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Posted: 8/28/2004 1:56:39 PM EDT
Headed your way.

www.net-waves.com/weather/td06.php

I know you know about it...just wanted everyone else to see. NHC & UKMET have Francis on front row. Prayers being sent.
Link Posted: 8/28/2004 2:07:33 PM EDT


Here is to hoping for a HARD right turn to the north.
Link Posted: 8/28/2004 2:15:19 PM EDT
Great, just in time for the Labor Day weekend!!!

You'd think that as a native, I'd be used to these things by now.
Link Posted: 8/28/2004 2:20:40 PM EDT
Ain't it the truth? You never get used to em'...it just makes your blood pressure go up about 30 points. Everytime I track them, the beginning always gets lost after landfall. The closer it gets to you, the more you realize you don't like them very much. I have all my hurricane shtf plans ready to deploy. I just hate the fact you don't really know if it's coming.
Link Posted: 8/28/2004 2:24:33 PM EDT

Originally Posted By NAKED-GUNMAN:I just hate the fact you don't really know if it's coming.


True enough. But at least you have a heads up nowdays. Unlike what it was, say for the storm of 1900.
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 2:38:10 PM EDT
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 2:52:56 PM EDT
I'm in Broward County, the third most southern county on the east coast of Florida. If this 'cane continues on the projected path above, we'll feel the effects here late Thursday night. As always, my last minute bug out plan is set. I'll be online with updates as long as the power permits. God willing.

HS1
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 2:55:59 PM EDT
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 2:57:32 PM EDT
now mine from what they say..... i just had to BO and move from the last one,,now again,,urgrgghhhh
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 3:05:45 PM EDT
Can somebody link me that pic? OJNTSA?
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 5:43:32 PM EDT
Got hit by Andrew the first year I moved into this house. I wasn't ready then. I'm ready now. Lot's of water, food, batteries, portable generator, etc. We're ready, but still, I pray it misses us.

Don't be complacent, Floridians....just look at the pics of those poor people in Punta Gorda THEN decide if you're gonna board up or not.

Stay safe everyone and be careful.
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 5:52:07 PM EDT
Crap It looks like its gonna either be a direct hit or just to the North of me......
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 5:58:05 PM EDT
This one may be stronger than the one that hit Punta Gorda. Be very cautious. The last update I saw had it at 140 mph as far as sustained winds with gusts to 160. At the time the pressure was also still dropping, indicating further strengthening. Many forecasters think this one could become a category 5, the highest classification on the scale. It would not surprise me at all if this thing came ashore packing 155 or 160 mph winds. So again, watch your asses down there and be prepared to evacuate well inland should the need arise. While there's always the chance it may weaken or chance course, it's also possible it may be another Andrew or worse. And if history is any indicator, some of the worst hurricanes in history have taken place around the Labor Day holiday, as it's near peak season.
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 5:58:22 PM EDT
I'm in Savannah and it's got me worried.
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 5:59:03 PM EDT
Beginning to get bad here. Lowes and Home Depot are out of or running out of plywood, generators, chain saws, and just about any other storm related items. Our usual grocery night is Wednesday, but decided to go tonight. Empty shelves in Publix. Not a "D" cell battery to be found in any ogf the above stores OR Wally-World.
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 6:03:58 PM EDT
Charging_Handle, this one is going to dwarf Charlie. This is Andrew class. Unless you've seen what Andrew did, you can't even imagine the damage. Whole developments leveled.
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 6:20:29 PM EDT
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 6:32:07 PM EDT
Just for reference, what is the minimum speed of a F1 Tornado? I THINK its 175mph winds anyone know for certain?
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 6:41:17 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 8/31/2004 6:48:02 PM EDT by GTTacoma]

Originally Posted By ArmdLbrl:
Just for reference, what is the minimum speed of a F1 Tornado? I THINK its 175mph winds anyone know for certain?



F1 - 73 to 112mph
F2 - 113 to 157mph
F3 - 158 to 206mph

Also, with hurricanes, remember that the wind speed is calculated as if the storm were stationary. THIS storm is traveling at 17 mph! The north side of this storm is producing SUSTAINED winds of 157mph.. and it is expected to be strengthening.
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 6:43:13 PM EDT
It's still too far away to know which direction this thing is going to go....last minute shifts in direction are entirely possible.
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 6:46:52 PM EDT

Originally Posted By Johnny_Reno:
It's still too far away to know which direction this thing is going to go....last minute shifts in direction are entirely possible.



Absolutely.. Georgia and South Carolina need to watch closely too.
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 6:48:08 PM EDT

Originally Posted By captainpooby:
Can somebody link me that pic? OJNTSA?



Here ya go sir!



