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AR15.COM
6/15/2026 2:12:33 AM EDT
I have some specific theories as to what's going on with reciprocity.

As an Alabama resident, in order to score real national carry rights I'd need 20+ permits from Guam to Massachusetts.  In at least four cases this is impossible (Oregon, Illinois, American Samoa and the US Virgin Islands) as they're doing "outsider exclusion" - they won't accept my permit and won't issue me theirs.  Set that aside for now, because three states have been challenged on that and folded quickly, New York, California and Hawaii so we can assume that'll be fixed soon.

Ok.  20+ permits.

I think there's a way to challenge that in court - on defense if necessary.  Comments welcome.  Yeah, 14 pages.  It's worth it.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1V2qEWfff4CUgAdO9tK-NZgf905_YdR7J/view?usp=drive_link
6/15/2026 3:36:51 AM EDT
[#1]
Originally Posted By JimSimpson:
In at least four cases this is impossible (Oregon, Illinois, American Samoa and the US Virgin Islands) as they're doing "outsider exclusion" - they won't accept my permit and won't issue me theirs.  Set that aside for now, because three states have been challenged on that and folded quickly, New York, California and Hawaii so we can assume that'll be fixed soon.
View Quote

IIRC the Illinois scheme was upheld by their federal circuit and SC denied review, so I wouldn't count on it changing significantly.
This is...a clue - Pat_Rogers
I'm not adequately aluminumized for this thread. - gonzo_beyondo
CO, MI, OR - Please lobby your legislators to end discrimination against non-resident CCW permit holders
6/15/2026 5:11:16 AM EDT
[#2]
> the Illinois scheme was upheld by their federal circuit and SC denied review

That had to have been before Bruen.  The same concept got reviewed in New York and failed a "text, history and tradition" challenge.

For that matter the 7th Circuit decision that caused the Illinois permit system in the first place (Moore v Madigan 2012 I think was the year?) clearly says a zero-issue policy is unconstitutional, so what Illinois is doing now is counter to that.

It also violates the 1999 US Supreme Court decision in Saenz v Roe, which bans cross border discrimination.  That's what convinced a federal judge in California that the total ban on outsider carry was wrong.

Again, California and New York lost these cases in 2024.  Hawaii just this year.  Illinois, Oregon and the US Virgin Islands will too.

American Samoa is still trying to ban *handguns* lol.  That won't last.

The Northern Marianas Islands bans concealed carry but open carry is legal. So basically Wild West Pimp Style[tm] in flip flops.  Very odd.  Dunno what to do about that.
6/15/2026 10:14:15 AM EDT
[#3]
The reality is that, as long as the SC allows the states to require permits to carry, mandating reciprocity is a problem. States are not required to recognize other states licensing and certifications in many areas, such as law, medicine, and engineering. Hell, I'm not even sure states are *required* to recognize driver's licenses, though I could very well be wrong.

Of course the problem is that one doesn't have a right to practice medicine, law, or engineering. It's going to take more than the SC to get off its ass. DoJ going after states is a good start, but that will ONLY happen in a Republican administration.
"As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly." A. Carlson
6/15/2026 10:30:56 AM EDT
[#4]
Prior to WW2 the states set up an interstate compact on driver's licenses and YES, they're required to honor each other's driver's licenses.  The compact (still in existence) covers minimum standards for training, background checks, vision checks and so on.

(The background check isn't to exclude felons, it's about checking to see if anybody has had their driver's license revoked by another state.  It's just as complex as NICS for guns but it's a difference database.)

You've figured out that driving is a privilege, carry is a civil right.  Good.  What you've missed is the 2nd half of Bruen footnote 9.

It bans abusive behavior in CCW permit handling, even if it's shall issue.  The specific abuses flat banned are "subjective standards for issuance", "lengthy waiting times" and "exorbitant fees".  THOSE ARE CONDEMNED.

Now, we don't have exact limits.  But if no one state or territory can blow up those limits, neither can a coalition of 20+ states and territories.

Chasing 20+ permits from Guam to Massachusetts utterly detonates the footnote 9 limits.

That's how we grab them by the short'n'curlies in court.
6/15/2026 10:36:21 AM EDT
[#5]
Quote History
Originally Posted By JimSimpson:
Prior to WW2 the states set up an interstate compact on driver's licenses and YES, they're required to honor each other's driver's licenses.  The compact (still in existence) covers minimum standards for training, background checks, vision checks and so on.

(The background check isn't to exclude felons, it's about checking to see if anybody has had their driver's license revoked by another state.  It's just as complex as NICS for guns but it's a difference database.)

You've figured out that driving is a privilege, carry is a civil right.  Good.  What you've missed is the 2nd half of Bruen footnote 9.

It bans abusive behavior in CCW permit handling, even if it's shall issue.  The specific abuses flat banned are "subjective standards for issuance", "lengthy waiting times" and "exorbitant fees".  THOSE ARE CONDEMNED.

Now, we don't have exact limits.  But if no one state or territory can blow up those limits, neither can a coalition of 20+ states and territories.

Chasing 20+ permits from Guam to Massachusetts utterly detonates the footnote 9 limits.

