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I would say most of the area is solid with the usual exceptions. Rhinelander and Minocqua both have mixed bag of voters with strong teachers union representation. Minocqua has been mostly non-resident landowners from down state and out of state dependent on the seasonal tourism. That seems to be transitioning. I got the impression that Covid drove a lot of people from the cities up this way. Lots of new homes, 4 season remodels, and school enrollments were up. I don't know that I would have ever seen Minocqua as a conservative go-to location.
Just my. 02, YMMV
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I've been here 30 years. The city of Rhinelander has always had it's share of Dems, but they were (and still are, AFAIK) a minority that wouldn't even be noticed if they didn't stick out like a snowball in a pile of coal. Until recently, politics was never much of an issue. It's loudmouths like Bangstick that are the biggest problem. In Vilas county, most local races are decided in the Republican primaries, as there's hardly ever a Dem challenger foolish enough to enter a race.
As for people from cities being driven up north by covid, that's not the reality. it's not covid driving them. I've dealt with a bunch of them as customers over last summer and fall, until the housing market dried up totally (more on that below). Most were not fleeing the cities themselves, but the closer-in suburbs. They aren't fleeing covid, as much as they are fleeing the civil unrest and crime caused by BLM and the "defund the police" liberal idiots. They're afraid of more riots, spilling into their suburban neighborhoods. They've been for the most part, conservative leaning folks who have gotten to that final straw that broke the camel, and decided it was GTFO time. One of the first questions I've been asked by a good portion of new homeowners transplanted from down south are "are there any good gun shops around here?"...and "where do you go for ammo around here?"
"Where's the nearest shooting range?"
As for the housing market... LOL, what market? I have never seen it like this in my 3 decades in Vilas County. Homes get sold the day they get listed, and for MORE than asking price. My granddaughter, who rents a house in Woodruff, wants to buy her own home. She and her husband, and 1 year old son, cannot find anything to even look at in the $150,000-200,000 range. In fact, there isn't much of anything available here now under a $500,000^ waterfront property. Plenty of vacant lots to build on, that are for sale. But most local contractors are booked up for YEARS.