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Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:20:46 AM EDT
[#1]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:22:50 AM EDT
[#2]
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Originally Posted By Ryan_Ruck:

I'm hoping he's just being smart enough to play to Tucker's audience since F-16s and longer range weapons should be a done deal by the time 2024 rolls around but, if that's actually what he believes, it would be pretty disappointing. Still think he would be an immensely better President than Trump on a number of other issues.
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Originally Posted By Ryan_Ruck:
Originally Posted By Krater:

Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida has sharply broken with Republicans who are determined to defend Ukraine against Russia’s invasion, saying in a statement made public on Monday night that protecting the European nation’s borders is not a vital U.S. interest and that policymakers should instead focus attention at home.

The statement from Mr. DeSantis, who is seen as an all but declared presidential candidate for the 2024 campaign, puts him in line with the front-runner for the G.O.P. nomination, former President Donald J. Trump.

The venue Mr. DeSantis chose for his statement on a major foreign policy question revealed almost as much as the substance of the statement itself. The statement was broadcast on “Tucker Carlson Tonight,” on Fox News. It was in response to a questionnaire that the host, Mr. Carlson, sent last week to all major prospective Republican presidential candidates, and is tantamount to an acknowledgment by Mr. DeSantis that a candidacy is in the offing.

On Mr. Carlson’s show, Mr. DeSantis separated himself from Republicans who say the problem with Mr. Biden’s Ukraine policy is that he’s not doing enough. Mr. DeSantis made clear he thinks Mr. Biden is doing too much, without a clearly defined objective, and taking actions that risk provoking war between the U.S. and Russia.

Mr. Carlson is one of the most ardent opponents of U.S. involvement in Ukraine. He has called President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine a corrupt “antihero” and mocked him for dressing “like the manager of a strip club.”

“While the U.S. has many vital national interests — securing our borders, addressing the crisis of readiness with our military, achieving energy security and independence, and checking the economic, cultural and military power of the Chinese Communist Party — becoming further entangled in a territorial dispute between Ukraine and Russia is not one of them,” Mr. DeSantis said in a statement that Mr. Carlson read aloud on his show.

Mr. DeSantis’s views on Ukraine policy now align with Mr. Trump’s. The former president also answered Mr. Carlson’s questionnaire.

Mr. Trump repeated a frequent riff, saying that “both sides are weary and ready to make a deal” and that the “death and destruction must end now.” Mr. Trump has already said he would let Russia “take over” parts of Ukraine in a negotiated deal.

The position taken by Mr. DeSantis and Mr. Trump is at odds with the passionate support for defending Ukraine demonstrated by some other potential G.O.P. candidates, including former Vice President Mike Pence, former Ambassador Nikki Haley, former Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey and Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina. It is also sharply at odds with most Republican senators, including Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the minority leader.

Mr. Pence has cast Ukraine’s struggle in a religious light, quoting Bible verses in a recent speech he gave at the University of Texas at Austin to mark the first anniversary of President Vladimir P. Putin’s invasion.

“Never forget, the light does shine in the darkness and the darkness cannot overcome it,” said Mr. Pence, standing at a lectern with American and Ukrainian flags behind him, and addressing the Ukrainian people.

“We will not forget your struggle for freedom and I believe the American people will stand with you until the light dawns on a victory for freedom in Ukraine and in Europe and for all the world,” Mr. Pence added. “So help us God.”

Republican hawks, including Mr. Pence and Ms. Haley, an ambassador to the United Nations during the Trump administration, have framed the fight to defend Ukraine as a fight about “freedom.” Mr. McConnell has made similar points, casting the battle as one to defend the post-World War II international security order. All have pushed President Biden to do more — to send more lethal weapons and faster — to help Ukraine drive Russia from its territory.

How Times reporters cover politics. We rely on our journalists to be independent observers. So while Times staff members may vote, they are not allowed to endorse or campaign for candidates or political causes. This includes participating in marches or rallies in support of a movement or giving money to, or raising money for, any political candidate or election cause.
Learn more about our process.

Mr. DeSantis and Mr. Trump have rejected such appeals. And their view is growing in popularity among House Republicans and Republican voters, who are souring quickly on U.S. efforts to help Ukraine fight Russia.

A January poll from the Pew Research Center showed that 40 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning independent voters thought the U.S. was giving too much support to Ukraine. Last March, the month after Mr. Putin invaded, the proportion of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who held this view was only 9 percent.

