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Posted: 10/7/2020 3:11:38 PM EDT
Reposted from the Rasmussen poll thread.

I don't give a flying, supersonic crap about what any poll, anywhere, says.  So in the spirit of not being a defeatist pussy running around crying like a child, here are some numbers that are not polls or inferences.  These are hard numbers.

Pennsylvania Voter Registration Data
TOTAL REGISTERED VOTERS:
11/08/16:

DEMS: 4,217,456
REPS: 3,301,182
OTHERS: 1,204,339

10/05/20:

DEMS: 4,168,900
REPS: 3,451,514
OTHERS: 1,277,325


CHANGE FROM 11/08/16 TO 10/05/20: (TOTAL REGISTERED VOTERS)

DEMS: -48,556 <<<< ouch

REPS: +150,332  <<<<< holy shit

OTHERS: +72,986


PA also started separating active voter registration data recently.  In the past week, 572 REPS and 669 OTHERS became DEMS.  In the past week, 1712 DEMS and 856 OTHERS became REPS (this is from 10/5 for time reference)


Voter Registration Data for Florida

Book Closing Dem Registration advantage 2016: 327,000
Book Closing DEM Registration advantage 2020: 150,000

Biden was recently campaigning heavily in PA
Biden was recently campaigning heavily in Miami.  Not the swing counties in Florida near Orlando.  Miami, where he should be crushing it.

None of this is polling or mathematical modeling.  These are hard numbers.  Now the only way this adds up to Trump losing PA or FL is if Rs don't vote for him.  PA looks especially bad for the Ds because from 2016 until now, they LOST 50k registered voters while Rs gained 150k.  If every single new Independent registered voter is supporting Biden, that's STILL a 130k deficit for the Ds since 2016.


Nothing is guaranteed and it doesn't tell us who wins.  I still think Trump has an uphill battle.  But if you think Biden is winning any swing state by 12 points, you're smoking more crack than the media.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:13:21 PM EDT
This next bit is a poll, but one designed to determine if Trump voters are lying about voting for Trump.  They are inferring around 10% of T voters are doing just that.  Take it for what it's worth.

Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:16:27 PM EDT
OP is not wrong.

No more loser talk. Act like winners.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:16:55 PM EDT
Avatar checks out
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:17:51 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By airsix:
OP is not wrong.

No more loser talk. Act like winners.
View Quote
I'll act like a winner when I'm pulling the rope thats hanging the socialist fucks from the light poles.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:19:46 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By 2JokersWild:
I'll act like a winner when I'm pulling the rope thats hanging the socialist fucks from the light poles.
View Quote


Have you considered publishing a newsletter?
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:19:47 PM EDT
Winner talk breeds winners
Loser fag talk breeds.....
We are in this to win.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:19:52 PM EDT
“Biden campaigning heavily...”


It’s all relative, but having an audience of six captive people in a union training hall is not campaigning heavily.  

Of course it’s all allegory, but I do not see any enthusiasm for their walking corpse.   At least 20:1 sign ratio through several counties.  
Will just have to wait and see.   Too much voter fraud being perpetrated by the dems in state government in mass mailing voting registration and ballots.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:21:06 PM EDT
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:22:02 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History



Given the number of PRs living in FL, this will help T there.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:23:09 PM EDT
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:23:43 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By JQ66:
"Biden campaigning heavily..."


It's all relative, but having an audience of six captive people in a union training hall is not campaigning heavily.  

Of course it's all allegory, but I do not see any enthusiasm for their walking corpse.   At least 20:1 sign ratio through several counties.  
Will just have to wait and see.   Too much voter fraud being perpetrated by the dems in state government in mass mailing voting registration and ballots.
View Quote
LOL
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:25:17 PM EDT
I'm going to do my part, along with everyone in the family.  I don't give a shit what any poll says.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:25:27 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By airsix:
OP is not wrong.

No more loser talk. Act like winners.
View Quote

Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:26:44 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By JamesP81:



Given the number of PRs living in FL, this will help T there.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By JamesP81:



Given the number of PRs living in FL, this will help T there.

This kinda comes as a shock.  We know the Cubans are for Trump.  This could be interesting.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:30:20 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By JamesP81:
This next bit is a poll, but one designed to determine if Trump voters are lying about voting for Trump.  They are inferring around 10% of T voters are doing just that.  Take it for what it's worth.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lRE3jPYTkQE
View Quote

There are quite a few who will vote for him but won’t say...... don’t want to be attacked
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:32:17 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 10/7/2020 4:02:26 PM EDT by tetoncounty]
I'm planning on winning no matter what happens.
If fate gives us Clown World, I'm gonna be the Head Clown.
Rule of Law is over. Act like it.


An aside: Who the Fuck participates in polls?
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:34:55 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By airsix:
OP is not wrong.

No more loser talk. Act like winners.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By airsix:
OP is not wrong.

No more loser talk. Act like winners.


