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I live next to Dobbins ARB, where that Lock/Mart plant is located, its almost passe to see one fly here anymore. |
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At least as long as we are dealing with actual air defenses- real manned fighters with decent pilots and high performance SAMs like S-300 and Patriot. Cause against jihadi with MGs and SA-7s we still do alright with Predators and Hunters. Some in the AF seem to think that we will never face anything else.. But we lost 39 Predators in Afganistan in the first year we were there, I haven't been able to find out how many were downed in the first year in Iraq. The drones do not respond to control input well enough to even avoid flying into MOUNTAINS all the time, much less dodging fire. |
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Oh yeah..... You know what would be cool???? If private citizens can pull money and "BUY" a missile or bomb. I'd love to see an a bomb engraved with "From all your Arfcom buddies, say HOWDY to Allah" |
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Yep. the [ongoing] development of the F/A-22's software gives a very good indication as to the difficulty that will be involved in making aircraft autonomous. It's not g's and computers; it's the programing that's the hard part...the very hard part. To all the late-teens out there who want to have a cool job in the future: make computer programming a hobby. Machine language is the key expertise that will get one on the most fascinating projects of our time. |
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Lasers on F-35's is a wet dream, there is no volume for the machinery. The latest iteration of the ABL has capacity for 5 shots - from a 747!
The current flock of UCAV's are bomb trucks and perhaps a BVR missile platform, it will be a while before they are ready to cary guns or IR seekers. One interesting application for a UCAV is in the tag along buddy role where they trail a two or 4 fighter (wolf) pack - the UCAV's are going to make great SEAD weapons (wild weasels), able to attack emitters with impunity. We need to build two flavors, however - the first, a low cost conventional ariframe with a signature as big as a battleship, the second with a little tiny signature - while the bad guys are gawkin' at the goddamn big radar return of a diversion, the sneaky ones slip in a blow the hell out of them. |
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...Small world. |
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FYI, the original order for the F-22 was about double the number we currently have slotted. The cost per unit was considereably lower. |
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The thing that bothers me about the idea of unmanned combat vehicles is...well, honestly, there's not one thing that bothers me about that.
There are at least two things. I believe that a person should have direct control of a combat vehicle because it's going to be a LONG time before we have computers that are smart enough to be able to deal with unforeseen circumstances. Computers are fast and capable, but they're DUMB. If the vehicle they're controlling is heavily damaged and won't be in the air for much longer no matter what, is it going to be able to look at its projected impact point, recognize that it's heading for a school or a church, and decide to alter its course to avoid it? How is it going to react to a light private plane that is in the area where it's been assigned to patrol and shoot down enemy combat aircraft? Suppose it's a fast business jet which is flying at speeds and altitudes often associated with enemy fighters? Is it going to shoot down the errant business jet? It'll be a long time before computers can make the decisions a man can. Until that day comes, I firmly believe that unmanned aircraft must ONLY be used for non-combat operations. Unarmed surveillance is fine. But no shooter aircraft should ever take off without a human pilot at the controls, at least not until computers can handle the ENTIRE task and make the RIGHT decision in ANY circumstances. The whole "Skynet" concept bothers me, too. I believe the day will come when someone invents a computer that is intelligent in every measurable sense of the word, and self aware as well. What happens beyond that point is ANYBODY'S guess. If that computer has a "self preservation instinct", then things become MUCH more complex. Insert any speculation here. It's probably as good as any. Suppose computers just become ever more capable mindless, docile electronic slaves. Suppose the trend toward automation of military hardware continues. Ever seen the Star Trek episode "A Taste of Armageddon"? (Original series) What's the point of a war that's not fought by people? A war between OUR machines and YOUR machines is nothing but a large scale BattleBots duel. Pointless. Take it even farther, and you might find societies who decide that physical war is too messy, so let the computers play it electronically. If the computers nuke your neighborhood in their purely electronic fantasy battle, how are you going to take it when you're ordered to report to the disintegration stations because your neighborhood just got hosed by the flipping of a bit in a memory chip? If you take the humans out of the war, you take the meaning out of it as well. I oppose any attempt to take the man out of the war. CJ |
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Wrong. The laser for the F-35 is a solid state laser, a up powered version of the existing ZEUS mine destroying laser, which already fits in a Humvee bed complete with its own seperate diesel generator. It will be installed in the A/C models in place of the B models fan section and powered a generator driven off the drive shaft intended for the B models fan. ALL F135 engines will be delivered with the shaft drive (the driveless model has been cancelled, showing how much everyone is convinced the laser will work). It took 5 years to crank up the SSHCL from its original 1300W (tested on a M113 in 1998) to the 13kw used in the ZEUZ that went to Afghanistan to clear mines last year. So they expect it to be 2010 before they get it up to the 100Kw target power rating. Earlier models with less than 100kw may appear on the AC-130 and the B-52 even before the fully rated and miniatureized. The YAL-1 Airborne Laser is a COMPLETELY different class of weapon- with a 1MW output, even higher than the ground based MTHEL. |
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The biggest danger from this is that it wont serve us. But no one will use a single computer to controll ALL weapons, that is one thing that Cameron got wrong in Terminator. Even if it decides to resist violently there will be serious limits. Also AI are mostly needed FOR remote units, units that can operate within networks don't need to be that smart. They still need fuel and parts and they can only get that from us. |