Back in 2014 and 2015, when Mr. Putin was in the initial stage of his invasion of Ukraine by annexing Crimea, Mr. DeSantis sounded like a conventional Republican hawk. He attacked then-President Obama for not doing enough — just as many Republicans are today criticizing President Biden.

“We in the Congress have been urging the president, I’ve been, to provide arms to Ukraine,” Mr. DeSantis said in an interview with the conservative talk radio host Bill Bennett in June 2015, unearthed by CNN.

“They want to fight their good fight. They’re not asking us to fight it for them. And the president has steadfastly refused. And I think that that’s a mistake.”

But these anti-Russia views are less popular with today’s G.O.P. base, which has been conditioned over the past seven years by Mr. Trump and influential media figures such as Mr. Carlson, who have questioned why the U.S. should view Mr. Putin as a threat to America.

And Mr. DeSantis’s statement to Mr. Carlson channeled these new currents.

“The Biden administration’s virtual ‘blank-check’ funding of this conflict for ‘as long as it takes,’ without any defined objectives or accountability, distracts from our country’s most pressing challenges,” he said.

Republicans on Capitol Hill are increasingly using this “blank check” line as a safe position to criticize Mr. Biden without seeming to abandon Ukraine. But Mr. DeSantis went further — making clear he does not believe the defense of Ukraine should be a priority for an American president and ruling out specific weapons.

“F-16s and long-range missiles should therefore be off the table,” he added. “These moves would risk explicitly drawing the United States into the conflict and drawing us closer to a hot war between the world’s two largest nuclear powers. That risk is unacceptable.”

Mr. DeSantis’s statement dripped with sarcastic contempt for policymakers who believe the only way to stop the Ukrainian people’s suffering is to remove Mr. Putin from power.

“A policy of  ‘regime change’  in Russia (no doubt popular among the D.C. foreign policy interventionists) ,” Mr. DeSantis said, “would greatly increase the stakes of the conflict, making  the use of nuclear weapons more likely.  Such a policy would neither stop the death and destruction of the war, nor produce a pro-American, Madisonian constitutionalist in the Kremlin. History indicates that Putin’s successor, in this hypothetical, would likely be even more ruthless.  The costs to achieve such a dubious outcome could become astronomical.”

Mr. DeSantis added, “We cannot prioritize intervention in an escalating foreign war over the defense of our own homeland, especially as tens of thousands of Americans are dying every year from narcotics smuggled across our open border and our weapons arsenals critical for our own security are rapidly being depleted.”

Until now, Mr. DeSantis, who has yet to formally announce he’s running for president, has largely avoided talking in specifics about Ukraine since Mr. Putin’s large-scale 2022 invasion. For a leader who takes pride in being aggressively proactive and keeping his opponents on the run, he has been caught flat-footed at times during his recent book tour as reporters have pressed him on the most important question in foreign policy.

He flashed irritation at a reporter for The Times of London who pushed Mr. DeSantis on how he proposed Ukraine should be handled differently, given he was attacking Mr. Biden as “weak on the world stage” and failing at deterrence.

“Perhaps you should cover some other ground?” Mr. DeSantis said. “I think I’ve said enough.”

Republican internationalists and hawkish elements within the party’s donor class were alarmed by that interview and another recent clip on Fox News in which Mr. DeSantis briefly signaled — in a way that was open to multiple interpretations — that he questioned the extent to which defending Ukraine was in America’s national interest. But they remained hopeful that Mr. DeSantis would return to their side.

In a Feb. 23 Wall Street Journal column, the influential conservative writer Kimberley A. Strassel all but pleaded with Mr. DeSantis to split from Mr. Trump, who she said was part of a “G.O.P. surrender caucus” on Ukraine. She framed Ukraine’s war with Russia as a major national security question for Mr. DeSantis to answer. Ms. Strassel called it the “G.O.P. field’s first test.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/13/us/politics/ron-desantis-ukraine-tucker-carlson.html


To say that I'm extremely disappointed would be an understatement, both for personal and strategic reasons.  I don't believe that this is a winning position for a Republican candidate.  It certainly would be enough for me to vote against him, both in primary and general election.

I'm hoping he's just being smart enough to play to Tucker's audience since F-16s and longer range weapons should be a done deal by the time 2024 rolls around but, if that's actually what he believes, it would be pretty disappointing. Still think he would be an immensely better President than Trump on a number of other issues.


