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Posted: 3/9/2010 12:38:53 PM EDT
Link Posted: 3/9/2010 12:39:47 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 3/9/2010 12:40:45 PM EDT by DangerJ]
Oh?

Well if this doesn't make you mad, I don't know what will.
Link Posted: 3/9/2010 12:42:20 PM EDT











Link Posted: 3/9/2010 12:43:34 PM EDT



Originally Posted By DangerJ:


Oh?



Well if this doesn't make you mad, I don't know what will.


Does anyone really base any of their decisions on what "Intrade" says????








 
Link Posted: 3/9/2010 12:46:19 PM EDT
Originally Posted By The_Macallan:

Originally Posted By DangerJ:
Oh?

Well if this doesn't make you mad, I don't know what will.

Does anyone really base any of their decisions on what "Intrade" says????


 


Its the other way around.

People put their money out there based on what they think will happen.  

Like stock market options, the Intrade futures have historically had a good bit of predictive value –– especially on heavily traded issues that aren't easily manipulated on low volume.  

People aren't changing votes because of what the futures say.   The futures say waht they say because people (including DC insiders) believe its going to pass.
Link Posted: 3/9/2010 12:46:53 PM EDT
Originally Posted By The_Macallan:

Originally Posted By DangerJ:
Oh?

Well if this doesn't make you mad, I don't know what will.

Does anyone really base any of their decisions on what "Intrade" says????


 


They have an annoying tendancy to be right

Link Posted: 3/9/2010 12:51:05 PM EDT
Originally Posted By The_Macallan:

Originally Posted By DangerJ:
Oh?

Well if this doesn't make you mad, I don't know what will.

Does anyone really base any of their decisions on what "Intrade" says????


 


Most people on this site had a boner for intrade when it was showing Scott Brown winning the senate seat of ted kennedy last month...
Link Posted: 3/9/2010 12:59:28 PM EDT
Link Posted: 3/9/2010 1:06:30 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 3/9/2010 1:06:57 PM EDT by The_Macallan]





Originally Posted By Mister-Z:





Originally Posted By The_Macallan:
Originally Posted By DangerJ:


Oh?





Well if this doesn't make you mad, I don't know what will.



Does anyone really base any of their decisions on what "Intrade" says????



 






They have an annoying tendancy to be right








I can't find anything about their track record showing how "right" they were and how far out those predictions were.





I did find that they gave the Republicans an 85% chance of holding the Senate in '06 as late as 11:50pm on Election night. An hour later they obviously reduced it to align it with the reality of the actual election returns coming in.





Mmkay.


 
Link Posted: 3/9/2010 1:07:32 PM EDT



Originally Posted By Frank_The_Tank:



Originally Posted By The_Macallan:




Originally Posted By DangerJ:

Oh?



Well if this doesn't make you mad, I don't know what will.


Does anyone really base any of their decisions on what "Intrade" says????






 




Most people on this site had a boner for intrade when it was showing Scott Brown winning the senate seat of ted kennedy last month...


Well that was a tough one to call.
 
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