User Panel
Posted: 10/7/2022 2:42:37 PM EDT
Is it time to buy bigly, or just nibble?
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It’s always time to buy.
Trying to time the market is a fool’s game. |
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This is just reversing the rally earlier in the week.
It’s volatile, but not crashing. |
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You’re not worried when the expectations are low. It will keep dropping,
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Better just to buy and dollar cost average.
Timing the market is a losing strategy. |
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Quoted: It’s always time to buy. Trying to time the market is a fool’s game. View Quote Meh, it’s pretty much on lock that a recession is here. I buy on the way down in smaller amounts for sure, but I’m not dumping huge cash until Q1 before the last hike. This quarter is going to be a wash. Then when earnings report for Q4 come out that will be the test of how oversold the market really is. I’m watching EU markets for the absolute crap show energy is going to be and chaos it’s going to create as they all start folding and buy Russian gas despite their virtue signaling. |
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If your timeline is the LONG game, dip your toe in. Continue to do so on the dips. Its probably going lower for a while, maybe a couple years.
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Quoted: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/422/i-just-bought-the-dip-but-it-keeps-dippi-2534451.jpg View Quote Keep buying the dip |
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Quoted: CPI report will be released next Thursday. If that comes in hot look out beloooooooooow…. View Quote Attached File |
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if you really think shit is going to keep dropping just set limit orders where you think it sounds like a good deal.
I personally try to accomplish all of my transactions that don't involve going to a store or vendor in one short session once a month. Calculate how much the wife is pitching in for bills, pay off ccs while doing so, and then max out roth and whatever i want to brokerage or other. I usually set limit orders for a very small discount on current market price based on volatility and they usually fill in a day or so. |
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Today was bargain day for us contrarians
Utilities & chemicals are heavily discounted. |
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be careful trying to catch a falling knife. there is not blood in the streets yet, not aware of any major businesses failing out of the blue yet. its coming. save your ammo for then. Unless the federal government starts a massive easing program again.
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Quoted: CPI report will be released next Thursday. If that comes in hot look out beloooooooooow…. View Quote One of the core inflation reports was released about two weeks ago, and it was not reassuring at all. It excludes food and gas because they're considered too volitable, despite being the two major expenditures people can't avoid. Forget the exact numbers, but I think they were looking for 4.7% or thereabouts, and got 5% plus. I'm dead curious to see how hard they wicker this CPI. It's the last contributor to the quarterlies used to determine the Social Security COLA increase, as well as military retirement (which is internally self sustaining, btw, before anyone starts) and a couple of other benefits. The Biden admin would absolutely use any downturn in inflation, even a tiny one, to loudly proclaim a "positive trend line", and immediately slash the increase. In fact, I'm still betting that's exactly what they do. What started as a predicted 10% bump has been widely dampened down into the 8% range, and their lackeys in the media are hard at work "shaping expectations" for something lower. It won't surprise me to get 7 to 7.5%, staring down the barrel of 20% real inflation and the prospect of gas prices that are about to spike sharply. The gaslighting has reached the point that hardly anyone is even pointing out that it's just basically lying anymore. We have a war...no wait, as of last night now a possible nuclear armageddon to finance, you know. |
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All depends on when you need the money
If your horizon is 10 years or less buy bonds Longer, dollar cost average a good fund Degenerate gambler, yolo 0DTE SPY options Attached File |
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I have 14 years until I retire and draw on 403B. At like 21% loss this year
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Mid terms have a lot to do with it right now. The market doesn't like uncertainty. But it does like gridlock in Washington.
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Quoted: Is it time to buy bigly, or just nibble? View Quote It’s down 600 today after being up 1000 over the last three days |
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Quoted: CPI report will be released next Thursday. If that comes in hot look out beloooooooooow…. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Could be a rebound Monday though. Market is down now after the Sep jobs report. Jobs market is still too hot, so feds will continue rate increases. CPI report will be released next Thursday. If that comes in hot look out beloooooooooow…. They will just change hamburger to offal to keep the costs down. Appliances will go from the cheapest they can find to a washboard and a rock for the washer, and some old twine for the dryer. |
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Quoted: Better just to buy and dollar cost average. Timing the market is a losing strategy. View Quote I have only been in it for 18 months. So of course I bought in when things were way, way "up" last year. My only way to possible profit is to average down. So as shitty as the market is right now, I'm DCA all the way to try to get ahead of the next bull run. |
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Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Is it time to buy bigly, or just nibble? It’s down 600 today after being up 1000 over the last three days It's down 5500 in a year. OP was asking if today is the dip to buy, I was just pointing out that todays “dip” finished higher than it was three days ago. |
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Quoted: Is it time to buy bigly, or just nibble? View Quote My wife and I just stuck about 50% of what we intend to allocate into investments over the next 3-4 months. If it doesn't crash, we've got some invested. If it does, our position will get a wider net cast. |
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Quoted: Could be a rebound Monday though. Market is down now after the Sep jobs report. Jobs market is still too hot, so feds will continue rate increases. View Quote And dems will continue to lose votes as peoples IRA's and other investments tumble. Lots of retirees grumbling around my neighborhood. |
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