ICR poll (link)
Among likely voters (registered voters who say they are certain they will vote, N = 741, margin of error = +/-3.6%) 48.0 percent say they will vote for George W. Bush, 45.4 percent for John Kerry, and 6.6 percent for others or undecided.
Based on registered voters (N = 817, margin of error = +/-3.4%), 46.5 percent say they will vote for George W. Bush, 44.6 percent for John Kerry, and 8.9 percent for others or undecided
comment : this poll is a component of the RealClearPolitics average
RCP poll average
Is ICR a GOP-related firm?
That sounds like good news especially the registered voter number. The Dems "get out the vote" push could end up hurting them if a bunch of those new voters go GOP. Around here I see more Bush signs in lower-middle-class neighborhoods than in upper-middle-class neighborhoods which are generally Kerry enclaves. I've been seeing Bush stickers on the work trucks driven by my Mexican neighbors too.