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Posted: 11/20/2008 4:54:34 AM EDT
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/11/20/africa/20nuke.php

Iran said to have enough nuclear fuel for one weapon


Iran has now produced roughly enough nuclear material to make, with added purification, a single atom bomb, according to nuclear experts analyzing the latest report from global atomic inspectors.

The figures detailing Iran's progress were contained in a routine update on Wednesday from the International Atomic Energy Agency, which has been conducting inspections of the country's main nuclear plant at Natanz. The report concluded that as of early this month, Iran had made 630 kilograms, or about 1,390 pounds, of low-enriched uranium.

Several experts said that was enough for a bomb, but they cautioned that the milestone was mostly symbolic, because Iran would have to take additional steps. Not only would it have to breach its international agreements and kick out the inspectors, but it would also have to further purify the fuel and put it into a warhead design — a technical advance that Western experts are unsure Iran has yet achieved.

"They clearly have enough material for a bomb," said Richard Garwin, a top nuclear physicist who helped invent the hydrogen bomb and has advised Washington for decades. "They know how to do the enrichment. Whether they know how to design a bomb, well, that's another matter."

Iran insists that it wants only to fuel reactors for nuclear power. But many Western nations, led by the United States, suspect that its real goal is to gain the ability to make nuclear weapons.

While some Iranian officials have threatened to bar inspectors in the past, the country has made no such moves, and many experts inside the Bush administration and the IAEA believe it will avoid the risk of attempting "nuclear breakout" until it possessed a larger uranium supply.

Even so, for President-elect Barack Obama, the report underscores the magnitude of the problem that he will inherit Jan. 20: an Iranian nuclear program that has not only solved many technical problems of uranium enrichment, but that can also now credibly claim to possess enough material to make a weapon if negotiations with Europe and the United States break down.

American intelligence agencies have said Iran could make a bomb between 2009 and 2015. A national intelligence estimate made public late last year concluded that around the end of 2003, after long effort, Iran had halted work on an actual weapon. But enriching uranium, and obtaining enough material to build a weapon, is considered the most difficult part of the process.

Siegfried Hecker of Stanford University and a former director of the Los Alamos weapons laboratory said the growing size of the Iranian stockpile "underscored that they are marching down the path to developing the nuclear weapons option."

In the report to its board, the atomic agency said Iran's main enrichment plant was now feeding uranium into about 3,800 centrifuges — machines that spin incredibly fast to enrich the element into nuclear fuel. That count is the same as in the agency's last quarterly report, in September. Iran began installing the centrifuges in early 2007. But the new report's total of 630 kilograms — an increase of about 150 — shows that Iran has been making progress in accumulating material to make nuclear fuel.

That uranium has been enriched to the low levels needed to fuel a nuclear reactor. To further purify it to the highly enriched state needed to fuel a nuclear warhead, Iran would have to reconfigure its centrifuges and do a couple months of additional processing, nuclear experts said.

"They have a weapon's worth," Thomas Cochran, a senior scientist in the nuclear program of the Natural Resources Defense Council, a private group in Washington that tracks atomic arsenals, said in an interview.

He said the amount was suitable for a relatively advanced implosion-type weapon like the one dropped on Nagasaki. Its core, he added, would be about the size of a grapefruit. He said a cruder design would require about twice as much weapon-grade fuel.

"It's a virtual milestone," Cochran said of Iran's stockpile. It is not an imminent threat, he added, because the further technical work to make fuel for a bomb would tip off inspectors, the United States and other powers about "where they're going."

The agency's report made no mention of the possible military implications of the size of Iran's stockpile. And some experts said the milestone was still months away. In an analysis of the IAEA report, the Institute for Science and International Security, a private group in Washington, estimated that Iran had not yet reached the mark but would "within a few months." It added that other analysts estimated it might take as much as a year.

http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/11/20/africa/20nuke.php?page=2
Link Posted: 11/20/2008 4:56:25 AM EDT
One nuclear wasteland, coming right up!
Link Posted: 11/20/2008 5:06:18 AM EDT
Bomb Bomb Iran -John Mccain
Link Posted: 11/20/2008 5:22:10 AM EDT
Fallout 4: IRL?
Link Posted: 11/20/2008 5:23:20 AM EDT
And this is supposed to be a surprise.....
Link Posted: 11/20/2008 5:39:28 AM EDT
In other, local news:
Annoying Local Man Has Enough Material To Construct a Single Bullet

"Local anonymous officials with the BATF have concluded that town asshole, Joe Loudmouth has probably accumulated enough lead and copper throughout his home (within the components of his home electronics, computers, TV, household appliances, etc) to create a single bullet...

