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Posted: 10/7/2020 1:07:09 PM EDT
[#1]
Quote HistoryQuoted: https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/520330/PXL_20201006_220331911-1624663.jpg Spotted in NOLA yesterday when I was walking around. RIP Chocolate City |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 1:29:49 PM EDT
[#2]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Oh man...I agree with you, but there sure are people I know that would make you think Houston is like the best place ever to live.  People here love it. There are parts that I like...but even more parts that I hate. It was a good experience overall. |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 1:56:34 PM EDT
[#3]
Quote HistoryQuoted: People here love it. There are parts that I like...but even more parts that I hate. It was a good experience overall. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Oh man...I agree with you, but there sure are people I know that would make you think Houston is like the best place ever to live. People here love it. There are parts that I like...but even more parts that I hate. It was a good experience overall. Just make sure you leave these in Houston. ...  |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 2:10:21 PM EDT
[#4]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Just make sure you leave these in Houston. ... https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn%3AANd9GcTYG5C7Gumoe-H9NFsHMtaZ09Knzs4M_b212Q&usqp=CAU So true |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 3:50:32 PM EDT
[#5]
Damn...
 
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Posted: 10/7/2020 3:58:44 PM EDT
[#6]
Quote HistoryQuoted:  It should be ok, this came in today so as long as I have power i'll be fine, haven't tried a router on my 5550 w generator yet so maybe this is the weekend.  |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 4:00:45 PM EDT
[#7]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Just make sure you leave these in Houston. ... https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn%3AANd9GcTYG5C7Gumoe-H9NFsHMtaZ09Knzs4M_b212Q&usqp=CAU I have seen several of those setups in Opelousas and Lafayette.
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Posted: 10/7/2020 4:11:36 PM EDT
[#8]
Quote HistoryYeah. They have gotten really good at the tracks over the last five years or so. The ones this year seem to be almost spot so far. |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 4:44:46 PM EDT
[#9]
Man. Lake Charles can’t catch a break.
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Posted: 10/7/2020 4:47:47 PM EDT
[#10]
The weather service I use at work has moved the landing west. It was forecasting Marsh Island in Vermillion Bay and moved it over to White Lake.....
Quoted: Man. Lake Charles can’t catch a break. Hopefully it stays east of them... |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 5:04:12 PM EDT
[#11]
Quote HistoryQuoted: The weather service I use at work has moved the landing west. It was forecasting Marsh Island in Vermillion Bay and moved it over to White Lake..... Hopefully it stays east of them... Quote HistoryQuoted: The weather service I use at work has moved the landing west. It was forecasting Marsh Island in Vermillion Bay and moved it over to White Lake..... Quoted: Man. Lake Charles can’t catch a break. Hopefully it stays east of them... Looks like it will. Lafayette's turn in the 2020 game of suck. |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 5:04:39 PM EDT
[#12]
Quote HistoryQuoted: The weather service I use at work has moved the landing west. It was forecasting Marsh Island in Vermillion Bay and moved it over to White Lake..... Hopefully it stays east of them... Quote HistoryQuoted: The weather service I use at work has moved the landing west. It was forecasting Marsh Island in Vermillion Bay and moved it over to White Lake..... Quoted: Man. Lake Charles can’t catch a break. Hopefully it stays east of them... I've been saying all along it was drifting west, I don't think it is through with that either. It may wind up in Texas before it lands, at least close to the state line. |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 5:34:44 PM EDT
[#13]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I've been saying all along it was drifting west, I don't think it is through with that either. It may wind up in Texas before it lands, at least close to the state line. current forecast and intensity  Attached Filelooking at how some of the forecast models have things setting up, they put the system moving westward also, there was a high pressure area that was east of florida, that has moved on or over florida now, that is pushing it westward. this high pressure area, however, is still moving around, and right now being pushed westward by the jet stream, so how far west the hurricane is going to move is still uncertain at this time time of this is 24 hours ahead to show how high is to east of hurricane  Attached Filethe good thing is, that the hurricane will move into an area of high wind shear, so it won't increase in intensity much, and the intensity should decrease as it gets close to land fall  Attached File |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 6:35:03 PM EDT
[#14]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Looks like it will. Lafayette's turn in the 2020 game of suck. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: The weather service I use at work has moved the landing west. It was forecasting Marsh Island in Vermillion Bay and moved it over to White Lake..... Quoted: Man. Lake Charles can't catch a break. Hopefully it stays east of them... Looks like it will. Lafayette's turn in the 2020 game of suck.  Attached File |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 9:32:36 PM EDT
