This is what scares me....keep an eye on Ohio for this. Bush has 3,500 workers up there challenging "registration drives" on voters. These 3,500 will get alot of bad publicity from the media for "intimidation" of voters, but could very well make the difference between losing and winning.
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I don't think Ohio will be that big a problem. A federal court struck down the the worst part of the provisional ballot scam that the dems were trying to pull. We will win Ohio by 5 points or more. Bank on it. Some stats from Ohio in 2000, Bush was supposed to win by around 12 points, the republicans got lazy and did not show up to the polls and he wound up winning by only four. Bush/Rove have the republican machine in Ohio wired down to the individual in each precinct in Ohio. They know were they stand and what they need to do to get the numbers to win.
As far as new voters the democrats have outsourced their GOTV to groups like ACORN, ACT and the NAACP which is giving crack cocaine to people to get them to register votes. ACORN and ACT are two of the biggest scams going in election history. They are paying folks 1 or 2 dollars for every voter who shows up. These folks are just making shit up using names like Mickey Mouse and Donald Duck. Guess what, Mickey Mouse aint gonna show up and vote, neither will most of the names turned in from these guys. In addition many of the people who ACORN registered never were turned in.
You also hear a bunch about how the new registered young voters are young and motivated. You can break that down into two groups of young voters. Dems and Republicans.
The young dems are signing up because they are being given tickets to go see Puff Daddy and M&M. If you basically have to bribe someone to vote how reliable are they??
The young republicans are self motivating and will register on their own. Now who do you want to put your hopes and faith on, a young republican who is from a traditional family, who hunts, goes to church, owns firearms, has parents that are professionals or military, or some inner city youth who is standingt on a corner with bling bling on his neck and a new ticket stub to puff daddy in his pocket??
The republicans are in good shape.