Ashcroft's stand enraged gun-control forces. But the Democratic Leadership Council's Bruce Reed wrote that "if Ashcroft is too quick to dismiss every other constitutional right, he's right about this one."
Honest appraisal or political cave-in?
"We can't go out and demonize gun owners," said Jose Cerda, a senior policy adviser on crime issues for the Democratic council. "The constitutional right to own a firearm is something Democrats should support," and yet, "it's something we didn't always make clear."
At the same time, Cerda said, "You don't simply take gun issues off the table. Guns remain a completely American aspect to the crime problem."
The right's influence
Many political observers -- and certainly the NRA -- credit Democrat Al Gore's narrow defeat in 2000 to pro-gun voters in West Virginia, Tennessee, Montana and other states teeming with hunters.
Candidate Dean shares this view, once telling a TV interviewer: "We need to get guns off the national radar screen if Democrats are ever going to win again in the South and the West."
But Luis Tolley, state legislative director for the Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence, said Dean "has veered way too far toward the NRA" to win his party's nomination.
"I'd be surprised if anyone can win a Democratic primary without having strong positions on gun control," Tolley said.
While the rhetoric about guns has changed, public opinion has not, said Robert Spitzer, author of The Politics of Gun Control. He said most Americans continue to support firearm laws that, for example, ban assault weapons, regulate handgun sales and require background checks.
And Spitzer questioned the gun lobby's role in Gore's defeat. After all, the presidential contender prevailed in Pennsylvania and several other states considered vital to the NRA, perhaps partly because he fought the lobby, Spitzer said.
Nevertheless, about one-third of Democrats in the U.S. House this month backed a bill to give gun makers and dealers sweeping immunity from lawsuits. While many of those Democrats represent rural districts, others were city folk, including Rep. Harold Ford of Memphis, Tenn.
"The thinking among some Democrats may be: Why should my plans for national health insurance be sacrificed on gun issues?" said Kopel of the Independence Institute.
Missouri gun-control activist Jeanne Kirkton deplores the reasoning.
"It's scary," said Kirkton, legislative director of the Million Mom March in St. Louis. "When politicians are silenced by an aggressive minority, it's not healthy.
"Poll after poll shows most Americans support sensible gun regulations....But the gun people -- they get out the vote."
Poll after poll also puts firearm issues low on the public's list of major concerns today -- well below the economy, terrorism, health care and education.
So unless Dean of Vermont jumps way ahead of the Democratic pack, his opponents for the nomination probably will not shout much about his view on gun legislation, said political scientist Warren.
And, should Dean win the nomination, should he hope also to win the NRA's endorsement for the White House?
"No," Dean said. "They would support George W. Bush over any Democratic nominee."
To reach Rick Montgomery, national correspondent, call (816) 234-4410 or send e-mail to
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