[#15]
Quote HistoryQuoted: It should be ok, this came in today so as long as I have power i'll be fine, haven't tried a router on my 5550 w generator yet so maybe this is the weekend. https://i.imgur.com/Sg5U3iR.jpg Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: It should be ok, this came in today so as long as I have power i'll be fine, haven't tried a router on my 5550 w generator yet so maybe this is the weekend. https://i.imgur.com/Sg5U3iR.jpg Awe yisss |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 9:32:56 PM EDT
[#16]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I have seen several of those setups in Opelousas and Lafayette. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Just make sure you leave these in Houston. ... https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn%3AANd9GcTYG5C7Gumoe-H9NFsHMtaZ09Knzs4M_b212Q&usqp=CAU I have seen several of those setups in Opelousas and Lafayette. Oh no It’s spreading
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Posted: 10/7/2020 9:34:26 PM EDT
[#17]
Quote HistoryQuote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: The weather service I use at work has moved the landing west. It was forecasting Marsh Island in Vermillion Bay and moved it over to White Lake..... Quoted: Man. Lake Charles can't catch a break. Hopefully it stays east of them... Looks like it will. Lafayette's turn in the 2020 game of suck. Morgan City probably gonna flood |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 9:39:44 PM EDT
[#18]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Morgan City probably gonna flood Our camp is on Bayou Long off Hwy 70. It's going to get rocked. |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 9:52:59 PM EDT
[#19]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Our camp is on Bayou Long off Hwy 70. It's going to get rocked. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Morgan City probably gonna flood Our camp is on Bayou Long off Hwy 70. It's going to get rocked. That sucks man Looking at the surge forecast we will probably have 4-6’ under our camp in Grand Isle New washer/dryer time lol |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 10:44:55 PM EDT
[#20]
Quote HistoryQuoted: They got smoked for Wilma, and rebuilt pretty solid, I would think the resorts are OK. Last time I stayed there was at the Caribe Royale I think. One of the nice resorts. I go 1-2 times a year. Try Leblanc for a good time with the wife. |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 11:17:45 PM EDT
[#21]
My phone has just started going off like a mofo with Hurricane warnings.
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Posted: 10/7/2020 11:33:55 PM EDT
[#22]
Quote HistoryQuoted: My phone has just started going off like a mofo with Hurricane warnings. |
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Posted: 10/7/2020 11:42:30 PM EDT
[#23]
the size of the system is growing, as is the intensity
000 WTNT41 KNHC 080249 TCDAT1 Hurricane Delta Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020 1000 PM CDT Wed Oct 07 2020 The NHC intensity forecast is above the numerical guidance in 36-48 hours. It should be noted that 1-2 day tropical cyclone intensity forecasts are subject to errors of around 1 Saffir-Simpson category. The global models show a further increase in the size of the hurricane while it moves into the northern Gulf. The official wind radii forecasts are based on a consensus of these model predictions. The latest center fixes from the Hurricane Hunters show a west-northwestward motion, at about 300/15 kt. Delta should turn toward the north-northwest and north over the next 36 hours or so while moving around the western periphery of a subtropical high pressure system centered over Florida. When the hurricane moves into the northern Gulf of Mexico on Friday, Delta should turn toward the north-northeast on the southeastern side of a mid-tropospheric shortwave over the southern United States. The official track forecast is close to both the simple and corrected dynamical model consensus predictions, TVCA and HCCA, respectively. These objective aids are in close agreement with one another. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0300Z 22.5N 90.9W 80 KT 90 MPH 12H 08/1200Z 23.7N 92.2W 95 KT 110 MPH 24H 09/0000Z 25.4N 93.4W 105 KT 120 MPH 36H 09/1200Z 27.5N 93.5W 100 KT 115 MPH 48H 10/0000Z 30.0N 92.7W 85 KT 100 MPH 60H 10/1200Z 32.4N 91.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 72H 11/0000Z 34.2N 89.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 12/0000Z 37.5N 85.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED  Attached File |
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Posted: 10/8/2020 1:01:46 AM EDT
[#24]
I hope LC stays on the westward side.
 I wish everyone in the path the best of luck. My front yard after my driveway had been cleared enough to drive through 
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Posted: 10/8/2020 2:45:59 AM EDT
[#25]
Windy looks like it's pretty solidly trending west.
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Posted: 10/8/2020 2:58:15 AM EDT
[#26]
I'm not saying I hope it hits Galveston, you understand, but I'm not not saying I wouldn't like some rain.
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Posted: 10/8/2020 3:51:01 AM EDT
[#27]
It looks to me like it's heading way west of the TX-LA border. TX-NM, more like.
