't trust the media anymore and thank God for the Internet.


Folks, you're panicking. Sgtar15 has made it clear and I think he's been the one to call it the closest all year long: 45 states plus maybe the PRK. It may not be 45 states, but I don't think it's going to be anywhere as close as last time.

Calm yourself.

Link Posted: 11/2/2004 3:44:46 PM EST
[Last Edit: 11/2/2004 3:45:48 PM EST by GunLvrPHD]
The guy with the horserace blog says high turnout can disfavor Dems because it discourages marginal voters who are usually Dem leaners. All the Rep and Dem Kool-aid drinkers are standing on line to vote and the marginal voter says "why bother?" and goes home.

PS. When I voted (in a really liberal part of MD) no one was there! But it looked from the voter rolls like turnout was 50-75 percent by 4PM.
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