Originally Posted By dmxx9900:
Winner talk breeds winners
Loser fag talk breeds.....
We are in this to win.



Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:36:19 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 10/7/2020 3:37:14 PM EDT by PraesidiumFabrica]
Your enemy wants you to be demoralized. A demoralized enemy does not fight back.

Stay moralized.

This will be my first presidential election that I can vote in

MAGA

Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:38:09 PM EDT
I will vote regardless of the polls
The polls do not affect who I will vote for.

This election is VERY important, and I worry about what would happen if the Democrats win big.
#NOTaDEFEATEST
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:38:13 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 10/7/2020 3:39:03 PM EDT by chupacabras]
If you want to assess the state of the race, don’t read fake news polls or listen to the words of politicians or talking heads. Observe what the campaigns are doing and where they are spending resources.

A 12 point difference is landslide territory and the Biden campaign would be running up the score to flip GA and TX.  

No instead they are focused on key battleground states.  

Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:38:18 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By PraesidiumFabrica:
Your enemy wants you to be demoralized. A demoralized enemy does not fight back.

Stay moralized.

This will be my first presidential election that I can vote in

MAGA

View Quote



Congratulations youngster (or new citizen)!
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:38:54 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 10/7/2020 3:40:09 PM EDT by PraesidiumFabrica]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By redfish86:



Congratulations youngster (or new citizen)!
View Quote


I am arfcom's resident zoomer so the former.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:39:30 PM EDT
IT SMELLS LIKE BITCH IN HERE
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:40:16 PM EDT
Florida will go bigly for Trump.  The sheer number of boaters and Trump flags makes it so.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:40:26 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By airsix:
OP is not wrong.

No more loser talk. Act like winners.
View Quote

Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:40:39 PM EDT
Originally Posted By JamesP81:
Reposted from the Rasmussen poll thread.

I don't give a flying, supersonic crap about what any poll, anywhere, says.  So in the spirit of not being a defeatist pussy running around crying like a child, here are some numbers that are not polls or inferences.  These are hard numbers.

Pennsylvania Voter Registration Data
TOTAL REGISTERED VOTERS:
11/08/16:

DEMS: 4,217,456
REPS: 3,301,182
OTHERS: 1,204,339

10/05/20:

DEMS: 4,168,900
REPS: 3,451,514
OTHERS: 1,277,325


CHANGE FROM 11/08/16 TO 10/05/20: (TOTAL REGISTERED VOTERS)

DEMS: -48,556 <<<< ouch

REPS: +150,332  <<<<< holy shit

OTHERS: +72,986


PA also started separating active voter registration data recently.  In the past week, 572 REPS and 669 OTHERS became DEMS.  In the past week, 1712 DEMS and 856 OTHERS became REPS (this is from 10/5 for time reference)


Voter Registration Data for Florida

Book Closing Dem Registration advantage 2016: 327,000
Book Closing DEM Registration advantage 2020: 150,000

Biden was recently campaigning heavily in PA
Biden was recently campaigning heavily in Miami.  Not the swing counties in Florida near Orlando.  Miami, where he should be crushing it.

None of this is polling or mathematical modeling.  These are hard numbers.  Now the only way this adds up to Trump losing PA or FL is if Rs don't vote for him.  PA looks especially bad for the Ds because from 2016 until now, they LOST 50k registered voters while Rs gained 150k.  If every single new Independent registered voter is supporting Biden, that's STILL a 130k deficit for the Ds since 2016.


Nothing is guaranteed and it doesn't tell us who wins.  I still think Trump has an uphill battle.  But if you think Biden is winning any swing state by 12 points, you're smoking more crack than the media.
View Quote


all those doomers can suck a fat dick
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:42:07 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By airsix:
OP is not wrong.

No more loser talk. Act like winners.
View Quote



How I act or what I think won't change anything concerning the vote.  

However, I don't see any way Trump loses this without it being stolen through complete fraud.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:42:55 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By tetoncounty:
I'm planning on winning no matter what happens.
If fate gives us Clown World, I'm gonna be the Head Clown.
Rule of Law is over. Act like it.
View Quote

I'll take Dubois you can have Jackson.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:43:19 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 10/7/2020 3:44:20 PM EDT by Jackal-FnM]


Tired of the defeatist, the bed wetters, the fudds, if they want to lay down and die in the corner then go ahead and do so quietly.... Shitting on everyone else who wants to win puts you in the same group as those trying to bring this country down.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:43:38 PM EDT
I don't believe Trump will win now.

The good news is I believe he also knows and is going to burn this mother down.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:43:57 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By airsix:
OP is not wrong.

No more loser talk. Act like winners.
View Quote


We ARE winners.

The rather large infiltration corps coddled by the admins, however, are not.

Nor are the fearmongers clinging to the NRA, masks, sensible restrictions, and the needle.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:44:25 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By trails-end:



How I act or what I think won't change anything concerning the vote.  

