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Posted: 9/18/2011 6:09:30 PM EST
NASA satellite expected to Hit Earth this week

So, we've got over 10,000 pounds of satellite scheduled to slam into the atmosphere over god knows where sometime around Friday-ish. Initial estimates are that a couple of dozen chunks are going to actually survive re-entry and make it to the ground. Possibly, some pieces of debris may weigh in at a couple hundred pounds. Right now, they're estimating that it's gonna hit SOMEWHERE between 57* N latitude and 57* S latitude, and that even within 2 hours of the crash NASA won't be able to estimate the impact area any closer than about 5,000 miles.

So what does Arfcom think, who's gonna get hit by it?
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:14:50 PM EST
H20
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:22:49 PM EST
[Last Edit: 9/18/2011 6:23:17 PM EST by Jman78]
[rolls dice/] Come on baby, daddy needs a new Saturn 5!
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:22:57 PM EST
I hope my car gets hit. I could use a new car.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:24:15 PM EST
Originally Posted By RonnieJamesDioFan:
I hope my car gets hit. I could use a new car.


Oh shit, I've got liability only.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:24:37 PM EST
I hope it doesn't hit my truck.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:26:48 PM EST
With any luck it will break into two huge pieces, with one hitting the Whitehouse, and the other one hitting the Capitol building.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:32:10 PM EST
Originally Posted By RonnieJamesDioFan:
I hope my car gets hit. I could use a new car.


That aint no shit. Better pull it out of the garage. I like the house. Just hit the car please.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:33:35 PM EST
Originally Posted By resq2106:
With any luck it will break into two huge pieces, with one hitting the Whitehouse, and the other one hitting the Capitol building.


From your keyboard to God's ears.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:34:02 PM EST
I'm going with Europe for $500, Alex.

Chris
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:34:53 PM EST
Originally Posted By Fintan:
Originally Posted By RonnieJamesDioFan:
I hope my car gets hit. I could use a new car.


Oh shit, I've got liability only.


Me too. This thing needs to stay the fuck away from me
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:35:06 PM EST
I'll take south west Cali. please.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:36:17 PM EST
[Last Edit: 9/18/2011 6:36:44 PM EST by Storm_Tracker]
Can someone smarter than me tell me how we can land a man on the light side of the moon, but we don't know where a satellite is going to re-enter the earths atmosphere? Wouldn't the same equations of velocity, trajectory, et al. be the same?
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 6:40:59 PM EST
[Last Edit: 9/18/2011 6:41:41 PM EST by Fintan]
Originally Posted By Storm_Tracker:
Can someone smarter than me tell me how we can land a man on the light side of the moon, but we don't know where a satellite is going to re-enter the earths atmosphere? Wouldn't the same equations of velocity, trajectory, et al. be the same?


It's unpowered, unresponsive and moving very fast. If you're going 10,000 miles an hour around the Earth, that's a lot of real-estate you're flying over per minute. Add in the fact that the satellite's descent towards Earth is in itself a variable, and not directly known (influenced by solar wind and the upper tendrils of the atmosphere) and you get a big question mark.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 7:05:37 PM EST
Ah, Skylab, the sequel.
I'll paint a target on my roof so the rest of you don't have to worry.

A little background for the youngsters:

http://www.yourememberthat.com/media/13260/Skylab_Re-Entry_To_Earth_1979/
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 7:07:46 PM EST
Originally Posted By resq2106:
With any luck it will break into two huge pieces, with one hitting the Whitehouse, and the other one hitting the Capitol building.


Link Posted: 9/18/2011 7:09:39 PM EST
IRAN
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 7:23:54 PM EST
Originally Posted By straatconst:
Ah, Skylab, the sequel.
I'll paint a target on my roof so the rest of you don't have to worry.

A little background for the youngsters:

http://www.yourememberthat.com/media/13260/Skylab_Re-Entry_To_Earth_1979/


Or a little more recent:

Get this thing out again





Background for more youngsters
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 7:26:01 PM EST

Originally Posted By 92muddyXJ:
I'll take south west Cali. please.

Thanks a bunch, I dont need to catch space junk
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 7:29:27 PM EST
[Last Edit: 9/18/2011 7:30:06 PM EST by Young-Kiwi]
Originally Posted By straatconst:
Ah, Skylab, the sequel.
I'll paint a target on my roof so the rest of you don't have to worry.

A little background for the youngsters:

http://www.yourememberthat.com/media/13260/Skylab_Re-Entry_To_Earth_1979/


I was sad there was no Australian option.
[I always like a drop something heavy on Australia option]
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 7:30:28 PM EST
Originally Posted By wicketsurplus:
H20


70% chance of this
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 7:35:09 PM EST
A nervous Russia tries to shoot it down, causing a massive EMP...

DAY ONE




Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 7:43:22 PM EST
I voted ocean, but the mecca option made me laf. also, isn't that black rock thing hold something that fell from the sky in the first place?
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 8:29:38 PM EST
[Last Edit: 9/18/2011 8:31:42 PM EST by Fintan]
Originally Posted By Young-Kiwi:
Originally Posted By straatconst:
Ah, Skylab, the sequel.
I'll paint a target on my roof so the rest of you don't have to worry.

A little background for the youngsters:

http://www.yourememberthat.com/media/13260/Skylab_Re-Entry_To_Earth_1979/


I was sad there was no Australian option.
[I always like a drop something heavy on Australia option]


I wanted to put something in there like "There goes the Foster's brewery ", but sadly polls only have so many options.