Link Posted: 8/31/2004 6:53:21 PM EDT
This storm is has me concerned here in SW VA. It is reminding me of Hugo when we got flooded really bad. This storm is huge! Andrew was rather small and compact, this one looks like it could cover the whole state of Florida.
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 7:58:04 PM EDT

Originally Posted By VTHOKIESHOOTER:
This storm is has me concerned here in SW VA. It is reminding me of Hugo when we got flooded really bad. This storm is huge! Andrew was rather small and compact, this one looks like it could cover the whole state of Florida.



Hugo hit here too.. Not hard enough to knock down buildings, but I remember not having power and water for 10 days.
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 8:23:39 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 8/31/2004 10:25:53 PM EDT by brasspile]
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 8:23:43 PM EDT

Originally Posted By GTTacoma:

Originally Posted By VTHOKIESHOOTER:
This storm is has me concerned here in SW VA. It is reminding me of Hugo when we got flooded really bad. This storm is huge! Andrew was rather small and compact, this one looks like it could cover the whole state of Florida.



Hugo hit here too.. Not hard enough to knock down buildings, but I remember not having power and water for 10 days.



Yep, Hugo still had quite a punch when it got here. We couldn't even leave our neighborhood for a couple days, and had no power. I was out of school and helping cut up trees for a week.

Good luck to everyone that may be in its path, and here's hoping it just turns out to sea.
Link Posted: 8/31/2004 10:19:25 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 8/31/2004 10:22:38 PM EDT by brasspile]
Link Posted: 9/1/2004 3:37:44 PM EDT
Link Posted: 9/1/2004 3:45:12 PM EDT
Link Posted: 9/1/2004 3:51:39 PM EDT
Link Posted: 9/1/2004 3:55:46 PM EDT

Originally Posted By tc6969:
The hell with Radar heres what we are REALLY dealing with!

Notice the nicely centered and well defined eye. This is one BAD MOFO! make no mistake about it!

www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/tropical_cyclones/tc04/ATL/06L.FRANCES/ssmi/vis1km/20040901.2202.goes12.x.vis1km.06LFRANCES.120kts-941mb-218N-706W.jpg



BOHICA...
Link Posted: 9/1/2004 3:58:19 PM EDT
Well, we dodged a huge bullet with Charley here in the Tampa Bay area...good for us, but not so good for my in-laws, who live in Punta Gorda...their house survived with only minor damage, but many others down there were not so fortunate...it's a real mess down there...

I only have one thing to say to Frances...bring it, bitch!!!
Link Posted: 9/1/2004 4:01:22 PM EDT
Link Posted: 9/1/2004 4:12:41 PM EDT

Originally Posted By tc6969:
That thing is headed straight for my house!

The predicted landfall and the angle its coming in at brings the eye right across my front yard!




Hope your insurance is paid up!


Best luck. When do you plan to evac?

Link Posted: 9/1/2004 4:50:57 PM EDT
Link Posted: 9/1/2004 6:42:33 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 9/1/2004 7:12:15 PM EDT by brasspile]
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 2:34:26 AM EDT
[Last Edit: 9/2/2004 2:41:34 AM EDT by brasspile]
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 5:07:27 AM EDT
btt
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 5:21:04 AM EDT
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 5:25:20 AM EDT
[Last Edit: 9/2/2004 5:26:13 AM EDT by IamtheNRA]
All you folks on the Atlantic coast of Florida better GTFO ASAP...this one's a monster...

Link Posted: 9/2/2004 5:27:09 AM EDT




Link Posted: 9/2/2004 5:44:20 AM EDT
Good luck guys. My thoughts and prayers are with you.
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 12:50:14 PM EDT
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 1:00:25 PM EDT
Sorry NE FL guys but....

Bend North baby, Bend!
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 1:39:45 PM EDT

Originally Posted By osprey21:
Sorry NE FL guys but....

Bend North baby, Bend!



I would say we need the rain but we don't.

Frances is a down cycle right now...when she hits the gulfstream, lookout. That hot water will fire her up again.
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 1:45:20 PM EDT

Originally Posted By Longtrail:
Good luck guys. My thoughts and prayers are with you.



Took the words right out of my mouth, God be with you.
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 3:23:10 PM EDT
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 3:47:19 PM EDT
[Last Edit: 9/2/2004 3:48:51 PM EDT by brasspile]
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 4:21:18 PM EDT
damn, looks like its gonna tear FL a new asshole........................

good luck to you guys, yall been getting the shit end of the stick for a while, we've been lucky here since celia in the '70s..........................
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 6:02:56 PM EDT
Link Posted: 9/2/2004 6:10:36 PM EDT
As of right now, it looks like I'm sitting on ground zero(Indian River County). Hate to pass this off on someone else, but I sure hope this takes a turn north.
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