That's how we grab them by the short'n'curlies in court.
View Quote
Note that it's a compact between the states, not a federal mandate.

I haven't missed anything. I'm agreeing that the current situation is untenable and unconstitutional. I was pointing out that the solution isn't as simple as a federal mandate.
"As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly." A. Carlson
6/15/2026 10:53:24 AM EDT
[Last Edit: JimSimpson][Edited] [#6]
One more thing.  We can very easily prove that the Bruen footnote 9 list of banned abuses is core holding, not dicta.

Because Thomas pulled a funny.

Remember I said the abuses are described in the 2nd half of footnote 9?  Yeah, guess what's in the first half?  A statement supporting shall issue permits with training and background checks.  This is crucial because otherwise, shall-issue carry permits tied to training and background checks would fail a "text, history and tradition" challenge because that concept was invented by the Florida legislature in 1986, otherwise far too late to survive THT.  States like California and New York are citing footnote 9 to claim that shall-issue is fine.

And they're right.  But they're ignoring the 2nd half because they're doing those abuses up one side and down the other.

Footnote 9 is either dicta or it's not.

Just one example: the cost paid to the city of NY for a permit is over $400.  Cost for a driver's license, about a quarter of the CCW fees (not including the 18 hours training).  CCW at 4x the cost of a driver's license is solid proof that just the one NYC permit is an "exorbitant fee".

That's without even starting on the costs and delays to chase 20+ permits from Guam to Massachusetts, Washington State to the US Virgin Islands (I can't visit the latter as I'm married).

One more thing :).

Let's say a crazy judge says the first half of footnote 9 is holding, 2nd half with the abuses is dicta.  It still doesn't matter.  Bruen set up carry as a basic civil right.  That being the case, existing case law on how we handle basic civil rights kick in, a whole avalanche of cases going back 100+ years, taking us to the same basic place as the footnote 9 list of abuses.
6/15/2026 2:54:03 PM EDT
[#7]
You're assuming the courts will be reasonable, logical and consistent. All of that goes out the window when it's guns.
This is...a clue - Pat_Rogers
I'm not adequately aluminumized for this thread. - gonzo_beyondo
CO, MI, OR - Please lobby your legislators to end discrimination against non-resident CCW permit holders
6/15/2026 5:17:33 PM EDT
[#8]
"You're assuming the courts will be reasonable, logical and consistent."

Kinda.

Here's the thing.  Once the Bruen decision elevated carry to a basic civil right, that changed everything.

We've got over a century of case law regarding how we handle civil rights.  How the courts handle it.

I don't care how much a judge hates guns, if he's honest, he's got to hesitate before risking a dilution of all civil rights.
6/15/2026 5:21:04 PM EDT
[#9]
Quote History
Originally Posted By JimSimpson:
"You're assuming the courts will be reasonable, logical and consistent."

Kinda.

Here's the thing.  Once the Bruen decision elevated carry to a basic civil right, that changed everything.

We've got over a century of case law regarding how we handle civil rights.  How the courts handle it.

I don't care how much a judge hates guns, if he's honest, he's got to hesitate before risking a dilution of all civil rights.
View Quote
Have you been paying attention lately?
"As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly." A. Carlson
6/15/2026 8:17:11 PM EDT
[#10]
Yes I have.

All kinds of weird crap is happening.  I get it.

But we're talking about the same core civil right as covered in Bruen.

In areas Bruen covered.

I'm not saying it's a slam dunk.  Especially not in state criminal court, although I'm remain convinced it's possible.  Remember, this is just as much about whether a New York judge can go to Boston with their SO for lobster dinners while strapped as it is myself as an Alabama trucker carrying in New York.

But there's grounds here to bounce it to federal court on a habeus if needed.  And a lot of BS that might fly in state court might not play as easily in federal court.
6/16/2026 2:13:34 AM EDT
[Last Edit: Gamma762][Edited] [#11]
Quote History
Originally Posted By JimSimpson:
Yes I have.

All kinds of weird crap is happening.  I get it.

But we're talking about the same core civil right as covered in Bruen.

In areas Bruen covered.

I'm not saying it's a slam dunk.  Especially not in state criminal court, although I'm remain convinced it's possible.  Remember, this is just as much about whether a New York judge can go to Boston with their SO for lobster dinners while strapped as it is myself as an Alabama trucker carrying in New York.

But there's grounds here to bounce it to federal court on a habeus if needed.  And a lot of BS that might fly in state court might not play as easily in federal court.
View Quote

It's guns.

We can't even get the federal courts to accept that magazines, grips and other firearm components are covered by 2A.

7th Circuit already threw out the challenge to non-resident licensing (not even reciprocity) in Illinois...
https://www.isba.org/cases/7thcircuit/2019/04/12/culpvraoul

SCOTUS denied review:
https://www.scotusblog.com/cases/culp-v-raoul/

The Bruen decision didn't explicitly address non-residents at all and unfortunately explicitly accepted licensing regimes. No federal appeals court is going to go one millimeter beyond what Bruen demands, if they even bother to go that far as we're already seen. Some district judge may, but the appeals courts won't, and SCOTUS doesn't seem interested in actually taking any cases to respond to the color revolution that is pushing them into irrelevance.

