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Posted: 10/22/2016 12:25:11 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 10/22/2016 12:28:15 PM EDT by flbulldog]
Helmut Norpoth has developed a statistical model that predicts winners in United States Presidential elections.
This model has been correct since1912. Dr. Norpoth seems more interested in statistical results rather than
political results.
Fox & Friends, had the professor explain his theory. It seems to have merit, which generates hope. I apologize
ahead of time in not making access to his theory easier. His site the primary model.com
Those who value individual freedom will be hoping his theory holds true.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:26:04 PM EDT
Believe it. MAGA motherfuckers!
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:26:57 PM EDT
It would be hilarious, that after a 100% concerted and intentional effort from all the SJW media to keep Trump from winning he still does.


It would make the establishment media look totally impotent and irrelevant.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:28:21 PM EDT
I want to believe.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:28:23 PM EDT
So this guy developed a model, and the model has been correct since 1912? This guy must be pretty old!
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:28:27 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Demosthenes99:
It would be hilarious, that after a 100% concerted and intentional effort from all the SJW media to keep Trump from winning he still does.


It would make the establishment media look totally impotent and irrelevant.
View Quote

They're helping him.

People have lost all faith in the media and the establishment. The fact that they are against Trump so hardcore just shows people that he must be the right choice.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:28:55 PM EDT
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:30:27 PM EDT
YIkes. It says "It is 87% to 99% certain that Donald Trump will win the presidential election on November 8, 2016; 87% if running against Hillary Clinton, 99% if against Bernie Sanders. "
So this is really old data that doesn't take into account grabbing pussy and wikileaks.

fingers are crossed though
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:35:49 PM EDT
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:38:15 PM EDT
Does this predict the results of the popular vote, electoral college... or both?

Winning the popular vote but being the one watching the inauguration on TV, doesn't count for much.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:39:47 PM EDT
The statistical models theorem can be applied to past elections. The values hold true. I am not that smart to
explain it's working hypothesis. Some one else in "The Hive" will and can do the heavy intelectull lifting. I just
pointed out point of interest.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:40:40 PM EDT
87%
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:41:15 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Demosthenes99:
It would be hilarious, that after a 100% concerted and intentional effort from all the SJW media to keep Trump from winning he still does.


It would make the establishment media look totally impotent and irrelevant.
View Quote



This.
Trumps election destroys:
- the SJW special victim crybully mafia's power
- Nate Scrapmetal's career
- Washington "conservative" establishments "kingmaking" power
- the media's credibility
- the polls religious following.
- Megyn Kelly's relevance
- Bill Kristol's career
- The clinton machine
- Hillary clinton's career
- Obama's legacy.
- The moderate "Capitulating" GOP mindset
- The idea that the right wing needs to play by the left's rules (for us and not them)

All in one swing.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:42:48 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By fish223:
Also, the prediction algorithm uses data back to 1912, but the model has only been used since 1996, for five cycles.
View Quote


The "halloween mask" sales go back to 1980 I think?
Apparently it has predicted every winner?

Trump up 30%
There's a UVA model I believe, also predicted Trump winning, they predicted a nail biter.
Brexit's betting pattern is identical to this one. Smaller number of large money people betting on Hildog, large number of small betters on Trump.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:43:16 PM EDT
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:45:39 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Demosthenes99:
It would be hilarious, that after a 100% concerted and intentional effort from all the SJW media to keep Trump from winning he still does.


It would make the establishment media look totally impotent and irrelevant.
View Quote

This will likely be the last election that the mainstream press has any significant influence over. Their horrifying bias is what caused me to finally decide to vote Trump. I still don't like him, but I hate those fuckers in the press so much more for what they are trying to do. It's disgusting.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:47:07 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By AR15thur:
87%
View Quote

Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:47:19 PM EDT
If this holds to be true, I can't wait to see the tears running down Matt and Savannah's faces.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:49:00 PM EDT
Romney in a landslide.................'member that?
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:52:08 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By GLOCKENNBOOMER:
Romney in a landslide.................'member that?
View Quote


The polls are just the tool used by the Liebrul Media to make Conservatives stay away from the voting.

Unless we agree with them, then they are the razor scalpel of rationality that cuts through all the MSM bullshit.