"[scroll through the entire article]...However, Mr.Loudmouth has no brass, primers or powder to even complete the bullet. Even if he is potentially able to make this 'bullet of doom', it may take him several years to acquire a gun from which to fire it. Additionally, he is a self described 'libtard jackass', and does not believe in guns. The BATF and other well-armed local concerned citizens, however, are not ruling anything out and consider this man to be a grave threat to himself and others.

"A neighbor of the man had this to say: 'Yeah, he's an older little guy who came over and got in my face one night after me and my tattooed buddies were drunk and getting loud one night. I really don't like his attitude and think he's jealous of my ammo fort and EBRs. Did I mention he drives a Prius?'"
Arfcom response: "Oh teh OMGZ!!!!!!11one!!!!111111111 Lock and Load! NO-KNOCK his ass!!! That asshole better hide his DOG!!! <insert CoC violation>!!!11"
Link Posted: 11/20/2008 5:45:08 AM EDT
Originally Posted By glockO:
Oh Boy!!!

"Analysis: Does this mean it's too late?



The real reason WE went to Iraq, not all this "Liberate the People" B.S.

Wait till the BOMBS start, targeting their Nuclear sites, begin to fall.

The Chess Match continues!

Link Posted: 11/20/2008 5:48:39 AM EDT
Originally Posted By Subconscious:
One nuclear wasteland, coming right up!



Not quite yet, Obama needs to sit down with the Iranians. Maybe he'll invite them here for tea and coffee, and have a "lets rap" session.
Link Posted: 11/20/2008 6:08:49 AM EDT
Lovely.
Link Posted: 11/20/2008 6:33:57 AM EDT
IBB














In before boom
Link Posted: 11/20/2008 6:35:15 AM EDT
Originally Posted By N2CH_556:
In other, local news:
Annoying Local Man Has Enough Material To Construct a Single Bullet

"Local anonymous officials with the BATF have concluded that town asshole, Joe Loudmouth has probably accumulated enough lead and copper throughout his home (within the components of his home electronics, computers, TV, household appliances, etc) to create a single bullet...

"[scroll through the entire article]...However, Mr.Loudmouth has no brass, primers or powder to even complete the bullet. Even if he is potentially able to make this 'bullet of doom', it may take him several years to acquire a gun from which to fire it. Additionally, he is a self described 'libtard jackass', and does not believe in guns. The BATF and other well-armed local concerned citizens, however, are not ruling anything out and consider this man to be a grave threat to himself and others.

"A neighbor of the man had this to say: 'Yeah, he's an older little guy who came over and got in my face one night after me and my tattooed buddies were drunk and getting loud one night. I really don't like his attitude and think he's jealous of my ammo fort and EBRs. Did I mention he drives a Prius?'"
Arfcom response: "Oh teh OMGZ!!!!!!11one!!!!111111111 Lock and Load! NO-KNOCK his ass!!! That asshole better hide his DOG!!! <insert CoC violation>!!!11"


Yeah that's a fair comparison. 1 bullet = 1 megaton weapon
Link Posted: 11/20/2008 6:37:02 AM EDT
Norks had enough for a device too.

They lit it, and Q<<1, got maybe a half a kt out of it.

Need core fuel, a design, a test, and a delivery system to be a nuclear power in this old world.

Bush swore on his momma's grave that would never happen.
Link Posted: 11/20/2008 7:15:14 AM EDT
Originally Posted By Chaingun:
Originally Posted By Subconscious:
One nuclear wasteland, coming right up!



Not quite yet, Obama needs to sit down with the Iranians. Maybe he'll invite them here for tea and coffee, and have a "lets rap" session.


I would like to get his take on racist Persians.

Link Posted: 11/20/2008 7:30:38 AM EDT
[Last Edit: 11/20/2008 7:42:08 AM EDT by Det0nate]
Originally Posted By jeffers_mz:
Bush swore on his momma's grave that would never happen.

Well there's a man who's word is his bond.

Bang up job bbush/rice. Nuke armed Islamofascists FTW!
Link Posted: 11/20/2008 7:40:35 AM EDT
IBTB

( In before The Boom)
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