I have a feeling that the primaries will deliver a candidate that is as opposite the DNC platform as possibly.  Like midterms, it will push swing voters, moderates, and independents to vote largely Democrat again in the general.  Depending on who the Democrats put up (assuming its not Biden), it will be tough to beat the DNC in 24 because of this issue.

I just hope the war can be won before elections or at least inauguration no matter.  Far too many Ukrainians are dying and have died and this has to end.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:25:47 AM EDT
[#3]
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Originally Posted By Cobradriver:



As frightening as their stances are...the whole "We can only handle one issue at a time" comments are as bad, if not worse.

JFC....a leader sets the tone and delegates people to get shit done.

I'll likely still vote R but hold my nose while doing it. Sigh....


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Apparently, these politicians figure US republicans in the primaries will support "All of our effort should be put toward closing the southern border and not helping Ukraine." They wouldn't take this path if they believed it was a losing strategy with republican voters in the primaries. These politicians respond to republican voters.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:28:29 AM EDT
[#4]
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Originally Posted By thehun06:


So much LOL ... while Ukies are getting Abrams and Leopards ... these idiots are stepping back in time ...
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Originally Posted By thehun06:
Originally Posted By HIPPO:

T-62s, upgrayyed


So much LOL ... while Ukies are getting Abrams and Leopards ... these idiots are stepping back in time ...



The only thing these extra 800 T-62s will provide to the battlefield is:

- a “target rich environment” for all the Ukrainian Leopard 2s.  And Abrams.  And Bradleys (which scored more T-72 kills in Iraq than the Abrams).  And the Leopard 1s arriving in June.  And the Polish PT-92 Twardies. And the S-55s. And the CV-90s. And even the humvees with TOW-2s on top.  Not to mention the Javalins, NLAWs, Stugna-P, etc.

How long is Russian upgraded T-62 training for Mobiks?  A week or a few days?
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:28:31 AM EDT
[Last Edit: HIPPO] [#5]

Moldova - posted in the last hour or so.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:29:13 AM EDT
[#6]
Video from the other side: Intense footage shows a group of Russian soldiers from the 155th Brigade pinned down by tank and artillery fire in one of the buildings in the Vuhledar dachas (allegedly).

It appears that the Ukrainian attack came very close with soldiers reporting a grenade thrown at them in the latter part of the video.
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Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:36:33 AM EDT
[#7]
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Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:



https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FrMFjPEXgAEkZAK?format=png&name=900x900
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Lol that is no shit..they best get about 500 of the best of the Leo's in Ukraine this summer if they want to keep Any market share
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:36:37 AM EDT
[#8]
Regarding the problem Russia has with the Vulhdehar mine fields laid out by the Ukrainian forces.


Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:37:40 AM EDT
[#9]

Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:43:04 AM EDT
[Last Edit: amanbearpig] [#10]
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Originally Posted By lorazepam:

The US is 14th in percentage of gdp in aid vs other countries.
https://www.ifw-kiel.de/topics/war-against-ukraine/ukraine-support-tracker/
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Their plot is doing weird stuff and lists things incorrectly. If you look at the data (there is a plot there in the paper for aid by GDP) the US is 5th after Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland.

Additionally this is for combined "aid" which includes "grants, loans, and loan guarantees made to the government of Ukraine." (emphasis mine) That's why I only listed military aid. There's a massive difference between "Here's a loan (with interest btw)" and "Here's 100k artillery shells". Not that loans aren't useful but that's not really in the same category if we're talking aid.

Trump is 100% right, Europe really needs to step up.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:44:13 AM EDT
[#11]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:44:39 AM EDT
[#12]
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Originally Posted By fadedsun:


Maybe he can change his mind.

Going opposite of the "current thing" just because it's the "Current thing" is just as bad.
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Originally Posted By fadedsun:
Originally Posted By YoungPatriot:


Ditto.  I have been hopeful about DeSantis.  This is disheartening.


Maybe he can change his mind.

Going opposite of the "current thing" just because it's the "Current thing" is just as bad.



I was watching a news program this morning, and they had videos of DeSantis criticizing Obama in 2015 for not sending military aid to Ukraine.

Said it was in our best interest to help them defend themselves against Russia.

Now as a candidate, he has done a 180.

These politicians have no moral compass or spine anymore. Their visceral response now is to do the opposite of what your opponent does.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:44:49 AM EDT
[#13]
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Channeling refugees is a play they have done before.  Refugees via Belarus to Poland being one recent example.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:48:13 AM EDT
[#14]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By RUM:



Holy shit they’re all buying into the bullshit on party lines.