See also: Science, nutrition, social programs, taxes, intrusive government overreach, etc etc etc
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:52:18 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By GLOCKENNBOOMER:
Romney in a landslide.................'member that?
View Quote


Well luckily for us, most of GD is saying Hillary in a landslide in some form or another. And seeing how GD can't predict shit...... Keep saying it.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 12:55:42 PM EDT
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 1:00:38 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Foxnews_FTW:



This.
Trumps election destroys:
- the SJW special victim crybully mafia's power
- Nate Scrapmetal's career
- Washington "conservative" establishments "kingmaking" power
- the media's credibility
- the polls religious following.
- Megyn Kelly's relevance
- Bill Kristol's career
- The clinton machine
- Hillary clinton's career
- Obama's legacy.
- The moderate "Capitulating" GOP mindset
- The idea that the right wing needs to play by the left's rules (for us and not them)

All in one swing.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Foxnews_FTW:
Originally Posted By Demosthenes99:
It would be hilarious, that after a 100% concerted and intentional effort from all the SJW media to keep Trump from winning he still does.


It would make the establishment media look totally impotent and irrelevant.



This.
Trumps election destroys:
- the SJW special victim crybully mafia's power
- Nate Scrapmetal's career
- Washington "conservative" establishments "kingmaking" power
- the media's credibility
- the polls religious following.
- Megyn Kelly's relevance
- Bill Kristol's career
- The clinton machine
- Hillary clinton's career
- Obama's legacy.
- The moderate "Capitulating" GOP mindset
- The idea that the right wing needs to play by the left's rules (for us and not them)

All in one swing.


It would shatter the world as many know it and be a beautiful thing.

Having the never trumpers and CTR tards disappear would just be the icing on the cake.


Link Posted: 10/22/2016 1:05:55 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 10/22/2016 1:07:13 PM EDT by flbulldog]
Thank you, EDHaney1, you've made access to the original source material simple. My thanks
again sir.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 1:10:33 PM EDT
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 1:11:04 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Foxnews_FTW:



This.
Trumps election destroys:
- the SJW special victim crybully mafia's power
- Nate Scrapmetal's career
- Washington "conservative" establishments "kingmaking" power
- the media's credibility
- the polls religious following.
- Megyn Kelly's relevance
- Bill Kristol's career
- The clinton machine
- Hillary clinton's career
- Obama's legacy.
- The moderate "Capitulating" GOP mindset
- The idea that the right wing needs to play by the left's rules (for us and not them)

All in one swing.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Foxnews_FTW:
Originally Posted By Demosthenes99:
It would be hilarious, that after a 100% concerted and intentional effort from all the SJW media to keep Trump from winning he still does.


It would make the establishment media look totally impotent and irrelevant.



This.
Trumps election destroys:
- the SJW special victim crybully mafia's power
- Nate Scrapmetal's career
- Washington "conservative" establishments "kingmaking" power
- the media's credibility
- the polls religious following.
- Megyn Kelly's relevance
- Bill Kristol's career
- The clinton machine
- Hillary clinton's career
- Obama's legacy.
- The moderate "Capitulating" GOP mindset
- The idea that the right wing needs to play by the left's rules (for us and not them)

All in one swing.


Someone is going to make one of those compilation pics, with trump giving a smug smile. Picture will have to be yyyuuuuge

Like so:
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 1:56:14 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 10/22/2016 2:01:03 PM EDT by katrina24]
I got dirt less old
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By agillig:
So this guy developed a model, and the model has been correct since 1912? This guy must be pretty old!
View Quote



You had me a 87% ... D'you know the human head weights 8 pounds
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 1:56:52 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By GLOCKENNBOOMER:
Romney in a landslide.................'member that?
View Quote


LOL...Dick Morris: “This is going to be a landslide.” The former Clinton adviser predicted a dominant Romney win, calling it “the biggest surprise in recent American political history.” Claiming that polls were oversampling Democrats, Morris wondered if “it will rekindle the whole question on why the media played this race as a nailbiter.”

FDM
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 2:51:29 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Demosthenes99:
It would be hilarious, that after a 100% concerted and intentional effort from all the SJW media to keep Trump from winning he still does.


It would make the establishment media look totally impotent and irrelevant.
View Quote



yup.. they all make trump out to be a racist, woman hating, Hitler, and your a racist if you vote for him........ and he wins anyway and beats their candidate... it will be beautiful.
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 4:45:40 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By GLOCKENNBOOMER:
Romney in a landslide.................'member that?
View Quote



And in 2020 when someone is running against a sitting President Trump it's going to be "Hillary in a landslide. Remember that?"
Link Posted: 10/22/2016 4:52:25 PM EDT
So, you're saying there's a chance ?
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