http://www.tarrance.com/files/Tarrance-Group-Projection.pdf

This is a bipartisan poll that Rush likes to cite. 92 and 96 they were freakily accurate. 2000 they overestimated bush support, not accounting for impact of DUI scandal. This time those same people won't be staying home.

They also released their sunday and monday poll -

http://www.tarrance.com/files/9936QF11-01.pdf

Bush 47, Kerry 41 (unaided), -- (This is important !)
Bush 49, Kerry 45 (aided)

Unaided simply asks 'who are you voting for' instead of 'will you vote for GWB, JFnK, etc'. It's a better measure of people who are paying attention to the race (and more likely to vote) instead of people just answering from a list of options.

RealClearPolitics Poll AverageSM composite polls shows Bush by 1.5%
www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry.html

Quoted: I hope you right, the Fox news poll has K at 48 and B and 46

Even the fox guys admit it was a screwey sample - it had men supporting kerry more than bush by 2% -- which is unheard of.

Quoted: Quoted: I hope you right, the Fox news poll has K at 48 and B and 46 Even the fox guys admit it was a screwey sample - it had men supporting kerry more than bush by 2% -- which is unheard of.

Halloween weekend.... lot's of families were busy doing stuff... too busy to answer phones...

bush will win

Bush need a 4 point advantage to overcome the leftist voter fraud.