It's not the way it should be or the way I'd like it to be, but that's the way it is. Between SAF, FPC, and others almost all these issues have been pushed through to the appeals court level and then denied review by SCOTUS. The more recent tact has been to pursue legal action in state courts rather than federal courts with the hope of getting a favorable opinion from a state supreme court.

Our only real hope would have been federal legislation in 2017 or 2025, riding the election mandate with congressional majorities, but the other unfortunate reality is that the republican party as an institution isn't actually pro-gun rights either. Lots and lots of statists on both the right and the left who go completely limp when it comes to any firearms rights beyond bird hunting with an over-under.
This is...a clue - Pat_Rogers
I'm not adequately aluminumized for this thread. - gonzo_beyondo
CO, MI, OR - Please lobby your legislators to end discrimination against non-resident CCW permit holders
6/16/2026 1:36:25 PM EDT
[#12]
Quote History
Originally Posted By Gamma762:

It's guns.

We can't even get the federal courts to accept that magazines, grips and other firearm components are covered by 2A.

7th Circuit already threw out the challenge to non-resident licensing (not even reciprocity) in Illinois...
https://www.isba.org/cases/7thcircuit/2019/04/12/culpvraoul

SCOTUS denied review:
https://www.scotusblog.com/cases/culp-v-raoul/

The Bruen decision didn't explicitly address non-residents at all and unfortunately explicitly accepted licensing regimes. No federal appeals court is going to go one millimeter beyond what Bruen demands, if they even bother to go that far as we're already seen. Some district judge may, but the appeals courts won't, and SCOTUS doesn't seem interested in actually taking any cases to respond to the color revolution that is pushing them into irrelevance.

It's not the way it should be or the way I'd like it to be, but that's the way it is. Between SAF, FPC, and others almost all these issues have been pushed through to the appeals court level and then denied review by SCOTUS. The more recent tact has been to pursue legal action in state courts rather than federal courts with the hope of getting a favorable opinion from a state supreme court.

Our only real hope would have been federal legislation in 2017 or 2025, riding the election mandate with congressional majorities, but the other unfortunate reality is that the republican party as an institution isn't actually pro-gun rights either. Lots and lots of statists on both the right and the left who go completely limp when it comes to any firearms rights beyond bird hunting with an over-under.
View Quote
Another tack is having DoJ pursue 2A as a civil rights issue. It has a huge potential to be effective, but unless another R gets elected, it will die in 2 years. So vote!
"As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly." A. Carlson
6/16/2026 1:44:43 PM EDT
[Last Edit: R2point0][Edited] [#13]
Double tap
"As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly." A. Carlson
6/16/2026 2:43:56 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Gamma762][Edited] [#14]
Quote History
Originally Posted By R2point0:
Another tack is having DoJ pursue 2A as a civil rights issue. It has a huge potential to be effective, but unless another R gets elected, it will die in 2 years. So vote!
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Quote History
Originally Posted By R2point0:
Originally Posted By Gamma762:

It's guns.

We can't even get the federal courts to accept that magazines, grips and other firearm components are covered by 2A.

7th Circuit already threw out the challenge to non-resident licensing (not even reciprocity) in Illinois...
https://www.isba.org/cases/7thcircuit/2019/04/12/culpvraoul

SCOTUS denied review:
https://www.scotusblog.com/cases/culp-v-raoul/

The Bruen decision didn't explicitly address non-residents at all and unfortunately explicitly accepted licensing regimes. No federal appeals court is going to go one millimeter beyond what Bruen demands, if they even bother to go that far as we're already seen. Some district judge may, but the appeals courts won't, and SCOTUS doesn't seem interested in actually taking any cases to respond to the color revolution that is pushing them into irrelevance.

It's not the way it should be or the way I'd like it to be, but that's the way it is. Between SAF, FPC, and others almost all these issues have been pushed through to the appeals court level and then denied review by SCOTUS. The more recent tact has been to pursue legal action in state courts rather than federal courts with the hope of getting a favorable opinion from a state supreme court.

Our only real hope would have been federal legislation in 2017 or 2025, riding the election mandate with congressional majorities, but the other unfortunate reality is that the republican party as an institution isn't actually pro-gun rights either. Lots and lots of statists on both the right and the left who go completely limp when it comes to any firearms rights beyond bird hunting with an over-under.
Another tack is having DoJ pursue 2A as a civil rights issue. It has a huge potential to be effective, but unless another R gets elected, it will die in 2 years. So vote!

DoJ taking action could be a game-changer, but the courts will basically turn openly adversarial in anti-gun jurisdictions. Because it's guns.

I've said for years that various anti-gun states should be subject to consent decrees to stop them from continuing to impose unconstitutional gun control measures but the likelihood of that is zero. Maybe we need a consent decree against the federal courts to get them to properly apply SCOTUS precedents from Heller/McDonald/Caetano/Bruen .
This is...a clue - Pat_Rogers
I'm not adequately aluminumized for this thread. - gonzo_beyondo
CO, MI, OR - Please lobby your legislators to end discrimination against non-resident CCW permit holders

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