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Posted: 10/8/2020 7:13:16 AM EDT
[#28]
About 48hrs remaining, batten down the hatches .
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Posted: 10/8/2020 7:20:25 AM EDT
[#29]
Weather guys remain confident in the path. The storm increased in size and the wind speeds are up some overnight. No rapid intensification, yet.
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Posted: 10/8/2020 9:17:58 AM EDT
[#30]
Well shit, here we go again.
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Posted: 10/8/2020 9:23:01 AM EDT
[#31]
Quote HistoryQuoted: We were putting an offer in on a Lafayette house yesterday but decided to hold off. Maybe a good idea, maybe bad I think (hope) Lafayette shouldn't be too bad. They keep sliding the model west. The price may go up on the house while you wait it out. |
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Posted: 10/8/2020 9:25:16 AM EDT
[#32]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I think (hope) Lafayette shouldn't be too bad. They keep sliding the model west. The price may go up on the house while you wait it out. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: We were putting an offer in on a Lafayette house yesterday but decided to hold off. Maybe a good idea, maybe bad I think (hope) Lafayette shouldn't be too bad. They keep sliding the model west. The price may go up on the house while you wait it out. I would definitely put in an offer, just add a contingency as in "upon buyers satisfactory inspection" |
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Posted: 10/8/2020 9:31:14 AM EDT
[#33]
Well it's certainly tracking west solidly.
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Posted: 10/8/2020 10:07:43 AM EDT
[#34]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I think (hope) Lafayette shouldn't be too bad. They keep sliding the model west. The price may go up on the house while you wait it out. They accepted an offer as I was waiting for a PQ letter. Houselooked great though. Of course, full price no closing. Nuts. |
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Posted: 10/8/2020 10:37:34 AM EDT
[#35]
Just in case you all didn't know, Shelby Latino is a smoke show
That is all |
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Posted: 10/8/2020 11:23:04 AM EDT
[#36]
Keeps sliding west.
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Posted: 10/8/2020 11:27:32 AM EDT
[#37]
Quote HistoryI boarded up right before the update, so it's definately going west now
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Posted: 10/8/2020 11:34:04 AM EDT
[#38]
Sat's show the eyewall forming.
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Posted: 10/8/2020 11:52:45 AM EDT
[#39]
I'm just checking every hour or so, but it's gwyneter need to start that east hook right along through anytime now if it's going to happen. It looks to me, from the isobar map.
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Posted: 10/8/2020 12:00:03 PM EDT
[#40]
I ain't no motoreeeologist, err nuthing, but it looks to me like it's headed more for McAllen or Corpus. But we'll see.
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Posted: 10/8/2020 12:05:05 PM EDT
[#41]
 IBM 4km GRAF simulation of the landfall of Hurricane Delta |
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Posted: 10/8/2020 12:07:02 PM EDT
[#42]
Quote HistoryIf that's right, I'll get some wind. |
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Posted: 10/8/2020 12:09:21 PM EDT
[#43]
The Yucatan did a number on Delta. Knocked it down from a Cat 4 to a Cat 1.
It should strengthen back up to Cat 3 today, but my money is on it coming ashore as a Cat 2. |
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Posted: 10/8/2020 12:10:03 PM EDT
[#44]
Quote HistoryQuoted: The Yucatan did a number on Delta. Knocked it down from a Cat 4 to a Cat 1. It should strengthen back up to Cat 3 today, but my money is on it coming ashore as a Cat 2. That makes sense a lot of cool water on the shelf |
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Posted: 10/8/2020 12:10:54 PM EDT
[#45]
 this track shows the most shift. Others still show the original. |
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Posted: 10/8/2020 12:18:53 PM EDT
[#46]
Quote HistoryQuoted: The Yucatan did a number on Delta. Knocked it down from a Cat 4 to a Cat 1. It should strengthen back up to Cat 3 today, but my money is on it coming ashore as a Cat 2. Interesting to learn that Gamma, the system that preceded Delta just west of the Yucatan, created somewhat of a shadow in both the atmosphere and the water that also contributed to the downgrade. It is back on track and strengthening now though but I agree, it will likely weaken some prior to landfall. |
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Posted: 10/8/2020 3:28:24 PM EDT
[#47]
Edit: Can't make it work Edit #2: Got it. Thanks to clweathers |
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Posted: 10/8/2020 3:36:52 PM EDT
[#48]
https://twitter.com/TevinWooten/status/1314161987383951360?s=20
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Posted: 10/8/2020 3:38:39 PM EDT
[#49]
Good luck to all of you down here riding it out too ! Hoping for the best.
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Posted: 10/8/2020 3:44:15 PM EDT
[#50]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
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