There is usually a big difference between "civilians" and survivalists - the former are still and lifeless, while the latter breathe on
While that is an attempt at humor, no matter which state you are in, the population fluctuation brings new, inexperienced people into the state. Add the womb-to-tomb entitled population segment and it does impact those that are prepared. That has an effect on the post-disaster situation and is a theme and a point that one must also be prepared for.
Now to your question. I will just speak of your regular, average Joe (for the ladies, aka Jane) Survivor. The good survivor prepares for what may befall themselves and their family at work, while shopping or traveling and, of course, at home. Part of the regimen is assuring yourself of adequate, physical protection, e.g., hardening your home against the physical (and human, for that matter of fact) elements that may, most likely, befall one. Then you have to ensure that you have a viable post-event survival chance, i.e., you need water, backup shelter, food, a means to cook the food, light, communications, including a radio to gather information, a power source and, if possible, a few minor amenities to make the hard times a bit easier on the soul.
Preparation also includes information. Now we get closer to answering your question. Speaking for myself, after Aug. 1st, I scan the
National Hurricane Center site. They have a new hot button on what is normally the 2nd line - but now it is the third line because of advisory flags for Dean and Erin. Click on the underlined portion of
"Experimental
Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook now available" and you will be taken to a map that shows what activities are currently being watched. As they move from tropical wave or tropical depression, they hot-link to the advisories, forecasts, tracking maps, etc. It is a handy site.
My experience is that they are pretty good at predicting tracks 3 days out. When they are 5 days out, they can be off a bit. Every so often, however, even the best laid forecasts of mice and men go astray. The best example I can think of was
Hurricane Jeanne . Drop down the lower area and see "Figure 1: Best track positions for Hurricane Jeanne, 13-28 September 2004."
I had missed the previous visitor to the east coast of FL, Hurricane Frances, as I was still overseas. I got back about 8 days after it hit, lucky enough to find that the power was on and I had A/C and a fridge. Early in the morning of the 21st or 22nd, I can't remember exactly - I saw that they were predicting an unexpected 180° turn. At that time, I quickly began finalizing my preparations in the early morning. By the 24th, supplies were rare - it was hard to find water, bread was getting scarce and other items such as propane, empty gas canisters, etc., which had just been resupplied to local stores (SE FL, you couldn't get anything up around Sebastian/Melbourne) were sold out. Lines at gas stations were like in 1972/3 during the OPEC oil boycott. People would line up and wait just to top off the tank.
Getting the jump by being well informed in a timely manner, will allow you to make final preparations in advance. This is also very important if you are facing a situation where you have to evacuate, or bug-out. You don't want to be stuck in traffic when that happens, with the rest of the lemmings. You want to be waaay ahead of them, while the gas stations still sell have gas to sell and the predators are asleep in their lairs.
F
To give you an idea.