Bitcoin hits $125k - 10/4/25 (Page 617 of 618)
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Originally Posted By Brahmzy: Does this mean the whales have slowly / quietly been loading their bags during this mid-60s months-long crab walk and will rugs us around $90k? I have my doubts this is a long-duration rise. That said, I’ll take any movement over this sideways 60s nonsense. The last two cycle bottoms in 2019 and 2023 looked exactly like this. We broke out of both of those bottoms with a move that looked almost exactly like this. Most of the false bottoms in prior cycles were classic bear flags and this is no bear flag. If we had broke sharply down a couple days ago instead of up then it would have been another classic bear flag pattern. I would not have expected a bottom in the 60s in general but other than that the chart is good and the 4 year cycle timing is right in terms of the bear market being ready to wrap up. It's as good of a sign as we could have ever hoped to see at this point ahead of the next halving. I'll take it. |
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Originally Posted By woodsie: The last two cycle bottoms in 2019 and 2023 looked exactly like this. We broke out of both of those bottoms with a move that looked almost exactly like this. Most of the false bottoms in prior cycles were classic bear flags and this is no bear flag. If we had broke sharply down a couple days ago instead of up then it would have been another classic bear flag pattern. I would not have expected a bottom in the 60s in general but other than that the chart is good and the 4 year cycle timing is right in terms of the bear market being ready to wrap up. It's as good of a sign as we could have ever hoped to see at this point ahead of the next halving. I'll take it.  |
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Originally Posted By Brahmzy: Does this mean the whales have slowly / quietly been loading their bags during this mid-60s months-long crab walk and will rugs us around $90k? I have my doubts this is a long-duration rise. That said, I'll take any movement over this sideways 60s nonsense. |
"This is a free country, and I have the permits, background checks, licenses, and tax receipts to prove it." --Zippster (4/10/13)
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Originally Posted By Brahmzy: Does this mean the whales have slowly / quietly been loading their bags during this mid-60s months-long crab walk and will rugs us around $90k? I have my doubts this is a long-duration rise. That said, I’ll take any movement over this sideways 60s nonsense. One wallet bought 13,000 |
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Originally Posted By Caeser2001: One wallet bought 13,000 |
Isaiah 1:18 - "Come now, let us reason together," says the LORD: "though your sins are like scarlet, they shall be as white as snow"
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80k inbound? Attached File |
Isaiah 1:18 - "Come now, let us reason together," says the LORD: "though your sins are like scarlet, they shall be as white as snow"
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Originally Posted By Fooboy: 80k inbound? https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/113559/IMG_9627_jpeg-3816412.JPG Its really trying. Fidelity shows high of day $79,999.99 Big sell wall at 80k. If we get past that, off to the races? |
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Attached File |
I would like to remind everyone that disorganized violence is never the answer. - John Carter
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Originally Posted By Scrote:
lol. Techno Viking was a classic. |
 The Global Monetary Reset Has Begun (Hint: Gold, Bonds, Japan are Just the Start) Prepare, accordingly. |
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My guess, Warsh will hold and T$ will blink. |
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I had to look. Why are European countries moving their gold out of North America? What a pain in the ass. Advantage Bitcoin. 
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I would like to remind everyone that disorganized violence is never the answer. - John Carter
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Originally Posted By Scrote: Tomorrow gonna be a bang or a bust? Got me funds ready and patiently waiting to see what $MSTR does. oof Name Price Change % Chg Bitcoin USD 76,897 -2,097 -2.65% Ethereum USD 2,479.19 -91.00 -3.54% XRP USD 1.4050 -0.0579 -3.95% 
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Originally Posted By GraboidHunter: Clarity Act dead for now. It needed 60 yay votes to move ahead. "47 senators voted against the bill, ending any prospect for legislative work on CLARITY in the Senate this year." Yep, and interest rate hike possibility, gonna be a nice dip. Im holding off on any buys for a bit. |
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I was reading that the Fed and the SEC have discussed having a contingency plan for if the Clarity Act cloture vote didn't pass. Whereas as they'd apply their own regulations without Senate oversight. It'll be interesting to see how this impacts the market over the next few days with the FOMC meeting tomorrow. |
I'm a good listener