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Indeed! And isn't that somewhat were the F-22 was pitched? A stealthy airframe that can nail the BG's outside visual with BVRAAMS… Sound like an X-45 with a weapons bay full of AMRAAMs would do the same and it would have a whole magnitude smaller RCS… I doubt any air to air missile or SAM could get a lock on one. They would need a big ground dish to try and get a fix, and the UCAV would just pop a HARM at it. I think we are not far off autonomous hunter/killer UCAV packs being used to clear an enemies airspace of it's airforce and ground based air defences… the main obstacle seems to be the 'Skynet' fear. IIRC the US Navy did some air to air combat tests with a Firebee many years ago and it proved a deadly adversary. ANdy |
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I am not aware of any such tests Andy.. The only way a UCAV could successfuly cary out its attack on a manned manuvering fighter is if guided by the FCS from a manned fighter. It is the only way to reduce the sight/decision loop to reasonable levels. And its the only why to keep the drone operator safe. If you are only fighting third world enemies you can pilot a drone from a airfield somewhere. But with somone with real technology, wherever the pilot is, becomes the target. The F-22 is not invisable, it cant be, it just knocks back enemy radar to where it has a range advantage. The B-2, has claimes to be invisable, not the F-22 it couldn't have that level of stealth and still be a fighter. Stealth characteristics are generally contrary to good aerodynamics for both the airframe and engine intakes, compromises had to be made. The UCAVs would be stuck with the same limitations, it just would have weight freed up by not having a pilot and be able to execute high G manuvers out to the full ability of the airframe and be physically smaller. Neither of which will help it avoid a R-73 in a dogfight. But it could drop bombs at targets desiganted and in air to air it could fly along with the F-22 and carry extra missiles to fire off without the F-22 having to use its wing pylons. It could go in first and engage defense systems and clear the way for the F-22, and as a last resort it could fly between the F-22 and enemy missiles, nothing I have seen says that the Raptor is very invisable at all to IIR systems and the closer you get, the more they will become a part. In ACM it would give a drone-less enemy the difficult decision of going after the fighter and being attacked by the drones- or going after the drones and being attacked by the fighter. It probably could easily defeat the drones- but not without getting killed by the fighter. And the Skynet fear is a impossibilty. The bot may go on strike but it would not kill people en mass, other robots as well as people would fight it. |
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Best I can do you for a quick reference… "The concept of using an RPV in this mode was validated by the U.S. Navy. A mock dogfight was conducted with an F-4 trying to make a kill on a modified Teledyne-Ryan Firebee over the Pacific Missile Range. Additional engagements were conducted at Edwards AFB, California. The advantage of the RPV in accomplishing maneuvers of 12-g stress and in turning inside the manned aircraft gave the RPV an edge in the “battles.” www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchronicles/aureview/1973/sep-oct/kellerstrass.html "An evaluation has also been made of the air-to-air combat application of an RPV. In 1971, a derivation of the Firebee was flown against a Navy F-4. During the engagement, the Firebee averted two air-to-air missiles fired by the F-4, closed to a firing position, and scored a simulated hit on the F-4. Currently, no operational capability exists for an RPV to track or fire at another aircraft. This engagement, however, demonstrated the turning advantage available with drones since man's limited g tolerance is not a factor." www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchronicles/aureview/1977/nov-dec/bigham.html ANdy |
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A 100 kW laser operating at let's say, 10% efficiency, will require 1 MW of input power. That's about 10 times the cooling capacity of any fighter flying, and they don't have a bunch of margin. On the other hand, about 25000 hp can be extracted from the engine driveshaft; 1 MW is only 986 horsepower, so getting enough power in should be easy enough. Rejecting the heat will be hard, even by dumping it into the fuel.
I still say it is a damp dream. |
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Rat brain based flight controller....
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You're so full of shit it's not funny.
F-16's the F-117 and the fly-by-aire Airbus aircraft don't have any problems with lightning.
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We may want to let the Indians take a poke at it before we claim superiority.
I know, I know, it wasn't a fair matchup. Who ever said the engagements of the future would all be fair anyway? We may be losing the ability to think and fight without all the fancy systems. How many here are adamant about backup iron sights? The concept is the same. What happens if the fancy networking and so forth goes tits up? |
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KA38:
I don't believe I am full of shit but I grant I may be misinformed. As I wrote to AreoE, I only have the testimony of two pilots from the 2FS that lightning is a problem for the F-22's fly-by-wire control system. I am not the engineer who designed the data bus, so I cannot speak from personal knowledge. I don't believe these pilots were deliberately trying to misguide me but it is possible. So the infomation I have is that the operator of this aircraft tells its pilots to return to base when lightning is noted in the flying area. Take it for what it worth. Maybe a more knowledgeable individual can verify this claim. Geno |
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Use water cooling and dump it as steam. |
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Yes… Airbus aircraft have zero problems with lighting strikes… You can download a full technical article at …… www.airbus.com/customer/fast22.asp "Lightning strikes and Airbus fly-by-wire aircraft (131 KB)" Andy |
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Also consider that your 100KW laser is being operated at FAR LESS than even a 10 percent duty cycle. In actual practice, it'd be firing for a matter of fractions of a second at a time, and only a few times in any given mission. The thermal load is most likely quite manageable under those conditions.
