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Posted: 10/1/2004 7:14:16 AM EST
Rasmussen Reports After Debate Bush 49% Kerry 45% before Bush 48% Kerry 46%. This is a 2 point positive swing for Bush. I guess the "global test" comment is really taking its toll on kerry.

Bush 49% Kerry 45%

The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 45%. John Kerry has not been ahead in the daily Tracking Poll since August 23.



Link Posted: 10/1/2004 7:14:58 AM EST
Oh that was fast.
Link Posted: 10/1/2004 7:15:56 AM EST
Go figure. If the numbers do this after a weak showing by GW in a debate, I can only imagine the possibilities if he would've spanked Kerry. Maybe next time.
Link Posted: 10/1/2004 7:19:55 AM EST

Originally Posted By ArmdLbrl:
Oh that was fast.



Rasmussen updates everyday by noon Eastern time. Rasmussen states that not all of the results were after the debate some were


from Rasmussen
We interview 1,000 Likely Voters each night and report results on a three-day rolling average basis.


Link Posted: 10/1/2004 7:22:17 AM EST
ABC News is forced to agree with Rasmussen

www.command-post.org/2004/2_archives/015667.html

Bush gained, though the big loser was Nader.
Link Posted: 10/1/2004 7:24:29 AM EST
I think we really need to wait 2 days or so.
Link Posted: 10/1/2004 7:24:56 AM EST
I can't imagine the wailing and nashing of teeth going on over this at DUh.

I'm sure they've long since had their tinfoil hat theories about how biased all the polls are to favor Bush...just like the media is biased in favor of the GOP!

Link Posted: 10/1/2004 7:25:56 AM EST
as much as the media tries, the debates make very little difference come election day.
Link Posted: 10/1/2004 7:26:19 AM EST

Originally Posted By ArmdLbrl:
ABC News is forced to agree with Rasmussen

www.command-post.org/2004/2_archives/015667.html

Bush gained, though the big loser was Nader.



Thanks

Here is a link to the original ABC story

ABC Link here
Link Posted: 10/1/2004 7:29:42 AM EST
I hope all goes well, but this is the lowest Bush has been in awhile.

Electoral-vote.com
Link Posted: 10/1/2004 7:32:35 AM EST
[Last Edit: 10/1/2004 7:36:11 AM EST by NewbHunter]

Originally Posted By Da_Bunny:
I hope all goes well, but this is the lowest Bush has been in awhile.

Electoral-vote.com



Actually it's not the lowest he's been in a while. A week or two ago Kerry was leading quite a bit for a couple of days according to that website.

I don't think that the debate's results are accurately reflected in that poll this early either. And if you look, the only states updated since yesterday are AZ AR CT IA ME MI NV OH OR PA. And those are likely yesterday's results, before the debate.

I'd say wait a couple more days when every state has been updated since the debates and then you'll have a more accurate picture of how they effected the election.
Link Posted: 10/1/2004 7:32:56 AM EST
Link Posted: 10/1/2004 7:36:03 AM EST
[Last Edit: 10/1/2004 7:36:23 AM EST by renotse]

Originally Posted By Da_Bunny:
I hope all goes well, but this is the lowest Bush has been in awhile.

Electoral-vote.com



This is what counts The FINAL PREDICTION

This map is based on the projections from the least squares linear regression lines on the state polls.

Projected Electoral College Votes: Kerry 178 Bush 350

link
Link Posted: 10/1/2004 9:16:04 AM EST
Rassmussen takes a 3-day rolling total. Virtually none of these numbers reflect post-debate polling.
Link Posted: 10/2/2004 12:46:36 AM EST

Originally Posted By renotse:

Originally Posted By Da_Bunny:
I hope all goes well, but this is the lowest Bush has been in awhile.

Electoral-vote.com



This is what counts The FINAL PREDICTION

This map is based on the projections from the least squares linear regression lines on the state polls.

Projected Electoral College Votes: Kerry 178 Bush 350

link


In my opinion his "projection" method is inherently flawed and useless.
Link Posted: 10/2/2004 12:49:32 AM EST
Its 1% isnt that about the margin of error?
Link Posted: 10/2/2004 12:49:36 AM EST
45 states, and maybe California.
Link Posted: 10/2/2004 1:08:49 AM EST
I just hope that Bush carries my state so I can vote my conscience (Badnarik) and still root for the less-bad candidate.

Win-Win.

*It should be mentioned that I do not agree with all LP stances, like Iraq or open borders.
Link Posted: 10/2/2004 1:13:50 AM EST
Think about it if the media didn’t keep the race close with the pole BS ratings they wouldn’t get the advertising money. Why would anyone spend money till its needed there’s allot of hands trying to get their share of the monies that are being handed out by both parties and the matching monies of the government.
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