When I built out all of our Patrol Carbines several months back, I had two bulbs fail during my function checks. In my "vast" experience, if a bulb is going to go bad, it will do it in the first few minutes of operation. Otherwise it should last a long time.
While SF's warranty usually does NOT cover bulbs or batteries, and I didn't bother, having a big lot of spares, I imagine that, given their past track record of excellent customer service, that if you called SF and told them about your bulb failing, they will probably send you a replacement. I'll also toss out that I was irresponsible in NOT calling them when ours failed, because if they are having a QC issue with their new bulbs and nobody tells them, it will never get fixed. So, in a way, you can blame me. Sorry.