“Keep the line where they are” if that isn’t an invitation for more of the same I don’t know what is.


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Originally Posted By RUM:
Originally Posted By Jack67:
Originally Posted By Krater:

Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida has sharply broken with Republicans who are determined to defend Ukraine against Russia’s invasion, saying in a statement made public on Monday night that protecting the European nation’s borders is not a vital U.S. interest and that policymakers should instead focus attention at home.

The statement from Mr. DeSantis, who is seen as an all but declared presidential candidate for the 2024 campaign, puts him in line with the front-runner for the G.O.P. nomination, former President Donald J. Trump.

The venue Mr. DeSantis chose for his statement on a major foreign policy question revealed almost as much as the substance of the statement itself. The statement was broadcast on “Tucker Carlson Tonight,” on Fox News. It was in response to a questionnaire that the host, Mr. Carlson, sent last week to all major prospective Republican presidential candidates, and is tantamount to an acknowledgment by Mr. DeSantis that a candidacy is in the offing.

On Mr. Carlson’s show, Mr. DeSantis separated himself from Republicans who say the problem with Mr. Biden’s Ukraine policy is that he’s not doing enough. Mr. DeSantis made clear he thinks Mr. Biden is doing too much, without a clearly defined objective, and taking actions that risk provoking war between the U.S. and Russia.

Mr. Carlson is one of the most ardent opponents of U.S. involvement in Ukraine. He has called President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine a corrupt “antihero” and mocked him for dressing “like the manager of a strip club.”

“While the U.S. has many vital national interests — securing our borders, addressing the crisis of readiness with our military, achieving energy security and independence, and checking the economic, cultural and military power of the Chinese Communist Party — becoming further entangled in a territorial dispute between Ukraine and Russia is not one of them,” Mr. DeSantis said in a statement that Mr. Carlson read aloud on his show.

Mr. DeSantis’s views on Ukraine policy now align with Mr. Trump’s. The former president also answered Mr. Carlson’s questionnaire.

Mr. Trump repeated a frequent riff, saying that “both sides are weary and ready to make a deal” and that the “death and destruction must end now.” Mr. Trump has already said he would let Russia “take over” parts of Ukraine in a negotiated deal.

The position taken by Mr. DeSantis and Mr. Trump is at odds with the passionate support for defending Ukraine demonstrated by some other potential G.O.P. candidates, including former Vice President Mike Pence, former Ambassador Nikki Haley, former Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey and Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina. It is also sharply at odds with most Republican senators, including Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the minority leader.

Mr. Pence has cast Ukraine’s struggle in a religious light, quoting Bible verses in a recent speech he gave at the University of Texas at Austin to mark the first anniversary of President Vladimir P. Putin’s invasion.

“Never forget, the light does shine in the darkness and the darkness cannot overcome it,” said Mr. Pence, standing at a lectern with American and Ukrainian flags behind him, and addressing the Ukrainian people.

“We will not forget your struggle for freedom and I believe the American people will stand with you until the light dawns on a victory for freedom in Ukraine and in Europe and for all the world,” Mr. Pence added. “So help us God.”

Republican hawks, including Mr. Pence and Ms. Haley, an ambassador to the United Nations during the Trump administration, have framed the fight to defend Ukraine as a fight about “freedom.” Mr. McConnell has made similar points, casting the battle as one to defend the post-World War II international security order. All have pushed President Biden to do more — to send more lethal weapons and faster — to help Ukraine drive Russia from its territory.

How Times reporters cover politics. We rely on our journalists to be independent observers. So while Times staff members may vote, they are not allowed to endorse or campaign for candidates or political causes. This includes participating in marches or rallies in support of a movement or giving money to, or raising money for, any political candidate or election cause.
Learn more about our process.

Mr. DeSantis and Mr. Trump have rejected such appeals. And their view is growing in popularity among House Republicans and Republican voters, who are souring quickly on U.S. efforts to help Ukraine fight Russia.

A January poll from the Pew Research Center showed that 40 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning independent voters thought the U.S. was giving too much support to Ukraine. Last March, the month after Mr. Putin invaded, the proportion of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who held this view was only 9 percent.

Back in 2014 and 2015, when Mr. Putin was in the initial stage of his invasion of Ukraine by annexing Crimea, Mr. DeSantis sounded like a conventional Republican hawk. He attacked then-President Obama for not doing enough — just as many Republicans are today criticizing President Biden.

