Does high voter turnout favor Republicans or Democrats?

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[ARCHIVED THREAD] - Does high voter turnout favor Republicans or Democrats?

Posted: 11/2/2004 9:58:17 AM EDT

Incumbants or Challengers?

I aske becuase i had to wait in line to vote today, which is a first. Usually there are only 5or 6 people at the local polling place mid morning election day.. there must have been 35 people there today.

Posted: 11/2/2004 9:59:18 AM EDT

[#1]

Usually favors DumoRats

Posted: 11/2/2004 9:59:32 AM EDT

[#2]

democraps....

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:00:13 AM EDT

[#3]

I'm afraid it favors the socialists.

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:01:18 AM EDT

[#4]

The correct answer is: It depends.

It isn't always Democrats.

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:02:38 AM EDT

[#5]

It favors the Reform Party. Nader could get hundreds of votes.

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:04:07 AM EDT

[#6]

It favors the Dems. Why? Because its what I saw with my own eyes. Most Americans are sheep and this election had so much BS flying from Holly wood and the Music industry a lot of first time voters are at the polls. And unfortunately they are sheep.

We are going to lose big time. I dont like saying it buts its obvious the pools are jammed this year will have record voter turnout and the sheep will have the high numbers.

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:04:37 AM EDT

[#7]

Quoted:
The correct answer is: It depends.

It isn't always Democrats.

Correct. In my district, which is 2/3rds Republican, high turnout favors the Republicans.

And we've had real high turnout so far today.

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:04:45 AM EDT

[#8]

I'd say it favors democrats.

Most people who have been convinced to get off their asses and vote for a change are going to be in response to the anti-bush rhetoric. Most of the people who dislike Kerry were the kind of people who voted anyway.

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:05:07 AM EDT

[#9]

This is not an answer but the turnouts of the 60 and 64 elections in CA were 88%, a lot higher than the 75% expected today, which will likely be a high for the last 20 years. I'm inclined to think that to a point high turnout favors democrats but exceptionally high turnouts involve the undecided too, a statistical unknown.

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:05:17 AM EDT

[#10]

As hot debated as this electin is, I really don't think that any of the traditional indicators are going to be all that useful. Normally higher turn out would help the liberals, it would indicatet that they had stood up and started doing something, but this year the Republicans are very fired up, and I think will be voting in record numbers. I also think that areas that have bad weather will not automatically be good for Rebuplicans like it normally is, because the Democrats have been making so much noise, I think they are also fired up.

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:05:32 AM EDT

[#11]

Quoted:
It favors the Reform Party. Nader could get hundreds of votes.

now THAT was funny

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:06:49 AM EDT

[#12]

The democrats claim to have massed 250,000 newer voters
the Republicans claim to have massed 300,000 newer voters!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:08:22 AM EDT

[#13]

... all you knuckleheads are answering the wrong question.

... read it again, and tell us where you made your mistake!

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:16:51 AM EDT

[#14]

Quoted:
... all you knuckleheads are answering the wrong question.

... read it again, and tell us where you made your mistake!

Uh, the question was "DOES HIGH TURNOUT FAVOR REPUBLICANS OR DEMOCRATS?"

"Incumbants or Challengers" is almost of question. Nevermind, I'll try to answer the question of whether high turnout favors the incumbant or the challenger.

It has to depend on the issues of the election. If the President is doing a particularly bad job, people might be motivated to vote against him. If the country is at war, the electorate will be less likely to want to change leaders. If the challenger is charismatic and compelling, people will be excited to vote for him. If the challenger is a whackjob making wild accusations and generally pissing everybody off, then folks will turn out to support the guy they like.

Posted: 11/2/2004 10:18:03 AM EDT

[#15]

Quoted:
It favors the Reform Party. Nader could get hundreds of votes.

Posted: 11/2/2004 1:06:13 PM EDT

[#16]

Quoted:
The democrats claim to have massed 250,000 newer voters
the Republicans claim to have massed 300,000 newer voters!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Just Florida, or nationwide?

Is Florida using punch cards again?

Posted: 11/2/2004 1:49:34 PM EDT

[#17]

Quoted:
The correct answer is: It depends.

It isn't always Democrats.

Correct....

High turn out favoring Democrats is a myth.

It used to be true when the majority of the country considered themselves Democrats but that time is passed.

Posted: 11/2/2004 2:34:14 PM EDT

[#18]

Quoted:
Quoted:
The correct answer is: It depends.

It isn't always Democrats.

Correct....

High turn out favoring Democrats is a myth.

It used to be true when the majority of the country considered themselves Democrats but that time is passed.

The way i see it conservatives tend to be logical and dedicated people. They will vote no matter what. therefore the turnout of conservatives remains pretty constant.

Liberals are emotional and do everything based on gut reaction. The will vote only when pissed off or energized, thus wild diffeences from one election to the next.

Thats why i believe high turnout favors democrats. Hopefully I am wrong.

Posted: 11/2/2004 2:51:08 PM EDT

[#19]

Poor weather in the NE, does it favor us?

Posted: 11/2/2004 2:59:46 PM EDT

[#20]

It normally favors the communists. If high numbers of young people turn up it could really hurt
Bush. Young people are stupid and feel they can change the world byt voting communist. I can't even vote yet, but I have my views in the right direction.

Posted: 11/2/2004 3:02:06 PM EDT

[#21]

High turn out normally favors challengers. I doubt bad weather in the NE will matter. the ratio of Rep to Demo is too far to the left.

Posted: 11/2/2004 3:03:05 PM EDT

[#22]

Well I drug out 2 people who havent voted in years to vote Republican

Posted: 11/2/2004 4:28:05 PM EDT

[#23]

Here's what I've been telling everybody:

- There's more people who like Bush than like Kerry
- There's more people who hate Kerry than hate Bush
- Bush hasn't done anything stupid; Kerry has (medals, antiwar stance, Teresa's mouth, saying he's going to call and win then send in the lawyers, Teresa's mouth, stupid photo's, Teresa's mouth, well you get the picture).
- Bush is clear on the war on terroism, Kerry is anything but.

This time, I think it's the conservatives who are fired up, veterans, military, anybody who works for a living. Remember, people don't trust the media anymore and thank God for the Internet.

Folks, you're panicking. Sgtar15 has made it clear and I think he's been the one to call it the closest all year long: 45 states plus maybe the PRK. It may not be 45 states, but I don't think it's going to be anywhere as close as last time.

Calm yourself.

Posted: 11/2/2004 4:44:46 PM EDT

[#24]

The guy with the horserace blog says high turnout can disfavor Dems because it discourages marginal voters who are usually Dem leaners. All the Rep and Dem Kool-aid drinkers are standing on line to vote and the marginal voter says "why bother?" and goes home.

PS. When I voted (in a really liberal part of MD) no one was there! But it looked from the voter rolls like turnout was 50-75 percent by 4PM.

[ARCHIVED THREAD] - Does high voter turnout favor Republicans or Democrats?

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