Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted: I don't consider myself the tinfoil-hat type
There is nothing tin-foil hat about your post. The terrorists see how well the suicide bomber or "martyrdom operations" have worked in Israel, so now they are going to be bringing it here.
That said, I don't think these were organized attacks, but you can be sure that they are coming. The Palestinians should have been smacked down hard. By the WHOLE civilized world. Now you can look forward to this coming to a neighborhood near you.
|
The only problem is logistics...
Every case of a suicide campaign has been carried out by a population indigenous to or bordering the target country....
There is no such 'Fuel' to run a campaign here, unless AQ manages to convert the Mexicans... Not likely....
AQ ops here have been, and will stay large bomb attacks, not individual suicide bombers...
It's just not enough payback to fly them over just to blow up a vest and kill 50-or-less people...
Think logistics guys...
Next US AQ op will be (AGAIN) a car/truck sized bomb (or larger) directed at an economic/political/military target.
They have a VERY perdictable MO when attacking European/CONUS targets...
When you hear about bombings on COLLEGE campuses, the logical suspects are the TRADITIONAL perps who have been doing this since the 60s -> students with leftist ties (WWP, anti-globalization-anarchists, EarthFirsters, etc), or who are just deranged and playing with explosives
|
I believe you need to take a few additional things into your account. I understand your analysis of traditional AQ MO against US targets, however you fail to take into account that AQ is always changing and adopting new tactics. Why would they not take to recruiting dupes from college campuses, much like the Weathermen, Black Panthers, etc did during the 60's, to perform sporadic acts of terror. Students from terrorist-harboring states are plentiful on many college campuses. There is no shortage of impressionable social rejects, there are several famous ones, some who we have captured fighting for the Taliban in Afghanistan, etc. I think you may need to reconsider your analysis.
|
The one thing is, however, that the AQ MO has NOT changed.
EVERY SINGLE attack (a) involved LARGE quantities of explosives, and (b) involved a trained team of operatives. While the delivery method changes, the actual operational methodology is VERY consistant.
AQ does, as a rule, not mess with petty-ante crap like this - what you are seeing happened before there was an AQ, and will continue to happen...
Now, if we end up with a truck bomb being set off outside the Physics building, then AQ becomes a valid suspect. But pipe bombs, and reaction-bombs (eg MRE, dry-ice, etc)? That's just the traditional college bullshit - Animal House on steroids....
For some reason, AQ operates like they're in some sort of spy novel - infiltrate, sabotage, and (unless it was a suicide attack, which most are NOT) exfiltrate... This allows them to assure success if the attack goes down - as opposed to counting on some college kid to build the device properly, maintain secrecy, and carry out the attack... When attacking accross the ocean, it is far easier to send a trained & ideologically dependant strike team.... More damage, more death, and they actually manage to get away some times...
The nature of the op points to college kids who have no idea what they're doing - that is way off the reservation for AQ....