However, I don't see any way Trump loses this without it being stolen through complete fraud.
View Quote


And that is the biggest threat.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:44:44 PM EDT
I agree that a lot of people have drunk the kool-aid and equate voting for Trump as voting for racism, yet a lot of them are secretly doing it anyway because they can’t stand being on the same side as the scum rioting in the streets.  I think there could be a 3-4% swing with those voters.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:44:49 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By tetoncounty:
I'm planning on winning no matter what happens.
If fate gives us Clown World, I'm gonna be the Head Clown.
Rule of Law is over. Act like it.
View Quote



This man has never been arrested or dealt with our justice system.  The rule of law is just getting started....

Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:45:13 PM EDT
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:45:19 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By WS4LIF:
I don't believe Trump will win now.

The good news is I believe he also knows and is going to burn this mother down.
View Quote


See the post above yours and
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:45:57 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By airsix:
OP is not wrong.

No more loser talk. Act like winners.
View Quote


Done, need to think and act positively -- I am going to my county GOP office tonight and see what I can do.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:46:48 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By 2JokersWild:
I'll act like a winner when I'm pulling the rope thats hanging the socialist fucks from the light poles.
View Quote



I'm with this guy.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:47:24 PM EDT
All my friends are texting and calling in a panic over the Rasmussen poll... I'm like, "bitch please."

Do what you can do:

Most importantly, VOTE... and on a machine if you can

Second most important, get other people to VOTE for Trump... drive them to the polls if necessary

Third most important, volunteer at party headquarters for their GOTV efforts

Fourth most important, volunteer to work as a poll watcher/inspector

Notice what I haven't said yet? DONATE! Yes, donations are important, but bodies are more valuable. Influence your friends, get people to vote, and protect the sanctity of ballots. Those are even greater ROI than writing a check, unles you be ARFCOM rich yo!
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:47:34 PM EDT
What can I do at the moment except vote and wait?

Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:47:36 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By TraynRek:
I agree that a lot of people have drunk the kool-aid and equate voting for Trump as voting for racism, yet a lot of them are secretly doing it anyway because they can’t stand being on the same side as the scum rioting in the streets.  I think there could be a 3-4% swing with those voters.
View Quote


Then you are buying into the media bullshit. I hate to burst your bubble but the same people who thought this way were the ones who cried when their girl lost.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:49:43 PM EDT
I’m sure the zoomers here will agree with me when I say we need more “big dick energy” on this forum!
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:55:45 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By cccollin545:
I’m sure the zoomers here will agree with me when I say we need more “big dick energy” on this forum!
View Quote


Easy, some people need to check to see if they still have their balls and or have their testosterone levels checked or else they will be crying..
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 3:59:34 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Jackal-FnM:


See the post above yours and
View Quote



Not sure why predicting a loss makes me a defeatist.  I'm still going to vote for my president and still want him to win.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 4:02:01 PM EDT
Nice.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 4:03:29 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By WS4LIF:



Not sure why predicting a loss makes me a defeatist.  I'm still going to vote for my president and still want him to win.
View Quote

Defeatist: a person who expects or is excessively ready to accept failure.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 4:05:49 PM EDT
Fuck the polls

Trump gonna win!!!!

Anybody who doesn't like Trump is freedom hating communist goon!!!

Trump will go down in US history as one of the greatest presidents of all time.

Link Posted: 10/7/2020 4:06:01 PM EDT
Originally Posted By JamesP81:
Reposted from the Rasmussen poll thread.

I don't give a flying, supersonic crap about what any poll, anywhere, says.  So in the spirit of not being a defeatist pussy running around crying like a child, here are some numbers that are not polls or inferences.  These are hard numbers.

Pennsylvania Voter Registration Data
TOTAL REGISTERED VOTERS:
11/08/16:

DEMS: 4,217,456
REPS: 3,301,182
OTHERS: 1,204,339

10/05/20:

DEMS: 4,168,900
REPS: 3,451,514
OTHERS: 1,277,325


CHANGE FROM 11/08/16 TO 10/05/20: (TOTAL REGISTERED VOTERS)

DEMS: -48,556 <<<< ouch

REPS: +150,332  <<<<< holy shit

OTHERS: +72,986


PA also started separating active voter registration data recently.  In the past week, 572 REPS and 669 OTHERS became DEMS.  In the past week, 1712 DEMS and 856 OTHERS became REPS (this is from 10/5 for time reference)


View Quote

Yep, I posted the same thing a couple days ago.
This is very reassuring to see. President Trump is surging in popularity in the swing states. people are tired of the riots, lawlessness and general bullshit.
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 4:07:45 PM EDT
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By cccollin545:
I’m sure the zoomers here will agree with me when I say we need more “big dick energy” on this forum!
View Quote


YEAH!!!  Up with big dicks!
Link Posted: 10/7/2020 4:13:30 PM EDT
Originally Posted By JamesP81:


And that is the biggest threat.
View Quote

You wanna civil war?  That’s how you get a civil war..
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