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11/27/2016 10:08:02 PM EDT
So yes, I am bored, and I got curious about something.

I looked at the top ten threads in my thread subscription list, and compared the number of "reads" to the number of "replies."

Then I did the math and found out something very interesting - the "reply rate" as a percentage of "reads" is remarkably consistent!

In all cases it was between 2 and 3 percent.

Weird.

Seems like, on average, from my statistical sample size of ten, only about 2 or 3 percent of us give enough of a fuck about whatever we're reading to post a reply.

Maybe some statisticians on here would like to kick this around for fun.
11/27/2016 10:09:28 PM EDT
[#1]
The other 97% are fed agents.  

Edit for math duh....
11/27/2016 10:10:28 PM EDT
[#2]
It used to hover around 10% iirc
11/27/2016 10:11:02 PM EDT
[#3]
Only replying to throw your percentage off for this one.

Really though, I TRY to only reply if I have something to add.
11/27/2016 10:11:31 PM EDT
[#4]
+1
11/27/2016 10:11:50 PM EDT
[#5]
Quote History
Quoted:
Only replying to throw your percentage off for this one.

Really though, I TRY to only reply if I have something to add.
View Quote

Who has time for that, another one for the post count
11/27/2016 10:12:26 PM EDT
[#6]
Quote History
Quoted:
+1
View Quote

11/27/2016 10:13:01 PM EDT
[#7]
Incremental post count increase...engage.
11/27/2016 10:13:45 PM EDT
[#8]
Replying is so much work, though.
11/27/2016 10:15:10 PM EDT
[#9]
I read this, backed out, and then came back in to post a reply.
11/27/2016 10:15:46 PM EDT
[#10]
Quote History
Quoted:
I read this, backed out, and then came back in to post a reply.
View Quote


Ass.

11/27/2016 10:15:52 PM EDT
[#11]
30-40% are probably repeat users who commented just checking replies.
11/27/2016 10:16:05 PM EDT
[#12]
Quote History
Quoted:
I read this, backed out, and then came back in to post a reply.
View Quote

+1
11/27/2016 10:16:18 PM EDT
[#13]
Quote History
Quoted:
Incremental post count increase...engage.
View Quote

11/27/2016 10:16:34 PM EDT
[#14]
Quote History
Quoted:
It used to hover around 10% iirc
View Quote

this thread is close
11/27/2016 10:17:17 PM EDT
[#15]
Quote History
Quoted:
30-40% are probably repeat users who commented just checking replies.
View Quote


Good point.

We have no way to measure what the "thread revisitation rate" is.
11/27/2016 10:17:45 PM EDT
[#16]
I believe it. I bet I only post 2 - 3 times per 100 threads read.
11/27/2016 10:19:19 PM EDT
[#17]
Quote History
Quoted:
Only replying to throw your percentage off for this one.

Really though, I TRY to only reply if I have something to add.
View Quote

11/27/2016 10:20:16 PM EDT
[#18]
FBHO
11/27/2016 10:21:02 PM EDT
[#19]
OST
11/27/2016 10:22:09 PM EDT
[#20]

11/27/2016 10:23:09 PM EDT
[#21]
wrong.   87% is the correct answer.
11/27/2016 10:23:33 PM EDT
[#22]
I put pants on today!
11/27/2016 10:28:54 PM EDT
[#23]
Not worried about my post count....
11/27/2016 10:33:39 PM EDT
[#24]

Quoted:


So yes, I am bored, and I got curious about something.



I looked at the top ten threads in my thread subscription list, and compared the number of "reads" to the number of "replies."



Then I did the math and found out something very interesting - the "reply rate" as a percentage of "reads" is remarkably consistent!



In all cases it was between 2 and 3 percent.



Weird.



Seems like, on average, from my statistical sample size of ten, only about 2 or 3 percent of us give enough of a fuck about whatever we're reading to post a reply.



Maybe some statisticians on here would like to kick this around for fun.
View Quote


They that with a few of those post whore threads.



 
11/27/2016 10:34:02 PM EDT
[#25]
In it for post count
11/27/2016 10:35:51 PM EDT
[#26]
Aw.. what the hell.

+1.
11/27/2016 10:37:29 PM EDT
[#27]
I think, too, that if one were to gather data from all those posters, it would be apparent that 80% of all posts come from just 20% of those who post.  

