no bullshit assesment on AWB sunset:
It will sunset on 9/13/04
here's why:
in 1994, we had a democrat house, senate and president... The AWB passed by a VERY slim margin and it is no secret that teh AWB pissed alot of people off and cost alot of congressmen and senators their seats.
in 2004, we have the opposite. republican president, senate, house. We also have a very polarized election coming up. You have the I HATE BUSH crowd, and the bush supporters, very little in between. The i hate bush people are ALOT more passionate about it than most bush supporters.
for most on both sides, the AWB sunset is a very minor issue.
The hardcore antis, people who would vote based on gun control are ALL in the I hate bush side (when was the last time you heard of someone saying "I'd vote for Bush but only if he pushes for the AWB renewal?") Outside of the hardcore antis, the anti-bush people dont really care about it much.... Why push for gun control when THEY HAVE A WAR TO PROTEST? its like back in their glory days in the 60s
THe hardcore pro gunners (us) are for the most part bush supporters (some alot more than others). But alot of us, maybe most of us, would NOT vote for Bush if the ban is renewed.
The last election was won by a very slim margin, a few hundred votes in one state, and gore got the popular vote (not that the popular vote matters) Bush doesnt want to lose ANY votes, especically core republican supporters like the pro gun community. They know the true antis will never vote for them anyway.
The house and senate leadership have showed some backbone, and they are well aware of the above. I doubt the AWB will even come up in the last FOUR days.
after the election is up in the air. I think if we keep the house and senate in republican hands it will stay dead, REGARDLESS of who's in the white house.