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Posted: 10/4/2004 7:36:29 AM EST
[Last Edit: 10/4/2004 7:39:29 AM EST by renotse]
Sept. 29 Kerry 241 Bush 273 Bush +32
1 day before the debate (link)


Oct. 4 Kerry 243 Bush 295 Bush +52
4 days after the debate (link)

For all the HYPE...Support for Bush is holding up great

Link Posted: 10/4/2004 7:39:58 AM EST
Sept 28th had Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 207 Bush 317

www.electoral-vote.com/sep/sep28.html

Link Posted: 10/4/2004 7:40:38 AM EST
Lets ROLL !

Link Posted: 10/4/2004 7:43:49 AM EST
[Last Edit: 10/4/2004 7:45:38 AM EST by renotse]

Originally Posted By dpmmn:
Sept 28th had Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 207 Bush 317



The big differrence between the 28th map and the 29th map is Florida, It keeps "Flip-Flopping"

Bush will take Florida!
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 7:45:48 AM EST
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 8:14:43 AM EST
[Last Edit: 10/4/2004 8:17:31 AM EST by The_Macallan]

Originally Posted By renotse:
Oct. 4 Kerry 243 Bush 295 Bush +52
4 days after the debate (link)

For all the HYPE...Support for Bush is holding up great


WTF??? This is all meaningless because they're still relying ENTIRELY on "pre-debate" polls.

I still predict Kerry will be ahead by 5% or more by the middle of this week - and will have an electoral vote advantage too.

GWBush had DAMN well better have one hellova October Surprise up his sleeve or else it's "Hello President Kerry"

Link Posted: 10/4/2004 8:45:29 AM EST

Originally Posted By The_Macallan:

Originally Posted By renotse:
Oct. 4 Kerry 243 Bush 295 Bush +52
4 days after the debate (link)

For all the HYPE...Support for Bush is holding up great


WTF??? This is all meaningless because they're still relying ENTIRELY on "pre-debate" polls.

I still predict Kerry will be ahead by 5% or more by the middle of this week - and will have an electoral vote advantage too.

GWBush had DAMN well better have one hellova October Surprise up his sleeve or else it's "Hello President Kerry"




Rasmussen, which as of today includes only post-debate data, still has Bush maintaining a three point lead. Rasmussen has a known tendency to underestimate the Republican perecentages by about 3-5%, so the Bush lead is actually fairly solid. Rasmussen also showed three states that moved from Kerry to toss-up over the weekend. Kerry is at his lowest Electoral vote total since Rasmussen has been tracking it.

If you put ANY stock into the Newsweek poll, you have been sadly misled.
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 8:59:44 AM EST

Originally Posted By The_Macallan:
GWBush had DAMN well better have one hellova October Surprise up his sleeve or else it's "Hello President Kerry"



AP Democrats Fear 'October Surprise'

WASHINGTON - In the presidential campaign's closing weeks, Democrats are bracing for an "October Surprise," an event so dramatic it could influence the election's outcome. The capture of Osama bin Laden (news - web sites), for instance.

It's part of American political lore: the party out of power worries about a last-minute surprise engineered by the party in power. Now that October has arrived and the election is just a month away, speculation is rife among Democrats that President Bush (news - web sites) and political mastermind Karl Rove have some tricks up their sleeves.

"I assume that it will be something," said House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi of California. "We have to be ready for that."

AP Link Here

Link Posted: 10/4/2004 11:24:47 AM EST
[Last Edit: 10/4/2004 11:28:58 AM EST by Max_Mike]

Originally Posted By The_Macallan:

Originally Posted By renotse:
Oct. 4 Kerry 243 Bush 295 Bush +52
4 days after the debate (link)

For all the HYPE...Support for Bush is holding up great


WTF??? This is all meaningless because they're still relying ENTIRELY on "pre-debate" polls.

I still predict Kerry will be ahead by 5% or more by the middle of this week - and will have an electoral vote advantage too.

GWBush had DAMN well better have one hellova October Surprise up his sleeve or else it's "Hello President Kerry"



Calm down if you look at the new Gallup poll taken AFTER the debate Bush still leads by 4 % among likely voters. It could be Kerry has just reinforced his base vote and most of his gain are in say CA, NY, NJ ect…
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 11:29:28 AM EST
Just what is going on with all those states on the west side of the Mississippi?
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 11:32:02 AM EST
[Last Edit: 10/4/2004 11:33:22 AM EST by Zaphod]
You know what? I HOPE we captured Osama last year and have been holding him chained in a smelly sewer for the EXPRESS PURPOSE of an October surprise.

I want to see those weasles SCREACH when the news is released!


ETA: Also, there is NO WAY Maryland is going to Bush. I don't understand why it's white.....
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 11:36:18 AM EST
I just registered to vote. I live in FLA.


Vote early, vote often.


Bigfeet
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 11:38:36 AM EST

Originally Posted By Zaphod:
You know what? I HOPE we captured Osama last year and have been holding him chained in a smelly sewer for the EXPRESS PURPOSE of an October surprise.

I want to see those weasles SCREACH when the news is released!


ETA: Also, there is NO WAY Maryland is going to Bush. I don't understand why it's white.....

Who'd have thought that they would have elected a (R) governor. He even ran against a Kennedy.
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 11:46:18 AM EST
Alaska: Good job!

Virginia: Come on, you lazy bastard, shape up!
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 11:47:30 AM EST
But according to polls by the LA Times, NY Times, CNN, Bush and Kerry are running neck & neck. Hmmm... I wonder a bit of the old.... "a thumb on the scale" scam?
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 11:49:49 AM EST

Originally Posted By gordo99:
Just what is going on with all those states on the west side of the Mississippi?



Reporting in from a State considered "Locked In" for Bush! "Welcome to Bush country!" Planerench out.
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 11:55:08 AM EST
Check out the projected Nov 2 EV:

www.electoral-vote.com/fin/oct04p.html

Bush 346
Al-Qerri 189

OH PLEASE, PLEASE BE RIGHT!!
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 11:56:23 AM EST

Originally Posted By ClayP:
Check out the projected Nov 2 EV:

www.electoral-vote.com/fin/oct04p.html

Bush 346
Al-Qerri 189

OH PLEASE, PLEASE BE RIGHT!!



+1x10^756765825826527586287528­7587265872364578235872527835827528757825
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 12:11:30 PM EST
Holy crap..MD is tied?
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 11:53:17 PM EST

Originally Posted By ClayP:
Check out the projected Nov 2 EV:

www.electoral-vote.com/fin/oct04p.html

Bush 346
Al-Qerri 189

OH PLEASE, PLEASE BE RIGHT!!


You may as well throw out that guy's "projection". His method is useless wanking. I still expect Bush to win, though.
Link Posted: 10/4/2004 11:56:24 PM EST

Originally Posted By The_Macallan:

Originally Posted By renotse:
Oct. 4 Kerry 243 Bush 295 Bush +52
4 days after the debate (link)

For all the HYPE...Support for Bush is holding up great


WTF??? This is all meaningless because they're still relying ENTIRELY on "pre-debate" polls.

I still predict Kerry will be ahead by 5% or more by the middle of this week - and will have an electoral vote advantage too.

GWBush had DAMN well better have one hellova October Surprise up his sleeve or else it's "Hello President Kerry"




Always with the negative vibes.
Link Posted: 10/5/2004 12:04:34 AM EST
we shall see.......we shall see......


I ain't counting anything yet.
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