This is much how the world works.  Generally less than 10% actually participate on a regular basis, while 20% of those that do participate  do so much of the time (80%), while a larger number (80%) do contribute regularly, but at a more infrequent rate (20%).
11/27/2016 10:38:45 PM EDT
[#28]
With revisits it is likely 13 percent.
11/27/2016 10:40:34 PM EDT
[#29]
I guess for the statisticians if this thread  is compared to others on a box and whiskers plot  this thread is an outlier
11/27/2016 10:44:18 PM EDT
[#30]
OK

From now on, when I read a thread and don't feel the need to contribute, I will simply post "Thanks" and leave.
11/27/2016 10:45:09 PM EDT
[#31]
Quote History
Quoted:
30-40% are probably repeat users who commented just checking replies.
View Quote


I think this. "Read" is actually views, which doesn't account for unique users. But maybe I'm wrong.

+1 post none the less.
11/27/2016 10:45:19 PM EDT
[#32]
65% of all statistics are just made up numbers.
11/27/2016 10:46:56 PM EDT
[#33]

Quote History
Quoted:





+1
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
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Quoted:



Quoted:

I read this, backed out, and then came back in to post a reply.


+1



+2



 
11/27/2016 10:53:24 PM EDT
[#34]
Quite a few years ago someone posted an analysis that a thread needed a 10% read/reply rate to really have legs over some specified period of time.
11/27/2016 10:58:52 PM EDT
[#35]
Quote History
Quoted:


Good point.

We have no way to measure what the "thread revisitation rate" is.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Quote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
30-40% are probably repeat users who commented just checking replies.


Good point.

We have no way to measure what the "thread revisitation rate" is.

This
11/27/2016 11:02:45 PM EDT
[#36]
In for the post count
11/27/2016 11:05:24 PM EDT
[#37]
Percentage of people who fail to reply to someone who quoted them...
I'm guilty of hitting submit and going to another thread and forgetting about this one
11/27/2016 11:08:15 PM EDT
[#38]
I click on a thread, 87% of them halfway through the OP, I go "WTF?" and click out.

Still counts as a 'view.'

11/27/2016 11:10:38 PM EDT
[#39]
I probably read 15 threads that I don't reply for every one I do reply.
11/27/2016 11:11:57 PM EDT
[#40]
If you have any mention of a women, the count  goes nucking futs.
11/27/2016 11:14:50 PM EDT
[#41]
Quote History
Quoted:
I put pants on today!
View Quote

My socks match.
11/27/2016 11:22:07 PM EDT
[#42]
OP, tell us what the rate ends up being in this thread.
11/27/2016 11:24:02 PM EDT
[#43]
In
+1
FUAROCK
IBTL
11/27/2016 11:29:18 PM EDT
[#44]
Quote History
Quoted:

View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
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Quoted:
Quoted:
+1


11/27/2016 11:29:26 PM EDT
[#45]
Maybe the numbers are impacted by those who commented going back to read further and again and again. I don't think it's unique visitors to the thread.
11/27/2016 11:31:17 PM EDT
[#46]
Quote History
Quoted:
FBHO
View Quote


FHRC
11/27/2016 11:33:57 PM EDT
[#47]
I WILL NOT REPLY!


oh wait..
11/27/2016 11:36:17 PM EDT
[#48]
Quote History



This! Im going to reply just to fuck up this thread's read post ratio.
11/27/2016 11:37:13 PM EDT
[#49]
Quote History
Quoted:
+1
View Quote



This reply nails it.
11/27/2016 11:37:37 PM EDT
[#50]
This subject is relevant to my interests. Seriously, I've been researching these sorts of statistics lately.

Across social media, the average engagement rate runs between 3-5%. 10% engagement rate is considered a smashing success. Above that, you're gold.

My research has been geared primarily to building up the GF's instagram account (the metrics there are # of subscribers compared to # of likes and comments) , but I'm not surprised at all to see that the math works loosely here as well.

Take for example her last art thread here:

http://www.ar15.com/forums/t_1_5/1936069_I_don_t_know_how_she_is_doing_this__New_drawing_thread_.html

As of this post, it currently has 4621 views, 57 replies. Or, a little over 1% - this tells me that ARFCOM as a whole has lost interest in her drawing threads. It's odd and almost paradoxical considering that the lion is hands down her best and most impressive drawing yet. Previous submissions had a far higher engagement rate, even though the drawings themselves were not as good. As an example, her gyrfalcon was above 3% (aka the low end of an acceptable return) If I was more in the 5-10% engagement range, I would say that the membership is still interested.

Based on this, I don't figure I'll be doing many more art threads here. Which sucks for those that do enjoy them, but oh well. If the response rate can't at least hit average, it's not worth doing.
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