I don't try to guess at what the duty cycle really is or how long the pulses last or how many pulses would be fired in order to disable any given target. But I'm sure this has been worked out and the engineers doing it believe it to be feasible. Speaking of heat....the day will come when radar is outdated. Passive IR detection systems are already in use, and they're getting better and better all the time. The day will come when anything in the sky that puts out more heat than a candle will be detectable, lockable, and destroyable. LIDAR systems will also become commonplace, giving enhanced 3D situational awareness capabilities to all airborne vehicles. It's no surprise that unmanned vehicles in a dogfight with manned aircraft will kick their ass. Not having to deal with the G tolerance of the human pilot allows such a vehicle to perform some really violent maneuvers, that is, if it's stressed for it. Several different types of retired fighters have been used as remotely piloted drones. When they're damaged to the point where they're going to be scrapped (dumped in the ocean rather than brought to a landing) but still flyable, the ground pilots will sometimes wring the jet out in ways no sane on-board pilot never would. Being freed of the pilot's physical limitations, things get crazy. At least one remotely piloted F-86 was put through OUTSIDE LOOPS, which is something few pilots want to do....but the kicker is the loops were performed at TEN Gs! The practical limit for pulling negative Gs is just 3 Gs for a human pilot, for reference. As for dogfighting skills in autonomously controlled vehicles...well, as you may know, I'm a flight simulation enthusiast...a junkie, really. I fly Falcon 4.0 quite a bit. I've been doing so since 1998. I figure I've got 2000 simulated hours in F-16s, flying at the highest realism levels available, with very accurate flight models. (The Falcon community has continually upgraded and refined the program with a heavy emphasis on realism. My installation is pretty much up-to-the-minute.) But despite my considerable SIMULATED experience, if I set the AI to ACE level and start doing 1-on-1 dogfights against any modern fighter type, I'm doing quite well if I get my ass handed to me 50 percent of the time and that's when I have foreknowledge of the starting conditions of the fight. A home PC has the smarts to be a hell of an opponent. I'm quite sure that a pilotless autonomously piloted fighter would be a pretty stiff adversary. Your best tactic would be to get a radar lock, ripple off every stinking missile you can find at him, and dive for the runway. Hopefull the missiles will get him and he won't be programmed to seek and destroy planes on runways. CJ |
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I seriously doubt that radar will become outdated anytime in the near future.
Passive detection: for a truly accurate 3-d position, it requires either a) multiple sensors at different locations so they can fix via DF cuts or b) long periods of time for multiple DF cuts on a single sensor. Using pulse amplitude or brightness (if you will) is inherently inaccurate due to attenuation and inaccuracy of the measurement. Passive detection simply doesn't give good, accurate and quick range AND azimuth. Used as a detector, yes. Used as a 3-d tracker, not anytime soon. LIDAR: subject to atmospheric attenuation. Why do you think all the really effective long range surveilance/GCI radars are low frequency? Long range and general indifference to atmospherics. Why are most high frequency radars short range? Same thing, but in reverse. LIDAR is worse that millimeter wave radar in that aspect. Put a cloud in the way and you're hosed.
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Don't count on the "indefinite" part (WRT JASSM). Most of the problem stemmed from the way that success or failure was measured, and in most cases, had nothing to do with the missile, but the support equipment. The weapon is absolutely fantastic, but had 2 very dramatic failures in close proximity.
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Korea. |
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HEY, Alloy... I AM ONE OF THOSE KIDS THAT WILL HAVE TO TAKE CARE OF THE F#CKING DEBT!!! Personally, you FAIL TO REALIZE that our current education system is PREACHING SOCIALISM like F#CKING CRAZY, and those of us who are Republicans can see ABSOLUTELY NO FINANCIAL AID from the government in the future, and we already know that Welfare and Social Security are going to fail Loooong before we're able to collect any of it... Basically, what I'm saying is that the SMART Republican youth of America are already making plans for our RETIREMENTS! These HAVE NOTHING to do with Social Security or any dependency upon government aid. I'm trying to save up some money for a decent IRA, a few good mutual funds, stock investments, and many of us are investing money into other ventures as well... Liberals seem to have NO CONCEPT of taking responsibility in their own futures. In fact, I HOPE they continue to live their lives day-by-day in a financially irresponsible consumeristic manner! Hopefully in 45 years the ULTRA-LIBERAL offspring of Hippies will be weeded out and Darwinism can take effect! Survival of the fittest can be translated into survival of the most intellectually inclined Republican. |
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