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some optimism here : ================= Bitcoin could be headed for $230,000 in less than a decade. Here are seven ways to value the crypto. Provided by Dow Jones Sep 17, 2026, 8:10:00 AM By Nora Redmond Bitcoin has climbed 26% in almost four months. Bitcoin's value has long been debated, but a strategist has worked out seven possible ways to help to decide the cryptocurrency's worth. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was up 0.4%, hovering around the $76,300 mark early on Thursday morning. The cryptocurrency had rallied last month as senators debated the Clarity Act, but even as the digital regulation legislation failed in the upper chamber it's held onto most of those gains. Ned Davis Research sees bitcoin reaching a value of around $170,000 by 2030, and as high as $230,000 five years later, and for chief alternatives strategist John Laforge, there are a number of approaches for valuing the crypto and different reasons to use each one. The method that best suits the asset involves looking at network adoption as this is the only one that is based on bitcoin's own data as opposed to comparisons, he wrote in a note published Wednesday. Laforge said the main way to assess this is by evaluating the number of owners, both directly and via exchange-traded funds, as well as looking at addresses holding a balance and transacting each day. He wrote that another option is comparing bitcoin to similar assets, especially gold (GC00). "Gold and bitcoin are both rare bearer assets in a credit-consumed world. A bearer asset is one where holding it means owning it - there's no one in the middle that can freeze it, lose it, or tell you no," Laforge wrote. He said the third method - which is likely the best one to use for the coming quarters - is following the level of money-supply growth. When money growth is above 4%, the investment research firm found, bitcoin responds positively. Whereas when the money supply contracts by 4%, the crypto has generally struggled. Next, he wrote, the value could be assessed by looking at the cost of production, which Laforge said functions well as an indication of sentiment, and signals when miners decide to sell some of the crypto. According to CoinShares, the average cost to one bitcoin among the listed miners was approximately $75,500 in the second quarter. "Where this metric becomes useful, as an indicator, is when the cost to produce one bitcoin sits meaningfully higher than the market price for extended periods of time," he said. "When enough miners are desperate to cover operating costs, it can lead to forced selling and an ultimate cycle bottom." Another method would be to examine how much to own, by looking at risk first. Based on bitcoin's price history, a 1% portfolio position adds about 2% to total risk, but it scales higher - a 4% position translate to 14% risk. The sixth possible approach listed by Laforge is analyzing the bitcoin adoption cycle, but he noted that this is not an exact science and should involve accessing multiple different measuring techniques. Finally, he put forward the stock-to-flow model for evaluating bitcoin's worth, one of the most popular. The model divides how much supply already exists divided by the amount that gets added every year. But Laforge is the most skeptical about this strategy, explaining that its estimates have been off in the region of hundreds of thousands of dollars in recent years. "What's wrong, in our estimation, is that it is too focused on the supply side," he said. "The demand side matters too, and demand has not grown high enough or strong enough to reach some of the model's price predictions." -Nora Redmond 09-17-26 0810ET ================================= |
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Attached File Hit 81K and seems to be on the way back there. |
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Originally Posted By P400: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/61196/1000047020_jpg-3829182.JPG Hit 81K and seems to be on the way back there. Would like to see it close above 81k today. Eta- I've bumped up my stop limit 5 times today so far on my swing trade shares. Lol. |
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Originally Posted By Scrote: Surprised at the lack of enthusiasm in here. Chart looks great, golden cross on daily. Clarity act fails, BTC goes up. Interest rate increase, BTC goes up. Oil prices climbing, BTC goes up.  No one's going to get excited until the thread title gets changed
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Originally Posted By NostalgiaforInfinity: No one's going to get excited until the thread title gets changed Originally Posted By NostalgiaforInfinity: Originally Posted By Scrote: Surprised at the lack of enthusiasm in here. Chart looks great, golden cross on daily. Clarity act fails, BTC goes up. Interest rate increase, BTC goes up. Oil prices climbing, BTC goes up. No one's going to get excited until the thread title gets changed Thats fair. |
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i started buying this shit on the off chance that it'd eventually build me the house i want until it does i am unaffected by price change other than if i buy more or not. if it dumps big i'll always throw some more money at it, which time will tell if that makes me really smart or just a fucking retard the house i could buy right now is not one i'd want to live in |
SPECTRE
This is the new participation trophy arfcom, not the old wild west arfcom
Jarhead_22
When TexRdnec is the voice of moderation, you know you have swerved over the double yellow line and are headed into oncoming traffic
This is the new participation trophy arfcom, not the old wild west arfcom
Jarhead_22
When TexRdnec is the voice of moderation, you know you have swerved over the double yellow line and are headed into oncoming traffic
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Originally Posted By Scrote: Surprised at the lack of enthusiasm in here. Chart looks great, golden cross on daily. Clarity act fails, BTC goes up. Interest rate increase, BTC goes up. Oil prices climbing, BTC goes up. The best time to stack is always when no one is talking about it. 84K 
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