Posted: 10/11/2025 11:21:48 AM EDT
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so, congress knew ahead of time they were going to shut down the government, and they will know ahead of time when they are going to vote for a bill that funds the government and reopens it. that info alone will be worth hundreds of millions if not billions of dollars in the stock market. while military and vital service men and women are going without pay, a whole lot of these scummy swamp creatures will come out of this shutdown having made a ton of money. "it's a big club and you ain't in it!" - George Carlin |
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We all knew a shutdown was likely. We all also know it will eventually reopen. So, if there is some benefit to make money from reopening it, we can make money too by investing during the shutdown. Personally, I don’t think a shutdown has much influence on the markets. The tariff talk DOES have an influence. But I’m a long term investor so I just keep buying regardless of if the market is up or down. Hopefully the Republicans can frame this as a Democrat shutdown and hurt their reelection chances in 2026. They seem to be doing a good job of that so far but time will tell. |
"It behooves every man to remember that the work of the critic is of altogether secondary importance, and that, in the end, progress is accomplished by the man who does things."
Theodore Roosevelt
Theodore Roosevelt
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Originally Posted By grendelbane: I don’t believe insider trading is as easy as most people think it is. Attached File |
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Originally Posted By rtlm: We just need a reverse tweet, and all is well. I like volatility, let it rain. Done. Futures / overnight market up. Attached File |
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Originally Posted By Procat: Done. Futures / overnight market up. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/489576/IMG_5021_jpeg-3640834.JPG Originally Posted By Procat: Originally Posted By rtlm: We just need a reverse tweet, and all is well. I like volatility, let it rain. Done. Futures / overnight market up. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/489576/IMG_5021_jpeg-3640834.JPG Yes sir. Liking it, watching Amit’s show now. |
"I got this. We'll skip the dicks" DK-Prof 12/7/21
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Originally Posted By rtlm: Yes sir. Liking it, watching Amit’s show now. Attached File |
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Originally Posted By grendelbane: I don’t believe insider trading is as easy as most people think it is. It's easy on smaller stocks with no volume, or some overseas stuff, but with US indices and mega cap's news is just volume that feeds the algo's. You can see it all the time, news comes out and the market goes in the exact opposite direction of where it "should" based on the news, then you have the carnival barkers on TV explaining how the market went up on bad news because blah blah blah. That first 1/64th of a second when the market went down slightly was "the news" the rest was the algo's waking up and doing what they want. All the Trump tweets and insider trading talk is just a security blanket for people that didn't prepare ahead of time for the move. That move Friday was not unexpected, it went a bit farther than expected because of the gamma bomb that was built up all week, but again that was not unseen. A 35-40 cent 20 wide SPX put butterfly on the lower EM on Tuesday could've been sold for about 2 bucks on Friday, or better if your timing was less shit than mine. That was one simple option to prepare for a pretty obvious drop. |