“We in the Congress have been urging the president, I’ve been, to provide arms to Ukraine,” Mr. DeSantis said in an interview with the conservative talk radio host Bill Bennett in June 2015, unearthed by CNN.

“They want to fight their good fight. They’re not asking us to fight it for them. And the president has steadfastly refused. And I think that that’s a mistake.”

But these anti-Russia views are less popular with today’s G.O.P. base, which has been conditioned over the past seven years by Mr. Trump and influential media figures such as Mr. Carlson, who have questioned why the U.S. should view Mr. Putin as a threat to America.

And Mr. DeSantis’s statement to Mr. Carlson channeled these new currents.

“The Biden administration’s virtual ‘blank-check’ funding of this conflict for ‘as long as it takes,’ without any defined objectives or accountability, distracts from our country’s most pressing challenges,” he said.

Republicans on Capitol Hill are increasingly using this “blank check” line as a safe position to criticize Mr. Biden without seeming to abandon Ukraine. But Mr. DeSantis went further — making clear he does not believe the defense of Ukraine should be a priority for an American president and ruling out specific weapons.

“F-16s and long-range missiles should therefore be off the table,” he added. “These moves would risk explicitly drawing the United States into the conflict and drawing us closer to a hot war between the world’s two largest nuclear powers. That risk is unacceptable.”

Mr. DeSantis’s statement dripped with sarcastic contempt for policymakers who believe the only way to stop the Ukrainian people’s suffering is to remove Mr. Putin from power.

“A policy of  ‘regime change’  in Russia (no doubt popular among the D.C. foreign policy interventionists) ,” Mr. DeSantis said, “would greatly increase the stakes of the conflict, making  the use of nuclear weapons more likely.  Such a policy would neither stop the death and destruction of the war, nor produce a pro-American, Madisonian constitutionalist in the Kremlin. History indicates that Putin’s successor, in this hypothetical, would likely be even more ruthless.  The costs to achieve such a dubious outcome could become astronomical.”

Mr. DeSantis added, “We cannot prioritize intervention in an escalating foreign war over the defense of our own homeland, especially as tens of thousands of Americans are dying every year from narcotics smuggled across our open border and our weapons arsenals critical for our own security are rapidly being depleted.”

Until now, Mr. DeSantis, who has yet to formally announce he’s running for president, has largely avoided talking in specifics about Ukraine since Mr. Putin’s large-scale 2022 invasion. For a leader who takes pride in being aggressively proactive and keeping his opponents on the run, he has been caught flat-footed at times during his recent book tour as reporters have pressed him on the most important question in foreign policy.

He flashed irritation at a reporter for The Times of London who pushed Mr. DeSantis on how he proposed Ukraine should be handled differently, given he was attacking Mr. Biden as “weak on the world stage” and failing at deterrence.

“Perhaps you should cover some other ground?” Mr. DeSantis said. “I think I’ve said enough.”

Republican internationalists and hawkish elements within the party’s donor class were alarmed by that interview and another recent clip on Fox News in which Mr. DeSantis briefly signaled — in a way that was open to multiple interpretations — that he questioned the extent to which defending Ukraine was in America’s national interest. But they remained hopeful that Mr. DeSantis would return to their side.

In a Feb. 23 Wall Street Journal column, the influential conservative writer Kimberley A. Strassel all but pleaded with Mr. DeSantis to split from Mr. Trump, who she said was part of a “G.O.P. surrender caucus” on Ukraine. She framed Ukraine’s war with Russia as a major national security question for Mr. DeSantis to answer. Ms. Strassel called it the “G.O.P. field’s first test.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/13/us/politics/ron-desantis-ukraine-tucker-carlson.html


To say that I'm extremely disappointed would be an understatement, both for personal and strategic reasons.  I don't believe that this is a winning position for a Republican candidate.  It certainly would be enough for me to vote against him, both in primary and general election.



I just went through Tucker Carlson’s tweets where he outlines what all the candidates who responded said.  That’s where this came from; it’s in shorter form in this tweet thread here:



I went through all the responses, which Carlson says are complete in the Tweets, and summarized them. I have not editorialized except to emphasize when a statement was, as incongruous as it sounds, in fact what they said (in parantheses).