I would have loved "Japan will look worse than it did after Gozilla and Mothra put together an orgy!" and Hawaii would have been nice, something like: "Conveniently, the hospital where Obama claims he was born will be hit and burnt to the ground."
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 9:05:31 PM EST
It's going in the ocean off the U.S. east coast. Should be visible. Largest chunk of the 26 pieces that will survive reentry is ~350lbs. The satellite is ~13K lbs. Check out this website for tracking data:

http://www.n2yo.com/?s=21701

Oh, and it has a 1:3200 chance of hitting a human
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 9:10:41 PM EST
My neighbors house/pool/new tractor?????.


Oh, well........wishful thinking.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 9:13:43 PM EST
Forgive me for thinking evil thoughts, but if it took out Soros I wouldn't lose any sleep.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 9:24:45 PM EST
[Last Edit: 9/18/2011 9:30:44 PM EST by Sslous]
My cousins house.



Wait if it hits mecca do we get to pop our P mags?
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 9:26:49 PM EST
Originally Posted By 4v50:
Forgive me for thinking evil thoughts, but if it took out Soros I wouldn't lose any sleep.


I like your thinking.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 10:55:30 PM EST
[Last Edit: 9/18/2011 10:56:21 PM EST by 0311Hoosier]
This is the funniest thread/poll I've seen in months... maybe ever.

I choose Mecca. Direct hit on the Kaaba FTW.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 11:00:14 PM EST
Odds are the Pacific Ocean, but this isn't Vegas.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 11:01:55 PM EST
I remember when Skylab fell it was a huge story. Newspaper had a contest to pick where it would fall. I forgot what the winner got.
Link Posted: 9/18/2011 11:05:33 PM EST
Ron Paul
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 12:37:17 AM EST


I really like the last two poll options, but I'm going with ocean.

Link Posted: 9/19/2011 12:46:27 AM EST
Poll and this thread gave me some chuckles before bed
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 1:37:16 AM EST
Just hope it doesn't land in Pakistan. The Chinese have enough of our top secret tech already.
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 1:51:04 AM EST
$5 on the Kali folk. No offense gang, just figure you could use some attention.
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 2:05:45 AM EST
The ex., that would save me about $600.00 a month.
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 2:26:08 AM EST
Its a cover up for the impending ELENIN NIBIRU




















Link Posted: 9/19/2011 2:36:29 AM EST
I'm guessing Japan , and seeing how their luck's been lately , probably on something freshly rebuilt and full of women and children .
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 2:54:17 AM EST
Originally Posted By Storm_Tracker:
Can someone smarter than me tell me how we can land a man on the light side of the moon, but we don't know where a satellite is going to re-enter the earths atmosphere? Wouldn't the same equations of velocity, trajectory, et al. be the same?





We landed someone on the moon?
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 3:37:00 AM EST
[Last Edit: 9/19/2011 3:37:58 AM EST by fatalerror113]

Originally Posted By Storm_Tracker:
Can someone smarter than me tell me how we can land a man on the light side of the moon, but we don't know where a satellite is going to re-enter the earths atmosphere? Wouldn't the same equations of velocity, trajectory, et al. be the same?

1) They have no control over the spacecraft, they cannot speed it up or slow it down to make corrections in its trajectory as they can with active spacecraft.
2) The earth is not a sphere, gravity is stronger in some locations than others. So as satellites go over these areas they speed up and slow down. Thus, low earth orbits are not entirely predictable.
3) There is uncertainty as to how much the atmosphere is going to slow this down before it starts to "burn up". The atmosphere doesn't just stop all of a sudden, but rather, it gets thinner and thinner.
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 3:41:34 AM EST
Israel. Because this is the first step in our NASA muslim outreach program.

Link Posted: 9/19/2011 3:48:20 AM EST
Those are the guys predicting climate change too right?
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 3:52:11 AM EST
Originally Posted By 0311Hoosier:
This is the funniest thread/poll I've seen in months... maybe ever.

I choose Mecca. Direct hit on the Kaaba FTW.




Link Posted: 9/19/2011 6:50:27 AM EST
Originally Posted By Fintan:
Originally Posted By Young-Kiwi:
Originally Posted By straatconst:
Ah, Skylab, the sequel.
I'll paint a target on my roof so the rest of you don't have to worry.

A little background for the youngsters:

http://www.yourememberthat.com/media/13260/Skylab_Re-Entry_To_Earth_1979/


I was sad there was no Australian option.
[I always like a drop something heavy on Australia option]


I wanted to put something in there like "There goes the Foster's brewery ", but sadly polls only have so many options.

I would have loved "Japan will look worse than it did after Gozilla and Mothra put together an orgy!" and Hawaii would have been nice, something like: "Conveniently, the hospital where Obama claims he was born will be hit and burnt to the ground."


Shit, Fosters is brewed in Canada.

It's Canadian for Australian for pisswater, eh mate?
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 6:51:41 AM EST
I could use a nice chunk of satellite. it would look cool on my mantle.
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 2:14:58 PM EST
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/09/19/us-space-debris-nasa-idUSTRE78I5GE20110919

NASA said the chance a piece of UARS debris will strike a person is about one in 3,200. The debris will mostly likely fall into an ocean or land in an uninhabited region of Earth.

Those aren't bad odds!

(bump for more poll clicks)
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 2:22:59 PM EST
Originally Posted By Storm_Tracker:
Can someone smarter than me tell me how we can land a man on the light side of the moon, but we don't know where a satellite is going to re-enter the earths atmosphere? Wouldn't the same equations of velocity, trajectory, et al. be the same?


You're assuming we actually went to the moon?









































Link Posted: 9/19/2011 2:24:51 PM EST
Anywhere in Haight Ashbury or Berkeley would be most excellent.
Link Posted: 9/19/2011 2:27:23 PM EST
Originally Posted By resq2106:
With any luck it will break into two huge pieces, with one hitting the Whitehouse, and the other one hitting the Capitol building.




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