Quoted: There will never be a meaningful uprising in Iran, they saw what happend to their co religionists when the Shiia rose against Saddam and were slaughtered. There will be no uprising without a large and irrevocable commitment of US ground troops inside the country. Then and only then will they feel that they will not be abandoned by us like the Iraqi Shiia were in 1991.
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Oh, bullshit. There was a perfectly good revolution in 1979, in case you didn't notice, and hardly anybody got slaughtered.
The Iranians aren't Arabs, and the Iranian security forces are not Saddam's Republican Guard. Iran is almost entirely Shi'a; Saddam used his Sunni-minority tribesmen to slaughter the Shi'a-majority and Kurdish rebels. Saddam's security forces had no connection with the people they were murdering. Not only that, but the mullahs aren't even remotely bloodthirsty enough to do it; they aren't a single brutal dictator, they're a council, and they have to face each other.
The Shah and his security forces couldn't even do that, and he had the power and the will to use it.
There is even a strong parallel in today's Iraqi fighting -- the reason the Sunni are bombing and shooting our troops is that they have lost their source of power. They are now a hated minority for the decades they spent murdering the Shi'a with impunity. The Shi'a, in contrast, are mostly peaceful and glad that the U.S. got rid of Saddam.
You clearly don't have a clue about the internals of Iran. We can only hope that Bush's advisors have more sense.