Here’s my summary of the high points of each statement:

Trump: Negotiate and force peace deal on lines in place now.  Never would have happened if I was president, but since it did: I don’t care about the issues so give Russia what they want, plus the extra territory they are holding now.  Ukraine is tired and wants to make a deal, does not want to fight any further. Russians don’t want to fight, either.  Europe must re-imburse the US for funds already spent.

DeSantis: Ukraine is not vital to the US interests. Any successor to Putin is likely to be much worse, so keeping him in power is the best policy. No jets, no jdams/atacms, etc. that can give Ukraine too much strength.  Biden’s sanctions and policy towards Russia have resulted in them making much more money/increased foreign revenues (yes).  We can not deal with Ukraine and at the same time secure our borders; not possible.

Pence: It’s obvious we need to support Ukraine. Putin is out of control and a danger.  We should support an unmistakable victory for Ukraine - and everything we HAVE done has been too slow, too little, and needs to be ramped up.  The Russian economy is NOT stronger than before the war like you all say, you’re nuts.  

Ramaswamy:  Ukraine is unimportant, US energy independence is - can’t deal with both.  We need to face down China and unleash drone swarms on Mexican cartels.  As to Ukraine, it’s “time to move on.”  (His exact words)

Noem:  Biden started this war and it’s on him.  We’ve spent to much on it already and should quit and leave it to Europe.  We shouldn’t have sent money to Ukraine because they are too corrupt. Keeping Putin in power is the best path.

Abbott:  Our support of Ukraine is failing, and our enemies don’t like it, so we should quit (yes).  No money for Ukraine until we fix the border.

Scott:  Answered, but nothing coherent or definite. “Degrade Russia.”  “Accountability - yes.”

Christie: Restore Ukraine, establish credibility and rule of law, confront China’s complicity.  Keep other rogue states in place by drawing a hard line or we will have issues with Iran, NK, etc.

Pompeo: did not bother to respond.

Haley: did not bother to respond.

Bolton: did not bother to respond.

Most of these people sound, wrt foreign policy and Russia/Ukraine, about as dumb as a box of rocks. I’m not making this stuff up.



Holy shit they’re all buying into the bullshit on party lines.

“Keep the line where they are” if that isn’t an invitation for more of the same I don’t know what is.




Aside from Pence, it’s various levels of Puffing. Not good at all.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:53:07 AM EDT
[#15]
https://breakingdefense.com/2023/03/thanks-to-ukraine-pentagon-eyeing-multi-year-munition-buys-in-fy24/?amp=1

More at link, but good to see us preparing.


Concerns over weapon stockpiles emerged as a central focal point for US and other NATO members last year as the war inside Ukraine raged. Now entering its second year, all parties are looking for ways to shore up their respective industrial bases and refill their dwindling weapon arsenals.

“We still have much more to do. Even as we rush to support Ukraine in the critical months ahead, we must all replenish our stockpiles to strengthen our deterrence and defense for the long term,” Defense Secretary Llyod Austin warned on Feb. 15 following the NATO Defense Ministerial meeting in Brussels.

For DoD, this means looking to refill stockpiles of weapons have been useful in Ukraine while also trying to get ahead of a situation where the US military runs low of the kinds of weapons needed for a high-end conflict, especially one in the Indo-Pacific region.

Maj. Gen. Mike Greiner, the Air Force Deputy Assistant Secretary for Budget, spelled the thinking out to reporters on March 10, saying “So the munitions we have provided to Ukraine… they’re being replenished through [FY]23 supplemental dollars. So the focus in [FY]24 are those munitions we think we need for the highly contested pacing challenge, not to replace existing use.”

As a result, Pentagon planners are asking Congress to approve five multi-year buys over the $500 million threshold in FY24: Raytheon Technologies and Kongsberg Defence’s Naval Strike Missile; Raytheon’s RIM-174 Standard Extended Range Active Missile (ERAM), better known as the Standard Missile 6 (SM-6); Raytheon’s AIM-120 Advanced Medium-Range Air-to-Air Missile; Lockheed Martin’s Long Range Anti-Ship Missile (LRASM); and Lockheed Martin’s AGM-158B Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile-Extended Range (JASSM-ER).

If lawmakers bless the multi-year deals and approve the funding, the Pentagon wants to spend real dollars on procuring those systems in FY24 and is seeking to buy:

Naval Strike Missile: $249.9 million for 103 missiles
Standard Missile 6: $1.6 billion for 125 missiles
AIM-120: $1.2 billion for 831 missiles
LRASM: $1 billion for 118 missiles
JASSM-ER: $1.8 billion for 550 missiles
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Since Raytheon and Lockheed Martin produce all five of these weapons, DoD is seeking ways to maximize speed and cut costs through common parts or other efforts. As a result, the department will launch a pilot project under the “large lot procurement” umbrella.

