These pre-solicitations are a chance for manufactures to prepare to or submit a weapon for evaluation by the DoD or a program there in. Typically, they will list thier absolute, rock-bottom requirements just to keep the "rats" out and so they can essentually guarantee a minimum level of performance. Thier objective performance is usually much higher and a winning weapon will be one that meets the objectives or exceedes them at the best possible price. Some people may read this and think the military is dead-set on replacing the current infantry weapons. This isn't necessarily the case....There are weapons-effectiveness type programs conducted by the Army and for the DoD by independent contractors to improve weapons performance. They wouldn't be
doing a good job if they didnt sample the market to make sure our current weapons aren't inferior.
Typically, they will use current weapons as a baseline and compare performance of new weapons to existing small arms. If the weapon tested is drastically better, then it may be adopted....but, its obviously alot more complicated than that. Speaking from someone who has been involved in this type of testing, the best weapon doesn't always win....or even get a fair shake. My predictions are that the usual suspects will show up for the Carbine pre-sol, with a few newer weapons like the Cobb or XCR. My suspicion is that FN, HK and Colt will all make a strong showing. Colt is well connected, so if the DoD requires a gas piston, it will almost certainly come from Colt. HK is 0-100 on large military contracts of this type and its not because thier weapons suck. For the LMG
side, thats a little more difficult. My guess is that FN will take the cake with an updated Minimi. Everyother SAW is basically a spin off of the Minimi, so why not go for the original piece of fuck?
The HK MG43 is likely a superior weapon and I hope its given a fair shot. The SAW has had alot of problems, some of which are associated with its design and may not be able to be fixed and a new weapon may be in order. KAC/Stoner also has a strong LMG, though is incredibly obscure now and given the fact that KAC is constantly up to its eyeballs in DoD contracts, they really can't handle anymore. While these presols don't necessarily mean that M16/M249 are gone, just that we are "looking" to see whats out there. If the current Carbine/LMG are replaced I predict that it will be by a gas piston conversion from Colt and an updated M249. It will be interesting to follow what happens....