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Posted: 3/26/2024 6:58:05 PM EDT
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:37:54 PM EDT
[#1]
Link Posted: 3/27/2024 8:02:38 AM EDT
[Last Edit: Bladeswitcher] [#2]
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Originally Posted By 67Firebird:
Thanks. That gives us time to research.
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If you have absolutely nothing better to do for 70 minutes, Scott Faughn and Republican political consultant David Barklage handicapped the races immediately after filing closed. If you don't know who Barklage is, he's a big-time political consultant in Missouri. He's working for Kehoe (and probably a few of the others that he talks up in this video) so beware, he's biased.

Faughn provided time stamps so you can jump to the races you're interested in:
U.S. Senate – 1:04
Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District – 3:59
State Treasurer – 8:59
Attorney General – 13:04
Secretary of State – 17:15
Lieutenant Governor – 35:11
Governor – 46:32

The TLDR is that they predict either Kehoe or Ashcroft will win governor, Lincoln Hough wins Lt. Gov., Dean Plocher probably wins Secretary of State, Cody Smith likely unseats Vivek Malek as Treasurer and AG is a toss-up between the two Republicans. The only question in the Congressional races is who replaces Blaine Luetkemeyer in the 3rd. It's a race between Bob Onder and Kurt Schaefer. Both Faughn and Barklage are rooting for Schaefer, but they give Onder a shot. Both seem to agree Cori Bush keeps her 1st District seat for another term. Neither expects Hawley to have any worries, but both agree watching Hawley debate Karla May would be a hoot. For that reason alone, I sense they're both hoping she gets the Democrat nod in the U.S. Senate race.

FWIW, Barklage says he senses a shift is in the wind. He says within an election cycle or two, Americans will lose their taste for the bombastic, social-media focused style of politics and return to valuing competence. Of course, he's got a vested interest in mainstream politicians succeeding so take that with a grain of salt.


Link Posted: 3/27/2024 8:47:50 AM EDT
[Last Edit: Bladeswitcher] [#3]
Here's some press coverage of the coming political races:

Missouri's primary matchups are set — 7 takeaways from a wild final day of election filing

Open seats, primary challenges mean Missouri Senate will see most turnover in two decades



UPDATE:
Because there were last minute withdrawals in a few races, the filing deadline has been extended for those races. This could mean additional candidates for Lt. Gov., a few congressional seats and house offices. It's not too late. You can still throw your hat in the ring:

Late withdrawals mean more time to file for lieutenant governor, other Missouri offices By: Rudi Keller - March 27, 2024 1:25 pm
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