“This is an idea that’s been brewing…for a couple of years [and it was] not invented because of Ukraine,” the senior defense official added. “[It’s a way] to try and arrange multi-year [buys] in a way that they reinforce each other so that we can get the most capacity we can out of the some of the things that…maybe share a lot of facilities and or components.”

At least two of the weapons discussed, JASSM-ER and LRASM, are produced in the same Lockheed factory in Troy, Ala. It’s not hard to imagine there being ways to make those production lines move more quickly through joint efforts.
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Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:54:53 AM EDT
[#16]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:56:35 AM EDT
[#17]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By ITCHY-FINGER:

I would take suck comments about Ukraine defense with a grain of salt. It's all political at this very early point and "candidates" are trying to distinguish themselves from the current thing.

Whoever gets in the WH will continue the aid to Ukraine. Maybe some different and better systems will end up going.
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Yeah...and that's what everyone said when all the anti-abortion rhetoric started coming out from Trumps campaign.

When a candidate tells you something, perhaps it's time to listen and believe what they are saying.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 11:56:56 AM EDT
[#18]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:04:58 PM EDT
[#19]
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Originally Posted By Capta:

Sounds like we need some deniable direct action against Wagner.
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In this world, Blackwater is a necessary, and not a necessary evil.

Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:11:56 PM EDT
[#20]
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Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
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Nothing has really changed for everyday Russia. All the money goes to Moscow, St Pets, Sochi and to individual towns of oligarchs.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:13:16 PM EDT
[#21]
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Originally Posted By Waldo:



Meh, looks like every corporate dog and pony show I've ever seen. Hide everything you can move. If it doesn't move, paint it.
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Originally Posted By Waldo:
Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:



Meh, looks like every corporate dog and pony show I've ever seen. Hide everything you can move. If it doesn't move, paint it.


lol, people really are the same everywhere.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:13:21 PM EDT
[#22]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:18:11 PM EDT
[#23]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:18:43 PM EDT
[#24]
There we go. New patch board is up.

Cola Warrior patch added to the participants.

Attachment Attached File

Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:21:25 PM EDT
[#25]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:21:57 PM EDT
[#26]
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Originally Posted By Easterner:
There we go. New patch board is up.

Cola Warrior patch added to the participants.

https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/526834/IMG_20230314_175832_jpg-2745528.JPG
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Patch IDs?
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:23:30 PM EDT
[#27]
Russian tank self dissasembling from a mine.

Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:23:34 PM EDT
[#28]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:23:56 PM EDT
[#29]
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Originally Posted By Easterner:
There we go. New patch board is up.

Cola Warrior patch added to the participants.

https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/526834/IMG_20230314_175832_jpg-2745528.JPG
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That's awesome.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:27:39 PM EDT
[#30]
Same position where "Predator" destroyed the BMP while he was handed all sorts of ammo to stop a Russian assault on his trenchline.

Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:28:17 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Easterner] [#31]
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Originally Posted By NEXT23:

Patch IDs?
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Volunteer Garrison on the left
Ukrainian Marines (anchor)
95th is the red one with eagle
199th educational division (torch)
CCO (Special Forces)
Azov (3rd battalion)
Lithuania all over in the right side
Medical command
Georgian Legion

and sone others. I'll look when I get home
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:29:27 PM EDT
[Last Edit: grambosc] [#32]
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Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
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Nothing says soviet communism like a Potemkin paint job
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:29:42 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Easterner] [#33]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:31:10 PM EDT
[#34]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:34:03 PM EDT
[Last Edit: bikedamon] [#35]
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Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Russian tank self dissasembling from a mine.

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Wow, "disassembly" is right.  At least those guys didn't feel a thing.

Next scene in that clip is the appearance of more zombie armor, crew dead, vehicle rolling along.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:34:35 PM EDT
[#36]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:36:32 PM EDT
[#37]
i know it’s chuck but he’s gonna have a special guest on the show
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:38:17 PM EDT
[Last Edit: HIPPO] [#38]

Breaking

Eta:
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:40:28 PM EDT
[#39]
Russian troops are in small arms range of roads out of Bakhmut.

Russia Severs Route Out of Bakhmut! Ukraine Daily Update 14 Mar 23
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:42:42 PM EDT
[#40]
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Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Same position where "Predator" destroyed the BMP while he was handed all sorts of ammo to stop a Russian assault on his trenchline.

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Someone needs to teach them about duckboards.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:46:50 PM EDT
[#41]
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Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Regarding the problem Russia has with the Vulhdehar mine fields laid out by the Ukrainian forces.


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Are there anti-vehicle mines that can be calibrated within a certain mass range?  If so.. that is a nasty bugger.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:48:39 PM EDT
[#42]
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Originally Posted By HIPPO:
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Kofman's commentary is always top notch. Some of the most important takeaways I think people should come away with:

. Ukrainian force quality isn't great. Lots of the pre-war Ukrainian army is no longer in the fight due to casualties, and a lot of the guys doing the fighting now were mobilized after February 2022. In some cases, there's been reports of new Ukrainian officers only getting four weeks of training. A very common complaint is that the Ukrainians aren't taking nearly enough time to properly train up all the men they've brought into the fold before sending them to the front.

. There's a civil war in the Ukrainian officers corps between lower level officers who have more of a Western mindset and higher level officers with Soviet-era mindsets. Some lower Ukrainian officers appear to be very adaptable and innovative, but they're getting hamstrung by Soviet-era leadership. On a recent podcast, Kofman mentioned that lower level Ukrainian leaders want to conduct a maneuver defense, but they're being forced to conduct a rigid positional defense by the higher level officers.

. It's important to temper expectations for the spring/summer offensive. It almost certainly isn't going to look anything like Kharkiv. In all likelihood, it's going to be a slow, grinding process. Breaking through Russian defenses to get to Mariupol or Melitopol is going to be a very tall order. The amount of minefields alone is going to present serious issues.

My own commentary is this: I think a lot of people rooting for Ukraine are being overly optimistic with regards to Bakhmut. I'm rooting for the Ukrainians just as much as anyone else here, but I think there's a reason that as early as January, we were overtly telling the Ukrainians to withdraw. The city itself was a useful tool to soak up Russian resources, until Soledar fell and it started getting outflanked from both sides. Casualty ratios in Bakhmut are much closer to even right now, and if the Ukrainians really want to bleed the Russians like in Vuhledar, the ground west of Bakhmut is much better for that. Holding onto Bakhmut (and reinforcing it!) when it's getting outflanked from both sides, close to getting enveloped, and has little in the way of roads coming into it still under Ukrainian control is pure lunacy. It doesn't say anything good about the highest levels of Ukrainian leadership.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:49:55 PM EDT
[Last Edit: K0UA] [#43]
I understand that Nikki Haley did not respond to the Putin apologist Tucker, and I don't blame her. But in opening speech announcing her run for office a few weeks ago she expressed solid support for Ukraine.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:52:23 PM EDT
[#44]
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Originally Posted By stone-age:
Russian troops are in small arms range of roads out of Bakhmut.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6mQ-iGs3FYo
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Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:53:20 PM EDT
[#45]
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Originally Posted By HIPPO:

Breaking

Eta:
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Oh snap. That's what the guy on the Streetcar was trying to tell me. I told him i spoke English and didn't understand everything. I thought he was saying a satellite got shot down. Close enough.
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:53:26 PM EDT
[#46]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:54:44 PM EDT
[Last Edit: i_tell_you_what] [#47]
reaper collided with a rus fighter

edit: su-27 ran into the reaper's propeller blades and the reaper went down in the sea
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:57:09 PM EDT
[#48]
Link Posted: 3/14/2023 12:59:32 PM EDT
[#49]
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Originally Posted By Easterner:
There we go. New patch board is up.

Cola Warrior patch added to the participants.

https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/526834/IMG_20230314_175832_jpg-2745528.JPG
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Some here, lol

Link Posted: 3/14/2023 1:03:09 PM EDT
[#50]
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Originally Posted By AROKIE:
I've been reading from multiple sources inside and outside of Ukraine that the much anticipated counter-offensive will be kicking off end of April-early May. I understand that that time frame may be bullshit, but for thise who understand the weather cycles better in Eurooe does that look like an appropriate time? Does anyone else have differing opinions on when it may be launched?  Thoughts?
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I've been thinking about this. Seemed a little early. Waiting for the ground to dry out completely may not yield the best results. Sure it'll help UA but it will also benefit RF. Maybe there's a "good enough" range for UA that is still to shitty for russia to operate in. Producing better result compared to. If that makes sense.
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